Minnesota at South Dakota St.

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

MINN 96.2%3.8% SDAKST

Minnesota wins

3-0

59.3%

3-1

28.4%

3-2

8.5%

South Dakota St. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

MINN break %: 47.0% vs this opp
SDAKST break %: 33.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.