Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on B1G+

Minnesota def. Rutgers 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Minnesota 91.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Minnesota won at Rutgers 3-1 (25-20, 23-25, 25-22, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 20 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
MINN252325253
RUTGER202522171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Minnesota led in all four phases.

Win probability never moved more than 3.7 points on one rally; Rutgers topped out at 28% in Set 3. Minnesota went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

MinnesotaRutgers
  • Break %+9.4 pts
    42.332.9

    41 of 97 on serve vs 28 of 85, so Rutgers's sideout was 57.7%.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Down 11–14 in the third set, Minnesota scored 6 straight to lead 17–14. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Rutgers above 50Minnesota belowMax swing 3.7%

MinnesotaRutgers

Hitting
Minnesota .320·Rutgers .266
Aces
Minnesota 7·Rutgers 1
Serve err
Minnesota 7·Rutgers 10
Blocks
Minnesota 11·Rutgers 22 BS · 18 BA vs 1 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Minnesota 66·Rutgers 67

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rutgers above 50 · Minnesota below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.7% RUTGERrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Rutgers — set 2, MINN 23-25 RUTGER. Kill by Skylar George (set by Lily Bolen). RUTGER win probability 11% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 94.0%6.0% RUTGER

Minnesota wins

3-0
52.8%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
10.9%

Rutgers wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
3.6%
MINN break %
47.8% vs this opp
RUTGER break %
35.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Skylar GeorgeKill+3.7%

    Kill by Skylar George (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 2 · MINN 23-25 RUTGER · RUTGER 11% → 15%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison Wiemann (set by Skylar George)

    Set 3 · MINN 9-12 RUTGER · RUTGER 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    Aspen MaxwellAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Aspen Maxwell

    Set 3 · MINN 23-21 RUTGER · MINN 86% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 3 · MINN 13-14 RUTGER · MINN 75% → 78%

  5. 05
    Carly GilkKill+3.4%

    Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Mckenna Wucherer)

    Set 3 · MINN 14-14 RUTGER · MINN 78% → 82%

  6. 06
    Malia RomesKill+3.1%

    Kill by Malia Romes (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 3 · MINN 4-8 RUTGER · RUTGER 24% → 27%

  7. 07

    Aspen Maxwell stuffed by Lucie Blazkova & Mckenna Wucherer

    Set 3 · MINN 15-14 RUTGER · MINN 82% → 85%

  8. 08
    Jordan TaylorKill+3.1%

    Kill by Jordan Taylor (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 3 · MINN 22-20 RUTGER · MINN 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420450.320122110052.524.5
413131.38700000010.513.5
45211.273442080212.59.5
47217.29400020010.57.5
44013.308000100215
2326.167000100214
4000–021100002
41011.000102600001
4000–000700000
4000–9002100000
3116.00000040052.53.5
27115.40001230010.58.5
2000–100100000
Team totals6113150.32056776612181198
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415126.5381001000015
413433.27321215100014
413229.3791014000013
410218.44400110111.511.5
43215.067000000003
4000–2602800000
47731.00000010010.57.5
4001.0002601600000
4000–4021930000
3000–001700000
2000–000410000
1113.000000100001
1012-.500000000000
Team totals6220158.2666011067712284

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MINN · RUTGER 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 MINNRUTGER 2

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 MINNRUTGER 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 MINNRUTGER 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 MINNRUTGER 2

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
23%3/13
2
61%11/18
37%7/19
3
77%10/13
50%10/20
4
62%8/13
47%7/15
5
89%8/9
56%10/18
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
67%57/85
42%41/97

