CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 9, 2026
Louisiana logo

AwaySUN-BELT

1:3

Florida St. def. Louisiana 31

(21-25, 25-22, 25-21, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
LA252221221
FSU212525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

FSU above 50 · LA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100FSULABiggest swing +5.1% LA · S2 19-19rally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Louisiana — set 2, LA 19-19 FSU. Attack error by Lolo Lambert. FSU win probability 74%69%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LA 10.8%89.2% FSU

Louisiana wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

Florida St. wins

3-0
43.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%
LA break %
35.6% vs this opp
FSU break %
45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Lolo LambertAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Lolo Lambert

    Set 2 · LA 19-19 FSU · LA 26%31%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kyleene Filimaua

    Set 2 · LA 19-21 FSU · FSU 72%77%

  3. 03
    LA serverAce+3.6%

    Louisiana ace on Payton Whalen

    Set 2 · LA 18-19 FSU · LA 23%26%

  4. 04
    LA serverService error+3.6%

    Louisiana service error

    Set 2 · LA 19-20 FSU · FSU 69%72%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kyleene Filimaua (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 2 · LA 19-22 FSU · FSU 77%80%

  6. 06
    Sofia MossAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Sofia Moss

    Set 1 · LA 18-15 FSU · LA 17%20%

  7. 07
    LA serverService error+2.6%

    Louisiana service error

    Set 1 · LA 21-17 FSU · LA 21%24%

  8. 08
    Lolo LambertKill+2.6%

    Kill by Lolo Lambert

    Set 4 · LA 19-20 FSU · LA 4%6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413940.100100100031.514.5
49534.1180041000009
4429.22211210010.55.5
43010.300100200214
42019.10527111100003
31214-.071000102023
40010.0004211200002
4003.000010300001
37222.227101500007
3000101000000
1000000000000
1000000000000
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals3920161.1183651055226590
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420447.34012310102123
412524.2920022022315
48220.30000020031.59.5
47217.29400000031.58.5
47324.167003700007
4006.0003102900000
46319.158000100006
4002.0002204900000
4002.000100810000
4001.0003001500000
4000004000000
3002.000002500000
1204.500000120002
Team totals6219168.25658220695210796

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LA · FSU 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 LAFSU 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 LAFSU 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 LAFSU 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 LAFSU 5

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%12/25
23%3/13
2
73%11/15
40%8/20
3
53%10/19
45%9/20
4
67%8/12
25%3/12
5
89%8/9
38%5/13
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
60%57/95
36%33/91

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
33%5/15
2
60%12/20
52%13/25
3
60%9/15
33%5/15
4
90%9/10
44%7/16
5
53%8/15
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
64%58/91
40%38/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

