FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

Butler def. Youngstown St. 3–0

Butler beat visiting Youngstown St. 3-0 (25-19, 25-12, 25-21) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Butler's Elise Ward led with 12 kills, and Jersey Loyer added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set123Sets
YSU1912210
BUTLER2525253

Win probability

Butler above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% BUTLERrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Butler — set 1, YSU 18-20 BUTLER. Kill by Elise Ward (set by Kaylee Finnegan). BUTLER win probability 78% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 23.1%76.9% BUTLER

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.8%
3-2
11.3%

Butler wins

3-0
28.6%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
19.0%
YSU break %
39.5% vs this opp
BUTLER break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Elise WardKill+3.4%

    Kill by Elise Ward (set by Kaylee Finnegan)

    Set 1 · YSU 18-20 BUTLER · BUTLER 78% → 82%

  2. 02
    Ava StrattonAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Ava Stratton

    Set 1 · YSU 18-21 BUTLER · BUTLER 82% → 84%

  3. 03
    Zoe McDonaldKill+2.7%

    Kill by Zoe McDonald (set by Kaylee Finnegan)

    Set 1 · YSU 18-19 BUTLER · BUTLER 76% → 78%

  4. 04
    Elise WardAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Elise Ward

    Set 1 · YSU 13-13 BUTLER · YSU 21% → 24%

  5. 05
    ButlerService error+2.6%

    Butler service error

    Set 1 · YSU 18-18 BUTLER · YSU 22% → 24%

  6. 06
    Raegan DurbinKill+2.5%

    Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Kaylee Finnegan)

    Set 1 · YSU 17-18 BUTLER · BUTLER 76% → 78%

  7. 07
    Ava StrattonKill+2.5%

    Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 1 · YSU 17-17 BUTLER · YSU 22% → 24%

  8. 08
    Maria NixKill+2.3%

    Kill by Maria Nix (set by Sarah Kempf)

    Set 1 · YSU 16-17 BUTLER · BUTLER 76% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34620-.100011502027
36312.250000300217
33214.07100010010.53.5
3104.250010100213
32420-.100000300002
1000–400000000
35215.200000420005
3001.0001300200000
3000–000510000
3000–100300000
2000–411100001
1113.00000000010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals221889.045223228426552
Butlerhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312221.4760004100012
39011.81800000010.59.5
37620.05000000031.58.5
36215.267101610006
3000–22001000000
1126-.167000000212
3507.71400000010.55.5
3000–5341500003
3001.0001501400000
27111.54511220010.58.5
23410-.100000110003
2000–101100000
Team totals5017102.324454943308475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 YSU · BUTLER 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 YSUBUTLER 6

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 YSUBUTLER 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 7 YSUBUTLER 5

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
0%0/5
2
41%7/17
46%6/13
3
41%7/17
22%2/9
4
71%5/7
36%4/11
5
56%5/9
38%3/8
6
36%4/11
29%2/7
All
47%35/74
32%17/53

