CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
Milwaukee logo

AwayHORIZON

3:1
St. Thomas (MN) logo

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Milwaukee def. St. Thomas (MN) 31

(25-22, 18-25, 25-21, 25-22)
Set1*2*34Sets
MILWKE251825253
STTHOM222521221
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STTHOM above 50 · MILWKE below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100STTHOMMILWKEBiggest swing +10.5% MILWKE · S4 22-20rally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Milwaukee — set 4, MILWKE 22-20 STTHOM. Attack error by Reilly Kurth. STTHOM win probability 26%16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MILWKE 25.9%74.1% STTHOM

Milwaukee wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.3%

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
26.3%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%
MILWKE break %
38.9% vs this opp
STTHOM break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Reilly KurthAttack error+10.5%

    Attack error by Reilly Kurth

    Set 4 · MILWKE 22-20 STTHOM · MILWKE 74%84%

  2. 02
    Josie NobleKill+10.1%

    Kill by Josie Noble (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 24-22 STTHOM · MILWKE 81%92%

  3. 03
    Ella ParkerKill+8.6%

    Kill by Ella Parker (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 23-21 STTHOM · MILWKE 79%87%

  4. 04
    Ella ParkerKill+8.4%

    Kill by Ella Parker

    Set 4 · MILWKE 25-22 STTHOM · MILWKE 92%100%

  5. 05

    Kill by Ellie Gustafson (set by Morgan Kealy)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 18-18 STTHOM · STTHOM 27%34%

  6. 06

    Kill by Annie Eschenbach (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 21-20 STTHOM · MILWKE 67%74%

  7. 07
    Ella SchuetzKill+6.7%

    Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 17-14 STTHOM · MILWKE 76%83%

  8. 08
    Ella SchuetzKill+6.5%

    Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 20-19 STTHOM · MILWKE 66%73%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410737.08122210202113
48324.20802080052.512.5
47220.25010030052.59.5
48325.20000283010.58.5
41211-.09100020052.53.5
4305.6002000600003
4214.25000010010.52.5
4001.0001111300001
4000010300001
4017-.14300000010.50.5
4000000000000
4000000010000
4000000000000
40002001610000
4000000000000
Team totals3919134.14936656070201093
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4151145.089132111111.519.5
413537.21610173010.513.5
412532.21920490010.512.5
46214.28642041200217
43518-.11100000233.56.5
45212.250000110216
4001.000133900003
41011.000000010001
40003131400001
4000000000000
4000001000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals5530160.15650718636310890

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MILWKE · STTHOM 6

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 5 MILWKESTTHOM 4

Set 2*

18-25

Longest run 4 MILWKESTTHOM 6

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 MILWKESTTHOM 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 MILWKESTTHOM 3

Bars above the line = St. Thomas (MN) leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
29%2/7
2
75%6/8
40%4/10
3
50%5/10
58%7/12
4
57%4/7
50%4/8
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
67%4/6
43%3/7
All
66%29/44
43%21/49

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
29%2/7
2
46%6/13
0%0/6
3
36%4/11
45%5/11
4
80%4/5
43%3/7
5
100%4/4
50%4/8
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
57%28/49
34%15/44

