Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

Youngstown St. def. Winthrop 3–1

Youngstown St. beat Winthrop 3-1 (18-25, 25-19, 25-20, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Layne Graffice led Youngstown St. with 15 kills; Winthrop's Paige Bennett had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
YSU182525253
WINTHR251920221

Win probability

Winthrop above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.6% YSUrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.6% to Youngstown St. — set 4, YSU 24-22 WINTHR. Paige Bennett stuffed by Wrigley Takats & Isabelle Henry. WINTHR win probability 20% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 33.1%66.9% WINTHR

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
6.6%
3-1
11.8%
3-2
14.7%

Winthrop wins

3-0
21.2%
3-1
25.7%
3-2
20.0%
YSU break %
40.7% vs this opp
WINTHR break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Paige Bennett stuffed by Wrigley Takats & Isabelle Henry

    Set 4 · YSU 24-22 WINTHR · YSU 80% → 92%

  2. 02
    Paige BennettKill+10.1%

    Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 4 · YSU 22-22 WINTHR · WINTHR 19% → 29%

  3. 03

    Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 4 · YSU 23-22 WINTHR · YSU 71% → 80%

  4. 04
    Youngstown St.Ace+7.5%

    Youngstown St. ace

    Set 4 · YSU 25-22 WINTHR · YSU 92% → 100%

  5. 05
    WinthropAce+7.4%

    Winthrop ace

    Set 4 · YSU 22-21 WINTHR · WINTHR 12% → 19%

  6. 06
    Giselle LittleAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Giselle Little

    Set 4 · YSU 20-17 WINTHR · YSU 81% → 88%

  7. 07
    Ava StrattonKill+5.6%

    Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 4 · YSU 22-19 WINTHR · YSU 86% → 92%

  8. 08
    Ava StrattonKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 4 · YSU 19-17 WINTHR · YSU 76% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415341.2930136000016
411228.32100030010.511.5
45111.364213100217
4319.222100001436
4000–2832400003
4001.000000420000
411331.25813290111.515.5
47022.3180004014310
4001.00016101800001
4001.0001021300000
Team totals5210145.29049912623312993
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417836.250202170010.517.5
411220.45000000010.511.5
46317.17630220031.57.5
43211.0914801180010.53.5
4001.000010600001
36119.263000000006
48528.107000230008
4000–0221210002
4002.0005021910000
28015.533000000219
1012-.500000000000
Team totals5922151.245583976908486

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 YSU · WINTHR 4

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 YSUWINTHR 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 YSUWINTHR 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 YSUWINTHR 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 YSUWINTHR 3

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
33%4/12
2
53%8/15
25%3/12
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
75%6/8
45%5/11
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
75%6/8
40%4/10
All
62%41/66
40%27/68

