Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayHORIZON

1:3

HomeMAC

Ohio def. Youngstown St. 3–1

(25-21, 25-22, 21-25, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
YSU	21	22	25	12	1
OHIO	25	25	21	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

OHIO above 50 · YSU below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Ohio — set 2, YSU 21-23 OHIO. Kill by Olivia Gardner (set by Rowan Kelly). OHIO win probability 87% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

YSU 26.1%73.9% OHIO

Youngstown St. wins

3-0

4.7%

3-1

9.0%

3-2

12.4%

Ohio wins

3-0

26.2%

3-1

28.3%

3-2

19.5%

YSU break %: 39.3% vs this opp
OHIO break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Olivia GardnerKill+4.0%
Kill by Olivia Gardner (set by Rowan Kelly)
Set 2 · YSU 21-23 OHIO · OHIO 87% → 91%
02
YSU serverAce+3.9%
Youngstown St. ace on Torre Kildow
Set 2 · YSU 21-21 OHIO · YSU 12% → 16%
03
YSU serverService error+3.1%
Youngstown St. service error
Set 2 · YSU 21-22 OHIO · OHIO 84% → 87%
04
Torre KildowAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Torre Kildow
Set 1 · YSU 17-18 OHIO · YSU 20% → 23%
05
OHIO serverAce+2.8%
Ohio ace on Team
Set 1 · YSU 17-20 OHIO · OHIO 79% → 82%
06
Layne GrafficeAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Layne Graffice
Set 2 · YSU 21-24 OHIO · OHIO 91% → 94%
07
Rose MahinAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Rose Mahin
Set 2 · YSU 19-20 OHIO · YSU 10% → 12%
08
Ava StrattonKill+2.6%
Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Kameron Blizniak)
Set 4 · YSU 1-0 OHIO · YSU 14% → 16%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Youngstown St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Kylie SurrattOH	4	18	6	55	.218	0	1	4	1	0	0	2	1	20
22Layne GrafficeOH	4	8	6	35	.057	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	8
15Ava StrattonOH	4	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Isabelle HenryMB	4	3	1	16	.125	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	6
21Korina BarberOH	4	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
10Kameron BlizniakS	4	2	0	5	.400	31	2	2	8	0	0	0	0	4
9Journey NicolaDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	19	1	0	0	0	1
1Brie HabeebDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
2Ava PrinceS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
8Juliana RiveraDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	0
23Abbie HouseholderOH	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Wrigley TakatsMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Ashlee GnauL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	18	147	.177	37	5	9	57	8	3	6	6	80

Ohiohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Torre KildowOH	4	19	2	34	.500	2	3	0	9	2	1	1	1.5	23.5
17Bailey BlairOPP	4	12	6	32	.188	0	1	2	12	0	0	2	1	14
10Rowan KellyS	4	6	0	9	.667	39	0	0	11	0	0	4	2	8
23Olivia GardnerMB	3	6	5	19	.053	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
7Rose MahinOH	3	6	4	20	.100	3	0	2	10	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Emily WaddellMB	3	4	1	14	.214	1	0	2	2	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
22Lacy MarxL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	3	20	0	0	0	0	0
2Kendall HickeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Cienna LapsleyMB	2	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
3Gentry BrownOH	2	3	0	10	.300	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	3
18Lillie MeinhartS	2	0	0	0	–	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
16Darbi RickettsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
6Caroline CurranL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	19	145	.283	57	8	11	72	5	4	16	12	96

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 YSU · OHIO 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 YSUOHIO 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 YSUOHIO 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 YSUOHIO 4

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 YSUOHIO 5

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Youngstown St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%11/17	40%6/15
2	77%10/13	39%7/18
3	42%8/19	40%6/15
4	50%8/16	20%2/10
5	39%7/18	33%4/12
6	58%7/12	36%4/11
All	54%51/95	36%29/81

