Northern Ky. def. Youngstown State 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 81.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. beat visiting Youngstown St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Northern Ky.'s Ivey Stocks led with 10 kills, and Daisy Cluxton added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
YSU	23	22	19	0
N KY	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Northern Ky. held Youngstown St. to .113 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 4.5 points on one rally; Youngstown St. topped out at 22% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Northern Ky. 82% before first serve.

Youngstown St.Northern Ky.

Longest run+1
67
Up 4–3 in the second set, Northern Ky. scored 7 straight to make it 11–3. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Northern Ky. above 50Youngstown St. belowMax swing 4.5%

Youngstown St.Northern Ky.

Hitting: Youngstown St. .113·Northern Ky. .160
Aces: Youngstown St. 5·Northern Ky. 9
Serve err: Youngstown St. 8·Northern Ky. 5
Blocks: Youngstown St. 9·Northern Ky. 100 BS · 18 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Youngstown St. 51·Northern Ky. 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Ky. above 50 · Youngstown St. below

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Northern Ky. — set 1, YSU 23-25 N KY. Service error by Abbie Householder. N KY win probability 86% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 18.0%82.0% N KY

Youngstown St. wins

3-0

2.8%

3-1

5.9%

3-2

9.3%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

33.6%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

17.7%

YSU break %: 40.6% vs this opp
N KY break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Abbie HouseholderService error+4.5%
Service error by Abbie Householder
Set 1 · YSU 23-25 N KY · N KY 86% → 90%
02
Layne GrafficeKill+2.7%
Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Lucia Heid)
Set 1 · YSU 23-24 N KY · YSU 12% → 14%
03
Ivey StocksKill+1.9%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 1 · YSU 20-23 N KY · N KY 87% → 89%
04
Kameron BlizniakAce+1.9%
Ace by Kameron Blizniak
Set 1 · YSU 2-0 N KY · YSU 20% → 22%
05
Wrigley TakatsKill+1.7%
Kill by Wrigley Takats
Set 1 · YSU 1-0 N KY · YSU 18% → 20%
06
Kylie SurrattAce+1.7%
Ace by Kylie Surratt on Allison Risley
Set 1 · YSU 20-22 N KY · YSU 12% → 13%
07
Ava HoyingKill+1.7%
Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 1 · YSU 2-2 N KY · N KY 80% → 81%
08
Allison RisleyAce+1.6%
Ace by Allison Risley
Set 1 · YSU 2-3 N KY · N KY 81% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Youngstown St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Layne GrafficeOH	3	9	4	31	.161	1	1	1	9	1	1	0.5	10.5
14Wrigley TakatsMB	3	4	0	11	.364	0	1	2	1	0	5	2.5	7.5
16Kylie SurrattOH	3	5	5	19	.000	2	1	3	1	0	2	1	7
21Korina BarberOH	3	4	3	17	.059	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	5.5
10Kameron BlizniakS	3	2	0	5	.400	15	1	0	6	0	2	1	4
23Abbie HouseholderOH	2	3	5	20	-.100	0	0	2	9	2	2	1	4
15Ava StrattonOH	3	8	4	20	.200	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	9.5
1Brie HabeebDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	7	1	0	0	1
9Journey NicolaDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
20Hayden RodriguezS	2	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
8Juliana RiveraDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	21	124	.113	28	5	8	51	9	18	9	64

Northern Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Ivey StocksMB	3	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	12
4Katie NoschangOH	3	4	2	11	.182	0	2	2	1	0	1	4	3	9
11Sydney BrayOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	2	1	8	1	1	1	1.5	8.5
15Abbigail PickardS	3	1	0	7	.143	32	1	1	8	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
8Allison RisleyOH	3	0	0	5	.000	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
9Emma AdkinsDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Ava HoyingOH	3	8	4	28	.143	0	3	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
20Lucia HeidOH	3	9	6	28	.107	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	10.5
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	20	1	0	0	0	0
10Emory GuderianL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	18	119	.160	34	9	5	53	5	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 YSU · N KY 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 YSUN KY 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 6 YSUN KY 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 YSUN KY 6

