FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on BTN

Minnesota def. Ohio St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Minnesota 93.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Minnesota won at Ohio St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 13 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set123Sets
MINN2525253
OHIOST2320220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Minnesota swept Ohio St. without a set decided by more than five and led every phase.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; Ohio St. topped out at 12% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Minnesota at 94%.

MinnesotaOhio St.
  • Break %+8.5 pts
    38.429.9

    On serve: 28/73 against 20/67 (Ohio St. sideout 61.6%).

  • Hitting+.090
    .296.206

    46 kills, 12 errors vs 37 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Minnesota scored 5 straight in the second set to go from 13–13 to an 18–13 lead. That set ended 25–20.

Ohio St. above 50Minnesota belowMax swing 2.1%

MinnesotaOhio St.

Aces
Minnesota 4·Ohio St. 2
Serve err
Minnesota 13·Ohio St. 5
Blocks
Minnesota 8·Ohio St. 46 BS · 4 BA vs 4 BS · 0 BA
Digs
Minnesota 39·Ohio St. 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ohio St. above 50 · Minnesota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% OHIOSTrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Ohio St. — set 1, MINN 16-18 OHIOST. Bad set by Mckenna Wucherer. OHIOST win probability 10% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 94.1%5.9% OHIOST

Minnesota wins

3-0
52.9%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
10.8%

Ohio St. wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
3.5%
MINN break %
47.2% vs this opp
OHIOST break %
35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mckenna WuchererBad set+2.1%

    Bad set by Mckenna Wucherer

    Set 1 · MINN 16-18 OHIOST · OHIOST 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Kelly KinneyKill+2.1%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · MINN 25-23 OHIOST · MINN 95% → 97%

  3. 03

    Hannah Jones stuffed by Mckenna Wucherer

    Set 1 · MINN 20-19 OHIOST · MINN 91% → 93%

  4. 04
    Jordan TaylorKill+1.9%

    Kill by Jordan Taylor (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · MINN 18-18 OHIOST · MINN 89% → 91%

  5. 05
    Naomy GovouAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Naomy Govou

    Set 1 · MINN 22-20 OHIOST · MINN 93% → 95%

  6. 06

    Stella Swenson stuffed by Kalli Jioshvili Ravva

    Set 1 · MINN 15-16 OHIOST · OHIOST 8% → 10%

  7. 07
    Kelly KinneyKill+1.7%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · MINN 24-22 OHIOST · MINN 94% → 96%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alia Schoonover (set by Bailey Nakanelua)

    Set 1 · MINN 18-19 OHIOST · OHIOST 9% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313332.31301360111.515.5
39116.5001040032413
3319.222370240111.54.5
32011.182000001013
3012-.500020400002
3000–013800001
312529.2410001000012
37116.375000120007
3000–100500000
3000–001000000
3000–2001000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4612115.2964141339264875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312739.1280018210113
37317.2351108020210
38321.238000000008
35111.364000100005
34210.200101100004
3103.3333102801012
3000–0111000001
3001.0002001110000
3000–000200000
1000–000000000
Team totals3716102.206352549440465

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MINN · OHIOST 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 2 MINNOHIOST 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 MINNOHIOST 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 MINNOHIOST 4

Bars above the line = Ohio St. leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
36%4/11
2
75%9/12
44%7/16
3
80%8/10
53%9/17
4
62%8/13
38%5/13
5
58%7/12
22%2/9
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
70%47/67
38%28/73