Ohio

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	40%6/15
2	69%9/13	23%3/13
3	69%9/13	44%7/16
4	62%8/13	50%8/16
5	73%8/11	58%11/19
6	70%7/10	56%9/16
All	64%52/81	46%44/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#	YSU-OHIO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.6
2	1-1	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Rose Mahin	+1.5
3	2-1	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Bailey Blair	blk Isabelle Henry	+1.6
4	3-1	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+2.3
5	3-2	YSU	OHIO×5	Serve err	YSU server		+1.5
6	3-3	OHIO	OHIO×5	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rose Mahin	+2.2
7	3-4	OHIO	OHIO×5	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+2.1
8	3-5	OHIO	OHIO×5	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+2.0
9	3-6	OHIO	OHIO×5	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.8
10	4-6	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+1.2
11	4-7	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
12	5-7	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.3
13	5-8	YSU	OHIO×4	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
14	5-9	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
15	5-10	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Rose Mahin	+1.3
16	5-11	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.1
17	6-11	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Ava Prince	+0.6
18	6-12	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
19	7-12	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+0.6
20	7-13	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
21	7-14	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Kylie Surratt	blk Olivia Gardner, Rowan Kelly	+0.8
22	8-14	OHIO	YSU×4	Serve err	OHIO server		+0.4
23	9-14	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+0.8
24	10-14	YSU	YSU×4	Ace	YSU server	aced Rose Mahin	+1.1
25	11-14	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+1.5
26	11-15	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
27	12-15	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.1
28	12-16	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+1.3
29	13-16	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.1
30	14-16	YSU	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber		+2.1
31	14-17	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+1.8
32	14-18	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Korina Barber	blk Emily Waddell	+2.0
33	15-18	OHIO	YSU×3	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.1
34	16-18	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	YSU server	aced Rose Mahin	+2.2
35	17-18	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+3.0
36	17-19	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+2.4
37	17-20	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	OHIO server	aced Team	+2.8
38	18-20	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+1.6
39	18-21	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Lacy Marx	+2.1
40	19-21	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+1.6
41	19-22	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+2.2
42	19-23	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.9
43	20-23	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.6
44	21-23	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Olivia Gardner	blk Isabelle Henry	+1.8
45	21-24	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+2.3
46	21-25	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair		+1.1
Set 2
1	0-1	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.1
2	1-1	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.2
3	1-2	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.1
4	2-2	OHIO	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.2
5	3-2	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.8
6	4-2	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Olivia Gardner	blk Korina Barber	+1.9
7	4-3	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
8	5-3	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Rose Mahin	+1.4
9	6-3	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.0
10	6-4	YSU	OHIO×4	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
11	6-5	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Rowan Kelly		+1.9
12	6-6	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.9
13	6-7	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.8
14	7-7	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.4
15	7-8	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
16	7-9	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	OHIO server	aced Brie Habeeb	+1.8
17	8-9	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
18	8-10	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
19	9-10	OHIO	YSU×3	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
20	10-10	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	YSU server	aced Rose Mahin	+2.1
21	11-10	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Rose Mahin	blk Isabelle Henry, Ava Stratton	+2.3
22	11-11	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
23	12-11	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.7
24	12-12	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+1.6
25	13-12	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.8
26	13-13	YSU	OHIO×4	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.7
27	13-14	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Layne Graffice		+2.4
28	13-15	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+2.2
29	13-16	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.9
30	14-16	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.2
31	14-17	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.4
32	14-18	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Korina Barber	blk Torre Kildow	+1.6
33	15-18	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kameron Blizniak	set Juliana Rivera	+0.9
34	15-19	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+1.1
35	16-19	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
36	17-19	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.8
37	17-20	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Torre Kildow	+1.6
38	18-20	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.3
39	19-20	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+2.6
40	19-21	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Torre Kildow	+2.3
41	20-21	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.0
