Minnesota def. Creighton 3–0
Minnesota beat Creighton 3-0 (25-18, 25-23, 25-12) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 10 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 13 digs.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| CREIGH | 18 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.4% to Minnesota — set 2, MINN 24-22 CREIGH. Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Stella Swenson). CREIGH win probability 8% → 5%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Minnesota wins
Creighton wins
- MINN break %
- 45.7% vs this opp
- CREIGH break %
- 38.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Carly GilkKill+3.4%
Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 2 · MINN 24-22 CREIGH · MINN 92% → 95%
- 02Mckenna WuchererKill+3.0%
Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 2 · MINN 25-23 CREIGH · MINN 94% → 97%
- 03Rayna Christianson&Ayden AmesBlock+2.9%
Kelly Kinney stuffed by Rayna Christianson & Ayden Ames
Set 2 · MINN 21-21 CREIGH · CREIGH 8% → 11%
- 04Mckenna WuchererKill+2.8%
Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 2 · MINN 23-22 CREIGH · MINN 89% → 92%
- 05Ayden AmesKill+2.4%
Kill by Ayden Ames (set by Rayna Christianson)
Set 2 · MINN 22-22 CREIGH · CREIGH 8% → 11%
- 06Jordan TaylorKill+2.4%
Kill by Jordan Taylor (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 2 · MINN 22-21 CREIGH · MINN 89% → 92%
- 07
- 08Trinity Shadd-CeresKill+2.3%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · MINN 9-10 CREIGH · CREIGH 18% → 21%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 27 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 0 | 14 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 35 | 10 | 84 | .298 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 25 | -.080 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .154 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -.182 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| Team totals | 28 | 21 | 103 | .068 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 53 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-18
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
25-12
Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Minnesota
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40%4/10 | 67%4/6 |
| 2 | 57%4/7 | 56%5/9 |
| 3 | 100%4/4 | 73%11/15 |
| 4 | 100%3/3 | 67%6/9 |
| 5 | 75%3/4 | 50%3/6 |
| 6 | 75%3/4 | 0%0/3 |
| All | 66%21/32 | 60%29/48 |
Creighton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%4/9 | 60%6/10 |
| 2 | 27%4/15 | 43%3/7 |
| 3 | 33%3/9 | 0%0/4 |
| 4 | 50%3/6 | 0%0/3 |
| 5 | 100%3/3 | 25%1/4 |
| 6 | 33%2/6 | 25%1/4 |
| All | 40%19/48 | 34%11/32 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
128 rallies
| # | MINN-CREIGH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Mckenna Wucherer | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Carly Gilk | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Ace | Creighton | aced Carly Gilk | +2.0 |
| 4 | 0-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +2.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +1.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MINN | MINN | Ace | Minnesota | aced Sydney Breissinger | +1.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 8 | 2-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Carly Gilk | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +1.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | MINN | MINN×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | MINN | MINN×3 | Bad set | Ayden Ames | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +1.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MINN | MINN×3 | Blocked | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | blk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MINN | MINN×3 | Kill | Stella Swenson | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | MINN | CREIGH | Attack err | Stella Swenson | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +1.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Saige Damrow | +1.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Katie Dalton | +2.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +1.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +1.8 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +1.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Katie Dalton | +1.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Jordan Taylor | set Stella Swenson | +1.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Katie Dalton | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +1.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | CREIGH | MINN×4 | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +1.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MINN | MINN×4 | Attack err | Jaya Johnson | +2.2 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | MINN | MINN×4 | Kill | Carly Gilk | set Zeynep Palabiyik | +1.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MINN | MINN×4 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +1.4 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | MINN | MINN×3 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +1.0 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MINN | MINN×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.6 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +0.3 |
| 36 | 21-15 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +0.4 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +0.2 |
| 38 | 22-16 | CREIGH | MINN | Attack err | Katie Dalton | +0.3 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +0.2 |
| 40 | 22-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | Creighton | aced Kelly Kinney | +0.4 |
| 41 | 23-18 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Serve err | Creighton | +0.5 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | MINN | MINN×3 | Blocked | Ashlyn Paymal | blk Kelly Kinney, Jordan Taylor | +0.3 |
