Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Youngstown St. def. Cleveland St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 69.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Youngstown St. won at Cleveland St. 3-1 (25-15, 18-25, 25-15, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Youngstown St.'s Abbie Householder led with 15 kills, and Kylie Surratt added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
YSU251825253
CLE ST152515161

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wrigley Takats served 6 aces, and Youngstown St. needed every one.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Youngstown St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Youngstown St. 69% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Youngstown St. 4–9 Cleveland St.

    Down 4–9, Youngstown St. scored 5 straight to tie it at 9. The match swung to Youngstown St.

    Youngstown St. 47% → 63%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Youngstown St. 11–13 Cleveland St.

    8 straight Youngstown St. points turned an 11–13 deficit into a 19–13 lead.

    Youngstown St. 55% → 82%

Cleveland St. above 50Youngstown St. belowMax swing 4.5%

Youngstown St.Cleveland St.

Sideout %
Youngstown St. 58.3·Cleveland St. 44.6
Break %
Youngstown St. 55.4·Cleveland St. 41.7
Hitting
Youngstown St. .287·Cleveland St. .172
Longest run
Youngstown St. 8·Cleveland St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cleveland St. above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.5% YSUrally 164 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Youngstown St. — set 3, YSU 14-13 CLE ST. Alyssa Cerovac stuffed by Kylie Surratt & Wrigley Takats. CLE ST win probability 37% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 70.8%29.2% CLE ST

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
23.8%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
19.8%

Cleveland St. wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
YSU break %
45.6% vs this opp
CLE ST break %
41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Alyssa Cerovac stuffed by Kylie Surratt & Wrigley Takats

    Set 3 · YSU 14-13 CLE ST · YSU 63% → 67%

  2. 02
    Alyssa CerovacAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Alyssa Cerovac

    Set 3 · YSU 13-13 CLE ST · YSU 58% → 63%

  3. 03

    Ava Stratton stuffed by Julia Jozefov & Alyssa Cerovac

    Set 3 · YSU 9-11 CLE ST · CLE ST 40% → 44%

  4. 04
    Wrigley TakatsAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Wrigley Takats

    Set 3 · YSU 9-12 CLE ST · CLE ST 44% → 48%

  5. 05

    Kill by Abbie Householder (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 3 · YSU 15-13 CLE ST · YSU 67% → 71%

  6. 06
    Alyssa CerovacAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Alyssa Cerovac

    Set 3 · YSU 11-12 CLE ST · YSU 54% → 59%

  7. 07

    Ace by Juliana Rivera

    Set 3 · YSU 9-9 CLE ST · YSU 59% → 63%

  8. 08

    Ace by Layne Graffice on Laila Mossey

    Set 3 · YSU 16-13 CLE ST · YSU 71% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415539.25600010314318
48319.2630631002115
411319.421023120010.513.5
46320.1500609200012
48215.4000001004210
4001.0003101800000
45115.26700010111.56.5
4000–120100002
41011.0001400500001
4000–4001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5417129.28750167597212893
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410119.4740113004213
49326.2310114002111
43120.10003131111.57.5
45215.20000000132.57.5
4319.2222620800216
4001.0000001000000
410734.0880001002111
4011-1.0005011140000
4000–300650000
3000–100800000
3000–000130000
2023-.667000110000
2000–300000000
Team totals4018128.17238745616214971

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Youngstown St. vs Cleveland St.

Season series · Youngstown St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 YSU · CLE ST 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 YSUCLE ST 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 YSUCLE ST 5

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 8 YSUCLE ST 4

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 7 YSUCLE ST 3

Bars above the line = Cleveland St. leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
65%13/20
2
73%8/11
56%10/18
3
53%8/15
53%9/17
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
63%10/16
6
42%5/12
62%8/13
All
58%42/72
55%51/92

Cleveland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%9/28
46%6/13
2
42%8/19
50%8/16
3
78%7/9
27%3/11
4
50%7/14
42%5/12
5
36%5/14
42%5/12
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
45%41/92
42%30/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

