FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

App State def. Louisiana 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: App State 66.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:10 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State beat visiting Louisiana 3-0 (26-24, 25-8, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. App State's Bella Hutchens led with 11 kills.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
LA248160
APP ST2625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Louisiana pushed; App State held.

The match turned twice. Numbers are App State's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave App State 66% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Louisiana 12–15 App State

    Down 12–15, Louisiana scored 5 straight to lead 17–15.

    App State 74% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Louisiana 19–17 App State

    App State scored 4 straight to turn a 17–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead.

    App State 57% → 74%

App State above 50Louisiana belowMax swing 9.0%

LouisianaApp State

Sideout %
Louisiana 44.0·App State 69.4
Break %
Louisiana 30.6·App State 56.0
Hitting
Louisiana .096·App State .333
Longest run
Louisiana 5·App State 9

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Louisiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.0% LArally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.0% to Louisiana — set 1, LA 24-24 APP ST. Delanie Grevengoed stuffed by Lolo Lambert. APP ST win probability 75% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA 27.8%72.2% APP ST

Louisiana wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.0%

App State wins

3-0
24.9%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
19.7%
LA break %
39.5% vs this opp
APP ST break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lolo LambertBlock+9.0%

    Delanie Grevengoed stuffed by Lolo Lambert

    Set 1 · LA 24-24 APP ST · LA 25% → 34%

  2. 02

    Kill by Brooke Doherty (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 1 · LA 24-26 APP ST · APP ST 72% → 81%

  3. 03
    Sarah SchnellAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Sarah Schnell

    Set 1 · LA 22-24 APP ST · APP ST 71% → 78%

  4. 04

    Kill by Chelsea Gilmore (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 1 · LA 24-25 APP ST · APP ST 66% → 72%

  5. 05
    Sarah SchnellKill+6.0%

    Kill by Sarah Schnell (set by Sophia Armstrong)

    Set 1 · LA 22-22 APP ST · LA 28% → 34%

  6. 06
    Nevaeh HaysKill+5.1%

    Kill by Nevaeh Hays (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 1 · LA 22-23 APP ST · APP ST 66% → 71%

  7. 07
    Sarah SchnellAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Sarah Schnell

    Set 1 · LA 19-20 APP ST · APP ST 64% → 69%

  8. 08
    Grace SweeneyAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Grace Sweeney

    Set 1 · LA 19-19 APP ST · APP ST 60% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39627.111100200009
37526.0770001331018
35314.143101600005
3519.444003000005
3419.333000001015
3000–1501500000
31011.0001322600003
31417-.176100200001
3000–1001300000
2000–100000000
1203.667000000002
1025-.400000000000
1014-.250000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3423115.096332747620248
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310328.2500002002111
37125.240012130031.59.5
36013.462000001228
34011.364000000426
3227.000321160010.53.5
1000–000000000
311115.66702110100013
3000–1211300002
3000–100300000
1000–000000000
Team totals40799.3333465472112776

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Louisiana vs App State

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LA · APP ST 9

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 LAAPP ST 6

Set 2

8-25

Longest run 2 LAAPP ST 9

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 LAAPP ST 9

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%7/24
38%3/8
2
55%6/11
0%0/7
3
40%6/15
14%1/7
4
38%5/13
45%5/11
5
71%5/7
50%5/10
6
80%4/5
17%1/6
All
44%33/75
31%15/49

