FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeSEC

Oklahoma def. Louisiana 3–0

(25-14, 25-19, 27-25)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LA	14	19	25	0
OKLA	25	25	27	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

OKLA above 50 · LA below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Louisiana — set 3, LA 24-24 OKLA. Kill by Sarah Schnell (set by Nene Hawkins). OKLA win probability 99% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LA 9.8%90.2% OKLA

Louisiana wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.5%

Oklahoma wins

3-0

44.7%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

13.9%

LA break %: 34.0% vs this opp
OKLA break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sarah SchnellKill+1.6%
Kill by Sarah Schnell (set by Nene Hawkins)
Set 3 · LA 24-24 OKLA · LA 1% → 2%
02
Elise HaniAttack error+1.4%
Elise Hani stuffed by Marlee Ervin & Emily Williams
Set 1 · LA 4-3 OKLA · LA 10% → 11%
03
Sarah SchnellAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Sarah Schnell
Set 3 · LA 25-27 OKLA · OKLA 99% → 100%
04
Alyssa FlackKill+1.2%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 1 · LA 4-5 OKLA · OKLA 89% → 91%
05
Emily WilliamsKill+1.2%
Kill by Emily Williams
Set 3 · LA 21-20 OKLA · LA 2% → 4%
06
Alaleh TolliverAttack error+1.2%
Alaleh Tolliver stuffed by Sarah Schnell & Emily Williams
Set 1 · LA 3-3 OKLA · LA 9% → 10%
07
OKLA serverAce+1.2%
Oklahoma ace on Sophia Armstrong
Set 3 · LA 21-22 OKLA · OKLA 97% → 98%
08
Alaleh TolliverKill+1.1%
Kill by Alaleh Tolliver
Set 3 · LA 22-24 OKLA · OKLA 98% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Louisianaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Sarah SchnellOPP	3	9	3	21	.286	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	11
2Lolo LambertOH	3	6	2	22	.182	1	1	2	2	2	1	0.5	7.5
11Emily WilliamsMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
4Lindsey HenryMB	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	3
25Nene HawkinsS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	2	5	3	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Marlee ErvinOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Harley KrauseOH	3	8	4	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
18Kennedy GustafsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	14	2	0	0	0
9Rhyan MiciottoS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
0Sophia ArmstrongDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
15Taylor GainesOH	2	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	3
12Ryleigh GarisS	2	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		29	13	85	.188	27	4	13	22	8	20	10	58

Oklahomahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Alaleh TolliverOH	3	14	5	27	.333	1	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
3Tekoa BarnesOH	3	7	2	16	.313	2	5	4	8	0	0	0	0	12
12Elise HaniMB	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
13Amaya TobiasMB	3	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
11Avaya MagaS	3	0	0	1	.000	32	0	2	6	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
6McKenna BrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
19Alyssa FlackOH	3	11	4	23	.304	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
4Kinsley SingletonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	3	1	7	1	0	0	0	3
0Mari KingOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	15	88	.307	39	8	10	36	4	1	9	5.5	77

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LA · OKLA 5

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 LAOKLA 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 LAOKLA 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 LAOKLA 5

Bars above the line = Oklahoma leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	27%3/11
2	54%7/13	20%2/10
3	37%7/19	36%4/11
4	46%6/13	36%4/11
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	75%6/8	0%0/6
All	53%40/75	30%18/60

