Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

3:1

HomeSOUTHLAND

Louisiana def. Southeastern La. 3–1

(20-25, 27-25, 25-12, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
LA	20	27	25	25	3
SE LA	25	25	12	17	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SE LA above 50 · LA below

Biggest swing: 12.1% to Southeastern La. — set 2, LA 24-25 SE LA. Attack error by Lolo Lambert. SE LA win probability 52% → 64%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LA 70.9%29.1% SE LA

Louisiana wins

3-0

23.9%

3-1

27.2%

3-2

19.8%

Southeastern La. wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.2%

3-2

13.5%

LA break %: 43.5% vs this opp
SE LA break %: 39.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lolo LambertAttack error+12.1%
Attack error by Lolo Lambert
Set 2 · LA 24-25 SE LA · SE LA 52% → 64%
02
Sophia ArmstrongKill+11.3%
Kill by Sophia Armstrong (set by Ryleigh Garis)
Set 2 · LA 26-25 SE LA · LA 45% → 56%
03
Melina GonzalezAttack error+10.2%
Attack error by Melina Gonzalez
Set 2 · LA 27-25 SE LA · LA 56% → 67%
04
Emily WilliamsKill+8.7%
Kill by Emily Williams (set by Rhyan Miciotto)
Set 2 · LA 25-25 SE LA · LA 36% → 45%
05
Lolo LambertKill+7.9%
Kill by Lolo Lambert (set by Ryleigh Garis)
Set 2 · LA 24-23 SE LA · LA 48% → 56%
06
Keira BeverlyKill+7.9%
Kill by Keira Beverly (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · LA 24-24 SE LA · SE LA 44% → 52%
07
Keira BeverlyKill+7.4%
Kill by Keira Beverly (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · LA 22-22 SE LA · SE LA 44% → 52%
08
Lolo LambertKill+6.3%
Kill by Lolo Lambert (set by Rhyan Miciotto)
Set 2 · LA 23-22 SE LA · LA 48% → 55%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Louisianaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lolo LambertOH	4	19	6	39	.333	0	2	4	12	0	1	1	1.5	22.5
11Emily WilliamsMB	4	7	3	11	.364	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	3.5	10.5
6Marlee ErvinOH	4	9	5	31	.129	1	0	0	5	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Lindsey HenryMB	4	2	0	5	.400	1	1	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
9Rhyan MiciottoS	4	0	1	3	-.333	25	1	3	12	0	0	0	0	1
21Sarah SchnellOPP	2	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
15Taylor GainesOH	4	6	1	13	.385	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
0Sophia ArmstrongDS	4	1	0	1	1.000	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	0	3
18Kennedy GustafsonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	2	2	19	0	0	0	0	2
12Ryleigh GarisS	4	1	1	3	.000	17	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
1Harley KrauseOH	3	9	1	24	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
Team totals		56	21	140	.250	54	8	13	63	2	2	16	10	97

Southeastern La.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Kyra McKelveyOPP	4	16	4	33	.364	0	0	0	7	0	0	3	1.5	17.5
2Abby BaileyOH	4	7	8	31	-.032	1	0	1	10	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Ainsley DriskaMB	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
13Keira BeverlyMB	3	5	1	16	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
12Ashley RichardsonS	3	3	1	6	.333	29	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	4
19Gracie MannOH	3	0	5	12	-.417	2	0	0	5	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
15Lauren OssmannS	4	2	0	3	.667	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
10Gracie BrownMB	4	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1
1Brea PayneS	4	0	1	2	-.500	9	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
23Audrey VielguthL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	3	0	0	0	0
21Kaelyn SharpL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	0
14Claire KingMB	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Melina GonzalezOH	3	0	2	5	-.400	0	1	0	8	1	0	0	0	1
5Mina PetrovicOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	27	136	.110	42	2	4	51	8	2	10	7	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 LA · SE LA 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 LASE LA 3

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 3 LASE LA 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 LASE LA 2

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 7 LASE LA 6

Bars above the line = Southeastern La. leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	48%10/21	53%9/17
2	69%9/13	47%9/19
3	56%9/16	47%8/17
4	89%8/9	47%7/15
5	78%7/9	42%5/12
6	50%6/12	63%10/16
All	61%49/80	50%48/96

