FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeAMERICA-EAST

UAlbany def. Howard 3–0

(25-22, 25-22, 29-27)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HOWARD	22	22	27	0
ALBANY	25	25	29	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALBANY above 50 · HOWARD below

Biggest swing: 7.4% to UAlbany — set 1, HOWARD 22-23 ALBANY. Attack error by Tiana Stubbs. ALBANY win probability 62% → 69%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HOWARD 36.2%63.8% ALBANY

Howard wins

3-0

7.5%

3-1

13.0%

3-2

15.7%

UAlbany wins

3-0

19.3%

3-1

24.5%

3-2

20.0%

HOWARD break %: 41.2% vs this opp
ALBANY break %: 43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tiana StubbsAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Tiana Stubbs
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-23 ALBANY · ALBANY 62% → 69%
02
Madison HessKill+6.7%
Kill by Madison Hess (set by Camryn Shelton)
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-24 ALBANY · ALBANY 69% → 76%
03
Lily LottKill+6.3%
Kill by Lily Lott (set by Madison Hess)
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-22 ALBANY · ALBANY 55% → 62%
04
Pinar ErolAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Pinar Erol
Set 3 · HOWARD 26-25 ALBANY · HOWARD 8% → 13%
05
Campbell RobinsonKill+4.7%
Kill by Campbell Robinson (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 3 · HOWARD 23-24 ALBANY · ALBANY 91% → 96%
06
Lily LottKill+4.7%
Kill by Lily Lott (set by Madison Hess)
Set 3 · HOWARD 27-28 ALBANY · ALBANY 91% → 96%
07
Lily LottAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Lily Lott
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-19 ALBANY · HOWARD 47% → 52%
08
Madison HessKill+4.6%
Kill by Madison Hess (set by Kiki Provatas)
Set 1 · HOWARD 22-21 ALBANY · ALBANY 51% → 55%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Howardaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Addison BucknerOH	3	16	5	33	.333	0	0	2	8	0	1	1	1.5	17.5
18Zenai JethroeMB	3	12	1	20	.550	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
7Easnadh Nobel TooloOH	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Sydnei JonesS	3	2	0	15	.133	33	0	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Tiana StubbsMB	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
11Lauryn WileyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
12Camryn SheltonL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	3	2	12	1	0	0	0	3
2Estrella VazquezS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2
20Gabby AllenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	7	2	0	0	0	2
13Dayion JohnsonOH	2	8	2	25	.240	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
19Briana PaganOH	1	0	2	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	13	123	.252	37	8	14	37	5	1	6	4	71

UAlbanyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Pinar ErolOH	3	10	8	36	.056	1	0	1	12	0	1	0	1	11
14Campbell RobinsonMB	3	4	2	14	.143	0	1	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Mina BenucciMB	3	5	0	12	.417	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
7Madison HessS	3	4	0	12	.333	29	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	5
21Madison KyleL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	2	2	1	2	0	0	0	2
5Kiki ProvatasL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	9	1	0	0	0	1
10Lily LottOH	3	13	3	23	.435	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13
11Nia GibsonOPP	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
9Kasia BarlettaL/DS	3	0	0	4	.000	2	1	0	17	1	0	0	0	1
22Nil OzerMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	14	115	.243	35	5	5	45	8	1	4	3	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 HOWARD · ALBANY 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 HOWARDALBANY 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 HOWARDALBANY 3

Set 3

27-29

Longest run 5 HOWARDALBANY 4

Bars above the line = UAlbany leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Howard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	25%2/8
2	73%8/11	56%10/18
3	78%7/9	47%7/15
4	50%7/14	30%3/10
5	40%6/15	50%7/14
6	29%5/17	14%1/7
All	53%41/78	42%30/72

UAlbany

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	46%6/13
2	50%8/16	27%3/11
3	80%8/10	27%3/11
4	64%7/11	36%4/11
5	55%6/11	63%10/16
6	100%5/5	69%11/16
All	58%42/72	47%37/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

