Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 6, 2026

South Carolina def. Troy 3–1

South Carolina beat visiting Troy 3-1 (25-17, 25-16, 23-25, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. South Carolina's Olivia Borgman led with 17 kills, and Lilly Gillespie added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set1234Sets
TROY171625191
S CAR252523253

Win probability

South Carolina above 50 · Troy below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.7% TROYrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Troy — set 3, TROY 24-22 S CAR. Troy ace. S CAR win probability 90% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TROY 29.7%70.3% S CAR

Troy wins

3-0
5.6%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.7%

South Carolina wins

3-0
23.4%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
19.9%
TROY break %
38.3% vs this opp
S CAR break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    TroyAce+3.7%

    Troy ace

    Set 3 · TROY 24-22 S CAR · TROY 10% → 14%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Haley Nash)

    Set 3 · TROY 23-22 S CAR · TROY 7% → 10%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 3 · TROY 25-23 S CAR · TROY 13% → 16%

  4. 04

    Kill by Ally Cavanaugh (set by Kaia Pixler)

    Set 1 · TROY 11-13 S CAR · S CAR 71% → 74%

  5. 05

    Elise Marchal stuffed by Kalina Calvillo & Sophie Ocampo

    Set 3 · TROY 22-22 S CAR · TROY 4% → 7%

  6. 06
    Kiana DinnBad set+2.7%

    Bad set by Kiana Dinn

    Set 1 · TROY 9-9 S CAR · TROY 28% → 30%

  7. 07
    South CarolinaAce+2.6%

    South Carolina ace on Brooke Forkum

    Set 4 · TROY 0-1 S CAR · S CAR 84% → 87%

  8. 08
    South CarolinaAce+2.6%

    South Carolina ace

    Set 4 · TROY 2-4 S CAR · S CAR 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Troyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416543.25601640031.518.5
410428.2140002002111
49523.17400000010.59.5
48525.1201151000009
41416-.188100320001
4001.0001903900000
4318.250000100425
4000–021200002
4000–511710001
4000–13021000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4724144.16039518485010577
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417333.42402210000019
49118.4440021022312
48421.19000030073.511.5
45013.385000000849
4217.143011830214
4000–2901500000
47213.38500020111.58.5
4000–1720500002
4000–3012110000
33516-.125000200003
3000–000100000
Team totals5116121.28949575853201398

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 TROY · S CAR 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 TROYS CAR 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 TROYS CAR 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 7 TROYS CAR 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 TROYS CAR 3

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Troy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Troy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
36%5/14
2
32%8/25
17%2/12
3
62%8/13
11%1/9
4
57%8/14
33%4/12
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
73%8/11
58%11/19
All
52%50/97
35%27/78

