CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
Milwaukee logo

AwayHORIZON

1:3
Wisconsin logo

HomeBIG-TEN

Wisconsin def. Milwaukee 31

(25-18, 25-18, 22-25, 25-15)
Set12*3*4Sets
MILWKE181825151
WISC252522253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WISC above 50 · MILWKE below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100WISCMILWKEBiggest swing +0.4% MILWKE · S4 1-0rally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Milwaukee — set 4, MILWKE 1-0 WISC. Kill by Milica Tomic (set by Ella Schuetz). WISC win probability 99%99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MILWKE 0.5%99.5% WISC

Milwaukee wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.3%

Wisconsin wins

3-0
79.9%
3-1
17.3%
3-2
2.4%
MILWKE break %
29.4% vs this opp
WISC break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Milica TomicKill+0.4%

    Kill by Milica Tomic (set by Ella Schuetz)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 1-0 WISC · MILWKE 1%1%

  2. 02
    Eva TravisKill+0.3%

    Kill by Eva Travis (set by Anna Bardaro)

    Set 4 · MILWKE 1-2 WISC · WISC 99%99%

  3. 03
    Jaela AugusteAttack error+0.3%

    Attack error by Jaela Auguste

    Set 1 · MILWKE 12-10 WISC · MILWKE 1%1%

  4. 04
    Decelise ChampionAttack error+0.2%

    Decelise Champion stuffed by Josie Noble & Julia Kellner

    Set 1 · MILWKE 16-16 WISC · MILWKE 1%1%

  5. 05
    WISC serverAce+0.2%

    Wisconsin ace on Josie Noble

    Set 4 · MILWKE 1-3 WISC · WISC 99%99%

  6. 06
    Eva TravisKill+0.2%

    Kill by Eva Travis

    Set 1 · MILWKE 12-12 WISC · WISC 99%99%

  7. 07
    Emma DuffyAttack error+0.2%

    Attack error by Emma Duffy

    Set 1 · MILWKE 17-19 WISC · WISC 99%100%

  8. 08
    Ella SchuetzAttack error+0.2%

    Attack error by Ella Schuetz

    Set 4 · MILWKE 1-1 WISC · WISC 99%99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412531.2261038200012
48428.143101520219
46119.26300311010.56.5
44011.364100000426
4304.7501610300004
43318.00000010010.53.5
44012.333000100215
4011-1.0001001200000
4000100000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
40005002110000
4000000000000
4000102400000
Team totals4014124.21036110466010576
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4619.556000000006
4218.1255412160010.53.5
4329.111000000003
4327.143000000003
41011.00000000010.51.5
4000012710001
413219.57900000031.514.5
411422.31800311002112
48111.63601110010.59.5
48014.57110010010.58.5
45323.08710070010.55.5
45417.059100100005
41011.0003321700004
4000002100000
4000102300000
4000000000000
4000000100000
Team totals6620141.32661614661010597

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MILWKE · WISC 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEWISC 6

Set 2*

18-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEWISC 4

Set 3*

25-22

Longest run 4 MILWKEWISC 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 MILWKEWISC 4

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%5/15
33%2/6
2
57%4/7
38%3/8
3
80%4/5
33%2/6
4
57%4/7
0%0/4
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
33%3/9
20%1/5
All
49%24/49
26%9/34

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
71%10/14
2
57%4/7
56%5/9
3
100%4/4
43%3/7
4
100%4/4
33%2/6
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
100%4/4
50%4/8
All
74%25/34
51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

