FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Youngstown St. def. Oakland 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 51.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Youngstown St. won at Oakland 3-0 (25-20, 25-19, 25-17) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Youngstown St.'s Kylie Surratt led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
YSU2525253
OAK2019170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.417 and 13 kills for Kylie Surratt as Youngstown St. rolled past Oakland.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.5 points. Oakland peaked at 54% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Youngstown St. at 52%.

Youngstown St.Oakland
  • Break %+17.8 pts
    45.928.1

    On serve: 34/74 against 16/57 (Oakland sideout 54.1%).

  • Hitting+.156
    .224.068

    45 K / 19 E against 25 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+2
    53

    From 8–8 in the third set, Youngstown St. scored 5 straight to lead 13–8. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Oakland above 50Youngstown St. belowMax swing 4.5%

Youngstown St.Oakland

Aces
Youngstown St. 4·Oakland 2
Serve err
Youngstown St. 9·Oakland 5
Blocks
Youngstown St. 6·Oakland 80 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Youngstown St. 54·Oakland 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oakland above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.5% YSUrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Youngstown St. — set 1, YSU 23-20 OAK. Grace Cooney stuffed by Korina Barber & Layne Graffice. OAK win probability 37% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 56.1%43.9% OAK

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
15.2%
3-1
21.3%
3-2
19.6%

Oakland wins

3-0
10.1%
3-1
16.2%
3-2
17.6%
YSU break %
42.3% vs this opp
OAK break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Grace Cooney stuffed by Korina Barber & Layne Graffice

    Set 1 · YSU 23-20 OAK · YSU 63% → 67%

  2. 02
    Liv HosfordKill+4.3%

    Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Mya Kattula)

    Set 1 · YSU 21-20 OAK · OAK 37% → 41%

  3. 03
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+4.1%

    Point Youngstown St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · YSU 22-20 OAK · YSU 59% → 63%

  4. 04
    Liv HosfordAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Liv Hosford

    Set 1 · YSU 17-15 OAK · YSU 56% → 60%

  5. 05

    Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Hayden Rodriguez)

    Set 1 · YSU 14-13 OAK · YSU 52% → 55%

  6. 06

    Ace by Kylie Surratt on Kalliann Cook

    Set 2 · YSU 14-13 OAK · YSU 70% → 73%

  7. 07

    Ace by Layne Graffice on Molly Reck

    Set 1 · YSU 18-15 OAK · YSU 60% → 63%

  8. 08
    Delaney SternBad set+3.6%

    Bad set by Delaney Stern

    Set 2 · YSU 15-13 OAK · YSU 73% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313324.41701120010.514.5
312428.28601060010.513.5
38113.53801440031.510.5
36313.23100010031.57.5
32522-.136012130031.54.5
3001.0002901400000
34315.06700030010.54.5
3000–1200600000
3000–1001310000
3000–001100000
1000–000000000
1000–100100000
Team totals4519116.2244349542012675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37628.03600171212.59.5
36320.150011121010.57.5
33210.100000000214
3226.000000100424
3000–190150010.50.5
2026-.333000000000
3000–2001110000
3000–001210000
23118.11100000031.54.5
2000–011200001
1417.429000000004
1017-.143000000000
1001.000500400000
Team totals2518103.0682625444212856

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Youngstown St. vs Oakland

Season series · Youngstown St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 YSU · OAK 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 YSUOAK 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 YSUOAK 2

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 YSUOAK 3

Bars above the line = Oakland leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

No clean sets to split.

