FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Cornell def. Howard 3–0

(25-23, 25-13, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
HOWARD	23	13	18	0
CORN	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CORN above 50 · HOWARD below

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Cornell — set 1, HOWARD 22-24 CORN. Kill by Ava Bogan (set by Mackenzie Parsons). CORN win probability 88% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HOWARD 12.6%87.4% CORN

Howard wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

3.9%

3-2

6.9%

Cornell wins

3-0

40.4%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.5%

HOWARD break %: 38.6% vs this opp
CORN break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava BoganKill+3.7%
Kill by Ava Bogan (set by Mackenzie Parsons)
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-24 CORN · CORN 88% → 92%
02
Kennedi WrightBad set+3.4%
Bad set by Kennedi Wright
Set 1 · HOWARD 23-25 CORN · CORN 90% → 94%
03
Zenai JethroeAttack error+3.2%
Zenai Jethroe stuffed by Ava Bogan
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-23 CORN · CORN 85% → 88%
04
Addison BucknerAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Addison Buckner
Set 1 · HOWARD 20-21 CORN · CORN 84% → 88%
05
CORN serverAce+2.9%
Cornell ace on Camryn Shelton
Set 1 · HOWARD 19-19 CORN · CORN 82% → 85%
06
Alexys JamesKill+2.9%
Kill by Alexys James (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-22 CORN · HOWARD 12% → 15%
07
Addison BucknerAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Addison Buckner
Set 1 · HOWARD 21-22 CORN · CORN 85% → 88%
08
Mackenzie ParsonsKill+2.7%
Kill by Mackenzie Parsons (set by Mary Wolcott)
Set 1 · HOWARD 19-18 CORN · CORN 79% → 82%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Howardaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	PTS
21Addison BucknerOH	3	11	7	29	.138	1	1	1	4	1	12
5Alexys JamesS	3	6	4	22	.091	11	3	1	3	0	9
18Zenai JethroeMB	3	5	3	17	.118	1	0	0	0	0	5
17Tiana StubbsMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	3
6Sydnei JonesS	3	0	0	5	.000	11	0	2	3	0	0
20Gabby AllenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	9	0	0
12Camryn SheltonL/DS	3	0	0	4	.000	1	0	1	10	3	0
33Kennedi WrightOH	2	1	3	8	-.250	1	0	0	1	0	1
22Corinne HowardOH	2	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	1
11Lauryn WileyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0
19Briana PaganOH	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	2
7Easnadh Nobel TooloOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0
13Dayion JohnsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Estrella VazquezS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		29	22	104	.067	26	4	9	32	4	54

Cornellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Ava BoganMB	3	9	0	14	.643	0	1	2	1	0	3	4	5	15
20Mackenzie ParsonsMB	3	10	3	22	.318	0	0	2	9	0	0	4	2	12
17Ellery WilliamsonOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	8
6Avarie AdamsMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	3
12Mary WolcottS	3	0	0	9	.000	17	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	2
4Caroline HoldsworthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	0
24Jaida SioneOH	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
2Sarita PomarL/DS	3	0	0	7	.000	5	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
21Kiran RioOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Mikayla GrayOH	1	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Sydney ZancaOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	9	88	.261	24	4	8	31	4	3	20	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 HOWARD · CORN 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 HOWARDCORN 3

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 HOWARDCORN 6

Set 3*

18-25

Longest run 4 HOWARDCORN 6

Bars above the line = Cornell leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Howard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%5/13	43%3/7
2	63%5/8	38%3/8
3	50%5/10	29%2/7
4	75%3/4	44%4/9
5	100%3/3	0%0/3
6	27%3/11	0%0/3
All	49%24/49	32%12/37

