Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMAC

1:3

HomeHORIZON

Youngstown St. def. Kent St. 3–1

(25-14, 21-25, 26-24, 25-16)

Set	1	2*	3	4	Sets
KENT	14	25	24	16	1
YSU	25	21	26	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

YSU above 50 · KENT below

Biggest swing: 11.4% to Youngstown St. — set 3, KENT 23-24 YSU. Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Ava Prince). YSU win probability 66% → 77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

KENT 23.5%76.5% YSU

Kent St. wins

3-0

4.0%

3-1

8.0%

3-2

11.5%

Youngstown St. wins

3-0

28.3%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

19.0%

KENT break %: 41.6% vs this opp
YSU break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kylie SurrattKill+11.4%
Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Ava Prince)
Set 3 · KENT 23-24 YSU · YSU 66% → 77%
02
Mercedez BrownAttack error+10.1%
Mercedez Brown stuffed by Wrigley Takats & Korina Barber
Set 3 · KENT 24-26 YSU · YSU 77% → 87%
03
KENT serverAce+9.8%
Kent St. ace on Layne Graffice
Set 3 · KENT 23-22 YSU · KENT 32% → 42%
04
Mercedez BrownKill+9.0%
Kill by Mercedez Brown (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 3 · KENT 24-24 YSU · KENT 23% → 32%
05
Kylie SurrattKill+9.0%
Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Ava Prince)
Set 3 · KENT 24-25 YSU · YSU 68% → 77%
06
Layne GrafficeKill+7.4%
Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Kylie Surratt)
Set 3 · KENT 23-23 YSU · YSU 58% → 66%
07
Layne GrafficeAttack error+6.6%
Layne Graffice stuffed by Adalynn Ginley
Set 3 · KENT 21-21 YSU · KENT 25% → 32%
08
Mercedez BrownKill+6.0%
Kill by Mercedez Brown (set by Lesley Furuta)
Set 3 · KENT 22-22 YSU · KENT 26% → 32%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Kent St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mercedez BrownOH	4	21	6	45	.333	0	0	3	13	2	0	1	0.5	21.5
16Adalynn GinleyMB	4	9	3	21	.286	1	0	1	5	0	1	0	1	10
8Nadia MillerMB	4	9	5	22	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
20Ashley VerheyOH	4	5	1	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
14Christina VigilS	4	2	1	8	.125	34	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	2
4Hailey BrennerDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
10Macie MorelandOH	4	2	5	27	-.111	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
12Catie PattersonDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	0
5Lesley FurutaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	16	1	0	0	0	0
1Maggie KachmarikDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0
11Vanessa ImohOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Jordyn AndersonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	21	141	.191	47	1	9	65	11	1	2	2	79

Youngstown St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Kylie SurrattOH	4	18	8	54	.185	1	4	2	13	0	0	0	0	22
22Layne GrafficeOH	4	14	2	36	.333	0	1	0	13	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
14Wrigley TakatsMB	4	6	1	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
6Isabelle HenryMB	4	4	0	14	.286	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	6
21Korina BarberOH	4	2	4	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
2Ava PrinceS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	21	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
15Ava StrattonOH	4	11	3	21	.381	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	12
10Kameron BlizniakS	4	0	0	0	–	22	2	3	10	0	0	0	0	2
9Journey NicolaDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
8Juliana RiveraDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		55	19	152	.237	50	11	9	58	1	1	4	3	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 KENT · YSU 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 KENTYSU 8

Set 2*

25-21

Longest run 4 KENTYSU 3

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 KENTYSU 6

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 KENTYSU 7

Bars above the line = Youngstown St. leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Kent St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	50%5/10
2	60%6/10	36%4/11
3	30%6/20	33%3/9
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	22%4/18	33%3/9
6	100%4/4	43%3/7
All	44%33/75	38%21/55

