Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Howard def. Norfolk St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Howard 57.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Howard won at Norfolk St. 3-1 (25-17, 19-25, 25-21, 25-14) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Zenai Jethroe led Howard with 15 kills; Norfolk St.'s Gabrielle Gilbert had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set1234Sets
HOWARD251925253
NORFLK172521141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Alexys James, and Howard needed each of them.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Howard's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Howard at 57%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Howard 9–13 Norfolk St.

    6 straight Howard points turned a 9–13 deficit into a 15–13 lead. The match swung to Howard.

    Howard 40% → 64%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Howard 0–2 Norfolk St.

    Howard scored 7 straight to turn a 0–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead.

    Howard 73% → 92%

Norfolk St. above 50Howard belowMax swing 4.6%

HowardNorfolk St.

Sideout %
Howard 55.1·Norfolk St. 45.2
Break %
Howard 54.8·Norfolk St. 44.9
Hitting
Howard .318·Norfolk St. .153
Longest run
Howard 7·Norfolk St. 5

Addison Buckner
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 14 K, .205, 16.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Norfolk St. above 50 · Howard below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.6% HOWARDrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Howard — set 3, HOWARD 14-13 NORFLK. Briana Ellis stuffed by Zenai Jethroe. NORFLK win probability 46% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOWARD 57.2%42.8% NORFLK

Howard wins

3-0
15.8%
3-1
21.8%
3-2
19.7%

Norfolk St. wins

3-0
9.7%
3-1
15.7%
3-2
17.3%
HOWARD break %
45.1% vs this opp
NORFLK break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Zenai JethroeBlock+4.6%

    Briana Ellis stuffed by Zenai Jethroe

    Set 3 · HOWARD 14-13 NORFLK · HOWARD 54% → 59%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison Buckner (set by Sydnei Jones)

    Set 3 · HOWARD 23-20 NORFLK · HOWARD 69% → 74%

  3. 03

    Kill by Corinne Howard (set by Alexys James)

    Set 3 · HOWARD 15-13 NORFLK · HOWARD 59% → 64%

  4. 04
    Alexys JamesAce+4.4%

    Ace by Alexys James on Gabrielle Gilbert

    Set 3 · HOWARD 13-13 NORFLK · HOWARD 50% → 54%

  5. 05
    Alexys JamesKill+4.3%

    Kill by Alexys James (set by Sydnei Jones)

    Set 3 · HOWARD 22-19 NORFLK · HOWARD 68% → 72%

  6. 06

    Ace by Addison Buckner on Gabrielle Gilbert

    Set 3 · HOWARD 17-14 NORFLK · HOWARD 64% → 68%

  7. 07
    Alexys JamesAce+4.1%

    Ace by Alexys James on Jazeli Vandenburgh

    Set 3 · HOWARD 12-13 NORFLK · HOWARD 46% → 50%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jasmine Mataira)

    Set 3 · HOWARD 21-19 NORFLK · NORFLK 28% → 32%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Howardaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415221.61900000435.520.5
414544.205021123010.516.5
48423.17423419000012
4001.00027001000000
3315.400000000214
3000–000230000
48216.3750003012210
48120.350000200219
4001.0005222660002
4000–013100001
2000–001510000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5715132.318559870135101094
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418542.3101618410125
47431.097111810008
43110.200000102236
4409.44430211200006
44211.182000101015
2035-.600000000000
4228.000111700003
4000–3321230003
4000–100300000
31210-.100000100212
2000–100200000
1218.125000000002
1003.000000000000
Team totals4120137.1533813655944677

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Howard vs Norfolk St.

