Milwaukee def. St. Thomas (MN) 3–1
Milwaukee won at St. Thomas (MN) 3-1 (25-22, 18-25, 25-21, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Ella Parker led Milwaukee with 10 kills; St. Thomas (MN)'s Anya Schmidt had a match-high 15.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILWKE | 25 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| STTHOM | 22 | 25 | 21 | 22 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.6% to Milwaukee — set 4, MILWKE 24-22 STTHOM. Kill by Josie Noble (set by Milica Tomic). STTHOM win probability 23% → 11%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Milwaukee wins
St. Thomas (MN) wins
- MILWKE break %
- 40.3% vs this opp
- STTHOM break %
- 47.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Josie NobleKill+12.6%
Kill by Josie Noble (set by Milica Tomic)
Set 4 · MILWKE 24-22 STTHOM · MILWKE 77% → 89%
- 02Reilly KurthAttack error+11.5%
Attack error by Reilly Kurth
Set 4 · MILWKE 22-20 STTHOM · MILWKE 69% → 80%
- 03
- 04Ella ParkerKill+10.5%
Kill by Ella Parker (set by Milica Tomic)
Set 4 · MILWKE 23-21 STTHOM · MILWKE 74% → 84%
- 05Annie EschenbachKill+8.5%
Kill by Annie Eschenbach (set by Milica Tomic)
Set 4 · MILWKE 21-20 STTHOM · MILWKE 61% → 69%
- 06Ellie GustafsonKill+7.6%
Kill by Ellie Gustafson (set by Morgan Kealy)
Set 4 · MILWKE 18-18 STTHOM · STTHOM 33% → 41%
- 07Ella SchuetzKill+7.6%
Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)
Set 4 · MILWKE 20-19 STTHOM · MILWKE 60% → 67%
- 08Ella SchuetzKill+7.4%
Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)
Set 4 · MILWKE 17-14 STTHOM · MILWKE 70% → 77%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 37 | .081 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 20 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -.091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | .600 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 39 | 19 | 134 | .149 | 36 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 93 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 45 | .089 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 37 | .216 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 32 | .219 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .286 | 42 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 30 | 160 | .156 | 50 | 7 | 18 | 63 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 90 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-22
Bars above the line = St. Thomas (MN) leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Milwaukee
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%6/7 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 40%4/10 |
| 3 | 50%5/10 | 58%7/12 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 50%4/8 |
| 5 | 67%4/6 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 43%3/7 |
| All | 66%29/44 | 43%21/49 |
St. Thomas (MN)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%6/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 46%6/13 | 0%0/6 |
| 3 | 36%4/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 80%4/5 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 50%4/8 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 20%1/5 |
| All | 57%28/49 | 34%15/44 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
183 rallies
| # | MILWKE-STTHOM | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE×5 | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach | +1.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE×5 | Kill | Ella Schuetz | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE×5 | Kill | Milica Tomic | set Ella Parker | +1.8 |
| 4 | 4-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE×5 | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +1.9 |
| 5 | 5-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE×5 | Blocked | Audrey Kocon | blk Ella Schuetz, Bella Lipski | +1.9 |
| 6 | 5-1 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.2 |
| 7 | 6-1 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Blocked | Addie Schmotzer | blk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach | +1.6 |
| 8 | 6-2 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Serve err | Milwaukee | +1.3 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +1.6 |
| 10 | 8-2 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Blocked | Addie Schmotzer | blk Josie Noble, Ella Parker | +1.9 |
| 11 | 8-3 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.2 |
| 12 | 8-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | set Taylor Mcnear | +1.7 |
| 13 | 9-4 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | set Taylor Mcnear | +1.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.8 |
| 16 | 10-6 | STTHOM | MILWKE×3 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Reilly Kurth | +2.1 |
| 18 | 12-6 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Attack err | Ellie Gustafson | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +1.2 |
| 20 | 12-8 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Anya Schmidt | +1.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | MILWKE | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.8 | |||
| 22 | 13-9 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.3 |
| 23 | 14-9 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Schuetz | +1.8 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | MILWKE | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ella Schuetz | +2.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ella Parker | +2.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ella Parker | +2.3 |
| 28 | 15-13 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +2.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +2.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Blocked | Milica Tomic | blk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach | +2.9 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +1.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +2.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | +2.6 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Bad set | Ella Parker | +2.2 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Kati Goba | +2.8 |
| 37 | 20-17 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Reilly Kurth | +3.4 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +2.9 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Audrey Kocon | +3.0 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Blocked | Julia Kellner | blk Reilly Kurth, Ellie Gustafson | +1.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | +2.6 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.3 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.8 |
| 45 | 24-21 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Milica Tomic | set Ella Parker | +3.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Serve err | Milwaukee | +1.4 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +3.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | set Taylor Mcnear | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MILWKE | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Blocked | Bella Lipski | blk Addie Schmotzer | +2.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Attack err | Ella Parker | +2.2 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STTHOM | MILWKE×4 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Kill | Josie Noble | +2.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Kill | Milica Tomic | set Annie Eschenbach | +2.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach | +2.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Blocked | Josie Noble | blk Addie Schmotzer | +2.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +2.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Maddy Benka | +3.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MILWKE | STTHOM×6 | Kill | Maddy Benka | set Kira Brundage | +2.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STTHOM | STTHOM×6 | Attack err | Josie Noble | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | STTHOM | STTHOM×6 | Attack err | Ella Parker | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | STTHOM | STTHOM×6 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ella Schuetz | +2.6 |
| 17 | 7-10 | STTHOM | STTHOM×6 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Kati Goba | +2.3 |
| 18 | 7-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×6 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ella Schuetz | +1.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Blocked | Ellie Gustafson | blk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner | +1.4 |