Southeastern La.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%10/17	47%7/15
2	53%9/17	55%11/20
3	69%9/13	18%2/11
4	39%7/18	40%6/15
5	70%7/10	13%1/8
6	29%6/21	36%4/11
All	50%48/96	39%31/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#	LA-SE LA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Sarah Schnell	blk Kyra McKelvey, Ainsley Driska	+2.3
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Marlee Ervin	+2.4
3	1-2	SE LA	LA×4	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.6
4	2-2	LA	LA×4	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.3
5	3-2	LA	LA×4	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+2.2
6	4-2	LA	LA×4	Kill	Lindsey Henry		+2.1
7	4-3	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+1.5
8	5-3	SE LA	LA	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+1.5
9	5-4	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.5
10	6-4	SE LA	LA	Bad set	Gracie Mann		+1.5
11	6-5	LA	SE LA	Attack err	Emily Williams	blk Abby Bailey, Keira Beverly	+1.5
12	6-6	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Lolo Lambert		+2.4
13	7-6	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Kennedy Gustafson	+1.7
14	7-7	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Mann	+1.8
15	8-7	SE LA	LA	Attack err	Gracie Mann	blk Emily Williams, Taylor Gaines	+1.8
16	8-8	LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Ryleigh Garis		+1.9
17	8-9	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Ashley Richardson	+2.8
18	8-10	SE LA	SE LA×3	Bad set	Ryleigh Garis		+3.0
19	9-10	SE LA	LA	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Ryleigh Garis	+1.9
20	9-11	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.2
21	10-11	SE LA	LA	Bad set	Ashley Richardson		+2.0
22	11-11	LA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.9
23	11-12	LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.3
24	11-13	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+3.3
25	11-14	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+3.2
26	12-14	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.9
27	12-15	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.4
28	12-16	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Lolo Lambert		+3.1
29	13-16	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.7
30	13-17	LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+2.2
31	14-17	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+1.7
32	14-18	LA	SE LA	Attack err	Lolo Lambert		+2.3
33	14-19	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Emily Williams		+2.5
34	15-19	SE LA	LA×3	Attack err	Claire King		+1.1
35	16-19	LA	LA×3	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Kennedy Gustafson	+2.3
36	17-19	LA	LA×3	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Ryleigh Garis	+3.1
37	17-20	LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+3.0
38	17-21	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+3.3
39	18-21	SE LA	LA	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+1.4
40	19-21	LA	LA	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+3.1
41	19-22	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+3.3
42	19-23	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+3.2
43	20-23	SE LA	LA	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.0
44	20-24	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.0
45	20-25	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.9
Set 2
1	0-1	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Mann	+2.1
2	1-1	SE LA	LA×3	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+2.0
3	2-1	LA	LA×3	Ace	LA server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+2.8
4	3-1	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+2.6
5	3-2	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+1.9
6	4-2	SE LA	LA	Kill	Sarah Schnell	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.9
7	4-3	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.9
8	5-3	SE LA	LA	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.9
9	6-3	LA	LA	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Emily Williams, Taylor Gaines	+2.5
10	6-4	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.7
11	7-4	SE LA	LA	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Kennedy Gustafson	+1.8
12	8-4	LA	LA	Attack err	Abby Bailey	blk Taylor Gaines, Emily Williams	+2.3
13	8-5	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.5
14	9-5	SE LA	LA	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Ryleigh Garis	+1.6
15	9-6	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+1.5
16	10-6	SE LA	LA	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Ryleigh Garis	+1.6
17	10-7	LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Sarah Schnell	blk Gracie Mann, Ainsley Driska	+1.5
18	10-8	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Sarah Schnell		+2.6
19	10-9	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+3.1
20	11-9	SE LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.3
21	11-10	LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+2.3
22	12-10	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.4
23	13-10	LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+3.0
24	13-11	LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+2.0
25	13-12	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Lolo Lambert	blk Keira Beverly, Kyra McKelvey	+3.4
26	13-13	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+4.0
27	14-13	SE LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.9
28	15-13	LA	LA	Attack err	Keira Beverly	blk Lolo Lambert	+3.8
29	15-14	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.6
30	16-14	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.8
31	16-15	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.7
32	17-15	SE LA	LA	Serve err	SE LA server		+3.0
33	17-16	LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Lauren Ossmann	set Brea Payne	+2.8
34	17-17	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Taylor Gaines	blk Gracie Mann	+4.8
35	17-18	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+5.5
36	18-18	SE LA	LA	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Ryleigh Garis	+3.7
37	18-19	LA	SE LA	Kill	Lauren Ossmann	set Brea Payne	+4.3
38	19-19	SE LA	LA	Serve err	SE LA server		+4.0
39	20-19	LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Kennedy Gustafson	+6.0
40	20-20	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+4.3
41	21-20	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+4.7