Ohio St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
20%2/10
2
69%9/13
25%3/12
3
44%8/18
25%3/12
4
70%7/10
33%4/12
5
100%6/6
42%5/12
6
67%6/9
33%3/9
All
62%45/73
30%20/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#MINN-OHIOSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.5
22-0MINNMINNBad setBailey Nakanelua+0.6
32-1MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.5
42-2OHIOSTOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
53-2OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.5
64-2MINNMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.7
74-3MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Emily Avshalomov+0.5
85-3OHIOSTMINNKillStella Swensonset Kate Thibault+0.5
96-3MINNMINNBlockedNaomy Govoublk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke+0.6
106-4MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.4
117-4OHIOSTMINNServe errNaomy Govou+0.4
127-5MINNOHIOST×3Serve errMinnesota+0.5
137-6OHIOSTOHIOST×3KillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
147-7OHIOSTOHIOST×3Attack errMckenna Wucherer+0.9
158-7OHIOSTMINNAttack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+0.7
168-8MINNOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
178-9OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.2
189-9OHIOSTMINNServe errBailey Nakanelua+0.8
1910-9MINNMINNAceMinnesota+1.0
2010-10MINNOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
2111-10OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
2211-11MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Kalli Jioshvili Ravva+0.9
2312-11OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.8
2412-12MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.9
2513-12OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.8
2614-12MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.0
2714-13MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
2815-13OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.8
2915-14MINNOHIOST×3Serve errMinnesota+0.8
3015-15OHIOSTOHIOST×3KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+1.4
3115-16OHIOSTOHIOST×3BlockedStella Swensonblk Kalli Jioshvili Ravva+1.7
3216-16OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.2
3316-17MINNOHIOSTBlockedMakenna Crossonblk Kalli Jioshvili Ravva+1.4
3416-18OHIOSTOHIOSTBad setMckenna Wucherer+2.1
3517-18OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.3
3618-18MINNMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+1.9
3718-19MINNOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+1.7
3819-19OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.5
3920-19MINNMINNBlockedHannah Jonesblk Mckenna Wucherer+2.0
4020-20MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.6
4121-20OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.6
4222-20MINNMINNAttack errNaomy Govou+1.8
4322-21MINNOHIOSTKillAneta Valentovaset Bailey Nakanelua+1.2
4423-21OHIOSTMINNBlockedNaomy Govoublk Stella Swenson+1.5
4523-22MINNOHIOSTKillAneta Valentovaset Bailey Nakanelua+1.2
4624-22OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.7
4724-23MINNOHIOSTAttack errKelly Kinney+1.0
4825-23OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.1
Set 2
11-0MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.5
21-1MINNOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.4
32-1OHIOSTMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.3
43-1MINNMINNBad setHannah Jones+0.4
53-2MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.3
63-3OHIOSTOHIOSTAceOhio St.aced Carly Gilk+0.5
74-3OHIOSTMINN×3KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.4
85-3MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Naomy Govou+0.4
96-3MINNMINN×3KillStella Swensonset Naomy Govou+0.4
106-4MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.3
117-4OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.3
128-4MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.3
138-5MINNOHIOSTKillAneta Valentovaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
148-6OHIOSTOHIOSTBlockedKelly Kinneyblk Bailey Nakanelua+0.4
159-6OHIOSTMINNAttack errNaomy Govou+0.3
169-7MINNOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.3
1710-7OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.3
1811-7MINNMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.3
1911-8MINNOHIOST×3KillHannah Jonesset Alia Schoonover+0.2
2011-9OHIOSTOHIOST×3Attack errCarly Gilk+0.4
2111-10OHIOSTOHIOST×3AceOhio St.aced Carly Gilk+0.6
2212-10OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Emily Avshalomov+0.4
2312-11MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.5
2412-12OHIOSTOHIOSTKillAneta Valentovaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.8
2513-12OHIOSTMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.5
2613-13MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.6
2714-13OHIOSTMINN×5KillCarly Gilkset Kalli Jioshvili Ravva+0.6
2815-13MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.7
2916-13MINNMINN×5KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.6
3017-13MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.4
3118-13MINNMINN×5Attack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+0.3
3218-14MINNOHIOSTKillAneta Valentovaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
3319-14OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.2
3419-15MINNOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Emily Avshalomov+0.2
3520-15OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.2
3620-16MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.1
3720-17OHIOSTOHIOSTAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.3
3821-17OHIOSTMINNBlockedKalli Jioshvili Ravvablk Jordan Taylor+0.3
3921-18MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
4022-18OHIOSTMINNAttack errAlia Schoonover+0.3
4123-18MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.2
4223-19MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.1
4324-19OHIOSTMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.1
4424-20MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua·
4525-20OHIOSTMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.1
Set 3
11-0OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.2
22-0MINNMINNBlockedAlia Schoonoverblk Elena Hoecke+0.2
32-1MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.1
43-1OHIOSTMINNAttack errNaomy Govou+0.1
54-1MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Naomy Govou+0.2
64-2MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.1
74-3OHIOSTOHIOSTBlockedElena Hoeckeblk Naomy Govou+0.2
85-3OHIOSTMINNServe errMia Stahler+0.1
95-4MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.2
106-4OHIOSTMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.2
116-5MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
127-5OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.2
137-6MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.2
148-6OHIOSTMINNServe errBailey Nakanelua+0.2
158-7MINNOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
169-7OHIOSTMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.2
1710-7MINNMINNBlockedHannah Jonesblk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke+0.2
1810-8MINNOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
1910-9OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.3
2011-9OHIOSTMINNServe errAlia Schoonover+0.2
2111-10MINNOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
2212-10OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.2
2313-10MINNMINNBlockedAneta Valentovablk Elena Hoecke+0.2
2413-11MINNOHIOST×4Attack errKelly Kinney+0.2
2513-12OHIOSTOHIOST×4Attack errKelly Kinney+0.3
2613-13OHIOSTOHIOST×4KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.4
2713-14OHIOSTOHIOST×4KillBailey Nakaneluaset Stella Swenson+0.5
2814-14OHIOSTMINNKillStella Swenson+0.3
2915-14MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Elena Hoecke+0.4
3015-15MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.3
3116-15OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.3
3216-16MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.3
3317-16OHIOSTMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.3
3417-17MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.4
3518-17OHIOSTMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.4
3619-17MINNMINN×3Attack errNaomy Govou+0.4
3720-17MINNMINN×3Attack errHannah Jones+0.3
3820-18MINNOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
3921-18OHIOSTMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.2
4021-19MINNOHIOSTAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.2
4121-20OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.4
4222-20OHIOSTMINNBlockedNaomy Govoublk Elena Hoecke+0.4
4323-20MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Emily Avshalomov+0.4
4423-21MINNOHIOSTServe errMinnesota+0.2
4523-22OHIOSTOHIOSTAttack errKelly Kinney+0.5
4624-22OHIOSTMINNAttack errNaomy Govou+0.5
4725-22MINNMINNAttack errBailey Nakanelua+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).