186 rallies

Rally log

#LA-FSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FSULABad setKyleene Filimaua+0.9
22-0LALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.5
32-1LAFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.9
43-1FSULAServe errFSU server+1.0
53-2LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.9
64-2FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.1
74-3LAFSUAttack errKennedy Gustafson+0.9
85-3FSULAAttack errNenu Kpea+1.1
95-4LAFSUServe errLA server+1.0
106-4FSULAAttack errSofia Moss+1.2
117-4LALAKillHarley Krauseset Sarah Schnell+1.8
127-5LAFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.0
137-6FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+1.6
147-7FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+1.5
158-7FSULA×4Serve errFSU server+1.1
169-7LALA×4AceLA serveraced Kyleene Filimaua+1.8
1710-7LALA×4KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.0
1811-7LALA×4Attack errBailey Higgins+2.0
1911-8LAFSUServe errLA server+1.1
2012-8FSULAAttack errSarah Schnell+1.4
2112-9LAFSUBad setLolo Lambert+1.1
2213-9FSULAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.5
2313-10LAFSUAttack errSarah Schnell+1.1
2413-11FSUFSUKillLexie Masonset Maile Chan+1.9
2514-11FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.6
2615-11LALAAttack errNenu Kpea+2.3
2715-12LAFSU×3Attack errLolo Lambertblk Nenu Kpea, Lexie Mason+1.1
2815-13FSUFSU×3Attack errSarah Schnellblk Kyleene Filimaua, Nenu Kpea+2.0
2915-14FSUFSU×3Attack errLolo Lambert+2.1
3016-14FSULAServe errFSU server+1.8
3116-15LAFSUServe errLA server+1.4
3217-15FSULAServe errFSU server+1.9
3318-15LALAAttack errSofia Moss+2.7
3418-16LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.4
3519-16FSULAServe errFSU server+2.0
3619-17LAFSUKillBailey Higginsset Callie Kieffer+1.4
3720-17FSULA×3Attack errLexie Mason+2.1
3821-17LALA×3Serve errLA server+2.6
3922-17LALA×3Attack errDelaney Ewingblk Sarah Schnell, Lindsey Henry+1.8
4022-18LAFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.5
4122-19FSUFSU×3Attack errLolo Lambert+1.4
4222-20FSUFSU×3Attack errLolo Lambertblk Lexie Mason, Delaney Ewing+2.1
4323-20FSULAServe errFSU server+2.5
4424-20LALAKillSarah Schnellset Grace Sweeney+2.2
4524-21LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.4
4625-21FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.1
Set 2
10-1LAFSU×4KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.4
20-2FSUFSU×4KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.9
30-3FSUFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Maile Chan+1.7
40-4FSUFSU×4Attack errSarah Schnellblk Nenu Kpea+1.4
51-4FSULAKillLindsey Henryset Rhyan Miciotto+0.9
62-4LALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.7
72-5LAFSUServe errLA server+1.1
83-5FSULAServe errFSU server+1.2
93-6LAFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+1.2
103-7FSUFSU×4KillPayton Whalenset Callie Kieffer+1.5
113-8FSUFSU×4KillBailey Higginsset Callie Kieffer+1.2
123-9FSUFSU×4AceFSU serveraced Team+0.9
134-9FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
144-10LAFSUAttack errHarley Krause+0.6
155-10FSULAServe errFSU server+0.5
165-11LAFSUAttack errMarlee Ervin+0.6
176-11FSULAKillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
186-12LAFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.6
197-12FSULAServe errFSU server+0.5
207-13LAFSUAttack errSarah Schnellblk Kyleene Filimaua, Delaney Ewing+0.6
217-14FSUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.6
228-14FSULAKillMarlee Ervinset Kennedy Gustafson+0.3
238-15LAFSUAttack errHarley Krause+0.4
249-15FSULA×4Attack errBailey Higginsblk Harley Krause+0.3
2510-15LALA×4Attack errKyleene Filimaua+0.7
2611-15LALA×4Attack errKyleene Filimauablk Emily Williams, Sarah Schnell+1.0
2712-15LALA×4Attack errNenu Kpeablk Harley Krause+1.5
2812-16LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+1.2
2913-16FSULAAttack errEmily Williams+1.1
3013-17LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.2
3113-18FSUFSUKillPayton Whalenset Callie Kieffer+1.3
3214-18FSULA×3KillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+0.6
3315-18LALA×3AceLA serveraced Payton Whalen+1.5
3416-18LALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.3
3516-19LAFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+1.9
3617-19FSULA×3KillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+1.7
3718-19LALA×3AceLA serveraced Payton Whalen+3.6
3819-19LALA×3Attack errLolo Lambert+5.1
3919-20LAFSU×3Serve errLA server+3.6
4019-21FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimaua+4.7
4119-22FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+3.4
4220-22FSULAServe errFSU server+1.5
4320-23LAFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.2
4420-24FSUFSUKillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.6
4521-24FSULAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.3
4622-24LALAAttack errKyleene Filimauablk Sarah Schnell, Lindsey Henry+1.2
4722-25LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.9