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%7/7
40%4/10
2
88%7/8
68%15/22
3
60%6/10
67%12/18
4
45%5/11
62%8/13
5
83%5/6
17%1/6
6
57%4/7
33%2/6
All
69%34/49
56%42/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#LA-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STLAKillGrace Sweeneyset Rhyan Miciotto+1.7
21-1LAAPP STAttack errLolo Lambert+1.6
32-1APP STLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.7
42-2LAAPP STServe errLouisiana+1.7
53-2APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.8
64-2LALAAceRyleigh Garisaced Bella Hutchens+2.6
74-3LAAPP ST×6KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.7
84-4APP STAPP ST×6KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.5
94-5APP STAPP ST×6KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.5
104-6APP STAPP ST×6KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.4
114-7APP STAPP ST×6BlockedJazmine Gastonblk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson+2.2
124-8APP STAPP ST×6KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.9
135-8APP STLAServe errApp State+1.2
146-8LALAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+2.1
156-9LAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.6
167-9APP STLAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+1.5
178-9LALAKillEmily Williamsset Jazmine Gaston+2.5
188-10LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
199-10APP STLAKillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+1.8
209-11LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Sarah Schnell+1.9
2110-11APP STLAServe errApp State+1.9
2210-12LAAPP STAttack errLolo Lambert+2.0
2311-12APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.9
2411-13LAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2512-13APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.0
2612-14LAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2712-15APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Lolo Lambert+2.7
2813-15APP STLA×5KillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+1.7
2914-15LALA×5KillGigi Smithset Ryleigh Garis+3.0
3015-15LALA×5Attack errBrooke Doherty+3.5
3116-15LALA×5Attack errBrooke Doherty+3.9
3217-15LALA×5KillGigi Smithset Ryleigh Garis+4.0
3317-16LAAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.5
3418-16APP STLAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+3.0
3518-17LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.6
3619-17APP STLAKillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+3.2
3719-18LAAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.7
3819-19APP STAPP ST×4Attack errGrace Sweeney+4.6
3919-20APP STAPP ST×4Attack errSarah Schnell+4.9
4019-21APP STAPP ST×4AceApp State+4.6
4120-21APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.7
4220-22LAAPP STAttack errSarah Schnell+3.5
4321-22APP STLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.8
4422-22LALAKillSarah Schnellset Sophia Armstrong+6.0
4522-23LAAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+5.1
4622-24APP STAPP STAttack errSarah Schnell+6.6
4723-24APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.5
4824-24LALABlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Lolo Lambert+9.0
4924-25LAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+6.4
5024-26APP STAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+8.5
Set 2
10-1LAAPP ST×6Serve errLouisiana+1.4
20-2APP STAPP ST×6BlockedGrace Sweeneyblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+1.9
30-3APP STAPP ST×6AceApp State+1.7
40-4APP STAPP ST×6BlockedSarah Schnellblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+1.6
50-5APP STAPP ST×6Attack errSarah Schnell+1.3
60-6APP STAPP ST×6KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.1
71-6APP STLAAttack errBrooke Doherty+0.7
81-7LAAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.8
91-8APP STAPP ST×3Attack errEmily Williams+0.9
101-9APP STAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.7
112-9APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.4
122-10LAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.5
133-10APP STLAKillLolo Lambertset Sarah Schnell+0.4
144-10LALABlockedRaegan Richardsonblk Gigi Smith+0.7
154-11LAAPP STServe errLouisiana+0.6
165-11APP STLAKillGigi Smithset Ryleigh Garis+0.5
175-12LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.6
185-13APP STAPP STAttack errLolo Lambert+0.6
196-13APP STLAKillRyleigh Garis+0.3
206-14LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.4
217-14APP STLAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+0.3
227-15LAAPP ST×9KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.4
237-16APP STAPP ST×9AceApp Stateaced Lolo Lambert+0.3
247-17APP STAPP ST×9BlockedSarah Schnellblk Brooke Doherty, Nevaeh Hays+0.2
257-18APP STAPP ST×9KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.1
267-19APP STAPP ST×9KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson·
277-20APP STAPP ST×9KillBrooke Dohertyset MeMe Davis·
287-21APP STAPP ST×9Attack errHarley Krause·
297-22APP STAPP ST×9KillDelanie Grevengoedset Rhyan Miciotto·
307-23APP STAPP ST×9Attack errHarley Krause·
318-23APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto·
328-24LAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson·
338-25APP STAPP STAttack errLolo Lambert·
Set 3
11-0APP STLAAttack errBella Hutchens+0.8
21-1LAAPP ST×3Attack errJazmine Gaston+0.8
31-2APP STAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.1
41-3APP STAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.1
52-3APP STLAServe errApp State+0.7
62-4LAAPP ST×9Serve errLouisiana+0.8
72-5APP STAPP ST×9AceApp State+1.0
82-6APP STAPP ST×9AceApp Stateaced Lolo Lambert+0.9
92-7APP STAPP ST×9KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.8
102-8APP STAPP ST×9Attack errMarlee Ervin+0.6
112-9APP STAPP ST×9KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.5
122-10APP STAPP ST×9BlockedGigi Smithblk Chelsea Gilmore+0.4
132-11APP STAPP ST×9Attack errJazmine Gaston+0.3
142-12APP STAPP ST×9BlockedJazmine Gastonblk Chelsea Gilmore, Brooke Doherty+0.2
153-12APP STLAServe errApp State+0.1
164-12LALAKillGigi Smithset Rhyan Miciotto+0.2
174-13LAAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.2
185-13APP STLAKillGrace Sweeneyset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
195-14LAAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+0.2
205-15APP STAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
216-15APP STLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
226-16LAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.1
237-16APP STLA×4KillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1
248-16LALA×4Attack errRaegan Richardson+0.1
259-16LALA×4KillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+0.2
2610-16LALA×4AceRyleigh Garis+0.3
2710-17LAAPP STServe errRyleigh Garis+0.3
2810-18APP STAPP STBlockedLolo Lambertblk Delanie Grevengoed, Nevaeh Hays+0.3
2911-18APP STLAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+0.1
3011-19LAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.2
3112-19APP STLAKillTaylor Gainesset Ryleigh Garis+0.1
3212-20LAAPP STServe errLouisiana+0.1
3313-20APP STLAKillTaylor Gainesset Grace Sweeney+0.1
3414-20LALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Kennedy Gustafson+0.2
3514-21LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.2
3614-22APP STAPP STAttack errGrace Sweeney+0.1
3715-22APP STLAServe errApp State·
3815-23LAAPP STServe errLouisiana+0.1
3916-23APP STLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto·
4016-24LAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson·
4116-25APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Amelia Mancino·

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).