Youngstown St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	25%2/8
2	60%6/10	45%5/11
3	67%6/9	68%13/19
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	50%5/10	58%7/12
6	67%4/6	67%8/12
All	62%34/55	56%42/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#	KENT-YSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	YSU	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
2	1-1	KENT	YSU	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Ava Prince	+1.5
3	2-1	YSU	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
4	2-2	KENT	YSU×8	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+1.5
5	2-3	YSU	YSU×8	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.8
6	2-4	YSU	YSU×8	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.7
7	2-5	YSU	YSU×8	Ace	YSU server	aced Team	+1.6
8	2-6	YSU	YSU×8	Ace	YSU server	aced Team	+1.4
9	2-7	YSU	YSU×8	Bad set	Jordyn Anderson		+1.2
10	2-8	YSU	YSU×8	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.0
11	2-9	YSU	YSU×8	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
12	3-9	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+0.5
13	4-9	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Korina Barber		+0.8
14	4-10	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.8
15	5-10	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Korina Barber		+0.7
16	5-11	KENT	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
17	5-12	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice		+0.7
18	5-13	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.5
19	6-13	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.3
20	6-14	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.4
21	7-14	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+0.3
22	8-14	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Adalynn Ginley	+0.6
23	8-15	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.6
24	8-16	YSU	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+0.5
25	9-16	YSU	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+0.3
26	9-17	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+0.4
27	9-18	YSU	YSU	Ace	YSU server	aced Mercedez Brown	+0.3
28	10-18	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
29	11-18	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Catie Patterson	+0.3
30	11-19	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+0.3
31	11-20	YSU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.2
32	12-20	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+0.1
33	13-20	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Lesley Furuta	+0.2
34	13-21	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.2
35	14-21	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Ava Stratton		+0.1
36	14-22	KENT	YSU×4	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.2
37	14-23	YSU	YSU×4	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
38	14-24	YSU	YSU×4	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Juliana Rivera	+0.0
39	14-25	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+1.1
2	1-1	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+1.1
3	1-2	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Journey Nicola	+1.1
4	2-2	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+1.2
5	2-3	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.1
6	2-4	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.3
7	3-4	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
8	3-5	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+1.1
9	4-5	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Ava Stratton		+1.1
10	4-6	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+1.1
11	4-7	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+1.3
12	5-7	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+1.0
13	6-7	KENT	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.5
14	6-8	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+1.2
15	6-9	YSU	YSU	Ace	YSU server	aced Macie Moreland	+1.4
16	7-9	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
17	8-9	KENT	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.5
18	8-10	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+1.3
19	8-11	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt		+1.4
20	9-11	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Hailey Brenner	+1.1
21	9-12	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+1.2
22	10-12	YSU	KENT×4	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
23	11-12	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.7
24	12-12	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+2.0
25	13-12	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Catie Patterson	+2.2
26	13-13	KENT	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Journey Nicola	+1.7
27	13-14	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+2.1
28	13-15	YSU	YSU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
29	14-15	YSU	KENT×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.5
30	15-15	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+2.3
31	16-15	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Ava Stratton		+2.6
32	16-16	KENT	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.9
33	17-16	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+2.2
34	17-17	KENT	YSU	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+2.1
35	18-17	YSU	KENT×3	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+2.3
36	19-17	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Ava Prince		+3.1
37	20-17	KENT	KENT×3	Bad set	Ava Prince		+3.0
38	20-18	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+1.8
39	21-18	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Wrigley Takats		+2.5
40	21-19	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+1.8
41	22-19	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Isabelle Henry	+2.7
42	22-20	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+1.8
43	23-20	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+2.8
44	24-20	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Korina Barber	blk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller	+2.3
45	24-21	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
46	25-21	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.4
Set 3
1	1-0	YSU	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+2.3
2	2-0	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Hailey Brenner	+3.0