Season series · Howard leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 HOWARD · NORFLK 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 HOWARDNORFLK 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 5 HOWARDNORFLK 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 HOWARDNORFLK 3

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 7 HOWARDNORFLK 5

Bars above the line = Norfolk St. leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Howard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
36%4/11
2
60%9/15
69%20/29
3
50%7/14
63%12/19
4
70%7/10
56%9/16
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
42%5/12
14%1/7
All
55%43/78
55%51/93

Norfolk St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
22%2/9
2
24%8/33
57%12/21
3
64%7/11
47%7/15
4
33%6/18
46%6/13
5
86%6/7
14%1/7
6
67%6/9
54%7/13
All
45%42/93
45%35/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#HOWARD-NORFLKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NORFLKHOWARD×5KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+1.9
22-0HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errIsis Castille+2.3
33-0HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errReagan Chisholm+2.2
44-0HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedGabrielle Gilbertblk Zenai Jethroe+2.0
55-0HOWARDHOWARD×5KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+1.8
65-1HOWARDNORFLK×3KillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+1.3
75-2NORFLKNORFLK×3AceJazeli Vandenburghaced Gabby Allen+1.9
85-3NORFLKNORFLK×3AceJazeli Vandenburghaced Gabby Allen+2.1
96-3NORFLKHOWARD×4Serve errJazeli Vandenburgh+1.9
107-3HOWARDHOWARD×4KillZenai Jethroe+2.1
118-3HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errKyleigh Moore+1.9
129-3HOWARDHOWARD×4KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+1.6
139-4HOWARDNORFLK×4Attack errCorinne Howard+1.1
149-5NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errCorinne Howard+1.7
159-6NORFLKNORFLK×4BlockedZenai Jethroeblk Ava Berry+2.0
169-7NORFLKNORFLK×4AceCatori Crawfordaced Addison Buckner+2.3
1710-7NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+2.0
1810-8HOWARDNORFLK×3Serve errAddison Buckner+1.9
1910-9NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.7
2010-10NORFLKNORFLK×3AceKyleigh Mooreaced Camryn Shelton+2.9
2111-10NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+2.4
2211-11HOWARDNORFLKKillJasmine Mataira+2.5
2312-11NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+2.5
2413-11HOWARDHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones+3.1
2513-12HOWARDNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+2.4
2613-13NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.3
2714-13NORFLKHOWARD×4BlockedIsis Castilleblk Dayion Johnson, Tiana Stubbs+2.7
2815-13HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errGabrielle Gilbert+3.3
2916-13HOWARDHOWARD×4KillTiana Stubbsset Sydnei Jones+3.1
3017-13HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errGabrielle Gilbert+2.6
3117-14HOWARDNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
3218-14NORFLKHOWARDAttack errReagan Chisholm+2.1
3318-15HOWARDNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
3419-15NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+2.2
3519-16HOWARDNORFLKBlockedAddison Bucknerblk Ava Berry+1.7
3620-16NORFLKHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+2.2
3720-17HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+1.6
3821-17NORFLKHOWARD×5KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+2.3
3922-17HOWARDHOWARD×5AceEstrella Vazquezaced Kyleigh Moore+1.8
4023-17HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedAva Berryblk Dayion Johnson, Tiana Stubbs+1.0
4124-17HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedGabrielle Gilbertblk Corinne Howard+0.3
4225-17HOWARDHOWARD×5Bad setJasmine Mataira+0.1
Set 2
11-0HOWARDHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.2
21-1HOWARDNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
32-1NORFLKHOWARD×5KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+1.8
43-1HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedBriana Ellisblk Zenai Jethroe+2.2