42	21-21	YSU	YSU	Ace	YSU server	aced Torre Kildow	+3.9
43	21-22	YSU	OHIO×3	Serve err	YSU server		+3.1
44	21-23	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+4.0
45	21-24	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Layne Graffice		+2.6
46	22-24	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.7
47	22-25	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
Set 3
1	1-0	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kameron Blizniak	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
2	1-1	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Cienna Lapsley	set Rowan Kelly	+0.6
3	2-1	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.7
4	3-1	YSU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton		+1.0
5	3-2	YSU	OHIO	Attack err	Layne Graffice	blk Cienna Lapsley, Rose Mahin	+0.7
6	3-3	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Ava Stratton	blk Cienna Lapsley, Torre Kildow	+0.9
7	4-3	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+0.7
8	4-4	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
9	4-5	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Layne Graffice	blk Olivia Gardner, Bailey Blair	+0.9
10	5-5	OHIO	YSU×3	Bad set	Rose Mahin		+0.7
11	6-5	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+1.0
12	7-5	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.1
13	7-6	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+0.7
14	8-6	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
15	8-7	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
16	9-7	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
17	10-7	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.2
18	10-8	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
19	10-9	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	OHIO server	aced Layne Graffice	+1.1
20	11-9	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
21	11-10	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+0.8
22	12-10	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
23	13-10	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
24	13-11	YSU	OHIO	Attack err	Ava Stratton	blk Cienna Lapsley, Bailey Blair	+0.8
25	14-11	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
26	14-12	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.8
27	15-12	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+1.0
28	15-13	YSU	OHIO	Attack err	Layne Graffice	blk Olivia Gardner	+0.8
29	15-14	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
30	16-14	OHIO	YSU×4	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Juliana Rivera	+1.1
31	17-14	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Olivia Gardner	blk Kylie Surratt, Korina Barber	+1.5
32	18-14	YSU	YSU×4	Kill	Kylie Surratt		+1.3
33	19-14	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.1
34	19-15	YSU	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
35	19-16	OHIO	OHIO×4	Ace	OHIO server	aced Team	+1.0
36	19-17	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Kylie Surratt	blk Olivia Gardner, Rowan Kelly	+1.3
37	19-18	OHIO	OHIO×4	Bad set	Kameron Blizniak		+1.6
38	20-18	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.4
39	21-18	YSU	YSU	Ace	YSU server	aced Torre Kildow	+1.8
40	21-19	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Rowan Kelly	+0.9
41	21-20	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Gentry Brown	+1.7
42	22-20	OHIO	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.7
43	23-20	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.0
44	24-20	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Cienna Lapsley		+1.2
45	24-21	YSU	OHIO	Serve err	YSU server		+0.2
46	25-21	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Bailey Blair	blk Kylie Surratt, Isabelle Henry	+0.6
Set 4
1	1-0	YSU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.6
2	1-1	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.8
3	2-1	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.9
4	2-2	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Cienna Lapsley	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.8
5	3-2	OHIO	YSU	Attack err	Emily Waddell		+2.0
6	3-3	YSU	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Lacy Marx	+1.9
7	3-4	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Korina Barber	blk Emily Waddell	+2.5
8	3-5	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Layne Graffice	blk Emily Waddell, Rowan Kelly	+2.4
9	3-6	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Emily Waddell	+2.2
10	4-6	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+1.5
11	4-7	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
12	5-7	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.5
13	5-8	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
14	5-9	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Isabelle Henry		+2.0
15	6-9	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
16	6-10	YSU	OHIO×3	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Lacy Marx	+1.4
17	6-11	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+1.6
18	6-12	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	OHIO server	aced Journey Nicola	+1.3
19	7-12	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+0.7
20	7-13	YSU	OHIO×3	Kill	Cienna Lapsley	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.9
21	7-14	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.9
22	7-15	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.6
23	8-15	OHIO	YSU	Serve err	OHIO server		+0.3
24	8-16	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.4
25	9-16	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.3
26	10-16	YSU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
27	10-17	YSU	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.6
28	11-17	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.4
29	11-18	YSU	OHIO×3	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
30	11-19	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	OHIO server	aced Juliana Rivera	+0.4
31	11-20	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+0.2
32	12-20	OHIO	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
33	12-21	YSU	OHIO×5	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Lacy Marx	+0.1
34	12-22	OHIO	OHIO×5	Attack err	Kylie Surratt	blk Rowan Kelly, Cienna Lapsley	+0.1
35	12-23	OHIO	OHIO×5	Ace	OHIO server	aced Juliana Rivera	+0.0
36	12-24	OHIO	OHIO×5	Kill	Cienna Lapsley	set Rowan Kelly	+0.0
37	12-25	OHIO	OHIO×5	Ace	OHIO server	aced Isabelle Henry	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.