FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026

Northern Ky. def. Milwaukee 3–0

Northern Ky. beat visiting Milwaukee 3-0 (25-23, 25-18, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Northern Ky.'s Ava Hoying and Lucia Heid led with 10 kills each, and Sydney Bray added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set123Sets
MILWKE2318210
N KY2525253

Win probability

Northern Ky. above 50 · Milwaukee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.1% N KYrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.1% to Northern Ky. — set 1, MILWKE 23-25 N KY. Attack error by Annie Eschenbach. N KY win probability 83% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MILWKE 19.3%80.7% N KY

Milwaukee wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.8%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
32.2%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%
MILWKE break %
40.6% vs this opp
N KY break %
47.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Annie EschenbachAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Annie Eschenbach

    Set 1 · MILWKE 23-25 N KY · N KY 83% → 90%

  2. 02
    Ivey StocksKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 23-24 N KY · N KY 78% → 83%

  3. 03
    MilwaukeeAce+5.4%

    Milwaukee ace on Sydney Bray

    Set 1 · MILWKE 23-23 N KY · MILWKE 17% → 22%

  4. 04
    Ella SchuetzKill+3.4%

    Kill by Ella Schuetz (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 19-19 N KY · MILWKE 18% → 22%

  5. 05
    Sydney BrayKill+3.3%

    Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 19-21 N KY · N KY 81% → 85%

  6. 06

    Bella Lipski stuffed by Abbigail Pickard

    Set 1 · MILWKE 21-23 N KY · N KY 83% → 86%

  7. 07
    Emma AdkinsAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Emma Adkins

    Set 1 · MILWKE 15-14 N KY · MILWKE 21% → 24%

  8. 08
    Sydney BrayKill+2.9%

    Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Katie Noschang)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 16-17 N KY · N KY 78% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39527.14800120052.511.5
310427.2220001000010
36224.167101120031.57.5
37212.417100550007
3307.429000000214
3001.0001700500000
32412-.16700000031.53.5
3000–030000003
3013-.3331511300001
3014-.250000100000
3001.0003001010000
2000–000000000
11011.00000041010.51.5
Team totals3819119.1603743438014762
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310532.1560203004214
38621.09500030233.511.5
39022.40911113202111
3407.57111030132.57.5
3315.4003300401014
3025-.400241410004
310319.3680003000010
3113.000200410001
3000–4001200000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4518115.23543824944121075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Milwaukee vs Northern Ky.

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MILWKE · N KY 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 MILWKEN KY 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 6 MILWKEN KY 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 MILWKEN KY 4

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%5/15
0%0/4
2
100%5/5
38%3/8
3
67%4/6
55%6/11
4
30%3/10
67%8/12
5
60%3/5
0%0/3
6
38%3/8
25%1/4
All
47%23/49
43%18/42

