Howard def. Morgan St. 3–1
Howard won at Morgan St. 3-1 (21-25, 26-24, 25-21, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Howard's Addison Buckner led with 16 kills, and Camryn Shelton added 20 digs.
Data through · final Sep 27
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOWARD | 21 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| MORGAN | 25 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.2% to Howard — set 2, HOWARD 26-24 MORGAN. Howard ace on Michaela Panekova. MORGAN win probability 54% → 44%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Howard wins
Morgan St. wins
- HOWARD break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
- MORGAN break %
- 42.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01HowardAce+10.2%
Howard ace on Michaela Panekova
Set 2 · HOWARD 26-24 MORGAN · HOWARD 46% → 56%
- 02Easnadh Nobel TooloBad set+8.0%
Bad set by Easnadh Nobel Toolo
Set 2 · HOWARD 23-23 MORGAN · MORGAN 54% → 62%
- 03Morgan St.Service error+7.9%
Morgan St. service error
Set 2 · HOWARD 24-23 MORGAN · HOWARD 38% → 46%
- 04Michaela PanekovaKill+7.9%
Kill by Michaela Panekova (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 2 · HOWARD 24-24 MORGAN · MORGAN 54% → 62%
- 05Addison BucknerKill+7.9%
Kill by Addison Buckner (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 2 · HOWARD 25-24 MORGAN · HOWARD 38% → 46%
- 06Addison BucknerKill+6.7%
Kill by Addison Buckner (set by Jada Williams)
Set 2 · HOWARD 23-21 MORGAN · HOWARD 43% → 50%
- 07Michaela PanekovaAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Michaela Panekova
Set 3 · HOWARD 19-18 MORGAN · HOWARD 54% → 60%
- 08Easnadh Nobel TooloKill+6.2%
Kill by Easnadh Nobel Toolo (set by Addison Buckner)
Set 2 · HOWARD 21-20 MORGAN · HOWARD 36% → 42%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 5 | 52 | .212 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .240 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 21 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 23 | 158 | .203 | 49 | 6 | 15 | 59 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 3 | 29 | .310 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 34 | .176 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 21 | .095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 25 | 138 | .123 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 61 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 85 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Howard vs Morgan St.
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Sun, Sep 27, 2026Howard at Morgan St. · Howard won 3-1This match
- Sun, Oct 25, 2026Morgan St. at Howard · Morgan St. won 3-2Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
26-24
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-15
Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Howard
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79%11/14 | 18%2/11 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 57%13/23 |
| 3 | 56%10/18 | 38%6/16 |
| 4 | 56%10/18 | 55%12/22 |
| 5 | 58%7/12 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 70%7/10 | 22%2/9 |
| All | 64%55/86 | 44%42/96 |
Morgan St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 18%2/11 |
| 2 | 43%10/23 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 77%10/13 | 23%3/13 |
| 4 | 47%9/19 | 57%13/23 |
| 5 | 47%7/15 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 78%7/9 | 13%1/8 |
| All | 56%54/96 | 36%31/86 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
182 rallies
| # | HOWARD-MORGAN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Tameary Wardlaw | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Corinne Howard | set Zenai Jethroe | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Nathalia Morais | set Tameary Wardlaw | +1.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Nathalia Morais | set Isabelle Brown | +1.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Attack err | Addison Buckner | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +2.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.1 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Nathalia Morais | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +2.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Corinne Howard | +2.9 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Alexys James | +2.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | HOWARD | MORGAN×6 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +2.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MORGAN | MORGAN×6 | Blocked | Gabby Allen | blk Aubrey Wilson | +3.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MORGAN | MORGAN×6 | Attack err | Haarachi Umenwaliri | +3.3 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | MORGAN | MORGAN×6 | Kill | Nathalia Morais | set Isabelle Brown | +3.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MORGAN | MORGAN×6 | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Gabby Allen | +2.8 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MORGAN | MORGAN×6 | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Michaela Panekova | +2.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Jada Williams | +1.4 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | HOWARD | MORGAN×3 | Serve err | Howard | +1.8 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Bailey Swinton | +1.9 |
| 29 | 11-18 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Addison Buckner | blk Aubrey Wilson | +1.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Haarachi Umenwaliri | set Sydnei Jones | +0.6 |
| 31 | 12-19 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +0.9 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +0.5 |
| 33 | 14-19 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +1.3 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Sydnei Jones | +0.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Ace | Howard | aced Kira Devrieze | +1.5 |
| 37 | 16-21 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Tameary Wardlaw | +1.7 |
| 38 | 17-21 | MORGAN | HOWARD×3 | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Alexys James | +1.0 |
| 39 | 18-21 | HOWARD | HOWARD×3 | Ace | Howard | aced Michaela Panekova | +2.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | HOWARD | HOWARD×3 | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Camryn Shelton | +3.1 |
| 41 | 19-22 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +3.4 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Blocked | Nathalia Morais | blk Corinne Howard, Zenai Jethroe | +2.2 |
| 43 | 20-23 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Tameary Wardlaw | +3.6 |
| 44 | 20-24 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Corinne Howard | +2.8 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +0.6 |
| 46 | 21-25 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +1.5 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Sydnei Jones | set Tameary Wardlaw | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Blocked | Tiana Stubbs | blk Tre'Niya Miller | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +2.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Attack err | Alexys James | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Blocked | Zenai Jethroe | blk Aubrey Wilson | +2.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +2.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Blocked | Zenai Jethroe | blk Aubrey Wilson, Isabelle Brown | +2.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +3.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Attack err | Addison Buckner | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Tre'Niya Miller | +2.3 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Gabby Allen | +2.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Tre'Niya Miller | +2.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +3.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | HOWARD | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Addison Buckner | +3.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Dayion Johnson | +3.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Jada Williams | +2.5 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | HOWARD | MORGAN×7 | Attack err | Addison Buckner | +2.8 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Blocked | Alexys James | blk Nathalia Morais | +3.5 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Attack err | Dayion Johnson | +3.2 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | +2.7 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Attack err | Zenai Jethroe | +2.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Attack err | Dayion Johnson | +1.4 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | MORGAN | MORGAN×7 | Blocked | Sydnei Jones | blk Nathalia Morais, Aubrey Wilson | +0.9 |
