FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Troy def. The Citadel 3–0

Troy beat visiting The Citadel 3-0 (25-17, 25-18, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Troy's Ashlynn Axtell led with 13 kills, and Haley Nash added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
CITDEL1718120
TROY2525253

Win probability

Troy above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 122 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Troy stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 0.8%99.2% TROY

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.5%

Troy wins

3-0
76.3%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
3.2%
CITDEL break %
34.1% vs this opp
TROY break %
52.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38422.1820141002110
37117.353000200218
3209.22200100031.53.5
32426-.077001310002
3002.000190230031.51.5
3112.000001400001
3000–021800002
3000–2021210000
2148-.375000500001
1114.000000100001
1016-.167000100000
1000–000100000
Team totals221696.06321312413010547
Troyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313017.7650001000013
37332.125001500218
38520.150002910008
37316.250000000007
3206.333000410002
3000–2301700000
34210.200000101226
3001.0005131300001
3000–1010500001
3000–012300001
2000–000100000
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4113102.275393949314375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CITDEL · TROY 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 CITDELTROY 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 CITDELTROY 3

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 3 CITDELTROY 5

Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
33%3/9
2
43%6/14
0%0/7
3
28%5/18
50%6/12
4
38%5/13
17%1/6
5
80%4/5
29%2/7
6
50%4/8
50%4/8
All
42%31/73
33%16/49

Troy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
50%5/10
2
100%6/6
45%5/11
3
46%6/13
67%12/18
4
100%5/5
69%11/16
5
56%5/9
58%7/12
6
50%4/8
33%2/6
All
67%33/49
58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#CITDEL-TROYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CITDELTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
21-1TROYCITDELKillGwen Berryset Jess Martin
31-2CITDELTROY×6KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
41-3TROYTROY×6Attack errJordyn Sims
51-4TROYTROY×6KillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx
61-5TROYTROY×6KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
71-6TROYTROY×6KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx
81-7TROYTROY×6KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
92-7TROYCITDEL×4BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Luci Lippelgoos, Jordyn Sims
103-7CITDELCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss
114-7CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
125-7CITDELCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss
135-8CITDELTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash
145-9TROYTROYAttack errRachel Reininger
156-9TROYCITDELAttack errSophie Ocampo
166-10CITDELTROY×3Serve errThe Citadel
176-11TROYTROY×3Attack errEmma Pastusic
186-12TROYTROY×3Attack errEmma Pastusic
197-12TROYCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
207-13CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
218-13TROYCITDELServe errTroy
228-14CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
239-14TROYCITDELAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski
2410-14CITDELCITDELAttack errIsabella Ruether
2510-15CITDELTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Haley Nash
2610-16TROYTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Haley Nash
2711-16TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
2811-17CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
2911-18TROYTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
3012-18TROYCITDEL×3Serve errTroy
3113-18CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Brooke Forkum
3214-18CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
3314-19CITDELTROY×5KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
3414-20TROYTROY×5Attack errRachel Reininger
3514-21TROYTROY×5Bad setLuci Lippelgoos
3614-22TROYTROY×5KillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley
3714-23TROYTROY×5Attack errRachel Reininger
3815-23TROYCITDELAttack errSophie Ocampo
3915-24CITDELTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley
4016-24TROYCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
4117-24CITDELCITDELBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Elizabeth Miller, Greta Pleuss
4217-25CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
Set 2
10-1TROYTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx
20-2TROYTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx
31-2TROYCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss
41-3CITDELTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
52-3TROYCITDELServe errTroy
62-4CITDELTROY×3Serve errThe Citadel
72-5TROYTROY×3AceTroyaced Rachel Reininger
82-6TROYTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtell
93-6TROYCITDELServe errTroy
103-7CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
113-8TROYTROYAceTroyaced Jess Martin
124-8TROYCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
134-9CITDELTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley
144-10TROYTROYBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo
155-10TROYCITDEL×3Serve errTroy
166-10CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Olivia Kwiatkowski
177-10CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errKalina Calvillo
187-11CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
197-12TROYTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley
208-12TROYCITDEL×3Attack errOlivia Kwiatkowski
219-12CITDELCITDEL×3KillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss
2210-12CITDELCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
2310-13CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
2410-14TROYTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
2511-14TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
2611-15CITDELTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
2712-15TROYCITDELServe errTroy
2812-16CITDELTROY×3KillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
2912-17TROYTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtell
3012-18TROYTROY×3Attack errRachel Reininger
3113-18TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
3214-18CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadel
3314-19CITDELTROYAttack errGwen Berry
3414-20TROYTROYAttack errLuci Lippelgoos
3515-20TROYCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
3615-21CITDELTROYBlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Sophie Ocampo
3716-21TROYCITDELBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Luci Lippelgoos, Greta Pleuss
3816-22CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
3916-23TROYTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley
4017-23TROYCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss
4117-24CITDELTROYAttack errEmma Pastusic
4218-24TROYCITDELServe errTroy
4318-25CITDELTROYKillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
Set 3
10-1CITDELTROY×4KillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
20-2TROYTROY×4Bad setElizabeth Miller
30-3TROYTROY×4Bad setGreta Pleuss
40-4TROYTROY×4KillIsabella Ruetherset Madison Marx
51-4TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
61-5CITDELTROYServe errThe Citadel
72-5TROYCITDELServe errTroy
83-5CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
93-6CITDELTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash
103-7TROYTROY×3BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo
113-8TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley
124-8TROYCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoos
134-9CITDELTROY×5Serve errThe Citadel
144-10TROYTROY×5AceTroy
154-11TROYTROY×5KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley
164-12TROYTROY×5KillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley
174-13TROYTROY×5KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Haley Nash
185-13TROYCITDELServe errTroy
196-13CITDELCITDELAttack errKalina Calvillo
206-14CITDELTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley
217-14TROYCITDEL×3BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Greta Pleuss
228-14CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedIsabella Ruetherblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims
239-14CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errIsabella Ruether
249-15CITDELTROY×3KillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley
259-16TROYTROY×3Attack errCameron Reese
269-17TROYTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx
2710-17TROYCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss
2810-18CITDELTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
2910-19TROYTROYAttack errSammie Sabra
3011-19TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
3111-20CITDELTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
3211-21TROYTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
3311-22TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx
3412-22TROYCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Jess Martin
3512-23CITDELTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx
3612-24TROYTROY×3Attack errLuci Lippelgoos
3712-25TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Addison Kersting

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).