Set 3
10-1FSUFSU×3Attack errSarah Schnell+2.0
20-2FSUFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.8
30-3FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.5
41-3FSULAAttack errSofia Moss+1.0
51-4LAFSUServe errLA server+1.0
62-4FSULAServe errFSU server+1.1
73-4LALAAceLA serveraced Victoria David+1.9
83-5LAFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.3
93-6FSUFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.7
103-7FSUFSU×4KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.4
113-8FSUFSU×4KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.1
124-8FSULAKillMarlee Ervinset Emily Williams+0.7
134-9LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
145-9FSULAKillMarlee Ervinset Kennedy Gustafson+0.7
155-10LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.7
165-11FSUFSUAttack errEmily Williams+0.8
176-11FSULAServe errFSU server+0.5
186-12LAFSU×3Serve errLA server+0.5
196-13FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.6
206-14FSUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Kyleene Filimaua+0.3
217-14FSULAServe errFSU server+0.2
227-15LAFSUKillSofia Mossset Kyleene Filimaua+0.2
238-15FSULAServe errFSU server+0.2
248-16LAFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.2
258-17FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.2
269-17FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
2710-17LALAAttack errLexie Mason+0.2
2810-18LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.2
2911-18FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
3012-18LALAKillMarlee Ervinset Rhyan Miciotto+0.3
3112-19LAFSUAttack errMarlee Ervin+0.3
3213-19FSULAAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.2
3313-20LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.2
3414-20FSULAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
3514-21LAFSUServe errLA server+0.2
3614-22FSUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Callie Kieffer+0.1
3715-22FSULAServe errFSU server+0.0
3815-23LAFSUAttack errSarah Schnell+0.1
3916-23FSULA×3Serve errFSU server+0.0
4017-23LALA×3Attack errDelaney Ewing+0.1
4118-23LALA×3KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
4218-24LAFSUAttack errSarah Schnell+0.2
4319-24FSULA×3KillMarlee Ervinset Rhyan Miciotto+0.0
4420-24LALA×3KillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
4521-24LALA×3AceLA serveraced Team+0.4
4621-25LAFSUAttack errLolo Lambertblk Lexie Mason, Delaney Ewing+0.6
Set 4
10-1LAFSU×5KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.0
20-2FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.3
30-3FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpea+1.1
40-4FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.9
50-5FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.8
61-5FSULAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
71-6LAFSUKillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+0.5
82-6FSULAKillLindsey Henryset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
92-7LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.5
103-7FSULAAttack errNenu Kpea+0.5
113-8LAFSUAttack errSarah Schnell+0.5
124-8FSULAKillRhyan Miciottoset Kennedy Gustafson+0.5
135-8LALAAttack errBailey Higgins+1.0
145-9LAFSUServe errLA server+0.7
156-9FSULAKillMarlee Ervinset Rhyan Miciotto+0.7
166-10LAFSUKillSofia Mossset Sofia Moss+0.7
177-10FSULABad setMaile Chan+0.7
187-11LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
197-12FSUFSUKillLexie Masonset Maile Chan+0.9
208-12FSULAKillLindsey Henryset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
218-13LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.6
228-14FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.6
239-14FSULAServe errFSU server+0.3
2410-14LALAKillLolo Lambertset Lindsey Henry+0.7
2510-15LAFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.6
2611-15FSULAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
2711-16LAFSUKillBailey Higginsset Callie Kieffer+0.6
2811-17FSUFSUAttack errSarah Schnell+0.6
2912-17FSULA×3Serve errFSU server+0.3
3013-17LALA×3Serve errLA server+0.7
3114-17LALA×3KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.0
3214-18LAFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.9
3315-18FSULAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.7
3416-18LALAKillSarah Schnellset Marlee Ervin+1.6
3516-19LAFSUServe errLA server+1.3
3617-19FSULAKillRhyan Miciotto+1.1
3717-20LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.4
3818-20FSULAKillMarlee Ervinset Kennedy Gustafson+1.1
3919-20LALAKillLolo Lambert+2.6
4019-21LAFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.1
4120-21FSULAServe errFSU server+1.9
4220-22LAFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+2.3
4320-23FSUFSU×3AceFSU serveraced Team+2.4
4420-24FSUFSU×3Attack errEmily Williamsblk Nenu Kpea+1.1
4521-24FSULAServe errFSU server+0.2
4622-24LALAAttack errNenu Kpea+0.8
4722-25LAFSUKillBailey Higginsset Callie Kieffer+1.3

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.