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

183 rallies

Rally log

#MILWKE-STTHOMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MILWKEMILWKE×5Attack errAnya Schmidtblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+2.2
22-0MILWKEMILWKE×5KillElla Schuetz+2.3
33-0MILWKEMILWKE×5KillMilica Tomicset Ella Parker+2.4
44-0MILWKEMILWKE×5KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.3
55-0MILWKEMILWKE×5Attack errAudrey Koconblk Ella Schuetz, Bella Lipski+2.3
65-1MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.3
76-1STTHOMMILWKEAttack errAddie Schmotzerblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+1.6
86-2MILWKESTTHOMServe errMILWKE server+1.3
97-2STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.7
108-2MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAddie Schmotzerblk Josie Noble, Ella Parker+2.1
118-3MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.2
128-4STTHOMSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Taylor Mcnear+2.0
139-4STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+1.7
149-5MILWKESTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Taylor Mcnear+1.4
159-6STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+2.2
1610-6STTHOMMILWKE×3Serve errSTTHOM server+1.9
1711-6MILWKEMILWKE×3AceMILWKE serveraced Reilly Kurth+2.4
1812-6MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errEllie Gustafson+2.1
1912-7MILWKESTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+1.1
2012-8STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Anya Schmidt+2.0
2113-8STTHOMMILWKEFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.8
2213-9MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.4
2314-9STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Schuetz+1.8
2414-10MILWKESTTHOM×4KillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+1.3
2514-11STTHOMSTTHOM×4AceSTTHOM serveraced Ella Schuetz+2.3
2614-12STTHOMSTTHOM×4AceSTTHOM serveraced Ella Parker+2.7
2714-13STTHOMSTTHOM×4AceSTTHOM serveraced Ella Parker+3.0
2815-13STTHOMMILWKEAttack errEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+2.5
2915-14MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+2.2
3016-14STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.6
3117-14MILWKEMILWKEAttack errMilica Tomicblk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach+3.5
3217-15MILWKESTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.0
3317-16STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+3.4
3418-16STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbach+2.9
3518-17MILWKESTTHOMBad setElla Parker+2.5
3619-17STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+3.1
3720-17MILWKEMILWKEAttack errReilly Kurth+4.1
3820-18MILWKESTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.1
3921-18STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.1
4022-18MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAudrey Kocon+3.3
4122-19MILWKESTTHOMAttack errJulia Kellnerblk Reilly Kurth, Ellie Gustafson+1.2
4222-20STTHOMSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidt+2.9
4323-20STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.4
4423-21MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.8
4524-21STTHOMMILWKEKillMilica Tomicset Ella Parker+3.5
4624-22MILWKESTTHOMServe errMILWKE server+1.2
4725-22STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+3.2
Set 2
11-0STTHOMMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidtset Taylor Mcnear+2.1
21-1MILWKESTTHOM×4KillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+2.0
31-2STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errBella Lipskiblk Addie Schmotzer+2.8
41-3STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errElla Parker+2.6
51-4STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+2.4
62-4STTHOMMILWKE×4Serve errSTTHOM server+1.6
73-4MILWKEMILWKE×4KillJosie Noble+2.6
84-4MILWKEMILWKE×4KillMilica Tomicset Annie Eschenbach+3.0
95-4MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errAnya Schmidtblk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach+3.2
105-5MILWKESTTHOMAttack errJosie Nobleblk Addie Schmotzer+2.2
116-5STTHOMMILWKEAttack errAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.4
127-5MILWKEMILWKEAceMILWKE serveraced Maddy Benka+3.5
137-6MILWKESTTHOM×6KillMaddy Benkaset Kira Brundage+2.3
147-7STTHOMSTTHOM×6Attack errJosie Noble+3.3
157-8STTHOMSTTHOM×6Attack errElla Parker+3.3
167-9STTHOMSTTHOM×6AceSTTHOM serveraced Ella Schuetz+3.0
177-10STTHOMSTTHOM×6AceSTTHOM serveraced Kati Goba+2.7
187-11STTHOMSTTHOM×6AceSTTHOM serveraced Ella Schuetz+2.3
198-11STTHOMMILWKEAttack errEllie Gustafsonblk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner+1.5
208-12MILWKESTTHOMServe errMILWKE server+1.6
218-13STTHOMSTTHOMFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.9
229-13STTHOMMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.1
239-14MILWKESTTHOMKillMorgan Kealy+1.3
2410-14STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+1.1
2511-14MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAudrey Kocon+2.1
2611-15MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.8
2711-16STTHOMSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+1.9
2812-16STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.1
2912-17MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidt+1.3
3012-18STTHOMSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+1.3
3113-18STTHOMMILWKEAttack errMorgan Kealyset Anya Schmidt+0.6
3213-19MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.9
3313-20STTHOMSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Ellie Gustafson+0.7
3414-20STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+0.3
3515-20MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAddie Schmotzer+0.7
3615-21MILWKESTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+0.7
3715-22STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errElla Parkerblk Addie Schmotzer, Morgan Kealy+0.5
3815-23STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errJosie Noble+0.2
3916-23STTHOMMILWKEKillAddie Schmotzer+0.0
4017-23MILWKEMILWKEAceMILWKE serveraced Ellie Gustafson+0.1
4117-24MILWKESTTHOMServe errMILWKE server+0.2
4218-24STTHOMMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.0
4318-25MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+0.1
Set 3
11-0MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+3.1
