FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

American def. Howard 3–0

American beat visiting Howard 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-19) on Tue, Sep 8, 2026. Elise Sterling led American with 9 kills; Howard's Addison Buckner had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Sep 8

Set123Sets
HOWARD1920190
AMER2525253

Win probability

American above 50 · Howard below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 133 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: American stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOWARD 3.5%96.5% AMER

Howard wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.2%

American wins

3-0
60.3%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.1%
HOWARD break %
36.1% vs this opp
AMER break %
49.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Howardaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310431.1941037200010
34518-.05601300010.55.5
3217.1432111800214
32211.000000301013
1011-1.00000000010.50.5
1000–000010000
34326.03800010031.55.5
3013-.333012400001
3000–010510001
3000–0011110000
2214.25000000132.54.5
Team totals2418101.05922410396210758
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39222.3180105004212
37413.23100010212.59.5
37322.1820101210219
38218.333000000219
3205.4003423900004
3000–013500001
34617-.118100100004
3000–3131920001
2000–000110000
1105.20000000010.51.5
1125-.200001100001
Team totals3919107.18738610544210775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 HOWARD · AMER 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 HOWARDAMER 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 HOWARDAMER 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 HOWARDAMER 6

Bars above the line = American leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Howard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
20%1/5
2
36%4/11
29%2/7
3
100%4/4
43%3/7
4
44%4/9
0%0/4
5
44%4/9
43%3/7
6
67%4/6
50%4/8
All
50%25/50
34%13/38

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
55%6/11
2
57%4/7
64%7/11
3
100%4/4
0%0/4
4
57%4/7
56%5/9
5
50%4/8
56%5/9
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
66%25/38
50%25/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#HOWARD-AMERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
20-2AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Lauryn Wiley
31-2AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
41-3HOWARDAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
51-4AMERAMER×3BlockedZenai Jethroeblk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas
61-5AMERAMER×3AceAmerican
72-5AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
83-5HOWARDHOWARDAceHowardaced Bella Marrero
93-6HOWARDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Bella Marrero
104-6AMERHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
114-7HOWARDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Tiana Stubbs
125-7AMERHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones
135-8HOWARDAMERAttack errDayion Johnson
146-8AMERHOWARDKillSydnei Jonesset Addison Buckner
157-8HOWARDHOWARDBlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Tiana Stubbs, Dayion Johnson
167-9HOWARDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
178-9AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
188-10HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
198-11AMERAMERBad setSydnei Jones
209-11AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
219-12HOWARDAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak
2210-12AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
2311-12HOWARDHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
2411-13HOWARDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
2512-13AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
2612-14HOWARDAMERAttack errAddison Buckner
2713-14AMERHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones
2813-15HOWARDAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
2913-16AMERAMER×4BlockedSydnei Jonesblk Prinzez Zeck
3013-17AMERAMER×4Attack errTiana Stubbs
3113-18AMERAMER×4Attack errDayion Johnson
3214-18AMERHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones
3315-18HOWARDHOWARDAceHowardaced Olivia Miller
3415-19HOWARDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
3515-20AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Addison Buckner
3616-20AMERHOWARDKillEasnadh Nobel Tooloset Sydnei Jones
3717-20HOWARDHOWARDKillEasnadh Nobel Tooloset Sydnei Jones
3817-21HOWARDAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
3917-22AMERAMER×3Attack errEasnadh Nobel Toolo
4017-23AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak
4118-23AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
4219-23HOWARDHOWARDAttack errPrinzez Zeck
4319-24HOWARDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
4419-25AMERAMERAttack errZenai Jethroe
Set 2
11-0HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errPrinzez Zeck
22-0HOWARDHOWARD×4Bad setDeniz Dakak
33-0HOWARDHOWARD×4AceHowardaced Salme Hollas
44-0HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errSalme Hollas
54-1HOWARDAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak
65-1AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
76-1HOWARDHOWARDKillZenai Jethroe
86-2HOWARDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
97-2AMERHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
107-3HOWARDAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
117-4AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
127-5AMERAMER×3Attack errKennedi Wright
138-5AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
148-6HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
158-7AMERAMERAttack errZenai Jethroe
169-7AMERHOWARDBlockedSam McMillanblk Zenai Jethroe, Sydnei Jones
179-8HOWARDAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak
1810-8AMERHOWARDBlockedSalme Hollasblk Kaitlynn Robinson
1910-9HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
2010-10AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
2111-10AMERHOWARDKillKaitlynn Robinsonset Sydnei Jones
2211-11HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
2312-11AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
2412-12HOWARDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
2512-13AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
2613-13AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
2713-14HOWARDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
2814-14AMERHOWARDAttack errElise Sterling
2914-15HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
3014-16AMERAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak
3115-16AMERHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones
3216-16HOWARDHOWARDAttack errSam McMillan
3316-17HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
3417-17AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
3518-17HOWARD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3618-18HOWARDAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak
3718-19AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Addison Buckner
3819-19AMERHOWARDBlockedSam McMillanblk Easnadh Nobel Toolo
3919-20HOWARDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
4020-20AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
4120-21HOWARDAMER×5Serve errHoward
4220-22AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero
4320-23AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak
4420-24AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero
4520-25AMERAMER×5BlockedAddison Bucknerblk Elise Sterling, Carly Sciborski
Set 3
11-0AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
22-0HOWARDHOWARDAttack errSalme Hollas
32-1HOWARDAMER×5BlockedZenai Jethroeblk Prinzez Zeck, Salme Hollas
42-2AMERAMER×5BlockedAddison Bucknerblk Carly Sciborski, Elise Sterling
52-3AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak
62-4AMERAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak
72-5AMERAMER×5Attack errEasnadh Nobel Toolo
83-5AMERHOWARDAttack errCarly Sciborski
94-5HOWARDHOWARDAttack errCarly Sciborski
104-6HOWARDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
115-6AMERHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
125-7HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
136-7AMERHOWARD×4KillSydnei Jones
147-7HOWARDHOWARD×4AceHowardaced Bella Marrero
158-7HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errSam McMillan
169-7HOWARDHOWARD×4BlockedElise Sterlingblk Dayion Johnson, Kaitlynn Robinson
179-8HOWARDAMER×3Serve errHoward
189-9AMERAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
199-10AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Camryn Shelton
2010-10AMERHOWARD×3Attack errSam McMillan
2111-10HOWARDHOWARD×3Attack errSam McMillan
2212-10HOWARDHOWARD×3Attack errSydney Guerrier
2312-11HOWARDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Sam McMillan
2413-11AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
2513-12HOWARDAMERBlockedKaitlynn Robinsonblk Prinzez Zeck
2614-12AMERHOWARDAttack errSydney Guerrier
2714-13HOWARDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak
2815-13AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
2915-14HOWARDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
3016-14AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
3116-15HOWARDAMER×6KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak
3216-16AMERAMER×6AceAmericanaced Gabby Allen
3316-17AMERAMER×6Bad setAddison Buckner
3416-18AMERAMER×6BlockedZenai Jethroeblk Emma Blankenship, Elise Sterling
3516-19AMERAMER×6Attack errDayion Johnson
3616-20AMERAMER×6KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak
3717-20AMERHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
3817-21HOWARDAMERServe errHoward
3918-21AMERHOWARDKillKaitlynn Robinsonset Sydnei Jones
4018-22HOWARDAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Deniz Dakak
4118-23AMERAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Deniz Dakak
4219-23AMERHOWARDServe errAmerican
4319-24HOWARDAMERAttack errAddison Buckner
4419-25AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak

Score shown after each rally, Howard first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).