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
76%13/17
2
63%5/8
29%2/7
3
29%5/17
17%1/6
4
75%3/4
67%6/9
5
100%3/3
57%4/7
6
75%3/4
0%0/3
All
57%24/42
53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#MILWKE-N KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MILWKEN KYKillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+1.2
20-2N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
31-2N KYMILWKEServe errNorthern Ky.+1.2
41-3MILWKEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
52-3N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Kati Goba+1.2
63-3MILWKEMILWKEAttack errLucia Heid+1.7
73-4MILWKEN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+1.3
84-4N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.4
95-4MILWKEMILWKEAceMilwaukeeaced Sydney Bray+2.0
105-5MILWKEN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
116-5N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.6
126-6MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
137-6N KYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Ella Parker+1.7
147-7MILWKEN KY×5KillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+1.5
157-8N KYN KY×5KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
167-9N KYN KY×5KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
177-10N KYN KY×5BlockedJulia Kellnerblk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks+1.6
187-11N KYN KY×5AceNorthern Ky.+1.3
198-11N KYMILWKEKillKayla Landerudset Emma Duffy+1.0
208-12MILWKEN KYAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+1.1
218-13N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Ella Parker+1.1
229-13N KYMILWKE×3Attack errAllison Risley+0.7
2310-13MILWKEMILWKE×3KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.2
2411-13MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAva Hoying+1.6
2511-14MILWKEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2612-14N KYMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.3
2713-14MILWKEMILWKE×4AceMilwaukeeaced Emma Adkins+2.1
2814-14MILWKEMILWKE×4AceMilwaukeeaced Allison Risley+2.5
2915-14MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errEmma Adkins+2.9
3015-15MILWKEN KYKillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
3116-15N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+2.4
3216-16MILWKEN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
3316-17N KYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Katie Noschang+2.9
3416-18N KYN KY×3BlockedElla Parkerblk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray+2.6
3517-18N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+2.0
3617-19MILWKEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
3718-19N KYMILWKEServe errNorthern Ky.+2.1
3819-19MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+3.4
3919-20MILWKEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
4019-21N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+3.3
4120-21N KYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.3
4220-22MILWKEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
4321-22N KYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.4
4421-23MILWKEN KYBlockedBella Lipskiblk Abbigail Pickard+3.2
4522-23N KYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+2.4
4623-23MILWKEMILWKEAceMilwaukeeaced Sydney Bray+5.4
4723-24MILWKEN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+5.5
4823-25N KYN KYAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+6.1
Set 2
10-1N KYN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
20-2N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Ella Parker+1.1
30-3N KYN KY×4BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Ava Hoying, Katie Noschang+1.0
40-4N KYN KY×4BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray+0.8
51-4N KYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.6
61-5MILWKEN KYBlockedJosie Nobleblk Katie Noschang+0.7
72-5N KYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.7
82-6MILWKEN KYServe errMilwaukee+0.7
92-7N KYN KYAttack errEmma Duffy+0.7
103-7N KYMILWKE×3Attack errAva Hoying+0.5
114-7MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errIvey Stocks+0.9
125-7MILWKEMILWKE×3BlockedAva Hoyingblk Julia Kellner, Josie Noble+1.0
135-8MILWKEN KY×5Attack errJulia Kellner+0.9
145-9N KYN KY×5Attack errJosie Noble+0.9
155-10N KYN KY×5AceNorthern Ky.aced Ella Parker+0.8
165-11N KYN KY×5BlockedJosie Nobleblk Ivey Stocks+0.6
175-12N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
186-12N KYMILWKEBlockedIvey Stocksblk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz+0.3
196-13MILWKEN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
206-14N KYN KY×3KillKatie Noschang+0.3
216-15N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
227-15N KYMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Emma Duffy+0.1
237-16MILWKEN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+0.1
248-16N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.1
258-17MILWKEN KY×5Serve errMilwaukee+0.1
268-18N KYN KY×5KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.1
278-19N KYN KY×5KillSydney Brayset Allison Risley·
288-20N KYN KY×5AceNorthern Ky.aced Kati Goba·
298-21N KYN KY×5KillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton·
309-21N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic·
3110-21MILWKEMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic·
3210-22MILWKEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard·
3311-22N KYMILWKEKillHope Wagnerset Kati Goba·
3412-22MILWKEMILWKEBlockedIvey Stocksblk Hope Wagner, Josie Noble·
3512-23MILWKEN KYBlockedJulia Kellnerblk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying·
3613-23N KYMILWKE×6KillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy·
3714-23MILWKEMILWKE×6KillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba·
3815-23MILWKEMILWKE×6KillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy·
3916-23MILWKEMILWKE×6BlockedAva Hoyingblk Josie Noble, Julia Kellner·
4017-23MILWKEMILWKE×6KillJosie Nobleset Ella Schuetz+0.1
4118-23MILWKEMILWKE×6BlockedIvey Stocksblk Ella Schuetz, Josie Noble+0.1
4218-24MILWKEN KYKillAva Hoyingset Allison Risley+0.2
4318-25N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Hope Wagner+0.1
Set 3
10-1MILWKEN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
21-1N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.5
31-2MILWKEN KY×3Serve errMilwaukee+0.5
41-3N KYN KY×3Attack errJulia Kellner+0.6
51-4N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
62-4N KYMILWKEKillKayla Landerudset Emma Duffy+0.4
73-4MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetz+0.6
83-5MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
93-6N KYN KYAttack errElla Schuetz+0.5
104-6N KYMILWKEAttack errAbbigail Pickard+0.4
115-6MILWKEMILWKEAttack errLucia Heid+0.6
125-7MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
136-7N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.5
146-8MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Daisy Cluxton+0.5
157-8N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+0.5
168-8MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAva Hoying+0.8
178-9MILWKEN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Sydney Bray+0.6
189-9N KYMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Emma Duffy+0.6
199-10MILWKEN KY×4KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
209-11N KYN KY×4KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
219-12N KYN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
229-13N KYN KY×4BlockedJosie Nobleblk Ivey Stocks+0.5
2310-13N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.4
2411-13MILWKEMILWKEBlockedIvey Stocksblk Ella Schuetz, Kayla Landerud+0.6
2511-14MILWKEN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
2612-14N KYMILWKEBlockedLucia Heidblk Kayla Landerud, Julia Kellner+0.5
2713-14MILWKEMILWKEAttack errIvey Stocks+0.8
2813-15MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
2914-15N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.7
3015-15MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+1.0
3115-16MILWKEN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
3216-16N KYMILWKEKillKayla Landerudset Milica Tomic+0.9
3316-17MILWKEN KY×4KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
3416-18N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Ella Parker+1.0
3516-19N KYN KY×4KillKatie Noschang+0.9
3616-20N KY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
3717-20N KYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.4
3818-20MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.7
3918-21MILWKEN KYAttack errElla Parker+0.7
4018-22N KYN KYBlockedJosie Nobleblk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying+0.6
4119-22N KYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.3
4220-22MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.7
4320-23MILWKEN KYAttack errElla Schuetz+0.8
4420-24N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
4521-24N KYMILWKEAttack errAllison Risley+0.1
4621-25MILWKEN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).