Butler

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
50%6/12
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
70%7/10
73%19/26
4
67%6/9
14%1/7
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
80%4/5
60%6/10
All
68%36/53
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#YSU-BUTLERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BUTLERYSUAttack errZoe McDonald+1.5
21-1YSUBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Kaylee Finnegan+1.4
32-1BUTLERYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.5
42-2YSUBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.4
53-2BUTLERYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
64-2YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Ava Prince+2.2
74-3YSUBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Kaylee Finnegan+1.5
84-4BUTLERBUTLERBlockedAbbie Householderblk Carly Slusser, Maria Nix+2.1
95-4BUTLERYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+1.6
105-5YSUBUTLER×3KillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+1.5
115-6BUTLERBUTLER×3KillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+2.1
125-7BUTLERBUTLER×3KillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+1.9
136-7BUTLERYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+1.4
147-7YSUYSUAttack errRaegan Durbin+2.2
157-8YSUBUTLERAttack errAbbie Householder+1.6
168-8BUTLERYSUKillAbbie Householderset Ava Prince+1.7
178-9YSUBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Jersey Loyer+1.6
188-10BUTLERBUTLERAttack errKylie Surratt+2.1
199-10BUTLERYSUAttack errSawyer Jones+1.5
209-11YSUBUTLERBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald+1.6
219-12BUTLERBUTLERBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald+1.9
2210-12BUTLERYSUAttack errZoe McDonald+1.3
2311-12YSUYSUBlockedSawyer Jonesblk Layne Graffice+2.2
2411-13YSUBUTLERAttack errLayne Graffice+1.7
2512-13BUTLERYSUServe errButler+1.7
2613-13YSUYSUAttack errElise Ward+2.7
2713-14YSUBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+2.0
2814-14BUTLERYSUServe errButler+2.1
2914-15YSUBUTLERServe errYoungstown St.+2.1
3015-15BUTLERYSUKillKorina Barberset Ava Prince+2.2
3115-16YSUBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+2.2
3216-16BUTLERYSUServe errButler+2.3
3316-17YSUBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+2.3
3417-17BUTLERYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
3517-18YSUBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+2.5
3618-18BUTLERYSUServe errButler+2.6
3718-19YSUBUTLER×6KillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+2.7
3818-20BUTLERBUTLER×6KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+3.4
3918-21BUTLERBUTLER×6Attack errAva Stratton+2.7
4018-22BUTLERBUTLER×6KillSawyer Jonesset Jersey Loyer+1.8
4118-23BUTLERBUTLER×6KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
4218-24BUTLERBUTLER×6Attack errKylie Surratt+0.4
4319-24BUTLERYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+0.1
4419-25YSUBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+0.1
Set 2
10-1YSUBUTLER×3KillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
20-2BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Jersey Loyer+1.3
30-3BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errLayne Graffice+1.2
41-3BUTLERYSUBad setKaylee Finnegan+0.9
51-4YSUBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+0.9
61-5BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Jersey Loyer+1.1
71-6BUTLERBUTLER×3KillKaren Dutroset Ava Prince+0.9
82-6BUTLERYSUServe errButler+0.6
92-7YSUBUTLERBad setBrie Habeeb+0.7
103-7BUTLERYSUKillIsabelle Henryset Ava Prince+0.6
114-7YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Raegan Durbin+1.0
124-8YSUBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.8
134-9BUTLERBUTLERKillChase Lemming+0.9
145-9BUTLERYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.6
156-9YSUYSUAttack errChase Lemming+1.0
166-10YSUBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Sarah Kempf+0.8
176-11BUTLERBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Karen Dutro+1.0
187-11BUTLERYSUServe errButler+0.6
198-11YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Elise Ward+1.1
208-12YSUBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Sarah Kempf+0.9
218-13BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
228-14BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errAva Stratton+0.7
239-14BUTLERYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+0.4
249-15YSUBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Kaylee Finnegan+0.5
2510-15BUTLERYSUKillAbbie Householderset Ava Prince+0.4
2610-16YSUBUTLER×8KillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+0.5
2710-17BUTLERBUTLER×8Attack errKylie Surratt+0.5
2810-18BUTLERBUTLER×8KillKaren Dutroset Kaylee Finnegan+0.3
2910-19BUTLERBUTLER×8AceButleraced Brie Habeeb+0.2
3010-20BUTLERBUTLER×8KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+0.1
3110-21BUTLERBUTLER×8KillSawyer Jonesset Kaylee Finnegan·
3210-22BUTLERBUTLER×8KillElise Wardset Raegan Durbin·
3310-23BUTLERBUTLER×8BlockedKylie Surrattblk Sawyer Jones, Karen Dutro·
3411-23BUTLERYSUServe errButler·
3511-24YSUBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan·
3612-24BUTLERYSUKillKylie Surrattset Journey Nicola·
3712-25YSUBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf·
Set 3
11-0BUTLERYSU×7KillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+0.6
22-0YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.aced Chase Lemming+0.9
33-0YSUYSU×7BlockedSawyer Jonesblk Wrigley Takats, Korina Barber+0.9
44-0YSUYSU×7KillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+0.9
55-0YSUYSU×7Attack errSawyer Jones+0.9
66-0YSUYSU×7KillAbbie Householderset Ava Prince+0.8
77-0YSUYSU×7Attack errSawyer Jones+0.7
87-1YSUBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+0.4
98-1BUTLERYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+0.5
109-1YSUYSUAttack errChase Lemming+0.6
119-2YSUBUTLER×3KillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+0.3
129-3BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errWrigley Takats+0.6
139-4BUTLERBUTLER×3KillSawyer Jonesset Jersey Loyer+0.7
1410-4BUTLERYSUKillAbbie Householderset Ava Prince+0.6
1511-4YSUYSUBlockedChase Lemmingblk Ava Stratton, Isabelle Henry+0.7
1611-5YSUBUTLERServe errYoungstown St.+0.4
1712-5BUTLERYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.5
1813-5YSUYSU×3Attack errChase Lemming+0.6
1914-5YSUYSU×3BlockedKaren Dutroblk Layne Graffice+0.4
2014-6YSUBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Sarah Kempf+0.2
2114-7BUTLERBUTLERAttack errLayne Graffice+0.4
2215-7BUTLERYSUBlockedRaegan Durbinblk Ava Stratton, Isabelle Henry+0.4
2315-8YSUBUTLER×5KillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.2
2415-9BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errKorina Barber+0.5
2515-10BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errAva Stratton+0.6
2615-11BUTLERBUTLER×5KillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+0.8
2715-12BUTLERBUTLER×5AceButler+0.9
2816-12BUTLERYSUServe errButler+0.9
2916-13YSUBUTLER×4KillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+0.7
3016-14BUTLERBUTLER×4KillCarly Slusser+1.1
3116-15BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errKorina Barber+1.2
3216-16BUTLERBUTLER×4KillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+1.3
3317-16BUTLERYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+1.1
3417-17YSUBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Marin Thaxton+1.0
3518-17BUTLERYSUAttack errSawyer Jones+1.1
3618-18YSUBUTLER×4KillCarly Slusserset Kaylee Finnegan+1.1
3718-19BUTLERBUTLER×4KillSawyer Jones+1.5
3818-20BUTLERBUTLER×4AceButleraced Abbie Householder+1.4
3918-21BUTLERBUTLER×4AceButleraced Abbie Householder+1.1
4019-21BUTLERYSUServe errButler+0.6
4119-22YSUBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Kaylee Finnegan+0.8
4220-22BUTLERYSUAttack errElise Ward+0.6
4320-23YSUBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+0.9
4421-23BUTLERYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.5
4521-24YSUBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.9
4621-25BUTLERBUTLERAttack errLayne Graffice+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).