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
50%7/14
2
80%8/10
43%6/14
3
50%6/12
50%8/16
4
50%6/12
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
55%6/11
14%1/7
All
60%41/68
38%25/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#YSU-WINTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.7
22-0YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Addison Torain+2.4
32-1YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+1.7
43-1WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+1.8
53-2YSUWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
63-3WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedLayne Grafficeblk Lexi Thatcher, Teagan Sychterz+2.4
73-4WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
83-5WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLexi Thatcherset Paige Bennett+2.3
94-5WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+1.6
105-5YSUYSUAttack errLexi Thatcher+2.4
115-6YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+1.8
126-6WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+1.9
137-6YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+2.7
147-7YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+1.9
158-7WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+2.1
168-8YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
179-8WINTHRYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.1
1810-8YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
1910-9YSUWINTHR×4KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
2010-10WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWinthropaced Abbie Householder+2.9
2110-11WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+2.9
2210-12WINTHRWINTHR×4Bad setKameron Blizniak+2.8
2311-12WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.0
2411-13YSUWINTHR×3Serve errYoungstown St.+2.1
2511-14WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errIsabelle Henry+2.6
2611-15WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.2
2712-15WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
2812-16YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
2912-17WINTHRWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
3013-17WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+1.0
3113-18YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+1.2
3214-18WINTHRYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+0.9
3315-18YSUYSUAttack errTeagan Sychterz+1.8
3415-19YSUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
3516-19WINTHRYSUAttack errPaige Bennett+1.3
3616-20YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
3717-20WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
3817-21YSUWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
3917-22WINTHRWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
4017-23WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errLayne Graffice+0.7
4118-23WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+0.2
4218-24YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
4318-25WINTHRWINTHRBad setKameron Blizniak+0.1
Set 2
11-0YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+2.0
21-1YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.4
32-1WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.5
42-2YSUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Teagan Sychterz+1.4
53-2WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.5
63-3YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Teagan Sychterz+1.5
73-4WINTHRWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
84-4WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kylie Surratt+1.5
95-4YSUYSUAttack errReece Rhoads+2.2
105-5YSUWINTHRAttack errKylie Surratt+1.6
116-5WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+1.7
126-6YSUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
137-6WINTHRYSU×3Serve errWinthrop+1.7
148-6YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Reece Rhoads+2.4
159-6YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Addison Torain+2.4
169-7YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
1710-7WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
1810-8YSUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+1.6
1910-9WINTHRWINTHRBlockedAva Strattonblk Paige Bennett+2.4
2011-9WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
2111-10YSUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
2212-10WINTHRYSUAttack errPaige Bennett+2.0
2312-11YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
2413-11WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+2.1
2514-11YSUYSUBad setLexi Thatcher+2.8
2614-12YSUWINTHR×3Serve errYoungstown St.+1.7
2714-13WINTHRWINTHR×3KillLexi Thatcher+2.7
2814-14WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+2.9
2915-14WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+2.3
3016-14YSUYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Isabelle Henry+3.2
3116-15YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+2.1
3217-15WINTHRYSU×3BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Wrigley Takats, Korina Barber+2.5
3318-15YSUYSU×3BlockedPaige Bennettblk Korina Barber+3.2
3419-15YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Reece Rhoads+2.8
3519-16YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.4
3619-17WINTHRWINTHRAttack errKylie Surratt+2.6
3720-17WINTHRYSUBlockedLaila Gloverblk Kylie Surratt+2.6
3820-18YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.9
3921-18WINTHRYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
4022-18YSUYSU×3Attack errPaige Bennett+2.8
4123-18YSUYSU×3Attack errPaige Bennett+1.7
4223-19YSUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
4324-19WINTHRYSUKillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
4425-19YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince+0.3
Set 3
10-1WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAva Stratton+3.0
21-1WINTHRYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.3
32-1YSUYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.3
42-2YSUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
53-2WINTHRYSUKillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
63-3YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
74-3WINTHRYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+2.6
84-4YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.5
95-4WINTHRYSU×5KillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+2.6
106-4YSUYSU×5Attack errPaige Bennett+3.7
117-4YSUYSU×5BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Wrigley Takats, Korina Barber+3.7
128-4YSUYSU×5KillWrigley Takatsset Korina Barber+3.5
139-4YSUYSU×5Attack errTeagan Sychterz+3.3
149-5YSUWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
159-6WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+3.1
169-7WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+3.5
1710-7WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+3.0
1810-8YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+2.6
1911-8WINTHRYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
2012-8YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Reece Rhoads+3.8
2113-8YSUYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.4
2213-9YSUWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Addison Torain+2.0
2313-10WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.3
2414-10WINTHRYSUBlockedLexi Thatcherblk Wrigley Takats+3.0
2514-11WINTHR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
2615-11WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+3.1
2715-12YSUWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
2815-13WINTHRWINTHRAceWinthropaced Abbie Householder+4.0
2916-13WINTHRYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+3.6
3017-13YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+4.3
3117-14YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
3218-14WINTHRYSUKillIsabelle Henryset Ava Prince+3.3
3319-14YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+3.5
3419-15YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+1.7
3520-15WINTHRYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+2.5
3620-16YSUWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
3720-17WINTHRWINTHR×3BlockedKylie Surrattblk KeAra Bowen, Giselle Little+3.1
3820-18WINTHRWINTHR×3KillKeAra Bowenset Addison Torain+4.3
3921-18WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+4.5
4022-18YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+4.5
4122-19YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.9
4223-19WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.3
4323-20YSUWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Paige Bennett+1.5
4424-20WINTHRYSUKillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
4525-20YSUYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+1.2
Set 4
10-1YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+2.6
21-1WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+2.7
31-2YSUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+2.7
42-2WINTHRYSU×3KillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak+2.8
53-2YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Isabelle Henry+4.0
64-2YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+4.2
74-3YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.9
85-3WINTHRYSU×3Attack errReece Rhoads+3.2
96-3YSUYSU×3BlockedTeagan Sychterzblk Kylie Surratt+4.3
107-3YSUYSU×3Attack errTrabrece Marbley+4.1
117-4YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.6
128-4WINTHRYSU×4Serve errWinthrop+3.1
139-4YSUYSU×4Attack errGiselle Little+3.9
1410-4YSUYSU×4BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Wrigley Takats, Korina Barber+3.4
1511-4YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Lindsay Langner+2.9
1611-5YSUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
1711-6WINTHRWINTHRAttack errKorina Barber+2.7
1812-6WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+2.6
1912-7YSUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.9
2012-8WINTHRWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+3.3
2113-8WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
2213-9YSUWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Addison Torain+2.4
2313-10WINTHRWINTHRBlockedLayne Grafficeblk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz+3.9
2414-10WINTHRYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+3.6
2514-11YSUWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.9
2614-12WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+4.6
2714-13WINTHRWINTHR×3KillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+5.2
2815-13WINTHRYSUBlockedPaige Bennettblk Isabelle Henry, Ava Stratton+4.4
2915-14YSUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.9
3016-14WINTHRYSUServe errWinthrop+4.6
3116-15YSUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+4.1
3217-15WINTHRYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince+4.8
3317-16YSUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+4.3
3418-16WINTHRYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince+5.1
3518-17YSUWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+4.4
3619-17WINTHRYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+5.5
3720-17YSUYSU×3Attack errGiselle Little+6.8
3821-17YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+5.4
3921-18YSUWINTHRServe errYoungstown St.+2.5
4021-19WINTHRWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+5.1
4122-19WINTHRYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+5.6
4222-20YSUWINTHR×3KillLexi Thatcherset Teagan Sychterz+3.6
4322-21WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthrop+7.4
4422-22WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+10.1
4523-22WINTHRYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+9.3
4624-22YSUYSU×3BlockedPaige Bennettblk Wrigley Takats, Isabelle Henry+12.6
4725-22YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.+7.5

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).