164 rallies

#YSU-CLE STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CLE STYSUAttack errJeriLynn Koehler+1.6
21-1YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.6
32-1CLE STYSU×5KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
43-1YSUYSU×5KillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+2.1
54-1YSUYSU×5KillWrigley Takatsset Laila Mossey+1.9
65-1YSUYSU×5KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.7
76-1YSUYSU×5AceLayne Graffice+1.5
86-2YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.0
97-2CLE STYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
108-2YSUYSUAceWrigley Takatsaced Reilly Wadden+1.2
118-3YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+0.8
128-4CLE STCLE STAttack errKylie Surratt+1.3
139-4CLE STYSU×5KillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
1410-4YSUYSU×5KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
1511-4YSUYSU×5KillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
1612-4YSUYSU×5AceKylie Surrattaced Audrey Ellis+0.7
1713-4YSUYSU×5Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+0.5
1813-5YSUCLE ST×3Attack errAbbie Householder+0.2
1913-6CLE STCLE ST×3KillJeriLynn Koehler+0.5
2013-7CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errAbbie Householder+0.7
2114-7CLE STYSU×3Serve errJulia Jozefov+0.7
2215-7YSUYSU×3BlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton+0.6
2316-7YSUYSU×3Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+0.4
2416-8YSUCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+0.2
2517-8CLE STYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+0.3
2617-9YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+0.2
2718-9CLE STYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.2
2818-10YSUCLE STServe errKameron Blizniak+0.1
2919-10CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+0.2
3019-11YSUCLE ST×3BlockedAbbie Householderblk Julia Jozefov, Addison Koppelman+0.1
3119-12CLE STCLE ST×3AceJazen Debina+0.2
3219-13CLE STCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Kameron Blizniak+0.4
3320-13CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.5
3420-14YSUCLE STServe errWrigley Takats+0.3
3521-14CLE STYSU×4KillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+0.4
3622-14YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.3
3723-14YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.1
3824-14YSUYSU×4BlockedJulia Jozefovblk Korina Barber, Abbie Householder·
3924-15YSUCLE STServe errKylie Surratt·
4025-15CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez·
Set 2
11-0YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
22-0YSUYSUAceWrigley Takatsaced Audrey Ellis+1.7
32-1YSUCLE STServe errWrigley Takats+1.2
42-2CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.8
53-2CLE STYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
63-3YSUCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.4
74-3CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+1.4
84-4YSUCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Laila Mossey+1.4
95-4CLE STYSUKillHayden Rodriguezset Allison Salazar+1.4
105-5YSUCLE STBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Jazen Debina, JeriLynn Koehler+1.5
115-6CLE STCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.1
126-6CLE STYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.5
136-7YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.6
147-7CLE STYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
158-7YSUYSUAceLayne Grafficeaced Reilly Wadden+2.1
168-8YSUCLE ST×5KillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.6
178-9CLE STCLE ST×5AceAddison Koppelmanaced Abbie Householder+2.3
188-10CLE STCLE ST×5KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.4
198-11CLE STCLE ST×5KillAlyssa Cerovacset Laila Mossey+2.4
208-12CLE STCLE ST×5BlockedAbbie Householderblk Julia Jozefov, Allison Salazar+2.3
219-12CLE STYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
229-13YSUCLE ST×3Serve errWrigley Takats+1.8
239-14CLE STCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Audrey Ellis+2.1
249-15CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errKylie Surratt+1.7
2510-15CLE STYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+0.9
2611-15YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
2711-16YSUCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Abigail Bartolo+1.6
2812-16CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+1.1
2912-17YSUCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Audrey Ellis+1.6
3012-18CLE STCLE STBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Jazen Debina, JeriLynn Koehler+1.6
3113-18CLE STYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.8
3213-19YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.2
3314-19CLE STYSU×3KillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+0.7
3415-19YSUYSU×3KillWrigley Takatsset Allison Salazar+1.4
3516-19YSUYSU×3KillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
3616-20YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+2.0
3716-21CLE STCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.0
3817-21CLE STYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+0.8
3917-22YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.4
4017-23CLE STCLE STAceAddison Koppelmanaced Layne Graffice+1.0
4118-23CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.2