3	3-0	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+3.2
4	3-1	KENT	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+2.3
5	3-2	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Ashley Verhey		+2.9
6	4-2	YSU	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+2.6
7	5-2	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+3.3
8	6-2	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+3.3
9	6-3	KENT	YSU×5	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+2.3
10	6-4	YSU	YSU×5	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+3.1
11	6-5	YSU	YSU×5	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+3.1
12	6-6	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Kylie Surratt		+3.1
13	6-7	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+3.0
14	7-7	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+2.5
15	7-8	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.5
16	8-8	YSU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+2.6
17	9-8	KENT	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+3.6
18	9-9	KENT	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.7
19	9-10	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Juliana Rivera	+3.3
20	10-10	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+2.8
21	10-11	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+2.7
22	11-11	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+2.9
23	11-12	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+2.8
24	12-12	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+3.0
25	13-12	KENT	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+4.2
26	13-13	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+3.2
27	14-13	YSU	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+3.5
28	14-14	KENT	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+3.3
29	15-14	YSU	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+3.7
30	16-14	KENT	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+4.9
31	16-15	KENT	YSU×6	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+3.4
32	16-16	YSU	YSU×6	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+4.6
33	16-17	YSU	YSU×6	Ace	YSU server	aced Mercedez Brown	+4.6
34	16-18	YSU	YSU×6	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Journey Nicola	+4.3
35	16-19	YSU	YSU×6	Ace	YSU server	aced Catie Patterson	+3.7
36	16-20	YSU	YSU×6	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.8
37	17-20	YSU	KENT	Serve err	YSU server		+1.7
38	17-21	KENT	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.2
39	18-21	YSU	KENT×4	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
40	19-21	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Lesley Furuta	+3.1
41	20-21	KENT	KENT×4	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+4.7
42	21-21	KENT	KENT×4	Attack err	Layne Graffice	blk Adalynn Ginley	+6.6
43	21-22	KENT	YSU	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Kameron Blizniak	+5.9
44	22-22	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Lesley Furuta	+6.0
45	23-22	KENT	KENT	Ace	KENT server	aced Layne Graffice	+9.8
46	23-23	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kylie Surratt	+7.4
47	23-24	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+11.4
48	24-24	YSU	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+9.0
49	24-25	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+9.0
50	24-26	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Mercedez Brown	blk Wrigley Takats, Korina Barber	+10.1
Set 4
1	1-0	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Lesley Furuta	+2.3
2	2-0	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+2.5
3	3-0	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.6
4	3-1	KENT	YSU×3	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Ava Prince	+1.9
5	3-2	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+2.4
6	3-3	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	YSU server	aced Lesley Furuta	+2.4
7	4-3	YSU	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.0
8	5-3	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Hailey Brenner	+2.7
9	5-4	KENT	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+2.0
10	6-4	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+2.2
11	6-5	KENT	YSU	Serve err	KENT server		+2.0
12	6-6	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Nadia Miller	blk Layne Graffice, Korina Barber	+2.6
13	7-6	YSU	KENT	Attack err	Korina Barber		+2.2
14	7-7	KENT	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.1
15	8-7	YSU	KENT×3	Serve err	YSU server		+2.3
16	9-7	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Lesley Furuta	+3.0
17	10-7	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Layne Graffice		+3.1
18	10-8	KENT	YSU×3	Serve err	KENT server		+2.2
19	10-9	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+2.9
20	10-10	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+2.9
21	11-10	YSU	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.5
22	11-11	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Ava Prince	+2.4
23	12-11	YSU	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.6
24	12-12	KENT	YSU	Kill	Isabelle Henry	set Ava Prince	+2.5
25	13-12	YSU	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+2.8
26	13-13	KENT	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+2.6
27	13-14	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+3.2
28	14-14	YSU	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+2.7
29	14-15	KENT	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.7
30	14-16	YSU	YSU	Ace	YSU server	aced Team	+3.2
31	15-16	YSU	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Maggie Kachmarik	+2.4
32	15-17	KENT	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.6
33	15-18	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Juliana Rivera	+2.9
34	16-18	YSU	KENT	Bad set	Kameron Blizniak		+2.0
35	16-19	KENT	YSU×7	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+2.4
36	16-20	YSU	YSU×7	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+2.3
37	16-21	YSU	YSU×7	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Ava Prince	+1.5
38	16-22	YSU	YSU×7	Ace	YSU server	aced Catie Patterson	+0.8
39	16-23	YSU	YSU×7	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.4
40	16-24	YSU	YSU×7	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+0.1
41	16-25	YSU	YSU×7	Ace	YSU server	aced Maggie Kachmarik	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.