FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Minnesota def. Creighton 3–0

Minnesota beat Creighton 3-0 (25-18, 25-23, 25-12) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 10 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 13 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
MINN2525253
CREIGH1823120

Win probability

Creighton above 50 · Minnesota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% MINNrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Minnesota — set 2, MINN 24-22 CREIGH. Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Stella Swenson). CREIGH win probability 8% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 82.5%17.5% CREIGH

Minnesota wins

3-0
34.2%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
17.5%

Creighton wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.0%
MINN break %
45.7% vs this opp
CREIGH break %
38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carly GilkKill+3.4%

    Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 2 · MINN 24-22 CREIGH · MINN 92% → 95%

  2. 02

    Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 2 · MINN 25-23 CREIGH · MINN 94% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kelly Kinney stuffed by Rayna Christianson & Ayden Ames

    Set 2 · MINN 21-21 CREIGH · CREIGH 8% → 11%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 2 · MINN 23-22 CREIGH · MINN 89% → 92%

  5. 05
    Ayden AmesKill+2.4%

    Kill by Ayden Ames (set by Rayna Christianson)

    Set 2 · MINN 22-22 CREIGH · CREIGH 8% → 11%

  6. 06
    Jordan TaylorKill+2.4%

    Kill by Jordan Taylor (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 2 · MINN 22-21 CREIGH · MINN 89% → 92%

  7. 07
    Katie DaltonAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Katie Dalton

    Set 1 · MINN 13-12 CREIGH · MINN 81% → 83%

  8. 08

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Katie Dalton)

    Set 1 · MINN 9-10 CREIGH · CREIGH 18% → 21%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310427.22201160031.512.5
37014.5000000014310
37320.200000120218
3215.200294270010.56.5
35211.273011230006
3407.571000001226
3000–021700002
3000–3231300002
3000–000300000
2000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals351084.29832109396212875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38218.33300020031.59.5
36825-.080013340007
36226.154101710006
3001.000131100003
3000–020330002
2023-.667800300000
33313.00000030010.53.5
31011.000803200212
31311-.18220000010.51.5
31011.000400920001
2214.25010010010.52.5
Team totals2821103.0682568341008453

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MINN · CREIGH 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 MINNCREIGH 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 MINNCREIGH 5

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 6 MINNCREIGH 2

Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%4/10
67%4/6
2
57%4/7
56%5/9
3
100%4/4
73%11/15
4
100%3/3
67%6/9
5
75%3/4
50%3/6
6
75%3/4
0%0/3
All
66%21/32
60%29/48

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%4/9
60%6/10
2
27%4/15
43%3/7
3
33%3/9
0%0/4
4
50%3/6
0%0/3
5
100%3/3
25%1/4
6
33%2/6
25%1/4
All
40%19/48
34%11/32

