Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026

Howard def. South Carolina St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Howard 96.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Howard beat visiting South Carolina St. 3-1 (25-16, 25-14, 22-25, 25-13) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Howard's Addison Buckner led with 15 kills, and Camryn Shelton added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
SC ST161425131
HOWARD252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the second set broke it open for Howard.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.6 points. South Carolina St. peaked at 3% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Howard went in as RallyIQ's 97% pick.

South Carolina St.Howard
  • Break %+19.0 pts
    36.255.2

    On serve: 53/96 against 25/69 (South Carolina St. sideout 44.8%).

  • Hitting+.349
    .037.386

    61 K / 17 E against 32 K / 28 E.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    Howard scored 7 straight in the second set to stretch a 16–13 lead to 23–13. Final score of the set: 25–14.

Howard above 50South Carolina St. belowMax swing 0.6%

South Carolina St.Howard

Aces
South Carolina St. 5·Howard 3
Serve err
South Carolina St. 5·Howard 13
Blocks
South Carolina St. 6·Howard 71 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
South Carolina St. 32·Howard 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Howard above 50 · South Carolina St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100rally 165 · set 4

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Howard stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC ST 3.6%96.4% HOWARD

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.2%

Howard wins

3-0
60.0%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
8.2%
SC ST break %
37.2% vs this opp
HOWARD break %
51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
471128-.143000200007
46318.16710010010.56.5
4439.11100001132.56.5
43410-.100221000216
4114.000020500003
41011.0001500300001
46119.26300030010.56.5
4014-.250101030010.51.5
4011-1.000002200000
4000–3021200000
2305.600000000003
1126-.167000100212
1012-.500100000000
Team totals3228107.0373255323110668
Howardhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411219.47400100111.512.5
49115.533240320052.511.5
4729.556002000429
43031.0002202300003
4000–200220000
38420.200104811019
415531.3230003000015
47215.333000000007
4000–4312120003
1112.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals6117114.38653313405210797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Carolina St. vs Howard

Season series · Howard leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SC ST · HOWARD 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 SC STHOWARD 6

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 SC STHOWARD 7

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 SC STHOWARD 4

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 2 SC STHOWARD 7

Bars above the line = Howard leads, below = South Carolina St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
42%5/12
2
56%9/16
40%6/15
3
56%9/16
40%6/15
4
33%6/18
20%2/10
5
33%5/15
25%2/8
6
45%5/11
44%4/9
All
45%43/96
36%25/69

