Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 1, 2026 · Neutral site

Florida def. Minnesota 3–1

Florida beat Minnesota 3-1 (27-25, 24-26, 25-23, 25-21) on Tue, Sep 1, 2026 at a neutral site. Selena Leban led Florida with 20 kills; Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Sep 1

Set1234Sets
FLA272425253
MINN252623211

Win probability

Minnesota above 50 · Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.7% FLArally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.7% to Florida — set 3, FLA 25-23 MINN. Elena Hoecke stuffed by Brooklyn Briscoe & Selena Leban. MINN win probability 34% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FLA 58.5%41.5% MINN

Florida wins

3-0
16.4%
3-1
22.3%
3-2
19.8%

Minnesota wins

3-0
9.3%
3-1
15.2%
3-2
17.0%
FLA break %
41.9% vs this opp
MINN break %
40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elena Hoecke stuffed by Brooklyn Briscoe & Selena Leban

    Set 3 · FLA 25-23 MINN · FLA 66% → 79%

  2. 02
    Logan KingAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Logan King

    Set 1 · FLA 24-25 MINN · MINN 41% → 52%

  3. 03
    FloridaAce+9.9%

    Florida ace on Kelly Kinney

    Set 1 · FLA 26-25 MINN · FLA 56% → 65%

  4. 04
    Kelly KinneyKill+9.7%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · FLA 24-24 MINN · MINN 32% → 41%

  5. 05
    Kelly KinneyKill+9.7%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 2 · FLA 24-26 MINN · MINN 34% → 43%

  6. 06
    FloridaAce+9.5%

    Florida ace on Zeynep Palabiyik

    Set 1 · FLA 27-25 MINN · FLA 65% → 75%

  7. 07

    Brooklyn Briscoe stuffed by Stella Swenson & Elena Hoecke

    Set 2 · FLA 23-24 MINN · MINN 24% → 34%

  8. 08

    Kill by Brooklyn Briscoe (set by Taylor Parks)

    Set 3 · FLA 24-23 MINN · FLA 57% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420643.32634384111.525.5
414630.26700110111.515.5
48322.227000100219
45316.12500030010.55.5
4306.5004621400005
36721-.04810120010.56.5
4102.500112000002
4000–021200002
21Bella LeeL/DS
4000–2121100001
4000–1132100001
2407.571000000004
Team totals6125147.245541114534265101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421249.388023101031.524.5
413326.38500012010.513.5
410323.30410100031.511.5
43520-.10001323031.55.5
4229.00010020073.55.5
4205.40041011000424
4000–111310001
4000–001400000
4000–6021640000
3103.33300210010.51.5
Team totals5215135.2745041449110221195

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 FLA · MINN 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 3 FLAMINN 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 FLAMINN 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 FLAMINN 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 7 FLAMINN 4

Bars above the line = Minnesota leads, below = Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
57%12/21
2
73%11/15
45%9/20
3
61%11/18
31%5/16
4
64%9/14
44%8/18
5
50%9/18
25%3/12
6
67%8/12
38%5/13
All
61%59/96
42%42/100

