FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Milwaukee def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Milwaukee 69.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Milwaukee beat visiting Purdue Fort Wayne 3-0 (25-17, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Milwaukee's Ella Parker led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
IPFW1722220
MILWKE2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ella Parker needed just 3 sets for 18 kills. Milwaukee swept Purdue Fort Wayne.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.2 points. Purdue Fort Wayne peaked at 37% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Milwaukee went in as RallyIQ's 69% pick.

Purdue Fort WayneMilwaukee
  • Break %+12.9 pts
    29.041.9

    On serve: 31/74 against 18/62 (Purdue Fort Wayne sideout 58.1%).

  • Hitting+.142
    .258.400

    51 K / 13 E against 37 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    7 straight Milwaukee points in the first set turned a 10–12 deficit into a 17–12 lead. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Milwaukee above 50Purdue Fort Wayne belowMax swing 5.2%

Purdue Fort WayneMilwaukee

Aces
Purdue Fort Wayne 5·Milwaukee 2
Serve err
Purdue Fort Wayne 7·Milwaukee 5
Blocks
Purdue Fort Wayne 6·Milwaukee 42 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Purdue Fort Wayne 29·Milwaukee 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Milwaukee above 50 · Purdue Fort Wayne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.2% MILWKErally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Milwaukee — set 2, IPFW 22-24 MILWKE. Bad set by Haiden Means. MILWKE win probability 86% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IPFW 35.4%64.6% MILWKE

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.7%
3-2
15.4%

Milwaukee wins

3-0
19.8%
3-1
24.8%
3-2
20.1%
IPFW break %
40.7% vs this opp
MILWKE break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Haiden MeansBad set+5.2%

    Bad set by Haiden Means

    Set 2 · IPFW 22-24 MILWKE · MILWKE 86% → 91%

  2. 02
    Josie NobleKill+4.3%

    Kill by Josie Noble (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 2 · IPFW 22-23 MILWKE · MILWKE 81% → 86%

  3. 03
    Ella SchuetzAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Ella Schuetz

    Set 2 · IPFW 21-21 MILWKE · IPFW 14% → 19%

  4. 04
    Riley RosneckKill+3.7%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 2 · IPFW 22-22 MILWKE · IPFW 15% → 19%

  5. 05

    Kill by Annie Eschenbach (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 2 · IPFW 21-22 MILWKE · MILWKE 81% → 85%

  6. 06
    Riley RosneckKill+3.1%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Becky Barrett)

    Set 1 · IPFW 12-10 MILWKE · IPFW 34% → 37%

  7. 07
    Josie NobleAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Josie Noble

    Set 2 · IPFW 20-21 MILWKE · IPFW 11% → 14%

  8. 08
    Bella DiBuonoAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Bella DiBuono

    Set 1 · IPFW 12-12 MILWKE · MILWKE 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316537.2971015102117
37011.63600000132.59.5
37316.25000010010.57.5
3227.00002100010.54.5
3103.3332420701014
3319.22210151010.53.5
3136-.333101100001
3000–311600001
2000–001100000
2000–701300000
Team totals371489.258375729228661
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318228.5711108500019
310222.3641107000011
39116.5000002002110
37212.417002101018
3449.000000100215
3001.0002201600000
3225.000000001013
3102.5001800300001
3000–300300000
3000–002000000
1000–000000000
Team totals511395.400452531524475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 IPFW · MILWKE 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 IPFWMILWKE 7

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 IPFWMILWKE 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 IPFWMILWKE 4

Bars above the line = Milwaukee leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
17%1/6
2
83%5/6
29%2/7
3
38%5/13
50%5/10
4
44%4/9
17%1/6
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
20%1/5
All
55%27/49
30%12/40