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	63%10/16
2	40%6/15	33%3/9
3	40%6/15	14%1/7
4	26%5/19	54%7/13
5	40%4/10	55%6/11
6	100%4/4	60%6/10
All	42%31/73	50%33/66

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%6/16	0%0/4
2	67%6/9	40%4/10
3	60%6/10	68%13/19
4	50%6/12	65%11/17
5	36%5/14	69%11/16
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	50%33/66	58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	YSU-N KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	YSU	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats		+1.7
2	2-0	YSU	YSU	Ace	Kameron Blizniak		+1.9
3	2-1	YSU	N KY×5	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
4	2-2	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
5	2-3	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Allison Risley		+1.6
6	2-4	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.5
7	2-5	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
8	3-5	N KY	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
9	3-6	YSU	N KY×5	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Allison Risley	+1.0
10	3-7	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Abbie Householder	blk Ivey Stocks, Sydney Bray	+1.2
11	3-8	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Katie Noschang	aced Abbie Householder	+1.0
12	3-9	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Abbie Householder	blk Sydney Bray	+0.8
13	3-10	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Katie Noschang	aced Brie Habeeb	+0.6
14	4-10	N KY	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.4
15	5-10	YSU	YSU	Ace	Wrigley Takats	aced Daisy Cluxton	+0.7
16	5-11	YSU	N KY×3	Serve err	Wrigley Takats		+0.6
17	5-12	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
18	5-13	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
19	6-13	N KY	YSU	Kill	Kameron Blizniak	set Kylie Surratt	+0.2
20	7-13	YSU	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber		+0.4
21	7-14	YSU	N KY×4	Serve err	Kylie Surratt		+0.4
22	7-15	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	Ava Hoying		+0.4
23	7-16	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	Ava Hoying		+0.2
24	7-17	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
25	8-17	N KY	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
26	8-18	YSU	N KY	Serve err	Abbie Householder		+0.1
27	9-18	N KY	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Hayden Rodriguez	·
28	10-18	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
29	10-19	YSU	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Emma Adkins	+0.1
30	11-19	N KY	YSU×5	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
31	12-19	YSU	YSU×5	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.2
32	13-19	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Kameron Blizniak	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.3
33	14-19	YSU	YSU×5	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Wrigley Takats, Kylie Surratt	+0.5
34	15-19	YSU	YSU×5	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+0.8
35	15-20	YSU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
36	16-20	N KY	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.5
37	16-21	YSU	N KY	Serve err	Layne Graffice		+0.8
38	17-21	N KY	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.5
39	17-22	YSU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
40	18-22	N KY	YSU×3	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+0.4
41	19-22	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+0.9
42	20-22	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	Kylie Surratt	aced Allison Risley	+1.7
43	20-23	YSU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
44	20-24	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
45	21-24	N KY	YSU×3	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Layne Graffice	+0.3
46	22-24	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+1.1
47	23-24	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Lucia Heid	+2.7
48	23-25	YSU	N KY	Serve err	Abbie Householder		+4.5
Set 2
1	1-0	N KY	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
2	1-1	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+0.9
3	2-1	N KY	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
4	2-2	YSU	N KY×3	Serve err	Wrigley Takats		+0.9
5	2-3	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
6	2-4	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
7	3-4	N KY	YSU	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Abbie Householder, Korina Barber	+0.9
8	3-5	YSU	N KY×7	Serve err	Kylie Surratt		+0.8
9	3-6	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
10	3-7	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
11	3-8	N KY	N KY×7	Attack err	Korina Barber		+0.7
12	3-9	N KY	N KY×7	Attack err	Korina Barber		+0.6
13	3-10	N KY	N KY×7	Ace	Ava Hoying	aced Abbie Householder	+0.4
14	3-11	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
15	4-11	N KY	YSU	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.2
16	4-12	YSU	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
17	4-13	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Ava Stratton	blk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid	+0.2
18	4-14	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Layne Graffice		+0.1
19	5-14	N KY	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
20	5-15	YSU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