Cornell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	69%9/13
2	56%5/9	50%5/10
3	56%5/9	44%4/9
4	100%4/4	43%3/7
5	100%3/3	25%1/4
6	75%3/4	50%3/6
All	68%25/37	51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	HOWARD-CORN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CORN	CORN	Kill	Ellery Williamson		+1.2
2	0-2	CORN	CORN	Bad set	Addison Buckner		+1.1
3	1-2	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.8
4	2-2	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Zenai Jethroe	+1.3
5	2-3	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Alexys James		+0.9
6	3-3	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+1.0
7	3-4	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.9
8	4-4	CORN	HOWARD×4	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.0
9	5-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+1.5
10	6-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons		+1.7
11	7-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Bad set	Mackenzie Parsons		+1.8
12	7-5	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ellery Williamson	set Mary Wolcott	+1.2
13	8-5	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Kennedi Wright	+1.5
14	8-6	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+1.2
15	9-6	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+1.5
16	9-7	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Sarita Pomar	+1.3
17	9-8	CORN	CORN	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Sarita Pomar	+1.7
18	10-8	CORN	HOWARD	Bad set	Avarie Adams		+1.5
19	11-8	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.1
20	11-9	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.3
21	11-10	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Tiana Stubbs		+1.9
22	12-10	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.6
23	12-11	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.4
24	12-12	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Alexys James	blk Ava Bogan, Ellery Williamson	+1.9
25	13-12	CORN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+1.6
26	14-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+2.3
27	15-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+2.4
28	15-13	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.5
29	15-14	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Corinne Howard	blk Ava Bogan, Mary Wolcott	+2.2
30	16-14	CORN	HOWARD	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+2.0
31	17-14	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+2.7
32	17-15	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.6
33	18-15	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.2
34	18-16	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner	blk Ava Bogan, Mary Wolcott	+1.6
35	19-16	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Alexys James	+2.3
36	19-17	HOWARD	CORN×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.7
37	19-18	CORN	CORN×3	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+2.7
38	19-19	CORN	CORN×3	Ace	CORN server	aced Camryn Shelton	+2.9
39	20-19	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Sydnei Jones	+2.6
40	20-20	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+2.3
41	20-21	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+3.2
42	21-21	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+2.5
43	21-22	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+2.7
44	22-22	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.9
45	22-23	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe	blk Ava Bogan	+3.2
46	22-24	CORN	CORN	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mackenzie Parsons	+3.7
47	23-24	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+1.6
48	23-25	HOWARD	CORN	Bad set	Kennedi Wright		+3.4
Set 2
1	1-0	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons		+1.0
2	2-0	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons		+1.1
3	2-1	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ellery Williamson	set Mary Wolcott	+0.7
4	2-2	CORN	CORN	Serve err	CORN server		+0.9
5	3-2	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.8
6	4-2	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+1.1
7	4-3	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.8
8	5-3	CORN	HOWARD	Bad set	Caroline Holdsworth		+0.9
9	5-4	HOWARD	CORN×3	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.8
10	5-5	CORN	CORN×3	Bad set	Alexys James		+1.0
11	5-6	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Corinne Howard		+1.0
12	6-6	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.8
13	6-7	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.7
14	6-8	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Kennedi Wright		+0.9
15	7-8	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+0.7
16	7-9	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.7
17	8-9	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Alexys James	+0.7
18	8-10	HOWARD	CORN×6	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Alexys James	+0.7
19	8-11	CORN	CORN×6	Attack err	Kennedi Wright		+0.8
20	8-12	CORN	CORN×6	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons		+0.7
21	8-13	CORN	CORN×6	Kill	Ellery Williamson	set Sarita Pomar	+0.5
22	8-14	CORN	CORN×6	Kill	Ellery Williamson	set Sarita Pomar	+0.4
23	8-15	CORN	CORN×6	Attack err	Kennedi Wright		+0.3
24	9-15	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Kennedi Wright	set Camryn Shelton	+0.1
25	9-16	HOWARD	CORN×4	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.2
26	9-17	CORN	CORN×4	Kill	Ava Bogan		+0.2
27	9-18	CORN	CORN×4	Ace	CORN server	aced Camryn Shelton	+0.1
28	9-19	CORN	CORN×4	Attack err	Tiana Stubbs	blk Ava Bogan	+0.0
29	10-19	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.0
30	11-19	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.0
31	11-20	HOWARD	CORN×3	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0
32	11-21	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Alexys James	blk Ava Bogan, Ellery Williamson	+0.0
33	11-22	CORN	CORN×3	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Sarita Pomar	+0.0
34	12-22	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+0.0
35	12-23	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0
36	12-24	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Corinne Howard		+0.0
37	13-24	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+0.0
38	13-25	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner	blk Mackenzie Parsons, Avarie Adams	+0.4
2	1-1	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+0.3
3	1-2	HOWARD	CORN×3	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.3
4	1-3	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Alexys James		+0.4
5	1-4	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Addison Buckner	blk Mackenzie Parsons, Avarie Adams	+0.3
6	2-4	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
7	2-5	HOWARD	CORN	Attack err	Addison Buckner	blk Mackenzie Parsons, Avarie Adams	+0.2
8	3-5	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.2
9	3-6	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.2
10	4-6	CORN	HOWARD	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
11	4-7	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mikayla Gray	+0.3
12	5-7	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+0.3
13	5-8	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.3
14	6-8	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+0.3
15	6-9	HOWARD	CORN	Bad set	Alexys James		+0.3
16	7-9	CORN	HOWARD	Bad set	Mackenzie Parsons		+0.3
17	7-10	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.3
18	8-10	CORN	HOWARD×4	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.3
19	9-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Caroline Holdsworth	+0.5
20	10-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+0.6
21	11-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Caroline Holdsworth	+0.6
22	11-11	HOWARD	CORN×6	Kill	Ellery Williamson	set Mary Wolcott	+0.4
23	11-12	CORN	CORN×6	Kill	Ellery Williamson		+0.6
24	11-13	CORN	CORN×6	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+0.5
25	11-14	CORN	CORN×6	Bad set	Addison Buckner		+0.4
26	11-15	CORN	CORN×6	Kill	Ava Bogan		+0.3
27	11-16	CORN	CORN×6	Bad set	Alexys James		+0.3
28	12-16	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.2
29	12-17	HOWARD	CORN×3	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.2
30	12-18	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe	blk Ava Bogan	+0.2
31	12-19	CORN	CORN×3	Ace	CORN server	aced Camryn Shelton	+0.1
32	13-19	CORN	HOWARD	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+0.0
33	13-20	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.1
34	14-20	CORN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Addison Buckner	+0.0
35	15-20	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Jaida Sione		+0.1
36	15-21	HOWARD	CORN	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.1
37	15-22	CORN	CORN	Ace	CORN server	aced Addison Buckner	+0.1
38	16-22	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+0.0
39	17-22	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+0.1
40	17-23	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mikayla Gray	+0.1
41	17-24	CORN	CORN	Attack err	Alexys James	blk Jaida Sione, Avarie Adams	+0.0
42	18-24	CORN	HOWARD	Serve err	CORN server		+0.0
43	18-25	HOWARD	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.