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
33%2/6
2
71%5/7
38%3/8
3
56%5/9
55%6/11
4
63%5/8
38%3/8
5
80%4/5
56%5/9
6
100%4/4
43%3/7
All
70%28/40
45%22/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#IPFW-MILWKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett+1.7
21-1IPFWMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.6
31-2MILWKEMILWKEAceMilwaukeeaced Riley Rosneck+2.1
42-2MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett+1.7
52-3IPFWMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.6
63-3MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+1.7
73-4IPFWMILWKEServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.7
84-4MILWKEIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Trinity Rye+1.8
95-4IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Ella Parker+2.5
105-5IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+1.8
116-5MILWKEIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Lili Smith+1.9
127-5IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Ella Parker+2.6
137-6IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.9
148-6MILWKEIPFWAttack errElla Parker+2.1
158-7IPFWMILWKE×3Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.9
168-8MILWKEMILWKE×3KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.6
178-9MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAvery Parris+2.6
189-9MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.0
1910-9IPFWIPFWBlockedBella Lipskiblk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono+2.9
2010-10IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+2.1
2111-10MILWKEIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+2.3
2212-10IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett+3.1
2312-11IPFWMILWKE×7Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.1
2412-12MILWKEMILWKE×7Attack errBella DiBuono+3.0
2512-13MILWKEMILWKE×7KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+3.0
2612-14MILWKEMILWKE×7Attack errBella DiBuono+2.8
2712-15MILWKEMILWKE×7KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.5
2812-16MILWKEMILWKE×7BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Josie Noble+2.1
2912-17MILWKEMILWKE×7Attack errRiley Rosneck+1.6
3013-17MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+0.9
3113-18IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.2
3213-19MILWKEMILWKEAttack errTrinity Rye+1.1
3314-19MILWKEIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Lili Smith+0.5
3415-19IPFWIPFWBlockedJosie Nobleblk Mya Plemons+1.1
3515-20IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.2
3615-21MILWKEMILWKEAttack errMiona Dimitric+1.0
3716-21MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Lili Smith+0.4
3816-22IPFWMILWKE×3KillJulia Kellnerset Emma Duffy+0.6
3916-23MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.4
4016-24MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.1
4117-24MILWKEIPFWServe errMilwaukee·
4217-25IPFWMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy·
Set 2
10-1IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+1.3
20-2MILWKEMILWKEAttack errAvery Parris+1.7
31-2MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.3
41-3IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.3
52-3MILWKEIPFWServe errMilwaukee+1.3
63-3IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Ella Parker+1.9
73-4IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.4
84-4MILWKEIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+1.5
94-5IPFWMILWKE×3KillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.4
104-6MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+1.8
114-7MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.7
125-7MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+1.2
135-8IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.3
145-9MILWKEMILWKEAttack errTrinity Rye+1.5
156-9MILWKEIPFWServe errMilwaukee+1.1
166-10IPFWMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+1.2
177-10MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Lili Smith+1.1
187-11IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+1.2
198-11MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.1
209-11IPFWIPFWBlockedElla Schuetzblk Avery Parris, Mya Plemons+1.7
219-12IPFWMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.4
2210-12MILWKEIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+1.4
2311-12IPFWIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+2.1
2411-13IPFWMILWKE×3KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.7
2511-14MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+2.1
2611-15MILWKEMILWKE×3BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Julia Kellner+1.7
2712-15MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Miona Dimitric+1.1
2813-15IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.9
2913-16IPFWMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.7
3014-16MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.5
3114-17IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.7
3215-17MILWKEIPFWAttack errBella Lipski+1.5
3315-18IPFWMILWKEKillEmma Duffy+1.8
3416-18MILWKEIPFWServe errMilwaukee+1.5
3517-18IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Ella Parker+2.7
3617-19IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+2.3
3717-20MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetz+2.6
3818-20MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.6
3918-21IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.1
4019-21MILWKEIPFW×3BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Mya Plemons, Riley Rosneck+1.6
4120-21IPFWIPFW×3Attack errJosie Noble+3.1
4221-21IPFWIPFW×3Attack errElla Schuetz+4.2
4321-22IPFWMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+3.7
4422-22MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.7
4522-23IPFWMILWKE×3KillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+4.3
4622-24MILWKEMILWKE×3Bad setHaiden Means+5.2
4722-25MILWKEMILWKE×3AceMilwaukeeaced Miona Dimitric+2.8
Set 3
10-1MILWKEMILWKEBlockedRiley Rosneckblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+1.0
21-1MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.8
31-2IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.7
42-2MILWKEIPFWKillHaiden Meansset Riley Rosneck*+0.8
52-3IPFWMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.8
62-4MILWKEMILWKEAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.0
73-4MILWKEIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.7
83-5IPFWMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.7
93-6MILWKEMILWKEKillJosie Noble+0.9
104-6MILWKEIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+0.7
115-6IPFWIPFWBad setEmma Duffy+1.0
125-7IPFWMILWKEServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.8
136-7MILWKEIPFWAttack errJulia Kellner+0.8
146-8IPFWMILWKEServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.8
157-8MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.8
167-9IPFWMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.8
177-10MILWKEMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+1.0
187-11MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.9
197-12MILWKEMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.7
208-12MILWKEIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.5
219-12IPFWIPFWAttack errBella Lipski+0.8
229-13IPFWMILWKEServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.7
2310-13MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.6
2411-13IPFWIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+1.0
2511-14IPFWMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.9
2612-14MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.8
2712-15IPFWMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.9
2813-15MILWKEIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+0.8
2913-16IPFWMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.9
3014-16MILWKEIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Haiden Means+0.8
3114-17IPFWMILWKEServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.0
3215-17MILWKEIPFWBlockedJulia Kellnerblk Mya Plemons, Miona Dimitric+0.8
3315-18IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+1.0
3416-18IPFW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
3516-19IPFWMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+1.0
3617-19MILWKEIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.9
3717-20IPFWMILWKEBlockedRiley Rosneckblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+1.1
3818-20MILWKEIPFWServe errLiv Doerre+0.9
3918-21IPFWMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.1
4018-22MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJulia Kellnerset Ella Schuetz+1.1
4118-23MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errAvery Parris+0.6
4219-23MILWKEIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.2
4320-23IPFWIPFW×4AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Ella Parker+0.5
4421-23IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.0
4522-23IPFWIPFW×4Attack errElla Parker+1.8
4622-24IPFWMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+2.2
4722-25MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).