21	6-15	N KY	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
22	6-16	YSU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
23	7-16	N KY	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
24	7-17	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Abbie Householder		+0.1
25	8-17	N KY	YSU	Serve err	Katie Noschang		·
26	8-18	YSU	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
27	8-19	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Kylie Surratt	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	·
28	8-20	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	·
29	9-20	N KY	YSU×4	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Journey Nicola	·
30	10-20	YSU	YSU×4	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Kameron Blizniak, Korina Barber	·
31	11-20	YSU	YSU×4	Bad set	Ava Hoying		·
32	12-20	YSU	YSU×4	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Abbie Householder, Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
33	12-21	YSU	N KY	Blocked	Abbie Householder	blk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks	+0.1
34	13-21	N KY	YSU×3	Kill	Korina Barber	set Hayden Rodriguez	·
35	14-21	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
36	15-21	YSU	YSU×3	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton	+0.1
37	15-22	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Abbie Householder		+0.2
38	15-23	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Ava Stratton	blk Katie Noschang	+0.1
39	16-23	N KY	YSU×6	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Hayden Rodriguez	·
40	17-23	YSU	YSU×6	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.1
41	18-23	YSU	YSU×6	Ace	Brie Habeeb	aced Lucia Heid	+0.1
42	19-23	YSU	YSU×6	Attack err	Katie Noschang		+0.3
43	20-23	YSU	YSU×6	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Wrigley Takats, Ava Stratton	+0.5
44	21-23	YSU	YSU×6	Blocked	Katie Noschang	blk Wrigley Takats, Layne Graffice	+1.1
45	21-24	YSU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.5
46	22-24	N KY	YSU	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+0.6
47	22-25	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+1.3
Set 3
1	1-0	YSU	YSU	Blocked	Sydney Bray	blk Wrigley Takats, Kylie Surratt	+0.7
2	1-1	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+0.5
3	2-1	N KY	YSU	Serve err	Katie Noschang		+0.5
4	3-1	YSU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.7
5	3-2	YSU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.5
6	4-2	N KY	YSU	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Wrigley Takats, Ava Stratton	+0.6
7	4-3	YSU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
8	4-4	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Ava Stratton	blk Lucia Heid, Ivey Stocks	+0.7
9	5-4	N KY	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
10	5-5	YSU	N KY	Attack err	Layne Graffice		+0.5
11	6-5	N KY	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
12	7-5	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	Layne Graffice	aced Sydney Bray	+0.8
13	8-5	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
14	8-6	YSU	N KY×4	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
15	8-7	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
16	8-8	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+0.8
17	8-9	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	Abbigail Pickard	aced Layne Graffice	+0.7
18	9-9	N KY	YSU	Serve err	Abbigail Pickard		+0.6
19	9-10	YSU	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
20	10-10	N KY	YSU×4	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
21	11-10	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Ava Hoying		+0.9
22	12-10	YSU	YSU×4	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
23	13-10	YSU	YSU×4	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Kylie Surratt	+1.0
24	13-11	YSU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
25	14-11	N KY	YSU×3	Serve err	Emory Guderian		+0.8
26	15-11	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
27	16-11	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
28	16-12	YSU	N KY×6	Serve err	Kylie Surratt		+0.5
29	16-13	N KY	N KY×6	Ace	Sydney Bray		+0.8
30	16-14	N KY	N KY×6	Attack err	Ava Stratton		+0.9
31	16-15	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
32	16-16	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
33	16-17	N KY	N KY×6	Ace	Sydney Bray	aced Journey Nicola	+1.1
34	17-17	N KY	YSU	Serve err	Sydney Bray		+0.9
35	17-18	YSU	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
36	17-19	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
37	17-20	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
38	18-20	N KY	YSU	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.5
39	19-20	YSU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.0
40	19-21	YSU	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
41	19-22	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Abbigail Pickard		+0.9
42	19-23	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Layne Graffice	blk Abbigail Pickard, Katie Noschang	+0.6
43	19-24	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Korina Barber	blk Lucia Heid, Katie Noschang	+0.3
44	19-25	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Layne Graffice	blk Abbigail Pickard, Katie Noschang	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Ky. def. Youngstown St. 3–0

Northern Ky. held Youngstown St. to .113 hitting.