Oakland

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#YSU-OAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1YSUOAKAttack errKylie Surratt+1.8
21-1OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
32-1YSUYSUBlockedElla Martinblk Wrigley Takats, Abbie Householder+2.6
42-2YSUOAKAttack errAbbie Householder+1.9
53-2OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
63-3YSUOAKServe errWrigley Takats+1.9
74-3OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
84-4YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Mya Kattula+1.9
94-5OAKOAKBlockedKorina Barberblk Liv Hosford+2.8
105-5OAKYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
115-6YSUOAKAttack errLiv Hosford+2.1
125-7OAKOAKKillElla Schomerset Mya Kattula+2.8
136-7OAKYSUBad setMya Kattula+2.0
146-8YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Mya Kattula+2.1
157-8OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
167-9YSUOAKKillKamsi Iweajunwaset Delaney Stern+2.2
178-9OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.1
188-10YSUOAKServe errLayne Graffice+2.2
199-10OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.1
2010-10YSUYSUAttack errMolly Reck+3.2
2110-11YSUOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+2.4
2211-11OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.4
2311-12YSUOAKServe errKylie Surratt+2.5
2412-12OAKYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.4
2512-13YSUOAKBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Grace Cooney, Ella Schomer+2.6
2613-13OAKYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+2.5
2714-13YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+3.7
2814-14YSUOAKBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Kamsi Iweajunwa, Ella Schomer+2.6
2915-14OAKYSUServe errDelaney Stern+2.8
3015-15YSUOAKBlockedKylie Surrattblk Liv Hosford+2.8
3116-15OAKYSU×4Serve errLiv Hosford+2.9
3217-15YSUYSU×4Attack errLiv Hosford+4.0
3318-15YSUYSU×4AceLayne Grafficeaced Molly Reck+3.6
3419-15YSUYSU×4KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
3519-16YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.5
3620-16OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.1
3720-17YSUOAKAttack errKylie Surratt+1.5
3821-17OAKYSUAttack errGrace Cooney+2.2
3921-18YSUOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Mya Kattula+1.4
4021-19OAKOAK×3Attack errKorina Barber+3.0
4121-20OAKOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Mya Kattula+4.3
4222-20YSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.1
4323-20YSUYSU×4BlockedGrace Cooneyblk Korina Barber, Layne Graffice+4.5
4424-20YSUYSU×4Attack errLiv Hosford+2.5
4525-20YSUYSU×4AceAbbie Householderaced Kiley Gallagher+0.7
Set 2
10-1OAKOAKBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Kamsi Iweajunwa, Ella Schomer+2.5
21-1OAKYSUBad setDelaney Stern+1.8
32-1YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
42-2YSUOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.8
53-2OAKYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
64-2YSUYSUKillAbbie Householder+2.5
74-3YSUOAKServe errWrigley Takats+1.8
84-4OAKOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.6
95-4OAKYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
105-5YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.9
115-6OAKOAKBlockedAbbie Householderblk Delaney Stern, Grace Cooney+2.8
126-6OAKYSUServe errKiley Gallagher+2.0
136-7YSUOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+2.1
146-8OAKOAKAttack errLayne Graffice+2.9
157-8OAKYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
167-9YSUOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.1
177-10OAKOAKAttack errAva Stratton+2.8
188-10OAKYSUAttack errKamsi Iweajunwa+1.8
198-11YSUOAKKillKamsi Iweajunwaset Delaney Stern+2.1
209-11OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
2110-11YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+2.9
2210-12YSUOAKAttack errAbbie Householder+2.3
2311-12OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.2
2412-12YSUYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+3.3
2512-13YSUOAKServe errWrigley Takats+2.5
2613-13OAKYSU×4KillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
2714-13YSUYSU×4AceKylie Surrattaced Kalliann Cook+3.6
2815-13YSUYSU×4Bad setDelaney Stern+3.6
2916-13YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+3.3
3016-14YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+2.0
3117-14OAKYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+2.5
3218-14YSUYSUServe errKameron Blizniak+2.8
3318-15YSUOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.6
3419-15OAKYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.1
3519-16YSUOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.5
3619-17OAKOAKAttack errAva Stratton+2.9
3720-17YSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
3821-17YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
39–4022-18YSU · OAK
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
4123-18YSUYSUKillWrigley Takats+1.6
4223-19YSUOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.5
4324-19OAKYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+0.9
4425-19YSUYSUAttack errElla Schomer+0.3
Set 3
11-0YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surratt+1.6
22-0YSUYSU×3BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+1.6
33-0YSUYSU×3KillAbbie Householder+1.5
43-1YSUOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Kalliann Cook+1.0
53-2OAKOAKAttack errWrigley Takats+1.5
64-2OAKYSUKillKylie Surratt+1.2
75-2YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
85-3YSUOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+1.1
95-4OAKOAKAttack errAbbie Householder+1.6
106-4OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
116-5YSUOAKServe errWrigley Takats+1.2
127-5OAKYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
137-6YSUOAKBlockedKorina Barberblk Molly Reck, Grace Cooney+1.2
148-6OAKYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+1.3
158-7YSUOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.2
168-8OAKOAKAceKate Vrabelaced Journey Nicola+1.9
179-8OAKYSU×5Serve errKate Vrabel+1.4
1810-8YSUYSU×5Attack errMolly Reck+1.9
1911-8YSUYSU×5Serve errLayne Graffice+1.8
2012-8YSUYSU×5KillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.6
2113-8YSUYSU×5Attack errLiv Hosford+1.4
2213-9YSUOAKKillKamsi Iweajunwaset Delaney Stern+0.8
2314-9OAKYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.0
2414-10YSUOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+0.8
25–2615-11YSU · OAK
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
2716-11YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
2817-11YSUYSU×3AceWrigley Takatsaced Liv Hosford+1.0
2917-12YSUOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+0.5
3018-12OAKYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.7
3118-13YSUOAK×3Attack errMolly Reck+0.5
3218-14OAK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
3318-15OAKOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.4
3419-15OAKYSU×3Serve errMolly Reck+1.3
3520-15YSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
3621-15YSUYSU×3BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton+0.8
3721-16YSUOAKAttack errLayne Graffice+0.3
3822-16OAKYSUAttack errElla Martin+0.5
3922-17YSUOAKServe errJuliana Rivera+0.2
4023-17OAKYSU×3KillAva Stratton+0.4
4124-17YSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4225-17YSUYSU×3Attack errCaroline Moore·

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).