42	22-20	LA	LA	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+6.1
43	22-21	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+3.5
44	22-22	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+7.4
45	23-22	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+6.3
46	23-23	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+6.1
47	24-23	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+7.9
48	24-24	LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+7.9
49	24-25	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Lolo Lambert		+12.1
50	25-25	SE LA	LA×3	Kill	Emily Williams	set Rhyan Miciotto	+8.7
51	26-25	LA	LA×3	Kill	Sophia Armstrong	set Ryleigh Garis	+11.3
52	27-25	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+10.2
Set 3
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+3.2
2	1-1	SE LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.2
3	2-1	LA	LA	Ace	LA server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+3.1
4	2-2	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.2
5	2-3	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+3.4
6	3-3	SE LA	LA	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Lindsey Henry	+2.3
7	3-4	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.5
8	4-4	SE LA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.4
9	4-5	LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+2.5
10	5-5	SE LA	LA×3	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.4
11	6-5	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Brea Payne		+3.4
12	7-5	LA	LA×3	Ace	LA server	aced Team	+3.2
13	7-6	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.2
14	8-6	SE LA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.3
15	8-7	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.3
16	9-7	SE LA	LA×7	Kill	Lindsey Henry	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.4
17	10-7	LA	LA×7	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+3.1
18	11-7	LA	LA×7	Ace	LA server	aced Kaelyn Sharp	+2.6
19	12-7	LA	LA×7	Attack err	Ashley Richardson		+2.2
20	13-7	LA	LA×7	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.7
21	14-7	LA	LA×7	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.2
22	15-7	LA	LA×7	Attack err	Ainsley Driska	blk Lolo Lambert, Lindsey Henry	+0.8
23	15-8	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+0.4
24	16-8	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.5
25	16-9	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+0.3
26	17-9	SE LA	LA×5	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.5
27	18-9	LA	LA×5	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.4
28	19-9	LA	LA×5	Kill	Harley Krause	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.2
29	20-9	LA	LA×5	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Marlee Ervin, Emily Williams	+0.1
30	21-9	LA	LA×5	Attack err	Claire King	blk Emily Williams	+0.0
31	21-10	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
32	21-11	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Marlee Ervin		+0.0
33	22-11	SE LA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Rhyan Miciotto	+0.0
34	22-12	LA	SE LA	Kill	Mina Petrovic	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
35	23-12	SE LA	LA×3	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.0
36	24-12	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Mina Petrovic	blk Taylor Gaines, Emily Williams	+0.0
37	25-12	LA	LA×3	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Kennedy Gustafson	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Rhyan Miciotto	+2.5
2	1-1	LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+1.8
3	1-2	SE LA	SE LA×6	Attack err	Harley Krause		+2.8
4	1-3	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Claire King	set Brea Payne	+2.9
5	1-4	SE LA	SE LA×6	Ace	SE LA server	aced Marlee Ervin	+3.0
6	1-5	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+2.9
7	1-6	SE LA	SE LA×6	Attack err	Lolo Lambert	blk Kyra McKelvey, Claire King	+2.8
8	2-6	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.6
9	2-7	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+2.0
10	3-7	SE LA	LA×3	Attack err	Abby Bailey	blk Lindsey Henry, Harley Krause	+1.6
11	4-7	LA	LA×3	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+2.6
12	5-7	LA	LA×3	Ace	LA server	aced Melina Gonzalez	+2.9
13	5-8	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+2.3
14	5-9	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Emily Williams	blk Gracie Brown	+3.2
15	6-9	SE LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Marlee Ervin	+1.9
16	7-9	LA	LA	Attack err	Gracie Brown		+3.0
17	7-10	LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Lauren Ossmann	+2.5
18	8-10	SE LA	LA	Kill	Emily Williams	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.1
19	8-11	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+2.5
20	9-11	SE LA	LA×7	Serve err	SE LA server		+2.2
21	10-11	LA	LA×7	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Ryleigh Garis	+3.4
22	11-11	LA	LA×7	Kill	Ryleigh Garis	set Taylor Gaines	+3.5
23	12-11	LA	LA×7	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Kyra McKelvey	+3.5
24	13-11	LA	LA×7	Ace	LA server	aced Abby Bailey	+3.3
25	14-11	LA	LA×7	Ace	LA server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+2.9
26	15-11	LA	LA×7	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez	blk Lindsey Henry, Taylor Gaines	+2.4
27	15-12	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+1.4
28	15-13	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+2.7
29	16-13	SE LA	LA	Kill	Taylor Gaines	set Ryleigh Garis	+2.2
30	17-13	LA	LA	Kill	Harley Krause	set Kennedy Gustafson	+2.5
31	17-14	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+1.4
32	18-14	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.8
33	19-14	LA	LA	Ace	LA server	aced Kaelyn Sharp	+1.8
34	19-15	LA	SE LA	Serve err	LA server		+0.9
35	20-15	SE LA	LA	Kill	Lolo Lambert	set Rhyan Miciotto	+1.2
36	20-16	LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.8
37	20-17	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Rhyan Miciotto		+1.8
38	21-17	SE LA	LA×5	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+1.8
39	22-17	LA	LA×5	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+1.6
40	23-17	LA	LA×5	Kill	Marlee Ervin	set Taylor Gaines	+0.7
41	24-17	LA	LA×5	Kill	Emily Williams	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.2
42	25-17	LA	LA×5	Kill	Emily Williams	set Ryleigh Garis	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.