173 rallies

Rally log

#MILWKE-WISCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WISCMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.1
22-0MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAudrey Flanaganblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+0.1
33-0MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.2
43-1MILWKEWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
54-1WISCMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.1
64-2MILWKEWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
75-2WISCMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.1
85-3MILWKEWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
96-3WISCMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+0.1
106-4MILWKEWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
117-4WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+0.2
127-5MILWKEWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
137-6WISCWISC×3AceWISC serveraced Kati Goba+0.2
147-7WISCWISC×3Attack errElla Schuetz+0.1
158-7WISCMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.1
168-8MILWKEWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
178-9WISCWISCAceWISC serveraced Ella Parker+0.1
189-9WISCMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+0.1
199-10MILWKEWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
2010-10WISCMILWKE×3Attack errJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
2111-10MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+0.2
2212-10MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errJaela Auguste+0.3
2312-11MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.1
2412-12WISCWISCKillEva Travis+0.2
2513-12WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.2
2613-13MILWKEWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
2713-14WISCWISC×3Attack errAnnie Eschenbachblk Eva Travis, Lynney Tarnow+0.2
2813-15WISCWISC×3KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Eva Travis+0.1
2914-15WISCMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+0.1
3014-16MILWKEWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3115-16WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.1
3216-16MILWKEMILWKEAttack errDecelise Championblk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner+0.2
3316-17MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.1
3417-17WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.2
3517-18MILWKEWISC×6Serve errMILWKE server+0.2
3617-19WISCWISC×6Attack errEmma Duffy+0.2
3717-20WISCWISC×6KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3817-21WISCWISC×6KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3917-22WISCWISC×6KillDecelise Championset Anna Bardaro+0.0
4017-23WISCWISC×6KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4118-23WISCMILWKEAttack errAudrey Flanaganset Decelise Champion+0.0
4218-24MILWKEWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4318-25WISCWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
Set 2
10-1MILWKEWISCAttack errElla Parker+0.0
20-2WISCWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
31-2WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.0
41-3MILWKEWISC×3Serve errMILWKE server+0.0
51-4WISCWISC×3AceWISC serveraced Ella Schuetz+0.0
61-5WISCWISC×3Attack errJosie Noble+0.0
72-5WISCMILWKEAttack errHalle Thompsonset Kristen Simon+0.0
82-6MILWKEWISCAttack errElla Parkerblk Kymora Scott, Grace Lopez+0.0
92-7WISCWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
103-7WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
113-8MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
123-9WISCWISCAttack errElla Schuetzblk Charlie Fuerbringer, Kymora Scott+0.0
134-9WISCMILWKE×3Serve errWISC server+0.0
145-9MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errGrace Lopez+0.0
156-9MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJulia Kellnerset Braylin Bosetski+0.0
166-10MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
177-10WISCMILWKEAttack errHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
187-11MILWKEWISC×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
197-12WISCWISC×4KillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
207-13WISCWISC×4KillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
217-14WISCWISC×4AceWISC serveraced Ella Schuetz+0.0
228-14WISCMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+0.0
238-15MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Halle Thompson+0.0
248-16WISCWISCAttack errElla Parker+0.0
259-16WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Bella Lipski+0.0
269-17MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2710-17WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+0.0
2810-18MILWKEWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2911-18WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
3011-19MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3111-20WISCWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3212-20WISCMILWKEAttack errMadison Questset Grace Lopez+0.0
3312-21MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3413-21WISCMILWKEAttack errMadison Questblk Julia Kellner, Bella Lipski+0.0
3514-21MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetz+0.0
3614-22MILWKEWISCKillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3715-22WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
3815-23MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlow+0.0
3916-23WISCMILWKEAttack errNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4016-24MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4117-24WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.0
4218-24MILWKEMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Emma Duffy+0.0
4318-25MILWKEWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
Set 3
10-1WISCWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
21-1WISCMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.0
32-1MILWKEMILWKEKillBella Lipski+0.0
42-2MILWKEWISC×4KillKymora Scott+0.0
52-3WISCWISC×4KillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
62-4WISCWISC×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
72-5WISCWISC×4KillHalle Thompson+0.0
83-5WISCMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+0.0
94-5MILWKEMILWKEAttack errKymora Scott+0.0
104-6MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.0
115-6WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
125-7MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
136-7WISCMILWKEFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
146-8MILWKEWISC×3KillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
156-9WISCWISC×3KillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
166-10WISCWISC×3KillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
177-10WISCMILWKEAttack errMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
187-11MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.0
198-11WISCMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Kati Goba+0.0
208-12MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
219-12WISCMILWKE×4KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.0
2210-12MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Ella Parker+0.0
2311-12MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errGrace Lopez+0.0
2412-12MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errKymora Scott+0.0
2512-13MILWKEWISCAttack errAnnie Eschenbachblk Kymora Scott, Halle Thompson+0.0
2613-13WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
2713-14MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2814-14WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.0
2915-14MILWKEMILWKEAttack errMadison Quest+0.1
3015-15MILWKEWISCKillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3116-15WISCMILWKEKillJosie Noble+0.1
3216-16MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.0
3317-16WISCMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+0.1
3418-16MILWKEMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Emma Duffy+0.1
3518-17MILWKEWISC×3KillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3618-18WISCWISC×3Attack errElla Schuetzblk Grace Lopez, Natalie Wardlow+0.1
3718-19WISCWISC×3KillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3819-19WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.1
3919-20MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4020-20WISCMILWKE×4Serve errWISC server+0.1
4121-20MILWKEMILWKE×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.1
4222-20MILWKEMILWKE×4KillElla Parker+0.2
4323-20MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errHalle Thompson+0.2
4423-21MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
4524-21WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.1
4624-22MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4725-22WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.1
Set 4
11-0MILWKEMILWKEKillMilica Tomicset Ella Schuetz+0.4
21-1MILWKEWISC×4Attack errElla Schuetzset Ella Parker+0.2
31-2WISCWISC×4KillEva Travisset Anna Bardaro+0.3
41-3WISCWISC×4AceWISC serveraced Josie Noble+0.2
51-4WISCWISC×4AceWISC serveraced Ella Parker+0.2
62-4WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.1
72-5MILWKEWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
83-5WISCMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.1
93-6MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
104-6WISCMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.1
114-7MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.1
124-8WISCWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
135-8WISCMILWKEAttack errGrace Lopezblk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz+0.1
145-9MILWKEWISC×3KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
155-10WISCWISC×3KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Isabelle Hoppe+0.1
165-11WISCWISC×3KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
176-11WISCMILWKEServe errWISC server+0.0
186-12MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
196-13WISCWISCAttack errElla Parker+0.0
207-13WISCMILWKEKillMilica Tomicset Kati Goba+0.0
218-13MILWKEMILWKEKillMilica Tomicset Liv Doerre+0.1
228-14MILWKEWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
238-15WISCWISCAttack errElla Parker+0.0
249-15WISCMILWKEAttack errGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2510-15MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.1
2610-16MILWKEWISC×3Serve errMILWKE server+0.0
2710-17WISCWISC×3KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2810-18WISCWISC×3KillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
2911-18WISCMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.0
3011-19MILWKEWISCServe errMILWKE server+0.0
3112-19WISCMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+0.0
3212-20MILWKEWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3313-20WISCMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba+0.0
3414-20MILWKEMILWKEAceMILWKE serveraced Kristen Simon+0.0
3514-21MILWKEWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
3615-21WISCMILWKEAttack errCharlie Fuerbringerblk Ella Schuetz, Bella Lipski+0.0
3715-22MILWKEWISC×4Attack errAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.0
3815-23WISCWISC×4KillEva Travis+0.0
3915-24WISCWISC×4KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.0
4015-25WISCWISC×4KillEva Travisset Anna Bardaro+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.