21-1MILWKESTTHOMBall handlingElla Parker+2.1
32-1STTHOMMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.3
43-1MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parker+3.4
54-1MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+3.5
64-2MILWKESTTHOM×3Attack errElla Parkerblk Audrey Kocon, Addie Schmotzer+2.2
74-3STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errAnnie Eschenbachblk Anya Schmidt, Addie Schmotzer+3.3
84-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errBella Lipski+3.3
95-4STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+2.5
106-4MILWKEMILWKEAceMILWKE serveraced Anya Schmidt+3.7
116-5MILWKESTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+2.4
126-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errElla Parker+3.5
136-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillMorgan Kealy+3.4
147-7STTHOMMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+2.5
157-8MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+2.4
168-8STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+2.5
178-9MILWKESTTHOMAttack errKati Gobablk Reilly Kurth, Ella Schuetz+2.5
189-9STTHOMMILWKE×4Serve errSTTHOM server+2.6
1910-9MILWKEMILWKE×4AceMILWKE serveraced Ellie Gustafson+4.0
2011-9MILWKEMILWKE×4AceMILWKE serveraced Ellie Gustafson+4.3
2112-9MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errEllie Gustafsonblk Bella Lipski, Kami Stover+4.3
2212-10MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+2.6
2313-10STTHOMMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+3.2
2414-10MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidt+4.2
2514-11MILWKESTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.3
2615-11STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.1
2716-11MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAudrey Kocon+3.7
2816-12MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.9
2917-12STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+2.7
3018-12MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidt+2.9
3118-13MILWKESTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.2
3219-13STTHOMMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+2.0
3319-14MILWKESTTHOM×3Ball handlingElla Parker+1.1
3419-15STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.4
3519-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errElla Parker+3.3
3620-16STTHOMMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+3.4
3720-17MILWKESTTHOMKillMorgan Kealy+2.2
3821-17STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+3.4
3921-18MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+2.0
4021-19STTHOMSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+4.3
4122-19STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+4.6
4222-20MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+2.9
4323-20STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+4.9
4423-21MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+2.6
4524-21STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+5.0
4625-21MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidtblk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach+2.8
Set 4
11-0STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+2.9
21-1MILWKESTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.7
32-1STTHOMMILWKEAttack errAudrey Koconblk Bella Lipski, Ella Parker+3.0
43-1MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidt+4.4
53-2MILWKESTTHOM×3KillAudrey Koconset Taylor Mcnear+2.9
63-3STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errElla Schuetz+4.2
73-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errAnnie Eschenbachblk Anya Schmidt+4.0
84-4STTHOMMILWKE×3Serve errSTTHOM server+2.9
95-4MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAnya Schmidt+4.5
106-4MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAnya Schmidt+4.8
116-5MILWKESTTHOMServe errMILWKE server+3.1
127-5STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.5
138-5MILWKEMILWKEAttack errMorgan Kealy+5.0
148-6MILWKESTTHOMKillMorgan Kealy+3.1
158-7STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Audrey Kocon+4.7
169-7STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.7
179-8MILWKESTTHOMKillTaylor Mcnearset Morgan Kealy+3.3
189-9STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errKami Stover+4.9
1910-9STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+3.8
2010-10MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Audrey Kocon+3.5
2110-11STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errBella Lipski+5.0
2211-11STTHOMMILWKEAttack errAnya Schmidtset Audrey Kocon+3.6
2311-12MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+3.6
2412-12STTHOMMILWKE×4Serve errSTTHOM server+3.8
2513-12MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errAddie Schmotzer+5.9
2614-12MILWKEMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+6.2
2715-12MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+6.2
2815-13MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+3.6
2915-14STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errElla Parker+5.9
3016-14STTHOMMILWKEServe errSTTHOM server+4.9
3117-14MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+6.7
3217-15MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+3.8
3317-16STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+6.4
3418-16STTHOMMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Kati Goba+5.5
3518-17MILWKESTTHOMAttack errElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+4.6
3618-18STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+7.5
3719-18STTHOMMILWKEAttack errEllie Gustafsonset Anya Schmidt+6.0
3819-19MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafson+5.6
3920-19STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+6.5
4020-20MILWKESTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+6.1
4121-20STTHOMMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+7.2
4222-20MILWKEMILWKEAttack errReilly Kurth+10.5
4322-21MILWKESTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+5.6
4423-21STTHOMMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+8.6
4523-22MILWKESTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+5.8
4624-22STTHOMMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+10.1
4725-22MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parker+8.4

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.