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
47%9/19
2
57%12/21
20%3/15
3
50%8/16
35%6/17
4
50%8/16
38%5/13
5
62%8/13
20%2/10
6
62%8/13
27%3/11
All
58%56/97
33%28/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#MINN-RUTGERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RUTGERRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.1
20-2RUTGERRUTGERAceSkylar George+1.2
31-2RUTGERMINNServe errSkylar George+0.8
42-2MINNMINNAttack errAddison Wiemann+1.1
52-3MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+0.9
63-3RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.8
73-4MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Addison Wiemann+0.9
84-4RUTGERMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
95-4MINNMINN×4KillElena Hoecke+1.1
106-4MINNMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.9
117-4MINNMINN×4BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Elena Hoecke, Mckenna Wucherer+0.8
127-5MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Brooke Baldwin+0.6
137-6RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
148-6RUTGERMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.7
159-6MINNMINN×5KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.8
1610-6MINNMINN×5BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Elena Hoecke, Kelly Kinney+0.7
1711-6MINNMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.5
1812-6MINNMINN×5Attack errSkylar George+0.4
1912-7MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2013-7RUTGERMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.3
2113-8MINNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2214-8RUTGERMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.3
2314-9MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.2
2414-10RUTGERRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.5
2515-10RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.4
2616-10MINNMINNKillMakenna Crosson+0.4
2716-11MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.2
2817-11RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.3
2917-12MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.2
3018-12RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.3
3118-13MINNRUTGERBlockedElena Hoeckeblk Imani Howell+0.2
3218-14RUTGERRUTGERAttack errElena Hoecke+0.4
3319-14RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.4
3419-15MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+0.3
3520-15RUTGERMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.4
3620-16MINNRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
3720-17RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.7
3821-17RUTGERMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.6
3922-17MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Kenzie Dyrstad+0.5
4022-18MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.2
4123-18RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.3
4223-19MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+0.1
4324-19RUTGERMINNKillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.2
4424-20MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+0.1
4525-20RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.1
Set 2
10-1MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.6
20-2RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.8
31-2RUTGERMINNAttack errImani Howell+0.5
41-3MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.7
51-4RUTGERRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
62-4RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.6
72-5MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
83-5RUTGERMINNKillStella Swensonset McKenna Garr+0.6
94-5MINNMINNAttack errAspen Maxwell+0.8
104-6MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
114-7RUTGERRUTGERAttack errStella Swenson+1.0
125-7RUTGERMINNBlockedNatalie Robinsonblk Stella Swenson+0.7
136-7MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.9
146-8MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
157-8RUTGERMINN×5Serve errRutgers+0.7
168-8MINNMINN×5AceMinnesotaaced Kami Dyrstad+0.9
179-8MINNMINN×5BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Makenna Crosson, Jordan Taylor+0.8
1810-8MINNMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.7
1911-8MINNMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.6
2011-9MINNRUTGER×4KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.4
2111-10RUTGERRUTGER×4KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.8
2211-11RUTGERRUTGER×4KillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.9
2311-12RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errMakenna Crosson+1.1
2412-12RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.8
2513-12MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+1.0
2613-13MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.8
2714-13RUTGERMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.7
2814-14MINNRUTGER×4KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.8
2914-15RUTGERRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.3
3014-16RUTGERRUTGER×4KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
3114-17RUTGERRUTGER×4KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.6
3215-17RUTGERMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.9
3315-18MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.3
3415-19RUTGERRUTGERBad setMckenna Wucherer+1.6
3516-19RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+0.8
3616-20MINNRUTGERAttack errKelly Kinney+1.2
3717-20RUTGERMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.8
3818-20MINNMINN×3BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Stella Swenson, Jordan Taylor+1.4
3919-20MINNMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.7
4019-21MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.7
4119-22RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.1
4220-22RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.0
4320-23MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.7
4421-23RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+0.9
4522-23MINNMINNKillMcKenna Garrset Stella Swenson+2.0
4622-24MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.6
4723-24RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+1.4
4823-25MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+3.7
Set 3
10-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+2.1
20-2RUTGERRUTGER×3BlockedMakenna Crossonblk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell+2.4
30-3RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.6
41-3RUTGERMINN×3Serve errRutgers+1.7
52-3MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+2.3
63-3MINNMINN×3Attack errImani Howell+2.1
73-4MINNRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
83-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.6
93-6RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errMckenna Wucherer+2.9
104-6RUTGERMINNKillCarly Gilkset Georgia Lee+1.8
114-7MINNRUTGERAttack errMckenna Wucherer+2.3
124-8RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.1
135-8RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+1.9
146-8MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.7
156-9MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.4
167-9RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.0
178-9MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Kenzie Dyrstad+2.8
188-10MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+2.4
199-10RUTGERMINNAttack errAddison Wiemann+2.0
209-11MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.5
219-12RUTGERRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Skylar George+3.6
2210-12RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+2.2
2310-13MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Skylar George+2.8
2411-13RUTGERMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.3
2511-14MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+2.9
2612-14RUTGERMINN×6KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+2.3
2713-14MINNMINN×6KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.4
2814-14MINNMINN×6KillCarly Gilkset Mckenna Wucherer+3.4
2915-14MINNMINN×6BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Lucie Blazkova, Mckenna Wucherer+3.1
3016-14MINNMINN×6KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.7
3117-14MINNMINN×6Attack errKaris Willow+2.2
3217-15MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
3318-15RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.7
3418-16MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+1.5
3518-17RUTGERRUTGERAttack errLucie Blazkova+2.9
3619-17RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.4
3719-18MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.3
3820-18RUTGERMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.6
3920-19MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+2.5
4021-19RUTGERMINNKillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+2.8
4121-20MINNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.6
4222-20RUTGERMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+3.1
4322-21MINNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+2.7
4423-21RUTGERMINNAttack errAspen Maxwell+3.5
4524-21MINNMINNBlockedAspen Maxwellblk Mckenna Wucherer, Lucie Blazkova+3.0
4624-22MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
4725-22RUTGERMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+1.9
Set 4
10-1MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.2
21-1RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.0
31-2MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Malia Romes+1.2
41-3RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
52-3RUTGERMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+1.2
63-3MINNMINN×3AceMinnesota+1.5
74-3MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wucherer+1.4
84-4MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+1.1
95-4RUTGERMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.0
106-4MINNMINN×3AceMinnesota+1.3
117-4MINNMINN×3BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Stella Swenson+1.1
127-5MINNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
138-5RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+0.8
149-5MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.9
159-6MINNRUTGERAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.7
1610-6RUTGERMINNKillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.7
1710-7MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.7
1811-7RUTGERMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.7
1911-8MINNRUTGERAttack errCarly Gilk+0.7
2012-8RUTGERMINNServe errRutgers+0.7
2112-9MINNRUTGERServe errMinnesota+0.7
2213-9RUTGERMINN×3KillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+0.7
2314-9MINNMINN×3BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Mckenna Wucherer, Lucie Blazkova+0.8
2415-9MINNMINN×3KillStella Swensonset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.5
2515-10MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
2615-11RUTGERRUTGERAttack errStella Swenson+0.6
2716-11RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.6
2816-12MINNRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
2916-13RUTGERRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
3017-13RUTGERMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
3118-13MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.8
3218-14MINNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Skylar George+0.5
3319-14RUTGERMINNAttack errNatalie Robinson+0.6
3419-15MINNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.4
3520-15RUTGERMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.6
3620-16MINNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.4
3721-16RUTGERMINN×4KillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.5
3822-16MINNMINN×4BlockedMalia Romesblk Mckenna Wucherer, Lucie Blazkova+0.4
3923-16MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Skylar George+0.1
4024-16MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Kenzie Dyrstad·
4124-17MINNRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen·
4225-17RUTGERMINNBlockedZharia Harris-Waddyblk Lucie Blazkova, Carly Gilk·

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).