FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwayHORIZON

3:0

HomeMVC

Milwaukee def. UIC 3–0

(25-21, 25-21, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MILWKE	25	25	25	3
UIC	21	21	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UIC above 50 · MILWKE below

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Milwaukee — set 2, MILWKE 23-21 UIC. Kill by Bella Lipski (set by Milica Tomic). UIC win probability 31% → 24%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MILWKE 41.0%59.0% UIC

Milwaukee wins

3-0

9.1%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

16.9%

UIC wins

3-0

16.7%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

19.8%

MILWKE break %: 39.3% vs this opp
UIC break %: 41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Bella LipskiKill+7.5%
Kill by Bella Lipski (set by Milica Tomic)
Set 2 · MILWKE 23-21 UIC · MILWKE 69% → 76%
02
Maryam HusseinAttack error+6.8%
Maryam Hussein stuffed by Bella Lipski & Ella Schuetz
Set 2 · MILWKE 21-20 UIC · MILWKE 61% → 68%
03
Elizabeth KingAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Elizabeth King
Set 2 · MILWKE 19-19 UIC · MILWKE 56% → 61%
04
MILWKE serverAce+5.3%
Milwaukee ace on Lianna Ortiz
Set 2 · MILWKE 24-21 UIC · MILWKE 76% → 82%
05
Ella SchuetzKill+5.2%
Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)
Set 2 · MILWKE 22-21 UIC · MILWKE 64% → 69%
06
Bella LipskiKill+5.1%
Kill by Bella Lipski (set by Paulina Ströh)
Set 1 · MILWKE 20-18 UIC · MILWKE 46% → 52%
07
Tamara KisicAttack error+4.4%
Tamara Kisic stuffed by Julia Kellner & Josie Noble
Set 1 · MILWKE 17-16 UIC · MILWKE 41% → 46%
08
Annie EschenbachKill+4.4%
Kill by Annie Eschenbach (set by Kati Goba)
Set 1 · MILWKE 21-18 UIC · MILWKE 52% → 56%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Milwaukeeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Annie EschenbachOPP	3	15	2	30	.433	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
6Josie NobleMB	3	10	5	24	.208	0	1	1	1	0	4	2	13
14Ella SchuetzOH	3	9	4	21	.238	1	1	1	9	0	3	1.5	11.5
12Bella LipskiMB	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	8
5Milica TomicS	3	1	0	2	.500	19	1	1	6	0	0	0	2
11Kami StoverOH	2	6	4	19	.105	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Julia KellnerMB	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
1Liv DoerreDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	1
9Kati GobaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	0	0	19	1	0	0	0
10Braylin BosetskiDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Emma DuffyS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
4Ella ParkerOH	2	2	1	5	.200	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	3
Team totals		51	18	126	.262	44	5	6	50	2	16	8	75

UIChome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Gabi PeterOH	3	9	3	21	.286	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
17Jillian GibbonsMB	3	2	0	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
19Emma ColombariOH	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
6Paulina StröhS	3	1	0	1	1.000	19	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
18Ana PetridesMB	2	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	5
8Tamara KisicOH	2	4	2	20	.100	1	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	4
1Elizabeth KingOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	4
27Ava YoungL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	1	0	8	1	0	0	0	2
4Judy AsarS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
24Lianna OrtizL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
2Martina CerratoOH	2	9	2	23	.304	1	0	2	10	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
11Sasha PellettieriOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Maryam HusseinMB	1	1	1	2	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
3Francesca LorenzoOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	13	112	.214	37	2	6	53	5	3	6	6	63

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MILWKE · UIC 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 MILWKEUIC 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 MILWKEUIC 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 MILWKEUIC 3

Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Milwaukee

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	68%15/22
2	47%8/17	11%1/9
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	58%7/12	30%3/10
5	75%6/8	57%8/14
6	75%6/8	25%2/8
All	66%42/64	45%33/74