| 31 | 12-19 | MORGAN | HOWARD×3 | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +0.4 |
| 32 | 13-19 | HOWARD | HOWARD×3 | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Alexys James | +0.8 |
| 33 | 14-19 | HOWARD | HOWARD×3 | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +1.2 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +1.4 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | MORGAN | HOWARD×7 | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +0.8 |
| 36 | 16-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +1.6 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +2.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +3.4 |
| 39 | 19-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Blocked | Aubrey Wilson | blk Zenai Jethroe | +4.6 |
| 40 | 20-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Addison Buckner | +5.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD×7 | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Addison Buckner | +6.2 |
| 42 | 21-21 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Alaina Walker | +4.6 |
| 43 | 22-21 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Azra Arslanoglu | +5.3 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Jada Williams | +6.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Kira Devrieze | +3.6 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Bad set | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | +8.0 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +7.9 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +7.9 |
| 49 | 25-24 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Sydnei Jones | +7.9 |
| 50 | 26-24 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Ace | Howard | aced Michaela Panekova | +10.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Jada Williams | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Chloe Scott | set Isabelle Brown | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Addison Buckner | +3.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | set Camryn Shelton | +2.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Attack err | Azra Arslanoglu | +3.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +2.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +3.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Isabelle Brown | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +2.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | HOWARD | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +3.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Jada Williams | +3.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +3.0 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Sydnei Jones | +4.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Sydnei Jones | +2.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +3.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +3.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Addison Buckner | +4.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +4.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Chloe Scott | set Isabelle Brown | +3.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +3.2 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +3.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Alexys James | +3.3 |
| 28 | 13-15 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Haarachi Umenwaliri | +4.7 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +3.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +4.7 |
| 32 | 15-17 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +4.1 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +3.7 |
| 34 | 16-18 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Attack err | Dayion Johnson | +4.3 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | MORGAN | HOWARD×5 | Serve err | Morgan St. | +3.8 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +5.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +6.3 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Kill | Alexys James | set Sydnei Jones | +6.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Alexys James | +5.2 |
| 40 | 21-19 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Zenai Jethroe | set Sydnei Jones | +4.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.8 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Alexys James | +4.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Alexys James | +3.2 |
| 45 | 24-21 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Tameary Wardlaw | +0.7 |
| 46 | 25-21 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Camryn Shelton | +1.7 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +2.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Addison Buckner | +3.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MORGAN | HOWARD×5 | Kill | Addison Buckner | set Sydnei Jones | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +3.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Attack err | Tyrah Weems | +3.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Bad set | Jada Williams | +3.1 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | HOWARD | HOWARD×5 | Attack err | Tyrah Weems | +2.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Attack err | Dayion Johnson | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +2.2 |
| 10 | 7-3 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Ace | Howard | aced Nathalia Morais | +2.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Alexys James | +2.9 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +2.2 |
| 17 | 10-7 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +2.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Chloe Scott | set Isabelle Brown | +2.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Blocked | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | blk Chloe Scott, Michaela Panekova | +3.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Bad set | Jada Williams | +2.8 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Attack err | Isabelle Brown | +3.5 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | HOWARD | MORGAN×3 | Serve err | Howard | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Haarachi Umenwaliri | blk Aubrey Wilson | +3.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +4.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Sydnei Jones | set Tameary Wardlaw | +3.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | HOWARD | HOWARD | Attack err | Chloe Scott | +4.1 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Serve err | Howard | +2.9 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +3.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +3.0 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MORGAN | HOWARD×9 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Sydnei Jones | +3.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Camryn Shelton | +4.1 |
| 32 | 18-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Kill | Easnadh Nobel Toolo | set Alexys James | +3.4 |
| 33 | 19-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Blocked | Tyrah Weems | blk Zenai Jethroe, Easnadh Nobel Toolo | +2.5 |
| 34 | 20-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Ace | Howard | aced Tameary Wardlaw | +1.7 |
| 35 | 21-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Camryn Shelton | +1.0 |
| 36 | 22-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +0.4 | |
| 37 | 23-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Ace | Howard | aced Tameary Wardlaw | +0.2 |
| 38 | 24-14 | HOWARD | HOWARD×9 | Attack err | Zayda Thomas | · | |
| 39 | 24-15 | HOWARD | MORGAN | Kill | Tyrah Weems | set Alaina Walker | · |
| 40 | 25-15 | MORGAN | HOWARD | Kill | Dayion Johnson | set Alexys James | · |
Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).