4218-24YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+0.5
4318-25CLE STCLE STAceJulia Jozefovaced Layne Graffice+0.1
Set 3
10-1CLE STCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+3.2
21-1CLE STYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.3
31-2YSUCLE ST×4KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+2.4
41-3CLE STCLE ST×4AceAllison Salazaraced Abbie Householder+3.4
51-4CLE STCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Laila Mossey+3.5
61-5CLE STCLE ST×4AceAllison Salazaraced Abbie Householder+3.4
72-5CLE STYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.2
82-6YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+2.6
92-7CLE STCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Laila Mossey+3.2
103-7CLE STYSUBlockedJazen Debinablk Korina Barber, Abbie Householder+2.0
113-8YSUCLE STServe errKylie Surratt+2.5
124-8CLE STYSUAttack errLaila Mossey+2.0
134-9YSUCLE STKillAddison Koppelman+2.5
145-9CLE STYSU×5KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
156-9YSUYSU×5AceJuliana Riveraaced Laila Mossey+3.2
167-9YSUYSU×5KillLayne Grafficeset Juliana Rivera+3.5
178-9YSUYSU×5Attack errBryn VanVleet+3.7
189-9YSUYSU×5AceJuliana Rivera+3.8
199-10YSUCLE ST×3Attack errKylie Surratt+3.0
209-11CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedAva Strattonblk Julia Jozefov, Alyssa Cerovac+4.3
219-12CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errWrigley Takats+4.2
2210-12CLE STYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.7
2311-12YSUYSUAttack errAlyssa Cerovac+4.1
2411-13YSUCLE STBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Julia Jozefov, Allison Salazar+3.4
2512-13CLE STYSU×8KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.1
2613-13YSUYSU×8Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+4.5
2714-13YSUYSU×8BlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+4.5
2815-13YSUYSU×8KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+4.2
2916-13YSUYSU×8AceLayne Grafficeaced Laila Mossey+3.7
3017-13YSUYSU×8BlockedAllison Salazarblk Abbie Householder+3.1
3118-13YSUYSU×8AceLayne Grafficeaced Audrey Ellis+2.3
3219-13YSUYSU×8AceLayne Grafficeaced Audrey Ellis+1.5
3319-14YSUCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+0.7
3420-14CLE STYSU×5KillAbbie Householder+1.1
3521-14YSUYSU×5BlockedJazen Debinablk Korina Barber, Abbie Householder+0.8
3622-14YSUYSU×5AceWrigley Takatsaced Reilly Wadden+0.4
3723-14YSUYSU×5AceWrigley Takatsaced Laila Mossey+0.1
3824-14YSUYSU×5AceWrigley Takatsaced Audrey Ellis·
3924-15YSUCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper·
4025-15CLE STYSUKillKylie Surrattset Journey Nicola·
Set 4
11-0YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
22-0YSUYSU×7Attack errBryn VanVleet+2.4
33-0YSUYSU×7Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+2.3
44-0YSUYSU×7AceLayne Grafficeaced Bryn VanVleet+2.0
55-0YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.7
66-0YSUYSU×7Attack errAddison Koppelman+1.5
77-0YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Journey Nicola+1.2
87-1YSUCLE STKillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+0.7
97-2CLE STCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Fiona Cooper+1.3
108-2CLE STYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
119-2YSUYSU×3AceWrigley Takatsaced Addison Koppelman+1.2
1210-2YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+0.9
1310-3YSUCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Allison Salazar+0.5
1411-3CLE STYSUServe errJazen Debina+0.6
1511-4YSUCLE ST×3Serve errKylie Surratt+0.5
1611-5CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Laila Mossey+0.9
1711-6CLE STCLE ST×3AceAddison Koppelman+1.2
1812-6CLE STYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+1.1
1912-7YSUCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Audrey Ellis+0.9
2012-8CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedKorina Barberblk JeriLynn Koehler+1.6
2112-9CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.1
2213-9CLE STYSUBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Ava Stratton+1.8
2313-10YSUCLE STBlockedWrigley Takatsblk Alyssa Cerovac, JeriLynn Koehler+1.5
2414-10CLE STYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+1.8
2515-10YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.0
2615-11YSUCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.2
2716-11CLE STYSU×4KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
2817-11YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
2918-11YSUYSU×4BlockedJazen Debinablk Wrigley Takats, Abbie Householder+0.9
3019-11YSUYSU×4Bad setJeriLynn Koehler+0.5
3119-12YSUCLE STAttack errWrigley Takats+0.2
3220-12CLE STYSUServe errLaila Mossey+0.3
3320-13YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+0.2
3421-13CLE STYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.3
3522-13YSUYSUAceKylie Surrattaced Laila Mossey+0.2
3622-14YSUCLE STBlockedKorina Barberblk Addison Koppelman·
3722-15CLE STCLE STAttack errAbbie Householder+0.1
3823-15CLE STYSUServe errAddison Koppelman+0.2
3923-16YSUCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar·
4024-16CLE STYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.1
4125-16YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez·

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).