Oklahoma

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	30%3/10
2	78%7/9	50%7/14
3	64%7/11	53%8/15
4	64%7/11	63%12/19
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	14%1/7
All	70%42/60	47%35/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	LA-OKLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.7
2	1-1	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+0.7
3	1-2	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.7
4	1-3	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	OKLA server	aced Kennedy Gustafson	+1.0
5	2-3	OKLA	LA×3	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.6
6	3-3	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Sarah Schnell, Emily Williams	+1.2
7	4-3	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Elise Hani	blk Marlee Ervin, Emily Williams	+1.4
8	4-4	LA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.8
9	4-5	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.2
10	4-6	OKLA	OKLA×3	Attack err	Sarah Schnell	blk Alyssa Flack, Elise Hani	+1.1
11	5-6	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.7
12	5-7	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.7
13	6-7	OKLA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.7
14	6-8	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.7
15	7-8	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+0.8
16	7-9	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.7
17	7-10	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.0
18	8-10	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.6
19	8-11	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
20	9-11	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.6
21	9-12	LA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
22	9-13	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.8
23	9-14	OKLA	OKLA×3	Ace	OKLA server	aced Lolo Lambert	+0.6
24	10-14	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.3
25	10-15	LA	OKLA×3	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
26	10-16	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Elise Hani		+0.4
27	10-17	OKLA	OKLA×3	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+0.2
28	11-17	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.1
29	11-18	LA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
30	11-19	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Amaya Tobias	set Alaleh Tolliver	+0.1
31	11-20	OKLA	OKLA×3	Attack err	Harley Krause		+0.0
32	12-20	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.0
33	12-21	LA	OKLA	Kill	Amaya Tobias	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
34	13-21	OKLA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.0
35	13-22	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.0
36	14-22	OKLA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.0
37	14-23	LA	OKLA×3	Serve err	LA server		+0.0
38	14-24	OKLA	OKLA×3	Attack err	Lolo Lambert	blk Elise Hani, Alaleh Tolliver	+0.0
39	14-25	OKLA	OKLA×3	Ace	OKLA server	aced Team	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Sarah Schnell, Taylor Gaines	+0.6
2	1-1	LA	OKLA	Kill	Amaya Tobias	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
3	1-2	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.8
4	2-2	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.5
5	2-3	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Kinsley Singleton	+0.5
6	2-4	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set McKenna Brand	+0.7
7	3-4	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.4
8	3-5	LA	OKLA×4	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
9	3-6	OKLA	OKLA×4	Attack err	Emily Williams	blk Elise Hani, Alyssa Flack	+0.6
10	3-7	OKLA	OKLA×4	Attack err	Taylor Gaines	blk Avaya Maga, Elise Hani, Alyssa Flack	+0.5
11	3-8	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
12	4-8	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.2
13	5-8	LA	LA	Attack err	Alyssa Flack	blk Harley Krause, Emily Williams	+0.4
14	5-9	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Tekoa Barnes	+0.3
15	5-10	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Lolo Lambert	blk Avaya Maga	+0.4
16	6-10	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Amaya Tobias	blk Emily Williams, Lolo Lambert	+0.2
17	6-11	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
18	7-11	OKLA	LA×3	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.2
19	8-11	LA	LA×3	Ace	LA server	aced Team	+0.5
20	9-11	LA	LA×3	Ace	LA server	aced Alyssa Flack	+0.6
21	9-12	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
22	10-12	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.4
23	10-13	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
24	11-13	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Elise Hani	blk Sarah Schnell, Lindsey Henry	+0.4
25	12-13	LA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.9
26	12-14	LA	OKLA×4	Serve err	LA server		+0.6
27	12-15	OKLA	OKLA×4	Ace	OKLA server	aced Taylor Gaines	+0.8
28	12-16	OKLA	OKLA×4	Ace	OKLA server	aced Lolo Lambert	+0.6
29	12-17	OKLA	OKLA×4	Ace	OKLA server	aced Kennedy Gustafson	+0.4
30	13-17	OKLA	LA	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Nene Hawkins	+0.2
31	14-17	LA	LA	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Nene Hawkins, Emily Williams	+0.5
32	14-18	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Kinsley Singleton	+0.4
33	14-19	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
34	15-19	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.2
35	15-20	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
36	16-20	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.2
37	16-21	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.2
38	17-21	OKLA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.1
39	17-22	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.2
40	17-23	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
41	18-23	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.0
42	19-23	LA	LA	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Lindsey Henry, Sarah Schnell	+0.1
43	19-24	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Tekoa Barnes	+0.1
44	19-25	OKLA	OKLA	Bad set	Nene Hawkins		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
2	0-2	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	OKLA server	aced Team	+0.3
3	1-2	OKLA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Nene Hawkins	+0.2
4	1-3	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.2
5	2-3	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.2
6	2-4	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
7	3-4	OKLA	LA×4	Kill	Harley Krause	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.2
8	4-4	LA	LA×4	Attack err	Alyssa Flack		+0.4
9	5-4	LA	LA×4	Ace	LA server	aced Kinsley Singleton	+0.5
10	6-4	LA	LA×4	Attack err	Elise Hani	blk Harley Krause, Lindsey Henry	+0.5
11	6-5	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.3
12	7-5	OKLA	LA×4	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.4
13	8-5	LA	LA×4	Attack err	Alyssa Flack	blk Lindsey Henry, Taylor Gaines	+0.6
14	9-5	LA	LA×4	Kill	Lindsey Henry	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.6
15	10-5	LA	LA×4	Attack err	Alyssa Flack		+0.6
16	10-6	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
17	11-6	OKLA	LA	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+0.4
18	11-7	LA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
19	11-8	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Taylor Gaines		+0.6
20	12-8	OKLA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Lolo Lambert	+0.5
21	12-9	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.3
22	12-10	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
23	13-10	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.5
24	14-10	LA	LA	Ace	LA server	aced Team	+0.7
25	14-11	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
26	15-11	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.5
27	15-12	LA	OKLA×5	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
28	15-13	OKLA	OKLA×5	Attack err	Harley Krause		+0.7
29	15-14	OKLA	OKLA×5	Attack err	Sarah Schnell		+0.7
30	15-15	OKLA	OKLA×5	Attack err	Harley Krause		+0.7
31	15-16	OKLA	OKLA×5	Attack err	Harley Krause		+0.7
32	16-16	OKLA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+0.4
33	16-17	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.4
34	17-17	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.5
35	18-17	LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.9
36	18-18	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Kinsley Singleton	+0.5
37	18-19	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.8
38	19-19	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.6
39	19-20	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
40	20-20	OKLA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.6
41	21-20	LA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams		+1.2
42	21-21	LA	OKLA	Serve err	LA server		+0.7
43	21-22	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	OKLA server	aced Sophia Armstrong	+1.2
44	22-22	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.7
45	22-23	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+0.8
46	22-24	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver		+1.1
47	23-24	OKLA	LA	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.4
48	24-24	LA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Nene Hawkins	+1.6
49	24-25	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.0
50	25-25	OKLA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Nene Hawkins	+1.0
51	25-26	LA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.0
52	25-27	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Sarah Schnell		+1.3

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.