150 rallies

Rally log

#	HOWARD-ALBANY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	set Sydnei Jones	+1.8
2	2-0	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Madison Kyle	+2.5
3	2-1	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.7
4	3-1	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
5	4-1	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Campbell Robinson	blk Addison Buckner	+2.5
6	4-2	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.7
7	5-2	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Gabby Allen	+1.9
8	6-2	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Sydnei Jones, Zenai Jethroe	+2.5
9	6-3	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+1.6
10	6-4	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+2.4
11	7-4	ALBANY	HOWARD×4	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+2.0
12	8-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Lily Lott		+2.6
13	9-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Campbell Robinson		+2.3
14	10-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+2.1
15	10-5	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.2
16	10-6	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+2.0
17	10-7	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Tiana Stubbs		+2.3
18	11-7	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Sydnei Jones		+2.0
19	11-8	HOWARD	ALBANY×4	Kill	Lily Lott	set Mina Benucci	+1.7
20	11-9	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+2.6
21	11-10	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Madison Hess	set Kasia Barletta	+2.9
22	11-11	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Attack err	Briana Pagan	blk Mina Benucci, Madison Hess	+3.1
23	12-11	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.4
24	12-12	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+2.3
25	13-12	ALBANY	HOWARD×5	Serve err	ALBANY server		+2.5
26	14-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+3.5
27	15-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+3.4
28	16-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+3.0
29	17-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+2.5
30	17-13	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.3
31	18-13	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
32	18-14	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+1.3
33	18-15	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+2.4
34	18-16	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Madison Kyle	+3.1
35	19-16	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.9
36	19-17	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+2.3
37	20-17	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+3.1
38	20-18	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+2.3
39	20-19	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+4.1
40	21-19	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+3.9
41	22-19	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Lily Lott		+4.6
42	22-20	HOWARD	ALBANY×6	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+2.2
43	22-21	ALBANY	ALBANY×6	Kill	Madison Hess	set Kiki Provatas	+4.6
44	22-22	ALBANY	ALBANY×6	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+6.3
45	22-23	ALBANY	ALBANY×6	Attack err	Tiana Stubbs		+7.4
46	22-24	ALBANY	ALBANY×6	Kill	Madison Hess	set Camryn Shelton	+6.7
47	22-25	ALBANY	ALBANY×6	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+3.6
Set 2
1	1-0	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.1
2	1-1	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.5
3	1-2	ALBANY	ALBANY	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Team	+2.0
4	2-2	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Sydnei Jones		+1.5
5	2-3	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe	blk Campbell Robinson, Madison Hess	+1.5
6	3-3	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	set Sydnei Jones	+1.6
7	3-4	HOWARD	ALBANY	Bad set	Addison Buckner		+1.6
8	4-4	ALBANY	HOWARD	Serve err	ALBANY server		+1.6
9	5-4	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+2.3
10	5-5	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.7
11	5-6	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Madison Hess	+2.2
12	6-6	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+1.7
13	7-6	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+2.4
14	7-7	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.7
15	8-7	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
16	8-8	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.8
17	8-9	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+2.5
18	8-10	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	blk Pinar Erol	+2.4
19	9-10	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.7
20	9-11	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+1.8
21	10-11	ALBANY	HOWARD	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+1.8
22	10-12	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.9
23	10-13	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+2.3
24	11-13	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	set Sydnei Jones	+1.6
25	11-14	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Madison Hess	+1.7
26	12-14	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.6
27	12-15	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.8
28	12-16	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Gabby Allen	+2.1
29	12-17	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Nia Gibson		+1.6
30	13-17	ALBANY	HOWARD×4	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+0.9
31	14-17	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Kasia Barletta	+1.7
32	15-17	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+2.3
33	16-17	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+2.9
34	16-18	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+2.4
35	16-19	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Bad set	Addison Buckner		+2.9
36	16-20	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Gabby Allen	+2.2
37	17-20	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.2
38	17-21	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.6
39	17-22	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+1.4
40	18-22	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Sydnei Jones	+0.5
41	19-22	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Kiki Provatas	+1.3
42	19-23	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+1.5
43	20-23	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	set Sydnei Jones	+0.7
44	21-23	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+2.0
45	21-24	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+2.6
46	22-24	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.0
47	22-25	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Madison Hess	+2.3
Set 3
1	1-0	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.9
2	1-1	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.9
3	2-1	ALBANY	HOWARD×5	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+0.9
4	3-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+1.3
5	4-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Pinar Erol	+1.3
6	5-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+1.2
7	6-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+1.1
8	6-2	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.7
9	7-2	ALBANY	HOWARD	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.9
10	7-3	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Kill	Nia Gibson	set Pinar Erol	+0.7
11	7-4	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+1.1
12	7-5	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Lily Lott	set Kasia Barletta	+1.2
13	8-5	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.0
14	8-6	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.9
15	8-7	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.4
16	9-7	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.1
17	9-8	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.0
18	10-8	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Sydnei Jones	+1.1
19	10-9	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.1
20	11-9	ALBANY	HOWARD×4	Serve err	ALBANY server		+1.2
21	12-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Madison Kyle	+1.5
22	13-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Zenai Jethroe, Easnadh Nobel Toolo	+1.4
23	14-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Madison Kyle	+1.3
24	14-10	HOWARD	ALBANY	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.7
25	15-10	ALBANY	HOWARD×3	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+0.9
26	16-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+1.0
27	17-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.8
28	17-11	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Kyle	+0.4
29	18-11	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.5
30	18-12	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Nia Gibson		+0.3
31	18-13	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+0.6
32	19-13	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+0.7
33	19-14	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+0.4
34	19-15	ALBANY	ALBANY	Bad set	Tiana Stubbs		+0.8
35	20-15	ALBANY	HOWARD	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.9
36	20-16	HOWARD	ALBANY	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+0.6
37	20-17	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Madison Hess	set Sydnei Jones	+1.1
38	21-17	ALBANY	HOWARD	Attack err	Lily Lott		+1.2
39	21-18	HOWARD	ALBANY×4	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+0.8
40	21-19	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Lauryn Wiley	+1.6
41	21-20	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Camryn Shelton	+2.2
42	21-21	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+2.8
43	22-21	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+2.5
44	23-21	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+3.3
45	23-22	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+1.7
46	23-23	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Campbell Robinson		+3.7
47	23-24	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Sydnei Jones	+4.7
48	24-24	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+3.5
49	24-25	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+3.5
50	25-25	ALBANY	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+3.5
51	26-25	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+5.0
52	26-26	HOWARD	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+3.7
53	27-26	ALBANY	HOWARD	Attack err	Nia Gibson		+3.7
54	27-27	HOWARD	ALBANY×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+3.7
55	27-28	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+4.7
56	27-29	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+4.4

Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.