| 20 | 8-12 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Serve err | Milwaukee | +1.5 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | STTHOM | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.6 | |||
| 22 | 9-13 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Josie Noble | set Emma Duffy | +1.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | +1.2 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.1 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Audrey Kocon | +1.8 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.6 |
| 27 | 11-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +1.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Morgan Kealy | set Anya Schmidt | +0.6 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +0.8 |
| 33 | 13-20 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Ellie Gustafson | +0.6 |
| 34 | 14-20 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | MILWKE | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +0.7 |
| 37 | 15-22 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Blocked | Ella Parker | blk Addie Schmotzer, Morgan Kealy | +0.5 |
| 38 | 15-23 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Josie Noble | +0.2 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | · | |
| 40 | 17-23 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Ellie Gustafson | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Serve err | Milwaukee | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Josie Noble | set Emma Duffy | · |
| 43 | 18-25 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Ball handling | Ella Parker | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | STTHOM | MILWKE×3 | Kill | Ella Schuetz | set Milica Tomic | +2.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Kill | Ella Parker | +2.9 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +3.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MILWKE | STTHOM×3 | Blocked | Ella Parker | blk Audrey Kocon, Addie Schmotzer | +2.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Blocked | Annie Eschenbach | blk Anya Schmidt, Addie Schmotzer | +2.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Bella Lipski | +2.7 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +2.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Anya Schmidt | +3.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MILWKE | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +2.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Ella Parker | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Morgan Kealy | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Josie Noble | set Milica Tomic | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +2.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Blocked | Kati Goba | blk Reilly Kurth, Ella Schuetz | +2.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STTHOM | MILWKE×4 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +2.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Ellie Gustafson | +3.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Ace | Milwaukee | aced Ellie Gustafson | +3.7 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Blocked | Ellie Gustafson | blk Bella Lipski, Kami Stover | +3.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +2.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Bella Lipski | set Emma Duffy | +3.2 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +4.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.5 |
| 26 | 15-11 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.3 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Audrey Kocon | +3.7 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +2.1 |
| 29 | 17-12 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.0 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +3.1 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +1.6 |
| 32 | 19-13 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Josie Noble | set Milica Tomic | +2.4 |
| 33 | 19-14 | MILWKE | STTHOM×3 | Ball handling | Ella Parker | +1.4 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Ella Parker | +3.3 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Kami Stover | set Emma Duffy | +3.8 |
| 37 | 20-17 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | +2.5 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Schuetz | set Emma Duffy | +3.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +2.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +4.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Schuetz | set Emma Duffy | +5.0 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +3.2 |
| 43 | 23-20 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +5.3 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +2.9 |
| 45 | 24-21 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +5.6 |
| 46 | 25-21 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk Josie Noble, Annie Eschenbach | +3.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Blocked | Audrey Kocon | blk Bella Lipski, Ella Parker | +3.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +4.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MILWKE | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Taylor Mcnear | +3.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Ella Schuetz | +4.0 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Blocked | Annie Eschenbach | blk Anya Schmidt | +3.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | STTHOM | MILWKE×3 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +4.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | MILWKE | MILWKE×3 | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +4.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Serve err | Milwaukee | +3.5 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +4.0 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Morgan Kealy | +5.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Audrey Kocon | +4.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +4.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Taylor Mcnear | set Morgan Kealy | +3.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Attack err | Kami Stover | +4.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +4.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Audrey Kocon | +3.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Attack err | Bella Lipski | +4.8 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | set Audrey Kocon | +4.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +3.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | STTHOM | MILWKE×4 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +4.2 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | +6.0 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +6.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MILWKE | MILWKE×4 | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +6.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +4.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Attack err | Ella Parker | +6.1 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +5.8 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Schuetz | set Emma Duffy | +7.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +4.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +6.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Kami Stover | set Kati Goba | +6.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Attack err | Ella Schuetz | set Emma Duffy | +5.5 |
| 36 | 18-18 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +7.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Attack err | Ellie Gustafson | set Anya Schmidt | +6.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | +6.3 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Schuetz | set Emma Duffy | +7.6 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +7.0 |
| 41 | 21-20 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Annie Eschenbach | set Milica Tomic | +8.5 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Attack err | Reilly Kurth | +11.5 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +6.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | set Milica Tomic | +10.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MILWKE | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +7.3 |
| 46 | 24-22 | STTHOM | MILWKE | Kill | Josie Noble | set Milica Tomic | +12.6 |
| 47 | 25-22 | MILWKE | MILWKE | Kill | Ella Parker | +10.6 | |
Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).