FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

Minnesota def. St. Thomas (MN) 3–0

Minnesota beat visiting St. Thomas (MN) 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 25-22) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set123Sets
STTHOM2220220
MINN2525253

Win probability

Minnesota above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 139 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Minnesota stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 1.8%98.2% MINN

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.2%

Minnesota wins

3-0
68.4%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
5.4%
STTHOM break %
35.9% vs this opp
MINN break %
52.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313324.4170123300014
37315.26710350010.57.5
31314-.143040530005
3347-.14300000031.54.5
34417.000000000004
3002.0002400300211
3000–010000001
3000–213210001
3000–110500001
2000–000000000
1112.000000000001
1001.000010000001
1000–000000000
Team totals291882.134289823706364
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318226.61512480031.521.5
3417.42900020052.56.5
3219.11103131010.55.5
3318.25000300031.54.5
3203.6673412200003
3000–000420000
310623.1740000302111
31011.000200410001
3000–401800000
2000–001000000
2000–000000000
1227.000011000214
Team totals421384.34541713319016875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STTHOM · MINN 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 STTHOMMINN 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 STTHOMMINN 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 STTHOMMINN 8

Bars above the line = Minnesota leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
55%6/11
2
63%5/8
29%2/7
3
71%5/7
38%3/8
4
50%4/8
29%2/7
5
25%3/12
43%3/7
6
38%3/8
50%3/6
All
52%25/48
41%19/46

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
63%5/8
2
71%5/7
0%0/5
3
63%5/8
38%3/8
4
71%5/7
29%2/7
5
57%4/7
50%4/8
6
50%3/6
75%9/12
All
59%27/46
48%23/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#STTHOM-MINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1STTHOMMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson
21-1MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
31-2STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
41-3MINNMINNBlockedAudrey Koconblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke
52-3MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
62-4STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
73-4MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
83-5STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
93-6MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
104-6MINNSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy
114-7STTHOMMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson
124-8MINNMINNBlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Makenna Crosson, Lucie Blazkova
135-8MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
146-8STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errKelly Kinney
156-9STTHOMMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
167-9MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
177-10STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
188-10MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
198-11STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
208-12MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Kira Brundage
219-12MINNSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy
229-13STTHOMMINNAttack errAddie Schmotzer
239-14MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Anya Schmidt
2410-14MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
2510-15STTHOMMINN×3KillKate Thibaultset Morgan Kealy
2610-16MINNMINN×3KillStella Swensonset Kate Thibault
2710-17MINNMINN×3Attack errAddie Schmotzer
2811-17MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
2912-17STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errKelly Kinney
3012-18STTHOMMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
3113-18MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
3213-19STTHOMMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik
3314-19MINNSTTHOM×3Attack errMakenna Crosson
3415-19STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced McKenna Garr
3516-19STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced McKenna Garr
3616-20STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
3717-20MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
3818-20STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Makenna Crosson
3918-21STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
4019-21MINNSTTHOMAttack errElena Hoecke
4120-21STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)
4220-22STTHOMMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson
4320-23MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Anya Schmidt
4421-23MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
4522-23STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kelly Kinney
4622-24STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
4722-25MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
Set 2
10-1MINNMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson
21-1MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
31-2STTHOMMINN×4KillMakenna Crossonset Mckenna Wucherer
41-3MINNMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
51-4MINNMINN×4Attack errAnya Schmidt
61-5MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Ellie Gustafson
72-5MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Kira Brundage
83-5STTHOMSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Audrey Kocon
93-6STTHOMMINN×3Serve errSt. Thomas (MN)
103-7MINNMINN×3Attack errAddie Schmotzer
113-8MINNMINN×3Attack errAnya Schmidt
124-8MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
134-9STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
145-9MINNSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
156-9STTHOM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

166-10STTHOMMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
176-11MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik
187-11MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
197-12STTHOMMINN×3KillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson
207-13MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
217-14MINNMINN×3BlockedReilly Kurthblk Mckenna Wucherer, Lucie Blazkova
228-14MINNSTTHOMAttack errMckenna Wucherer
238-15STTHOMMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson
249-15MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
259-16STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
269-17MINNMINNBlockedAudrey Koconblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke
2710-17MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
2810-18STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik
2910-19MINNMINNBlockedAddie Schmotzerblk Elena Hoecke, Kelly Kinney
3011-19MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
3111-20STTHOMMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
3212-20MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
3313-20STTHOMSTTHOMBlockedKelly Kinneyblk Morgan Kealy, Reilly Kurth
3413-21STTHOMMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson
3514-21MINNSTTHOM×3Serve errMinnesota
3615-21STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errKelly Kinney
3716-21STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAudrey Koconset Taylor McNear
3816-22STTHOMMINNBlockedReilly Kurthblk Lucie Blazkova
3917-22MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
4017-23STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
4118-23MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
4219-23STTHOMSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy
4319-24STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
4420-24MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
4520-25STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
Set 3
11-0STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
22-0STTHOMSTTHOM×4AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kelly Kinney
33-0STTHOMSTTHOM×4AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kelly Kinney
44-0STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
54-1STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
65-1MINNSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
75-2STTHOMMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson
86-2MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
96-3STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
107-3MINNSTTHOMServe errMinnesota
117-4STTHOMMINNServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
128-4MINNSTTHOM×3Serve errMinnesota
139-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
1410-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Morgan Kealy, Reilly Kurth
1510-5STTHOMMINN×8KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
1610-6MINNMINN×8AceMinnesotaaced Anya Schmidt
1710-7MINNMINN×8BlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Carly Gilk, Lucie Blazkova
1810-8MINNMINN×8KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson
1910-9MINNMINN×8BlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Carly Gilk, Lucie Blazkova
2010-10MINNMINN×8KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson
2110-11MINNMINN×8Attack errReilly Kurth
2210-12MINNMINN×8Attack errAnya Schmidt
2311-12MINNSTTHOM×3KillMaddy Benkaset Morgan Kealy
2412-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLucie Blazkova
2513-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedCarly Gilkblk Reilly Kurth, Audrey Kocon
2613-13STTHOMMINN×6KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson
2713-14MINNMINN×6Attack errMaddy Benka
2813-15MINNMINN×6Attack errAudrey Kocon
2913-16MINNMINN×6AceMinnesotaaced Ellie Gustafson
3013-17MINNMINN×6Attack errReilly Kurth
3113-18MINNMINN×6KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
3214-18MINNSTTHOMAttack errCarly Gilk
3314-19STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
3415-19MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
3516-19STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)
3616-20STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik
3716-21MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Ellie Gustafson
3817-21MINNSTTHOM×3Serve errMinnesota
3918-21STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errMckenna Wucherer
4019-21STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Kira Brundage
4119-22STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
4220-22MINNSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
4321-22STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errKelly Kinney
4421-23STTHOMMINNKillStella Swensonset Kate Thibault
4522-23MINNSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy
4622-24STTHOMMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson
4722-25MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).