Northwestern St. at Troy

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

NW ST 1.3%98.7% TROY

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.9%

Troy wins

3-0

71.5%

3-1

22.7%

3-2

4.5%

NW ST break %: 33.1% vs this opp
TROY break %: 50.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.