54-1HOWARDHOWARD×5KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+2.1
65-1HOWARDHOWARD×5KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+1.9
76-1HOWARDHOWARD×5AceCamryn Sheltonaced Gabrielle Gilbert+1.7
86-2HOWARDNORFLK×3KillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.2
96-3NORFLKNORFLK×3BlockedAddison Bucknerblk Briana Ellis, Ava Berry+1.8
106-4NORFLKNORFLK×3AceJazeli Vandenburghaced Addison Buckner+2.0
117-4NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+1.8
127-5HOWARDNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Gabrielle Gilbert+1.7
138-5NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+1.8
149-5HOWARDHOWARDBlockedKyleigh Mooreblk Corinne Howard, Zenai Jethroe+2.0
159-6HOWARDNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Catori Crawford+1.5
1610-6NORFLKHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+1.7
1710-7HOWARDNORFLKServe errEstrella Vazquez+1.5
1810-8NORFLKNORFLKAttack errDayion Johnson+2.2
1911-8NORFLKHOWARDKillTiana Stubbsset Alexys James+1.9
2011-9HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.8
2111-10NORFLKNORFLKAceJasmine Matairaaced Camryn Shelton+2.6
2212-10NORFLKHOWARDKillTiana Stubbsset Sydnei Jones+2.2
2312-11HOWARDNORFLK×5KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.1
2412-12NORFLKNORFLK×5Attack errAlexys James+2.9
2512-13NORFLKNORFLK×5AceGabrielle Gilbertaced Gabby Allen+3.1
2612-14NORFLKNORFLK×5AceGabrielle Gilbertaced Camryn Shelton+3.2
2712-15NORFLKNORFLK×5AceGabrielle Gilbertaced Camryn Shelton+3.0
2813-15NORFLKHOWARD×3KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.1
2914-15HOWARDHOWARD×3AceCamryn Sheltonaced Gabrielle Gilbert+3.0
3015-15HOWARDHOWARD×3KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+3.4
3115-16HOWARDNORFLKKillBriana Ellisset Jasmine Mataira+2.9
3215-17NORFLKNORFLKBlockedAddison Bucknerblk Ava Berry, Briana Ellis+3.6
3316-17NORFLKHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+2.6
3416-18HOWARDNORFLK×3Serve errAlexys James+3.1
3516-19NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errAddison Buckner+3.5
3616-20NORFLKNORFLK×3KillKyleigh Mooreset Jazeli Vandenburgh+3.0
3717-20NORFLKHOWARDServe errCatori Crawford+1.7
3817-21HOWARDNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+2.4
3918-21NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+1.6
4018-22HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.4
4118-23NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.8
4219-23NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.6
4319-24HOWARDNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Kaden Sanders+1.2
4419-25NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.4
Set 3
11-0NORFLKHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+2.5
21-1HOWARDNORFLKServe errCamryn Shelton+2.5
32-1NORFLKHOWARD×3Attack errKyleigh Moore+2.6
43-1HOWARDHOWARD×3AceAlexys Jamesaced Jazeli Vandenburgh+3.1
54-1HOWARDHOWARD×3KillAddison Bucknerset Camryn Shelton+3.0
64-2HOWARDNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+2.3
74-3NORFLKNORFLKAttack errAddison Buckner+3.1
85-3NORFLKHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Camryn Shelton+2.6
95-4HOWARDNORFLKKillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.6
105-5NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.4
116-5NORFLKHOWARDServe errKyleigh Moore+2.8
126-6HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.8
136-7NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.7
147-7NORFLKHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+2.9
157-8HOWARDNORFLK×3BlockedTiana Stubbsblk Reagan Chisholm+3.1
167-9NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.8
177-10NORFLKNORFLK×3BlockedAlexys Jamesblk Gabrielle Gilbert+3.8
188-10NORFLKHOWARDServe errJasmine Mataira+2.7
198-11HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.1
209-11NORFLKHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.8
219-12HOWARDNORFLKServe errCamryn Shelton+3.2
229-13NORFLKNORFLKKillAva Berry+3.7
2310-13NORFLKHOWARD×6KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.5
2411-13HOWARDHOWARD×6AceAlexys James+3.6
