FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Minnesota def. Miami (FL) 3–0

Minnesota beat visiting Miami (FL) 3-0 (25-15, 25-16, 25-14) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Kelly Kinney led Minnesota with 9 kills; Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
MIAMI1516140
MINN2525253

Win probability

Minnesota above 50 · Miami (FL) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% MIAMIrally 120 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Miami (FL) — set 2, MIAMI 14-13 MINN. Kill by Ariana Rodriguez (set by Adrianna Bridges). MINN win probability 95% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIAMI 8.5%91.5% MINN

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.9%

Minnesota wins

3-0
47.2%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.0%
MIAMI break %
37.0% vs this opp
MINN break %
47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ariana Rodriguez (set by Adrianna Bridges)

    Set 2 · MIAMI 14-13 MINN · MIAMI 5% → 6%

  2. 02
    Adrianna BridgesAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Adrianna Bridges

    Set 2 · MIAMI 14-15 MINN · MINN 95% → 96%

  3. 03
    Asia HarveyKill+1.0%

    Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Gaby Arroyo)

    Set 2 · MIAMI 6-3 MINN · MIAMI 6% → 7%

  4. 04
    MinnesotaAce+0.9%

    Minnesota ace on Ruth Martinez

    Set 2 · MIAMI 14-16 MINN · MINN 96% → 97%

  5. 05
    MinnesotaAce+0.9%

    Minnesota ace on Asia Harvey

    Set 2 · MIAMI 11-12 MINN · MINN 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    Mckenna WuchererAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Mckenna Wucherer

    Set 2 · MIAMI 5-3 MINN · MIAMI 5% → 6%

  7. 07

    Ella Thompson stuffed by Jordan Taylor & Kelly Kinney

    Set 1 · MIAMI 0-1 MINN · MINN 92% → 92%

  8. 08
    Asia HarveyAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Asia Harvey

    Set 2 · MIAMI 6-5 MINN · MINN 94% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310525.2000027300010
35315.133010400006
3115.000211240010.52.5
3103.333001101012
3125-.200100000001
24722-.136012320005
3000–2001210000
1102.50000000010.51.5
1128-.125000310001
1000–001000000
Team totals242085.047243834912245
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38122.31806290010.514.5
39320.3000001002110
38115.467003200219
35011.45500200010.55.5
3317.286000000425
3204.5002902200002
3000–112400001
3000–3101020001
3000–200510000
3000–000000000
2314.500010000004
1000–200100000
1000–000000000
Team totals38783.37337911343010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MIAMI · MINN 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 MIAMIMINN 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 MIAMIMINN 7

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 MIAMIMINN 5

Bars above the line = Minnesota leads, below = Miami (FL) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
17%1/6
2
55%6/11
22%2/9
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
40%6/15
14%1/7
5
28%5/18
33%3/9
6
67%4/6
17%1/6
All
46%34/74
24%11/46