UIC

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	0%0/6
2	89%8/9	50%8/16
3	70%7/10	27%3/11
4	50%7/14	30%3/10
5	50%6/12	42%5/12
6	50%5/10	33%3/9
All	55%41/74	34%22/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	MILWKE-UIC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+1.7
2	1-1	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
3	1-2	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Paulina Ströh	+1.7
4	2-2	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
5	2-3	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.8
6	2-4	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Josie Noble		+2.6
7	3-4	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Kati Goba	+1.7
8	4-4	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+2.7
9	4-5	MILWKE	UIC×5	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+1.8
10	4-6	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Julia Kellner	blk Jillian Gibbons	+2.7
11	4-7	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Judy Asar	+2.5
12	4-8	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Josie Noble		+2.2
13	4-9	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Josie Noble		+1.9
14	5-9	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+1.1
15	6-9	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+2.0
16	6-10	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.6
17	6-11	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Ella Schuetz		+2.0
18	7-11	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+1.1
19	7-12	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.3
20	8-12	UIC	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+1.1
21	9-12	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Ella Schuetz	+2.0
22	10-12	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Ella Schuetz, Bella Lipski	+2.5
23	11-12	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+3.0
24	11-13	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+2.2
25	12-13	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.1
26	12-14	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+2.3
27	13-14	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+2.2
28	13-15	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Judy Asar	+2.4
29	14-15	UIC	MILWKE	Attack err	Francesca Lorenzo	blk Kami Stover, Josie Noble	+2.2
30	15-15	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+3.8
31	15-16	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Josie Noble		+2.7
32	16-16	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+2.7
33	17-16	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Tamara Kisic	blk Julia Kellner, Josie Noble	+4.4
34	17-17	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Francesca Lorenzo	set Judy Asar	+2.9
35	18-17	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+3.2
36	18-18	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+3.1
37	19-18	UIC	MILWKE×5	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Emma Duffy	+3.4
38	20-18	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Paulina Ströh	+5.1
39	21-18	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Kati Goba	+4.4
40	22-18	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Kati Goba	+3.2
41	23-18	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Attack err	Gabi Peter		+1.8
42	23-19	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+0.4
43	23-20	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Kami Stover		+1.3
44	24-20	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+1.8
45	24-21	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Kami Stover	blk Gabi Peter	+0.5
46	25-21	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+1.2
Set 2
1	1-0	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.9
2	1-1	MILWKE	UIC×5	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+1.9
3	1-2	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach		+2.8
4	1-3	UIC	UIC×5	Ace	UIC server	aced Kati Goba	+2.8
5	1-4	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+2.6
6	1-5	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Ava Young	+2.4
7	2-5	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
8	2-6	MILWKE	UIC	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.6
9	3-6	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
10	3-7	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Julia Kellner	blk Martina Cerrato, Maryam Hussein	+1.6
11	4-7	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Kati Goba	+1.5
12	4-8	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Ella Schuetz	blk Paulina Ströh, Maryam Hussein	+1.7
13	4-9	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Ella Schuetz		+2.1
14	5-9	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+1.2
15	6-9	MILWKE	MILWKE	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Team	+2.2
16	6-10	MILWKE	UIC×3	Kill	Ava Young	set Lianna Ortiz	+1.7
17	6-11	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Paulina Ströh	+2.2
18	6-12	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Paulina Ströh	set Maryam Hussein	+1.7
19	7-12	UIC	MILWKE×3	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Kati Goba	+0.9
20	8-12	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+1.8
21	9-12	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach	+2.3
22	9-13	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Paulina Ströh	+1.8
23	10-13	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.5
24	11-13	MILWKE	MILWKE	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Ava Young	+2.8
25	11-14	MILWKE	UIC×3	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+2.2
26	11-15	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Paulina Ströh	+2.8
27	11-16	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+2.2
28	12-16	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+1.1
29	13-16	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.3
30	13-17	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Kami Stover	blk Gabi Peter, Jillian Gibbons	+1.9
31	14-17	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.5
32	14-18	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Paulina Ströh	+2.0
33	14-19	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Kami Stover		+2.1
34	15-19	UIC	MILWKE×5	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+0.9
35	16-19	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Elizabeth King	+2.1
36	17-19	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Attack err	Martina Cerrato	blk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner	+3.1
37	18-19	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Kill	Josie Noble		+4.2
38	19-19	MILWKE	MILWKE×5	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+5.4
39	19-20	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Martina Cerrato	+4.0
40	20-20	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+3.9
41	21-20	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Maryam Hussein	blk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz	+6.8
42	21-21	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Maryam Hussein	set Paulina Ströh	+4.3
43	22-21	UIC	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+5.2
44	23-21	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+7.5
45	24-21	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Lianna Ortiz	+5.3
46	25-21	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+2.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Kati Goba	+2.0
2	1-1	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Tamara Kisic	+1.3
3	1-2	UIC	UIC	Ace	UIC server	aced Ella Parker	+2.0
4	2-2	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
5	2-3	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Ava Young	+1.4
6	3-3	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
7	3-4	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Ava Young	+1.4
8	4-4	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
9	4-5	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+1.5
10	5-5	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+1.5
11	6-5	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+2.3
12	6-6	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Ella Schuetz		+1.5
13	7-6	UIC	MILWKE	Attack err	Tamara Kisic	blk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner	+1.6
14	7-7	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Judy Asar	+1.6
15	8-7	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+1.6
16	8-8	MILWKE	UIC	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach		+1.6
17	9-8	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
18	9-9	MILWKE	UIC×3	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Judy Asar	+1.6
19	9-10	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Ella Parker		+2.5
20	9-11	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Bella Lipski		+2.4
21	10-11	UIC	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Parker	set Milica Tomic	+1.6
22	11-11	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+2.6
23	12-11	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Tamara Kisic	+2.8
24	13-11	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Parker	set Milica Tomic	+2.8
25	13-12	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Paulina Ströh	+1.7
26	13-13	UIC	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Paulina Ströh	+2.8
27	14-13	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+2.0
28	15-13	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Julia Kellner	set Emma Duffy	+3.0
29	15-14	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+1.9
30	16-14	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Julia Kellner	set Paulina Ströh	+2.1
31	16-15	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+1.9
32	17-15	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+2.3
33	17-16	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Judy Asar	+2.0
34	18-16	UIC	MILWKE×3	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+2.4
35	19-16	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Martina Cerrato		+3.2
36	20-16	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz	+2.6
37	20-17	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Judy Asar	+1.1
38	21-17	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Milica Tomic	set Ella Parker	+1.7
39	21-18	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Judy Asar	+1.0
40	21-19	UIC	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Sasha Pellettieri	+2.4
41	22-19	UIC	MILWKE	Serve err	UIC server		+2.5
42	22-20	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Paulina Ströh	+1.5
43	23-20	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.6
44	23-21	MILWKE	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Paulina Ströh	+1.3
45	24-21	UIC	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+2.6
46	25-21	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Sasha Pellettieri		+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.