2512-13HOWARDHOWARD×6AceAlexys Jamesaced Jazeli Vandenburgh+4.1
2613-13HOWARDHOWARD×6AceAlexys Jamesaced Gabrielle Gilbert+4.4
2714-13HOWARDHOWARD×6BlockedBriana Ellisblk Zenai Jethroe+4.6
2815-13HOWARDHOWARD×6KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+4.5
2915-14HOWARDNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+3.4
3016-14NORFLKHOWARD×3KillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+3.8
3117-14HOWARDHOWARD×3AceAddison Buckneraced Gabrielle Gilbert+4.3
3218-14HOWARDHOWARD×3KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+3.6
3318-15HOWARDNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Kyleigh Moore+2.3
3419-15NORFLKHOWARDAttack errGabrielle Gilbert+2.9
3520-15HOWARDHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+2.7
3620-16HOWARDNORFLKServe errEstrella Vazquez+1.4
3721-16NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+2.1
3821-17HOWARDNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.3
3921-18NORFLKNORFLK×3AceJasmine Matairaaced Addison Buckner+2.5
4021-19NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.9
4122-19NORFLKHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+4.3
4222-20HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.0
4323-20NORFLKHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+4.5
4424-20HOWARDHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Camryn Shelton+3.3
4524-21HOWARDNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+0.9
4625-21NORFLKHOWARDServe errJazeli Vandenburgh+1.9
Set 4
10-1HOWARDNORFLKServe errLauryn Wiley+2.4
20-2NORFLKNORFLKAceGabrielle Gilbertaced Lauryn Wiley+3.0
31-2NORFLKHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.3
42-2HOWARDHOWARD×7BlockedIsis Castilleblk Addison Buckner, Zenai Jethroe+3.0
53-2HOWARDHOWARD×7KillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones+3.1
64-2HOWARDHOWARD×7BlockedKyleigh Mooreblk Zenai Jethroe+3.0
75-2HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+2.9
86-2HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+2.6
97-2HOWARDHOWARD×7KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+2.3
107-3HOWARDNORFLKAttack errZenai Jethroe+1.7
118-3NORFLKHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+1.9
129-3HOWARDHOWARDKillZenai Jethroe+2.0
139-4HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.4
149-5NORFLKNORFLKKillAva Berryset Jazeli Vandenburgh+2.1
1510-5NORFLKHOWARD×7KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+2.0
1611-5HOWARDHOWARD×7KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+2.0
1712-5HOWARDHOWARD×7KillCorinne Howardset Camryn Shelton+1.6
1813-5HOWARDHOWARD×7AceAddison Buckneraced Jazeli Vandenburgh+1.2
1914-5HOWARDHOWARD×7Bad setJasmine Mataira+0.9
2015-5HOWARDHOWARD×7KillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+0.6
2116-5HOWARDHOWARD×7KillDayion Johnsonset Camryn Shelton+0.4
2216-6HOWARDNORFLKAttack errAlexys James+0.2
2317-6NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.3
2417-7HOWARDNORFLKServe errEstrella Vazquez+0.1
2518-7NORFLKHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.2
2618-8HOWARDNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Aliyah Torres+0.1
2719-8NORFLKHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Sydnei Jones+0.2
2819-9HOWARDNORFLK×5KillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+0.1
2919-10NORFLKNORFLK×5AceGabrielle Gilbertaced Camryn Shelton+0.2
3019-11NORFLKNORFLK×5AceGabrielle Gilbertaced Camryn Shelton+0.3
3119-12NORFLKNORFLK×5Attack errAlexys James+0.5
3219-13NORFLKNORFLK×5KillKailia Phillipsset Jasmine Mataira+0.8
3320-13NORFLKHOWARD×4Serve errGabrielle Gilbert+0.9
3421-13HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errCatori Crawford+0.6
3522-13HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errCatori Crawford+0.3
3623-13HOWARDHOWARD×4KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+0.1
3723-14HOWARDNORFLKKillKailia Phillipsset Jasmine Mataira·
3824-14NORFLKHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones·
3925-14HOWARDHOWARDBlockedKailia Phillipsblk Zenai Jethroe, Corinne Howard·

Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).