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
38%6/16
2
61%11/18
39%7/18
3
56%10/18
35%6/17
4
67%10/15
33%5/15
5
62%8/13
50%9/18
6
67%8/12
33%4/12
All
58%58/100
39%37/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#FLA-MINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.7
21-1FLAMINNAttack errAlec Rothe+1.7
32-1MINNFLABlockedCarly Gilkblk Logan King, Alec Rothe+1.8
42-2FLAMINNServe errFlorida+1.8
53-2MINNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.8
64-2FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Carly Gilk+2.5
74-3FLAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+1.7
85-3MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+1.8
95-4FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.8
105-5MINNMINNAttack errLogan King+2.7
116-5MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+1.9
126-6FLAMINNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke+2.0
137-6MINNFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.0
147-7FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.0
157-8MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+3.0
168-8MINNFLA×3KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.1
179-8FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Zeynep Palabiyik+3.0
1810-8FLAFLA×3KillKamryn Chaney+2.9
1910-9FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.0
2010-10MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+3.1
2111-10MINNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.2
2211-11FLAMINNServe errFlorida+2.3
2311-12MINNMINNAttack errSelena Leban+3.4
2412-12MINNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.4
2512-13FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.5
2613-13MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.4
2713-14FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.6
2814-14MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.6
2915-14FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Zeynep Palabiyik+3.8
3015-15FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.7
3116-15MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.8
3217-15FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Kelly Kinney+3.9
3317-16FLAMINNKillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+2.5
3417-17MINNMINNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor+4.2
3518-17MINNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Selena Leban+3.1
3618-18FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+3.1
3719-18MINNFLA×3Serve errMinnesota+3.4
3820-18FLAFLA×3Attack errCarly Gilk+4.7
3921-18FLAFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+3.9
4021-19FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.0
4122-19MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.8
4222-20FLAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+1.9
4322-21MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Selena Leban+4.3
4423-21MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+4.3
4524-21FLAFLABlockedElena Hoeckeblk Selena Leban+4.2
4624-22FLAMINN×4KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+1.1
4724-23MINNMINN×4KillElena Hoecke+3.9
4824-24MINNMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+9.7
4924-25MINNMINN×4Attack errLogan King+10.1
5025-25MINNFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Lily Hayes+7.1
5126-25FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Kelly Kinney+9.9
5227-25FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Zeynep Palabiyik+9.5
Set 2
11-0FLAFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.3
21-1FLAMINN×5KillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+1.6
31-2MINNMINN×5Attack errSelena Leban+2.4
41-3MINNMINN×5Attack errAlec Rothe+2.4
51-4MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.4
61-5MINNMINN×5KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+2.3
72-5MINNFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Logan King+1.4
83-5FLAFLA×4KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.2
94-5FLAFLA×4KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.4
105-5FLAFLA×4KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.5
115-6FLAMINNServe errFlorida+1.8
126-6MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+1.8
136-7FLAMINNBlockedLogan Kingblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke+1.9
146-8MINNMINNAttack errSelena Leban+2.7
157-8MINNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.8
168-8FLAFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoe+2.7
178-9FLAMINNAttack errLogan King+2.0
189-9MINNFLAKillTaylor Parks+2.0
199-10FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.1
2010-10MINNFLAAttack errKelly Kinney+2.0
2110-11FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.1
2211-11MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.1
2312-11FLAFLAAttack errJordan Taylor+3.1
2412-12FLAMINNServe errFlorida+2.2
2513-12MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.2
2614-12FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Mckenna Wucherer+3.1
2714-13FLAMINNBlockedLogan Kingblk Mckenna Wucherer, Jordan Taylor+2.0
2815-13MINNFLAAttack errMckenna Wucherer+2.2
2915-14FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+2.1
3016-14MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.3
3116-15FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.2
3216-16MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Selena Leban+3.7
3317-16MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.7
3417-17FLAMINNServe errFlorida+2.7
3517-18MINNMINNKillStella Swensonset Kate Thibault+4.3
3618-18MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.9
3719-18FLAFLAAttack errKelly Kinney+4.5
3819-19FLAMINNServe errFlorida+3.1
3920-19MINNFLAKillTaylor Parksset Selena Leban+3.4
4021-19FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Zeynep Palabiyik+4.6
4121-20FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.7
4222-20MINNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+3.5
4322-21FLAMINNBlockedLogan Kingblk Jordan Taylor, Mckenna Wucherer+2.8
4422-22MINNMINNAttack errLogan King+5.9
4523-22MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+5.0
4623-23FLAMINNServe errFlorida+4.8
