Northwestern State vs Troy Volleyball: Troy Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

0:3

Troy beat visiting Northwestern St. 3-0 (25-12, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Troy's Isabella Ruether led with 13 kills, and Olivia Kwiatkowski added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NW ST	12	22	22	0
TROY	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Troy above 50 · Northwestern St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Troy stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 2.0%98.0% TROY

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.3%

Troy wins

3-0

66.9%

3-1

25.2%

3-2

5.9%

NW ST break %: 33.4% vs this opp
TROY break %: 48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northwestern St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
22Olivia NziokiMB	3	13	5	25	.320	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	14
17Elsie SanchezOH	3	5	4	31	.032	1	1	2	5	2	0	0	6
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	6
5Gillian grace WolfOH	3	3	4	19	-.053	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	3
11Jade LongladS	3	1	1	4	.000	28	0	1	7	0	0	0	1
16Anna claire HebertS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	1
6Amber CraigOH	3	3	3	17	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
2Emmarie McfarlandL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	16	1	0	0	1
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	1
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
26Addison GuyMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Ana GjorgjievskaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Camila TorquatiS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Elizabeth MuguruzaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Julia WhitfieldMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Melis OzipekOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Riley SchubertOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	18	112	.116	31	4	6	54	5	1	1	56

Troyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Isabella RuetherOH	3	13	3	25	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
9Ashlynn AxtellMB	3	10	1	21	.429	1	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	13
7Kalina CalvilloOH	3	10	1	26	.346	0	0	3	6	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
6Olivia KwiatkowskiOH	3	4	5	18	-.056	0	3	1	13	0	0	2	1	8
20Brooke ForkumOH	3	5	2	18	.167	0	1	0	7	0	0	2	1	7
33Madison MarxS	3	0	0	0	–	21	0	3	8	0	0	0	0	0
14Sophie OcampoOH	3	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
11Haley NashL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	9	2	0	0	0	1
13Addison KerstingS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Brooke DawsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ella BroadheadMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Josephine HensleyS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
23Kayla BaetzelDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Kenzly FooteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Lainey WaserMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	12	114	.298	42	5	9	50	4	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NW ST · TROY 4

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 NW STTROY 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 NW STTROY 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 NW STTROY 4

Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%5/11	33%2/6
2	29%4/14	29%2/7
3	44%4/9	43%3/7
4	60%3/5	20%1/5
5	50%3/6	40%2/5
6	75%3/4	40%2/5
All	45%22/49	34%12/35

Troy

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	20%1/5
2	50%4/8	73%11/15
3	80%4/5	60%6/10
4	67%4/6	50%4/8
5	60%3/5	40%2/5
6	100%3/3	50%3/6
All	66%23/35	55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	NW ST-TROY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian grace Wolf	set Anna claire Hebert
2	2-0	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Haley Nash
3	2-1	NW ST	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
4	2-2	TROY	TROY×4	Ace	Troy	aced Emmarie Mcfarland
5	2-3	TROY	TROY×4	Blocked	Gillian grace Wolf	blk Ashlynn Axtell, Isabella Ruether
6	2-4	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx
7	3-4	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
8	4-4	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad*
9	4-5	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
10	4-6	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez
11	4-7	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Haley Nash
12	5-7	TROY	NW ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo	set Ashlynn Axtell
13	5-8	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx
14	5-9	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Elsie Sanchez	blk Brooke Forkum, Sophie Ocampo
15	5-10	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Gillian grace Wolf
16	6-10	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
17	6-11	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
18	6-12	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo
19	7-12	TROY	NW ST	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley
20	7-13	NW ST	TROY×3	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
21	7-14	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Amber Craig	blk Sophie Ocampo, Olivia Kwiatkowski
22	7-15	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley
23	8-15	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
24	8-16	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley
25	9-16	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
26	9-17	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
27	9-18	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx
28	9-19	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Gillian grace Wolf
29	10-19	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
30	10-20	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx
31	10-21	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Elsie Sanchez
32	10-22	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Olivia Nzioki	blk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell
33	11-22	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
34	11-23	NW ST	TROY	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
35	11-24	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez
36	12-24	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
37	12-25	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo
Set 2
1	1-0	TROY	NW ST	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx
2	1-1	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Ashlynn Axtell
3	1-2	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Haley Nash
4	1-3	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Gillian grace Wolf
5	2-3	TROY	NW ST×3	Attack err	Brooke Forkum	set Gillian grace Wolf
6	3-3	NW ST	NW ST×3	Blocked	Ashlynn Axtell	blk Olivia Nzioki
7	4-3	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
8	4-4	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell
9	4-5	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Olivia Nzioki	blk Ashlynn Axtell
10	4-6	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx
11	5-6	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad
12	5-7	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
13	6-7	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
14	7-7	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Elsie Sanchez
15	7-8	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley
16	7-9	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Elsie Sanchez
17	8-9	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
18	8-10	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
19	9-10	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
20	9-11	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley
21	9-12	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Amber Craig	blk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Ashlynn Axtell
22	10-12	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
23	11-12	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski
24	11-13	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
25	11-14	TROY	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx
26	12-14	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian grace Wolf	set Valerie Brown
27	13-14	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
28	13-15	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
29	14-15	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
30	15-15	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Brooke Forkum
31	15-16	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx
32	15-17	TROY	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley
33	16-17	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
34	17-17	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.
35	17-18	NW ST	TROY	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
36	18-18	TROY	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
37	19-18	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
38	20-18	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski
39	20-19	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley
40	20-20	TROY	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley
41	21-20	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
42	21-21	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley
43	22-21	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
44	22-22	NW ST	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
45	22-23	TROY	TROY×4	Blocked	Amber Craig	blk Brooke Forkum, Ashlynn Axtell
46	22-24	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell
47	22-25	TROY	TROY×4	Ace	Troy
Set 3
1	0-1	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx
2	1-1	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
3	1-2	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
4	2-2	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
5	2-3	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx
6	3-3	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
7	3-4	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley
8	3-5	TROY	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley
9	4-5	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
10	4-6	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley
11	5-6	TROY	NW ST×5	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
12	6-6	NW ST	NW ST×5	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski
13	7-6	NW ST	NW ST×5	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Haley Nash
14	8-6	NW ST	NW ST×5	Attack err	Isabella Ruether
15	9-6	NW ST	NW ST×5	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
16	9-7	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley
17	10-7	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
18	11-7	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Isabella Ruether
19	11-8	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
20	12-8	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad
21	13-8	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.
22	13-9	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Haley Nash
23	13-10	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo
24	14-10	TROY	NW ST	Serve err	Troy
25	14-11	NW ST	TROY	Attack err	Gillian grace Wolf	set Valerie Brown
26	14-12	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki
27	15-12	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
28	15-13	NW ST	TROY	Serve err	Northwestern St.
29	15-14	TROY	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley
30	16-14	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian grace Wolf	set Jade Longlad
31	16-15	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley
32	17-15	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
33	18-15	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Isabella Ruether
34	18-16	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley
35	19-16	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad
36	19-17	NW ST	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
37	19-18	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx
38	19-19	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Isabella Ruether
39	19-20	TROY	TROY×4	Attack err	Jade Longlad
40	20-20	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad
41	20-21	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx
42	21-21	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad
43	21-22	NW ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx
44	22-22	TROY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad
45	22-23	NW ST	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley
46	22-24		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
47	22-25	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Troy def. Northwestern St. 3–0