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
44%8/18
2
89%8/9
65%15/23
3
73%8/11
50%8/16
4
62%8/13
53%9/17
5
89%8/9
20%2/10
6
36%8/22
38%5/13
All
65%51/78
48%47/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#TROY-S CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TROYTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+2.3
22-0TROYTROYAttack errOlivia Borgman+2.5
32-1TROYS CAR×4Serve errTroy+1.6
42-2S CARS CAR×4Attack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+2.4
52-3S CARS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.3
62-4S CARS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Olivia Kwiatkowski+2.2
73-4S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+1.5
83-5TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.5
93-6S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+2.0
104-6S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.3
115-6TROYTROYAceTroyaced Madisyn Crnjac+2.2
125-7TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.6
136-7S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx+1.6
146-8TROYS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+1.6
157-8S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+1.6
167-9TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.6
178-9S CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+1.6
189-9TROYTROYBad setKiana Dinn+2.7
199-10TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.9
2010-10S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+1.9
2110-11TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.9
2211-11S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+2.0
2311-12TROYS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.0
2411-13S CARS CAR×5KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+2.8
2511-14S CARS CAR×5BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Ally Cavanaugh+2.5
2611-15S CARS CAR×5AceSouth Carolina+2.1
2711-16S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+1.6
2812-16S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.8
2912-17TROYS CAR×4Serve errTroy+1.0
3012-18S CARS CAR×4KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+1.1
3112-19S CARS CAR×4AceSouth Carolinaaced Haley Nash+0.6
3212-20S CARS CAR×4KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.3
3313-20S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Ava Leahy+0.1
3414-20TROYTROYAttack errCeci Vance+0.3
3514-21TROYS CARAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+0.3
3615-21S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+0.1
3715-22TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.3
3816-22S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.1
3916-23TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.2
4017-23S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+0.1
4117-24TROYS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.1
4217-25S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn·
Set 2
11-0S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+1.3
21-1TROYS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.3
31-2S CARS CAR×4KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+1.8
41-3S CARS CAR×4Attack errAshlynn Axtell+1.7
51-4S CARS CAR×4BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+1.6
62-4S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.0
72-5TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.1
83-5S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Kaia Pixler+1.1
93-6TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.1
104-6S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+1.1
115-6TROYTROYKillSophie Ocampo+1.8
125-7TROYS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+1.3
136-7S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+1.3
146-8TROYS CARKillCeci Vanceset Lilly Gillespie+1.3
157-8S CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Brooke Forkum+1.3
167-9TROYS CAR×3Serve errTroy+1.4
177-10S CARS CAR×3Attack errKalina Calvillo+1.8
187-11S CARS CAR×3BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis+1.6
198-11S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.9
208-12TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.1
219-12S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.9
229-13TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.1
2310-13S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx+0.9
2411-13TROYTROYAttack errOlivia Borgman+1.8
2511-14TROYS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+1.4
2611-15S CARS CAR×3Attack errSophie Ocampo+1.7
2711-16S CARS CAR×3AceSouth Carolinaaced Brooke Forkum+1.3
2812-16S CARTROYAttack errAva Leahy+0.7
2912-17TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.9
3013-17S CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+0.6
3113-18TROYS CARBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Ally Cavanaugh, Sydney Davis+0.9
3214-18S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+0.6
3315-18TROYTROYAttack errCeci Vance+1.3
3415-19TROYS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+1.2
3516-19S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.9
3616-20TROYS CAR×6KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.2
3716-21S CARS CAR×6KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.2
3816-22S CARS CAR×6KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+0.6
3916-23S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.2
4016-24S CARS CAR×6KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.1
4116-25S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn·
Set 3
10-1TROYS CARAttack errAshlynn Axtell+0.7
21-1S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+0.7
31-2TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.7
42-2S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.7
52-3TROYS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+0.7
63-3S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx+0.8
73-4TROYS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+0.7
84-4S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.8
95-4TROYTROYAttack errAlly Cavanaugh+1.2
105-5TROYS CARAttack errIsabella Ruether+0.8
115-6S CARS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+1.2
126-6S CARTROY×7KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.8
137-6TROYTROY×7Attack errCeci Vance+1.3
148-6TROYTROY×7Attack errCeci Vance+1.3
159-6TROYTROY×7Attack errElise Marchal+1.4
1610-6TROYTROY×7Bad setKiana Dinn+1.3
1711-6TROYTROY×7Attack errCeci Vance+1.2
1812-6TROYTROY×7KillKalina Calvilloset Brooke Forkum+1.0
1912-7TROYS CAR×3Serve errTroy+0.5
2012-8S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.9
2112-9S CARS CAR×3KillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+1.1
2213-9S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+0.9
2313-10TROYS CARBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.7
2413-11S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+1.3
2514-11S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.1
2615-11TROYTROYAceTroyaced Madisyn Crnjac+1.4
2715-12TROYS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.8
2815-13S CARS CAR×3BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Ava Leahy+1.4
2915-14S CARS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+1.6
3016-14S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Haley Nash+1.2
3116-15TROYS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+1.1
3216-16S CARS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Kaia Pixler+1.8
3317-16S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+1.3
3418-16TROYTROYBlockedMadisyn Crnjacblk Isabella Ruether, Sophie Ocampo+2.0
3518-17TROYS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+1.2
3618-18S CARS CARAttack errIsabella Ruether+2.0
3719-18S CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+1.5
3819-19TROYS CAR×4Serve errTroy+1.4
3919-20S CARS CAR×4BlockedBrooke Forkumblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+2.3
4019-21S CARS CAR×4Attack errBrooke Forkum+2.1
4119-22S CARS CAR×4KillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+1.6
4220-22S CARTROY×5Serve errSouth Carolina+0.7
4321-22TROYTROY×5BlockedElise Marchalblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo+1.8
4422-22TROYTROY×5BlockedElise Marchalblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo+2.8
4523-22TROYTROY×5KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+3.6
4624-22TROYTROY×5AceTroy+3.7
4724-23TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.3
4825-23S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+3.4
Set 4
10-1S CARS CARAceSouth Carolinaaced Brooke Forkum+2.6
21-1S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.8
31-2TROYS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.8
42-2S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.9
52-3TROYS CARServe errTroy+1.8
62-4S CARS CARAceSouth Carolina+2.6
73-4S CARTROYBlockedAlly Cavanaughblk Isabella Ruether, Ashlynn Axtell+1.7
83-5TROYS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+1.8
93-6S CARS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+2.4
103-7S CARS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+2.1
114-7S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Olivia Kwiatkowski+1.3
125-7TROYTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+2.3
135-8TROYS CARAttack errBrooke Forkum+1.7
145-9S CARS CARBlockedIsabella Ruetherblk Sydney Davis, Madisyn Crnjac+2.2
156-9S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Sydney Davis+1.3
166-10TROYS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Kaia Pixler+1.5
177-10S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+1.3
187-11TROYS CAR×3BlockedBrooke Forkumblk Madisyn Crnjac, Sydney Davis+1.5
197-12S CARS CAR×3KillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+1.9
207-13S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.4
218-13S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.7
229-13TROYTROYAceTroyaced Madisyn Crnjac+1.5
239-14TROYS CAR×3BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+1.3
249-15S CARS CAR×3BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Ava Leahy+1.4
259-16S CARS CAR×3BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+0.9
2610-16S CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.4
2710-17TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.6
2811-17S CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.4
2912-17TROYTROYAttack errOlivia Borgman+0.9
3012-18TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.8
3112-19S CARS CARAttack errIsabella Ruether+0.8
3213-19S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Haley Nash+0.3
3314-19TROYTROYAceTroyaced Lilly Gillespie+0.7
3414-20TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.7
3515-20S CARTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.4
3615-21TROYS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.7
3715-22S CARS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+0.5
3816-22S CARTROY×3BlockedElise Marchalblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo+0.1
3917-22TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.4
4018-22TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvillo+0.7
4118-23TROYS CARServe errTroy+0.9
4218-24S CARS CARBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.5
4319-24S CARTROYServe errSouth Carolina+0.1
4419-25TROYS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Troy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).