FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

DePaul def. Milwaukee 3–0

(25-18, 25-16, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MILWKE	18	16	19	0
DEPAUL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DEPAUL above 50 · MILWKE below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Milwaukee — set 1, MILWKE 17-16 DEPAUL. Attack error by Jade Epps. DEPAUL win probability 87% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MILWKE 10.9%89.1% DEPAUL

Milwaukee wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.4%

3-2

6.1%

DePaul wins

3-0

42.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.6%

MILWKE break %: 36.1% vs this opp
DEPAUL break %: 45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Jade EppsAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Jade Epps
Set 1 · MILWKE 17-16 DEPAUL · MILWKE 13% → 15%
02
Catalina AlvizuriKill+2.6%
Kill by Catalina Alvizuri
Set 1 · MILWKE 18-19 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 86% → 89%
03
Ella SchuetzAttack error+2.2%
Ella Schuetz stuffed by Catalina Alvizuri & Leonor Polezzi
Set 1 · MILWKE 18-20 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 89% → 91%
04
Jade EppsAttack error+2.1%
Jade Epps stuffed by Bella Lipski & Ella Schuetz
Set 1 · MILWKE 16-16 DEPAUL · MILWKE 11% → 13%
05
Ella SchuetzKill+2.0%
Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Milica Tomic)
Set 1 · MILWKE 18-17 DEPAUL · MILWKE 14% → 16%
06
MILWKE serverService error+1.8%
Milwaukee service error
Set 1 · MILWKE 18-18 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 84% → 86%
07
Ella ParkerAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Ella Parker
Set 1 · MILWKE 18-21 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 91% → 93%
08
MILWKE serverService error+1.6%
Milwaukee service error
Set 1 · MILWKE 17-17 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 85% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Milwaukeeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ella SchuetzOH	3	9	3	27	.222	0	0	0	4	0	3	1.5	10.5
6Josie NobleMB	3	6	2	14	.286	1	0	2	4	0	2	1	7
3Annie EschenbachOPP	3	5	5	16	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
4Ella ParkerOH	3	3	2	13	.077	0	2	0	1	2	0	0	5
12Bella LipskiMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
17Emma DuffyS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	2	4	0	0	0	0
11Kami StoverOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
9Kati GobaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	12	1	0	0	0
1Liv DoerreDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
5Milica TomicS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
10Braylin BosetskiDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
16Carol HerreroOH	1	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1
15Kayla LanderudMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		31	15	96	.167	27	3	6	34	10	10	5	53

DePaulhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Martina DianaOH	3	10	4	22	.273	0	2	0	4	1	4	2	14
7Isabela Tavares-SalomonOH	3	13	1	24	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13
20Kendall TimmeOH	3	5	2	19	.158	1	3	1	3	1	3	1.5	9.5
19Catalina AlvizuriMB	3	8	3	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
15Jade EppsMB	3	5	3	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
10Leonor PolezziS	3	1	0	2	.500	30	1	1	11	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Nora MannionL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	0	14	0	0	0	2
2Abby CahillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	1
5Eva HurrleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	13	93	.312	35	10	4	44	3	16	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MILWKE · DEPAUL 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 MILWKEDEPAUL 8

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 MILWKEDEPAUL 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 MILWKEDEPAUL 5

Bars above the line = DePaul leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Milwaukee

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	57%8/14
2	46%6/13	42%5/12
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	56%5/9	40%4/10
5	25%4/16	0%0/5
6	50%4/8	0%0/4
All	44%32/73	38%21/55