4723-24MINNMINNBlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke+9.3
4824-24MINNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+6.5
4924-25FLAMINNServe errFlorida+6.5
5024-26MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+9.7
Set 3
10-1MINNMINNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor+3.4
21-1MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.3
32-1FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Carly Gilk+3.4
42-2FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.4
53-2MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.4
63-3FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.4
73-4MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+3.7
84-4MINNFLA×4KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+2.5
95-4FLAFLA×4KillKira Hutsonset Taylor Parks+3.6
106-4FLAFLA×4KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+3.6
117-4FLAFLA×4KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+3.3
127-5FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.2
137-6MINNMINNAttack errSelena Leban+3.5
148-6MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.6
159-6FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Kate Thibault+3.5
169-7FLAMINN×3Serve errFlorida+2.3
179-8MINNMINN×3KillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+3.7
189-9MINNMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+4.1
1910-9MINNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.9
2010-10FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.0
2111-10MINNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+3.0
2211-11FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.1
2312-11MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+3.1
2412-12FLAMINNServe errFlorida+3.2
2512-13MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Selena Leban+4.8
2613-13MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+3.3
2713-14FLAMINN×3Serve errFlorida+3.5
2813-15MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Selena Leban+5.1
2913-16MINNMINN×3KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+4.8
3014-16MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.8
3114-17FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Elena Hoecke+3.5
3215-17MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Kelly Kinney+2.9
3315-18FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+3.6
3416-18MINNFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.9
3517-18FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Carly Gilk+5.2
3617-19FLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Jordan Taylor+4.4
3717-20MINNMINNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor+5.6
3818-20MINNFLA×3Attack errCarly Gilk+2.9
3919-20FLAFLA×3KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+5.7
4020-20FLAFLA×3KillAlec Rothe+7.1
4120-21FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+5.7
4221-21MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+5.4
4322-21FLAFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+9.0
4422-22FLAMINNServe errFlorida+6.1
4523-22MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+7.4
4623-23FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+7.0
4724-23MINNFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+9.2
4825-23FLAFLABlockedElena Hoeckeblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Selena Leban+12.7
Set 4
10-1FLAMINNAttack errAlec Rothe+2.2
21-1MINNFLABlockedCarly Gilkblk Kamryn Chaney, Alec Rothe+2.2
32-1FLAFLAAttack errJordan Taylor+3.2
42-2FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.2
53-2MINNFLA×3KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+2.2
64-2FLAFLA×3Attack errElena Hoecke+3.2
75-2FLAFLA×3Attack errCarly Gilk+3.0
85-3FLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+2.0
95-4MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.1
106-4MINNFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.3
117-4FLAFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+3.1
128-4FLAFLA×3KillBrooklyn Briscoe+2.8
138-5FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.7
148-6MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.9
159-6MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Kira Hutson+2.3
1610-6FLAFLAAttack errMckenna Wucherer+2.9
1710-7FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.8
1811-7MINNFLAKillTaylor Parksset Bella Lee+2.0
1911-8FLAMINNAttack errSelena Leban+1.8
2012-8MINNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.1
2112-9FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.8
2212-10MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+3.2
2313-10MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.5
2413-11FLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.3
2513-12MINNMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+3.8
2614-12MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.9
2715-12FLAFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+3.9
2815-13FLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+2.3
2916-13MINNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.8
3016-14FLAMINNServe errFlorida+2.4
3117-14MINNFLAServe errMinnesota+2.9
3217-15FLAMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.4
3317-16MINNMINN×3BlockedSelena Lebanblk Stella Swenson, Jordan Taylor+4.4
3417-17MINNMINN×3Attack errBrooklyn Briscoe+5.3
3518-17MINNFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+3.9
3618-18FLAMINN×4Serve errFlorida+3.9
3718-19MINNMINN×4BlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Jordan Taylor, Makenna Crosson+6.3
3818-20MINNMINN×4BlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Stella Swenson, Kelly Kinney+6.3
3918-21MINNMINN×4Attack errKamryn Chaney+5.5
4019-21MINNFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.7
4120-21FLAFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+5.6
4221-21FLAFLA×7BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Kamryn Chaney+7.3
4322-21FLAFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Mckenna Wucherer+8.3
4423-21FLAFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Selena Leban+7.8
4524-21FLAFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Bella Lee+5.3
4625-21FLAFLA×7KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).