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#MINN-CREIGHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errMckenna Wucherer+1.7
20-2CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errCarly Gilk+1.9
30-3CREIGHCREIGH×4AceCreightonaced Carly Gilk+2.0
40-4CREIGHCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.0
51-4CREIGHMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.3
62-4MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Sydney Breissinger+1.8
72-5MINNCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+1.6
82-6CREIGHCREIGHAttack errCarly Gilk+2.1
93-6CREIGHMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.3
104-6MINNMINN×3Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+1.9
115-6MINNMINN×3Bad setAyden Ames+2.0
125-7MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.6
136-7CREIGHMINN×3KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+1.4
147-7MINNMINN×3BlockedTrinity Shadd-Ceresblk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke+2.0
158-7MINNMINN×3KillStella Swenson+1.9
168-8MINNCREIGHAttack errStella Swenson+1.4
179-8CREIGHMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.4
189-9MINNCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+1.5
199-10CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+2.3
2010-10CREIGHMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.6
2110-11MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+1.8
2211-11CREIGHMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.6
2311-12MINNCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+1.8
2412-12CREIGHMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+1.7
2513-12MINNMINNAttack errKatie Dalton+2.3
2613-13MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+1.7
2714-13CREIGHMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.7
2815-13MINNMINN×4Attack errJaya Johnson+2.2
2916-13MINNMINN×4KillCarly Gilkset Zeynep Palabiyik+1.8
3017-13MINNMINN×4Attack errAbbey Hayes+1.4
3117-14MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+0.9
3218-14CREIGHMINN×3Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+1.0
3319-14MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+1.0
3420-14MINNMINN×3Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.6
3520-15MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+0.3
3621-15CREIGHMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.4
3721-16MINNCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+0.2
3822-16CREIGHMINNAttack errKatie Dalton+0.3
3922-17MINNCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+0.2
4022-18CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Kelly Kinney+0.4
4123-18CREIGHMINN×3Serve errCreighton+0.5
4224-18MINNMINN×3BlockedAshlyn Paymalblk Kelly Kinney, Jordan Taylor+0.3
4325-18MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Saige Damrow·
Set 2
11-0MINNMINNAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+1.1
21-1MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+0.9
32-1CREIGHMINNServe errCreighton+0.8
42-2MINNCREIGHBlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Jaya Johnson, Ayden Ames+0.9
53-2CREIGHMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.8
64-2MINNMINNAttack errEloise Brandewie+1.1
74-3MINNCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Eloise Brandewie+0.8
84-4CREIGHCREIGHKillSaige Damrowset Stella Swenson+1.3
95-4CREIGHMINNServe errCreighton+0.9
106-4MINNMINNKillStella Swensonset Saige Damrow+1.1
116-5MINNCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+0.8
126-6CREIGHCREIGHBlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal+1.3
137-6CREIGHMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.9
147-7MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+1.0
158-7CREIGHMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+1.0
168-8MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Ashlyn Paymal+1.1
179-8CREIGHMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.0
1810-8MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Saige Damrow+1.3
1911-8MINNMINN×4BlockedAyden Amesblk Jordan Taylor+1.1
2012-8MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.9
2112-9MINNCREIGHAttack errKelly Kinney+0.6
2213-9CREIGHMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.7
2313-10MINNCREIGHAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.6
2413-11CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Nora Wurtz+1.1
2514-11CREIGHMINN×3BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Jordan Taylor, Mckenna Wucherer+0.9
2615-11MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.0
2716-11MINNMINN×3Attack errEloise Brandewie+0.8
2816-12MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+0.4
2916-13CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Eloise Brandewie+0.9
3017-13CREIGHMINNServe errCreighton+0.8
3118-13MINNMINNAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.8
3218-14MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota+0.4
3318-15CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+0.8
3419-15CREIGHMINNServe errCreighton+0.8
3519-16MINNCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+0.6
3620-16CREIGHMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
3721-16MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.7
3821-17MINNCREIGH×5KillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+0.3
3921-18CREIGHCREIGH×5AceCreightonaced Kelly Kinney+0.7
4021-19CREIGHCREIGH×5BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Rayna Christianson, Ayden Ames+1.2
4121-20CREIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
4221-21CREIGHCREIGH×5BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Rayna Christianson, Ayden Ames+2.9
4322-21CREIGHMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+2.4
4422-22MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+2.4
4523-22CREIGHMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.8
4624-22MINNMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+3.4
4724-23MINNCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+1.4
4825-23CREIGHMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.0
Set 3
10-1CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Carly Gilk+0.7
20-2CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Carly Gilk+0.7
31-2CREIGHMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.5
42-2MINNMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.6
52-3MINNCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+0.5
62-4CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+0.8
73-4CREIGHMINN×6KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.5
84-4MINNMINN×6AceMinnesotaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.7
95-4MINNMINN×6BlockedJaya Johnsonblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke+0.6
106-4MINNMINN×6KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.6
117-4MINNMINN×6AceMinnesotaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.5
128-4MINNMINN×6BlockedJaya Johnsonblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke+0.4
138-5MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.3
149-5CREIGHMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.3
1510-5MINNMINNAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.4
1610-6MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.2
1711-6CREIGHMINN×4KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.3
1812-6MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Abbey Hayes+0.3
1913-6MINNMINN×4BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Kelly Kinney, Elena Hoecke+0.2
2014-6MINNMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.1
2114-7MINNCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Rayna Christianson+0.1
2215-7CREIGHMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.1
2315-8MINNCREIGHKillRayna Christiansonset Abbey Hayes+0.1
2416-8CREIGHMINN×3Serve errCreighton+0.1
2517-8MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Sydney Breissinger+0.1
2618-8MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
2718-9MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota·
2819-9CREIGHMINN×3Serve errCreighton·
2920-9MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik·
3021-9MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Sydney Breissinger·
3121-10MINNCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson·
3221-11CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayes·
3322-11CREIGHMINNServe errCreighton·
3423-11MINNMINNBlockedAyden Amesblk Elena Hoecke·
3523-12MINNCREIGHServe errMinnesota·
3624-12CREIGHMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson·
3725-12MINNMINNAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres·

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).