| 43 | 25-18 | MINN | MINN×3 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Saige Damrow | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +1.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CREIGH | MINN | Serve err | Creighton | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MINN | CREIGH | Blocked | Mckenna Wucherer | blk Jaya Johnson, Ayden Ames | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Carly Gilk | set Stella Swenson | +0.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Eloise Brandewie | +0.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Saige Damrow | set Stella Swenson | +1.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CREIGH | MINN | Serve err | Creighton | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | MINN | MINN | Kill | Stella Swenson | set Saige Damrow | +1.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ashlyn Paymal | set Rayna Christianson | +0.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Blocked | Mckenna Wucherer | blk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal | +1.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +0.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +1.0 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +1.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Ashlyn Paymal | +1.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | CREIGH | MINN×4 | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +1.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MINN | MINN×4 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Saige Damrow | +1.3 |
| 19 | 11-8 | MINN | MINN×4 | Blocked | Ayden Ames | blk Jordan Taylor | +1.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MINN | MINN×4 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.9 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MINN | CREIGH | Attack err | Kelly Kinney | +0.6 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Jordan Taylor | set Stella Swenson | +0.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MINN | CREIGH | Attack err | Mckenna Wucherer | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Nora Wurtz | +1.1 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Blocked | Eloise Brandewie | blk Jordan Taylor, Mckenna Wucherer | +0.9 |
| 26 | 15-11 | MINN | MINN×3 | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +1.0 |
| 27 | 16-11 | MINN | MINN×3 | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | +0.8 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +0.4 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Eloise Brandewie | +0.9 |
| 30 | 17-13 | CREIGH | MINN | Serve err | Creighton | +0.8 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.8 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | +0.4 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Rayna Christianson | +0.8 |
| 34 | 19-15 | CREIGH | MINN | Serve err | Creighton | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Rayna Christianson | +0.6 |
| 36 | 20-16 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +0.8 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MINN | MINN | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +0.7 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MINN | CREIGH×5 | Kill | Ashlyn Paymal | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 39 | 21-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH×5 | Ace | Creighton | aced Kelly Kinney | +0.7 |
| 40 | 21-19 | CREIGH | CREIGH×5 | Blocked | Kelly Kinney | blk Rayna Christianson, Ayden Ames | +1.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CREIGH | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.0 | |||
| 42 | 21-21 | CREIGH | CREIGH×5 | Blocked | Kelly Kinney | blk Rayna Christianson, Ayden Ames | +2.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Jordan Taylor | set Stella Swenson | +2.4 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +2.4 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +2.8 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MINN | MINN | Kill | Carly Gilk | set Stella Swenson | +3.4 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Saige Damrow | +1.4 |
| 48 | 25-23 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +3.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | Creighton | aced Carly Gilk | +0.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | Creighton | aced Carly Gilk | +0.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Stella Swenson | +0.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MINN | MINN | Kill | Jordan Taylor | set Stella Swenson | +0.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Saige Damrow | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Saige Damrow | +0.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CREIGH | MINN×6 | Kill | Carly Gilk | set Stella Swenson | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MINN | MINN×6 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MINN | MINN×6 | Blocked | Jaya Johnson | blk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke | +0.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MINN | MINN×6 | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Stella Swenson | +0.6 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MINN | MINN×6 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.5 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MINN | MINN×6 | Blocked | Jaya Johnson | blk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke | +0.4 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +0.3 |
| 15 | 10-5 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 17 | 11-6 | CREIGH | MINN×4 | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +0.3 |
| 18 | 12-6 | MINN | MINN×4 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Abbey Hayes | +0.3 |
| 19 | 13-6 | MINN | MINN×4 | Blocked | Abbey Hayes | blk Kelly Kinney, Elena Hoecke | +0.2 |
| 20 | 14-6 | MINN | MINN×4 | Kill | Kelly Kinney | set Zeynep Palabiyik | +0.1 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Rayna Christianson | +0.1 |
| 22 | 15-7 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | +0.1 |
| 23 | 15-8 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Rayna Christianson | set Abbey Hayes | +0.1 |
| 24 | 16-8 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Serve err | Creighton | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 17-8 | MINN | MINN×3 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Sydney Breissinger | +0.1 |
| 26 | 18-8 | MINN | MINN×3 | Kill | Carly Gilk | set Stella Swenson | · |
| 27 | 18-9 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | · | |
| 28 | 19-9 | CREIGH | MINN×3 | Serve err | Creighton | · | |
| 29 | 20-9 | MINN | MINN×3 | Kill | Mckenna Wucherer | set Zeynep Palabiyik | · |
| 30 | 21-9 | MINN | MINN×3 | Ace | Minnesota | aced Sydney Breissinger | · |
| 31 | 21-10 | MINN | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | · |
| 32 | 21-11 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | · | |
| 33 | 22-11 | CREIGH | MINN | Serve err | Creighton | · | |
| 34 | 23-11 | MINN | MINN | Blocked | Ayden Ames | blk Elena Hoecke | · |
| 35 | 23-12 | MINN | CREIGH | Serve err | Minnesota | · | |
| 36 | 24-12 | CREIGH | MINN | Kill | Elena Hoecke | set Stella Swenson | · |
| 37 | 25-12 | MINN | MINN | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).