DePaul

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	55%6/11
2	60%6/10	57%8/14
3	67%6/9	54%7/13
4	60%6/10	33%3/9
5	100%5/5	55%6/11
6	100%4/4	73%11/15
All	62%34/55	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	MILWKE-DEPAUL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble		+1.3
2	1-1	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
3	2-1	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+1.0
4	2-2	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.9
5	3-2	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+1.0
6	3-3	MILWKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.9
7	3-4	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+1.2
8	3-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Kami Stover	blk Jade Epps, Martina Diana	+1.1
9	4-5	DEPAUL	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Kendall Timme	blk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz	+0.8
10	5-5	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Jade Epps		+1.3
11	6-5	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Martina Diana	blk Kami Stover, Bella Lipski	+1.5
12	6-6	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Bad set	Milica Tomic		+1.0
13	7-6	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+1.1
14	7-7	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.0
15	7-8	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
16	8-8	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Emma Duffy	+1.0
17	8-9	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Leonor Polezzi	set Kati Goba	+1.0
18	9-9	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Kendall Timme	+1.1
19	9-10	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.0
20	9-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Kendall Timme	+1.4
21	10-11	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Attack err	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.9
22	10-12	MILWKE	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.9
23	10-13	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.2
24	10-14	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Ella Parker	+0.9
25	10-15	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Kami Stover	blk Jade Epps, Martina Diana	+0.7
26	11-15	DEPAUL	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+0.4
27	12-15	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+0.8
28	13-15	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Team	+1.1
29	14-15	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Kendall Timme	+1.6
30	14-16	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.1
31	15-16	DEPAUL	MILWKE×3	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+1.2
32	16-16	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Jade Epps	blk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz	+2.1
33	17-16	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Jade Epps		+2.6
34	17-17	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.6
35	18-17	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+2.0
36	18-18	MILWKE	DEPAUL×8	Serve err	MILWKE server		+1.8
37	18-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri		+2.6
38	18-20	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Attack err	Ella Schuetz	blk Catalina Alvizuri, Leonor Polezzi	+2.2
39	18-21	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Attack err	Ella Parker		+1.7
40	18-22	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach		+1.0
41	18-23	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Ella Parker	+0.5
42	18-24	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Attack err	Ella Schuetz		+0.2
43	18-25	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×8	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
2	0-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
3	1-2	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+0.5
4	1-3	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
5	2-3	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+0.5
6	2-4	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana		+0.5
7	2-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Carol Herrero	+0.6
8	3-5	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
9	3-6	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
10	4-6	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Kati Goba	+0.4
11	4-7	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
12	5-7	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
13	5-8	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
14	5-9	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Kami Stover	blk Catalina Alvizuri, Kendall Timme	+0.6
15	6-9	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Carol Herrero	set Kati Goba	+0.4
16	6-10	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
17	6-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.4
18	7-11	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.3
19	8-11	MILWKE	MILWKE	Bad set	Kendall Timme		+0.5
20	8-12	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	MILWKE server		+0.4
21	8-13	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+0.5
22	9-13	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Kati Goba	+0.3
23	10-13	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Martina Diana		+0.5
24	10-14	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
25	11-14	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
26	11-15	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach	blk Martina Diana, Jade Epps	+0.4
27	11-16	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach	blk Martina Diana, Jade Epps	+0.5
28	12-16	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kayla Landerud	set Emma Duffy	+0.3
29	12-17	MILWKE	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Martina Diana		+0.3
30	12-18	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Kati Goba	+0.3
31	12-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Bad set	Emma Duffy		+0.2
32	12-20	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.1
33	13-20	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Kati Goba	+0.0
34	13-21	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.0
35	13-22	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.0
36	14-22	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.0
37	14-23	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.0
38	14-24	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+0.0
39	15-24	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+0.0
40	16-24	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.0
41	16-25	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Ella Schuetz	blk Catalina Alvizuri, Kendall Timme	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Bad set	Martina Diana		+0.4
2	2-0	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Kendall Timme	blk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz	+0.5
3	3-0	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+0.5
4	4-0	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+0.6
5	4-1	MILWKE	DEPAUL×5	Serve err	MILWKE server		+0.3
6	4-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×5	Attack err	Josie Noble		+0.5
7	4-3	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×5	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+0.5
8	4-4	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×5	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
9	4-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×5	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.4
10	5-5	DEPAUL	MILWKE×3	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.3
11	6-5	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Josie Noble	+0.5
12	7-5	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon		+0.6
13	7-6	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
14	7-7	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
15	8-7	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+0.4
16	8-8	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
17	9-8	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
18	9-9	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach		+0.4
19	10-9	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
20	10-10	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
21	10-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.5
22	11-11	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.4
23	11-12	MILWKE	DEPAUL×3	Serve err	MILWKE server		+0.4
24	11-13	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+0.5
25	11-14	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Josie Noble		+0.4
26	12-14	DEPAUL	MILWKE×4	Kill	Kami Stover	set Kati Goba	+0.3
27	13-14	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	MILWKE server	aced Martina Diana	+0.5
28	14-14	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Catalina Alvizuri		+0.6
29	15-14	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+0.8
30	15-15	MILWKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
31	15-16	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+0.7
32	15-17	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+0.6
33	16-17	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+0.4
34	17-17	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Martina Diana	blk Bella Lipski, Kami Stover	+0.8
35	17-18	MILWKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
36	17-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
37	17-20	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+0.5
38	18-20	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Milica Tomic	+0.3
39	18-21	MILWKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Nora Mannion	+0.4
40	19-21	DEPAUL	MILWKE	Attack err	Martina Diana		+0.3
41	19-22	MILWKE	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
42	19-23	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+0.3
43	19-24	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Annie Eschenbach	blk Jade Epps, Kendall Timme	+0.1
44	19-25	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Ella Parker		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.