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
50%6/12
2
75%6/8
45%5/11
3
75%6/8
33%3/9
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
71%15/21
6
100%4/4
60%6/10
All
76%35/46
54%40/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#MIAMI-MINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MINNMINNBlockedElla Thompsonblk Jordan Taylor, Kelly Kinney+0.9
21-1MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.7
31-2MIAMIMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.6
42-2MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
52-3MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.7
62-4MINNMINNKillElena Hoecke+0.8
73-4MINNMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.6
83-5MIAMIMINN×4KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.6
93-6MINNMINN×4Attack errAsia Harvey+0.7
103-7MINNMINN×4Attack errElla Thompson+0.6
113-8MINNMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.5
124-8MINNMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.3
135-8MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Kate Thibault+0.6
145-9MIAMIMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.4
155-10MINNMINNAttack errAsia Harvey+0.5
166-10MINNMIAMIAttack errKelly Kinney+0.3
177-10MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Zeynep Palabiyik+0.6
187-11MIAMIMINN×3Serve errMiami (FL)+0.5
197-12MINNMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.5
207-13MINNMINN×3Attack errAsia Harvey+0.4
218-13MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.2
228-14MIAMIMINN×3KillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.3
238-15MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.2
248-16MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.1
259-16MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
269-17MIAMIMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.1
2710-17MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.1
2810-18MIAMIMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.1
2910-19MINNMINNBlockedRuth Martinezblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke+0.1
3011-19MINNMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez·
3111-20MIAMIMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson·
3212-20MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez·
3312-21MIAMIMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson·
3413-21MINNMIAMIKillAdrianna Bridgesset Ariana Rodriguez·
3513-22MIAMIMINNAttack errAsia Harvey·
3614-22MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota·
3714-23MIAMIMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson·
3814-24MINNMINNAttack errRuth Martinez·
3915-24MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota·
4015-25MIAMIMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson·
Set 2
11-0MIAMIMIAMIBlockedKelly Kinneyblk Denitsa Angelova+0.7
21-1MIAMIMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.5
31-2MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Ruth Martinez+0.6
42-2MINNMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
53-2MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Zeynep Palabiyik+0.8
63-3MIAMIMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.5
74-3MINNMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.6
85-3MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errMckenna Wucherer+0.9
96-3MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+1.0
106-4MIAMIMINN×3Attack errRuth Martinez+0.6
116-5MINNMINN×3Attack errAsia Harvey+0.9
126-6MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
137-6MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.7
147-7MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.6
158-7MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.7
168-8MIAMIMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.6
179-8MINNMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
189-9MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.6
1910-9MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
2010-10MIAMIMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.7
2111-10MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
2211-11MIAMIMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.7
2311-12MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Asia Harvey+0.9
2412-12MINNMIAMIAttack errCarly Gilk+0.7
2512-13MIAMIMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.7
2613-13MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.8
2714-13MIAMIMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Adrianna Bridges+1.2
2814-14MIAMIMINN×7KillStella Swensonset McKenna Garr+0.8
2914-15MINNMINN×7Attack errAdrianna Bridges+1.1
3014-16MINNMINN×7AceMinnesotaaced Ruth Martinez+0.9
3114-17MINNMINN×7AceMinnesotaaced Asia Harvey+0.8
3214-18MINNMINN×7Attack errAsia Harvey+0.6
3314-19MINNMINN×7KillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.4
3414-20MINNMINN×7KillKelly Kinneyset Kate Thibault+0.2
3515-20MINNMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
3616-20MIAMIMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Gaby Arroyo+0.2
3716-21MIAMIMINN×5Serve errMiami (FL)+0.2
3816-22MINNMINN×5Attack errElla Thompson+0.2
3916-23MINNMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.1
4016-24MINNMINN×5AceMinnesota·
4116-25MINNMINN×5BlockedAsia Harveyblk Jordan Taylor, Kelly Kinney·
Set 3
10-1MINNMINNBlockedRuth Martinezblk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor+0.3
21-1MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
31-2MIAMIMINN×3Attack errAriana Rodriguez+0.2
41-3MINNMINN×3Attack errSonja Danilovic+0.2
51-4MINNMINN×3Attack errAdrianna Bridges+0.2
62-4MINNMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
72-5MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.2
83-5MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
93-6MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.2
104-6MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota+0.2
114-7MIAMIMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.2
124-8MINNMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Kate Thibault+0.2
134-9MINNMINN×5AceMinnesota+0.1
144-10MINNMINN×5AceMinnesotaaced Sonja Danilovic+0.1
154-11MINNMINN×5KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.1
165-11MINNMIAMIAttack errKelly Kinney·
175-12MIAMIMINNServe errMiami (FL)+0.1
186-12MINNMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez·
196-13MIAMIMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.1
206-14MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik·
217-14MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez·
228-14MIAMIMIAMIBlockedJordan Taylorblk Ariana Rodriguez, Lal Akin+0.1
238-15MIAMIMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.1
248-16MINNMINN×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor·
258-17MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
269-17MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota·
2710-17MIAMIMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez·
2810-18MIAMIMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson·
2911-18MINNMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez·
3011-19MIAMIMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
3112-19MINNMIAMIKillLal Akinset Ariana Rodriguez·
3213-19MIAMIMIAMIAttack errMakenna Crosson·
3313-20MIAMIMINN×5KillMakenna Crossonset Georgia Lee·
3413-21MINNMINN×5AceMinnesotaaced Ruth Martinez·
3513-22MINNMINN×5AceMinnesotaaced Gaby Arroyo·
3613-23MINNMINN×5Attack errSonja Danilovic·
3713-24MINNMINN×5KillMakenna Crossonset Zeynep Palabiyik·
3814-24MINNMIAMIServe errMinnesota·
3914-25MIAMIMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Georgia Lee·

Score shown after each rally, Miami (FL) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).