Howard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
42%5/12
2
64%9/14
53%10/19
3
80%8/10
40%6/15
4
70%7/10
59%10/17
5
55%6/11
67%12/18
6
63%5/8
67%10/15
All
64%44/69
55%53/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#SC ST-HOWARDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1HOWARDHOWARDKillKaitlynn Robinsonset Alexys James
21-1HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
31-2SC STHOWARD×3KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
41-3HOWARDHOWARD×3KillKennedi Wrightset Alexys James
51-4HOWARDHOWARD×3BlockedKenna Harrisblk Kennedi Wright
62-4HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
73-4SC STSC STAttack errCorinne Howard
83-5SC STHOWARD×3KillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James
93-6HOWARDHOWARD×3KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
103-7HOWARDHOWARD×3Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
114-7HOWARDSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy
124-8SC STHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James
135-8HOWARDSC STBlockedCorinne Howardblk De'Oni McPhearson
145-9SC STHOWARD×6KillKaitlynn Robinsonset Alexys James
155-10HOWARDHOWARD×6Attack errJordan Dalland
165-11HOWARDHOWARD×6KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
175-12HOWARDHOWARD×6KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
185-13HOWARDHOWARD×6KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
195-14HOWARDHOWARD×6KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
206-14HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
217-14SC STSC STBlockedAddison Bucknerblk Kenna Harris, Jade Robinson
227-15SC STHOWARDAttack errJade Robinson
237-16HOWARDHOWARDBlockedAmani Hawkinsblk Alexys James, Kaitlynn Robinson
248-16HOWARDSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James
258-17SC STHOWARDKillSydnei Jonesset Camryn Shelton
269-17HOWARDSC ST×3Serve errHoward
2710-17SC STSC ST×3KillAmani Hawkinsset Jade Robinson
2811-17SC STSC ST×3Attack errKennedi Wright
2911-18SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
3012-18HOWARDSC ST×4KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
3113-18SC STSC ST×4BlockedZenai Jethroeblk De'Oni McPhearson, Hedia Lewis
3214-18SC STSC ST×4KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Ki'ra Wright
3315-18SC STSC ST×4KillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy
3415-19SC STHOWARDKillKennedi Wrightset Alexys James
3516-19HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
3616-20SC STHOWARD×6KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
3716-21HOWARDHOWARD×6Attack errHedia Lewis
3816-22HOWARDHOWARD×6Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson
3916-23HOWARDHOWARD×6AceCamryn Sheltonaced De'Oni McPhearson
4016-24HOWARDHOWARD×6Attack errHedia Lewis
4116-25HOWARDHOWARD×6AceCamryn Shelton
Set 2
10-1SC STHOWARDKillKaitlynn Robinsonset Arianna James
21-1HOWARDSC STKillJade Robinsonset Arianna James
31-2SC STHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
42-2HOWARDSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James
52-3SC STHOWARDKillKennedi Wrightset Sydnei Jones
62-4HOWARDHOWARDAttack errKenna Harris
73-4HOWARDSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
84-4SC STSC STBlockedKennedi Wrightblk De'Oni McPhearson, Amani Hawkins
94-5SC STHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James
105-5HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
115-6SC STHOWARDAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis
125-7HOWARDHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James
136-7HOWARDSC STBlockedKaitlynn Robinsonblk De'Oni McPhearson
146-8SC STHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
156-9HOWARDHOWARDAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis
167-9HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy
178-9SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
188-10SC STHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
198-11HOWARDHOWARDBlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Kaitlynn Robinson, Alexys James
209-11HOWARDSC STKillArianna Jamesset Ki'ra Wright
2110-11SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Ki'ra Wright
2210-12SC STHOWARDServe errSouth Carolina St.
2311-12HOWARDSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
2411-13SC STHOWARD×4Serve errSouth Carolina St.
2511-14HOWARDHOWARD×4KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James
2611-15HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKennedi Wrightset Camryn Shelton
2711-16HOWARDHOWARD×4KillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James
2812-16HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
2913-16SC STSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Taelyn Graham
3013-17SC STHOWARD×7Attack errMacey McCoy
3113-18HOWARDHOWARD×7Attack errChloe Neal
3213-19HOWARDHOWARD×7KillZenai Jethroeset Macey McCoy
3313-20HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
3413-21HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
3513-22HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Kennedi Wright
3613-23HOWARDHOWARD×7BlockedTaelyn Grahamblk Zenai Jethroe
3714-23HOWARDSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy
3814-24SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James
3914-25HOWARDHOWARDAttack errDe'Oni McPhearson
Set 3
10-1HOWARDHOWARDKillSydnei Jonesset Camryn Shelton
20-2HOWARDHOWARDAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis
31-2HOWARDSC ST×3KillJordan Dallandset Kenna Harris
42-2SC STSC ST×3Attack errKennedi Wright
53-2SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.aced Gabby Allen
63-3SC STHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
74-3HOWARDSC STBad setAlexys James
84-4SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James
95-4HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
105-5SC STHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James
116-5HOWARDSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy
126-6SC STHOWARDKillKennedi Wright
137-6HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
147-7SC STHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
157-8HOWARDHOWARDAttack errJade Robinson
168-8HOWARDSC ST×3Attack errKennedi Wright
179-8SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.aced Camryn Shelton
1810-8SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.aced Camryn Shelton
1910-9SC STHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
2010-10HOWARDHOWARDAceCamryn Shelton
2111-10HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
2212-10SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Kennedi Wright
2312-11SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
2412-12HOWARDHOWARDKillKennedi Wrightset Alexys James
2513-12HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
2613-13SC STHOWARDKillKennedi Wrightset Alexys James
2714-13HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
2814-14SC STHOWARDServe errSouth Carolina St.
2915-14HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
3016-14SC STSC STAttack errAddison Buckner
3116-15SC STHOWARDServe errSouth Carolina St.
3217-15HOWARDSC ST×4KillJade Robinsonset Macey McCoy
3318-15SC STSC ST×4Attack errAlexys James
3419-15SC STSC ST×4Attack errAddison Buckner
3520-15SC STSC ST×4BlockedAddison Bucknerblk Jade Robinson, Macey McCoy
3620-16SC STHOWARD×4KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
3720-17HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKaitlynn Robinson
3820-18HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKaitlynn Robinsonset Ki'ra Wright
3920-19HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKennedi Wrightset Gabby Allen
4021-19HOWARDSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James
4122-19SC STSC STAttack errKaitlynn Robinson
4222-20SC STHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
4323-20HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
4423-21SC STHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
4524-21HOWARDSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Arianna James
4624-22SC STHOWARDAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis
4725-22HOWARDSC STServe errHoward
Set 4
10-1SC STHOWARD×7Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
20-2HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
30-3HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones
40-4HOWARDHOWARD×7BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Alexys James, Kaitlynn Robinson
50-5HOWARDHOWARD×7Attack errJade Robinson
60-6HOWARDHOWARD×7BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Alexys James, Kaitlynn Robinson
70-7HOWARDHOWARD×7KillSydnei Jonesset Gabby Allen
81-7HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
91-8SC STHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
102-8HOWARDSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
113-8SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Gabby Allen
123-9SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
134-9HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy
144-10SC STHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Ki'ra Wright
154-11HOWARDHOWARDAttack errDe'Oni McPhearson
165-11HOWARDSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy
176-11SC STSC STAttack errZenai Jethroe
186-12SC STHOWARD×4Serve errSouth Carolina St.
196-13HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKaitlynn Robinsonset Macey McCoy
206-14HOWARDHOWARD×4KillKaitlynn Robinsonset Alexys James
216-15HOWARDHOWARD×4KillBriana Pagan
227-15HOWARDSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Jade Robinson
237-16SC STHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James
248-16HOWARDSC STAttack errAddison Buckner
259-16SC STSC STAttack errBriana Pagan
269-17SC STHOWARDAttack errJade Robinson
2710-17HOWARDSC STKillJade Robinsonset Arianna James
2810-18SC STHOWARD×5KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones
2910-19HOWARDHOWARD×5KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
3010-20HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Alexys James, Zenai Jethroe
3110-21HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
3210-22HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errKenna Harris
3311-22HOWARDSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
3412-22SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy
3512-23SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones
3612-24HOWARDHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Camryn Shelton
3713-24HOWARDSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy
3813-25SC STHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).