Washington vs Minnesota Volleyball: Minnesota Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 25, 2026BTN

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Minnesota 68.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Minnesota beat visiting Washington 3-0 (25-17, 25-17, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 11 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 5:40 PM CT · final Oct 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WASH	17	17	20	0
MINN	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 20 Minnesota over Washington.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. Washington peaked at 32% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Minnesota 69% before first serve.

WashingtonMinnesota

Break %+20.2 pts
25.045.2
On serve: 33/73 against 14/56 (Washington sideout 54.8%).
Hitting+.188
.104.292
Kills and errors: 43–8 vs 34–21.
Longest run+2
35
5 straight Minnesota points in the first set broke a 6–6 tie and made it 11–6. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Minnesota above 50Washington belowMax swing 2.4%

WashingtonMinnesota

Aces: Washington 4·Minnesota 4
Serve err: Washington 7·Minnesota 8
Blocks: Washington 6·Minnesota 111 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs: Washington 54·Minnesota 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Minnesota above 50 · Washington below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Minnesota — set 1, WASH 6-8 MINN. Simona Mateska stuffed by Makenna Crosson & Lucie Blazkova. MINN win probability 70% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WASH 24.0%76.0% MINN

Washington wins

3-0

4.2%

3-1

8.2%

3-2

11.7%

Minnesota wins

3-0

27.9%

3-1

29.0%

3-2

19.1%

WASH break %: 39.5% vs this opp
MINN break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Makenna Crosson&Lucie BlazkovaBlock+2.4%
Simona Mateska stuffed by Makenna Crosson & Lucie Blazkova
Set 1 · WASH 6-8 MINN · MINN 70% → 72%
02
Simona MateskaKill+2.4%
Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Kylie Kleckner)
Set 1 · WASH 14-16 MINN · WASH 24% → 26%
03
Kylie KlecknerKill+2.4%
Kill by Kylie Kleckner (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)
Set 1 · WASH 4-4 MINN · WASH 29% → 32%
04
Mckenna WuchererKill+2.3%
Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 1 · WASH 14-18 MINN · MINN 76% → 78%
05
Mckenna WuchererKill+2.2%
Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Zeynep Palabiyik)
Set 1 · WASH 6-9 MINN · MINN 72% → 75%
06
Elena HoeckeKill+2.1%
Kill by Elena Hoecke (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 1 · WASH 1-3 MINN · MINN 70% → 72%
07
Kelly KinneyKill+2.0%
Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)
Set 1 · WASH 14-17 MINN · MINN 74% → 76%
08
Mckenna WuchererKill+1.9%
Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Zeynep Palabiyik)
Set 1 · WASH 6-10 MINN · MINN 75% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Washingtonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Simona MateskaOH	3	9	6	35	.086	0	2	2	13	0	1	0	1	12
12Katy WesselsMB	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	11
31Maija HowseOH	3	6	4	24	.083	0	1	1	6	0	0	4	2	9
2Julia HuntMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	1	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
7Kylie KlecknerOH	3	3	7	27	-.148	2	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	3
6Andrea FabikovicovaS	3	2	0	5	.400	28	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Kaitlyn NguyenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	16	1	0	0	0	0
1Addy AzavedoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Addie KanouffOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Samantha DestlerOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
14Lily Mae BuerkleS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	21	125	.104	31	4	7	54	4	1	10	6	54

Minnesotahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Mckenna WuchererOH	3	11	2	33	.273	0	2	3	12	0	1	2	2	15
4Makenna CrossonOH	3	9	1	21	.381	0	2	3	7	1	0	6	3	14
16Lucie BlazkovaMB	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
17Elena HoeckeMB	3	2	1	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	4.5
1Stella SwensonS	3	4	0	8	.500	28	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	4
5McKenna GarrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
33Kelly KinneyOH	3	10	3	33	.212	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	11
12Zeynep PalabiyikL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	9	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	1
10Georgia LeeS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Kate ThibaultL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
13Olivia SwensonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	8	120	.292	40	4	8	61	4	1	20	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 WASH · MINN 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 WASHMINN 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 WASHMINN 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 WASHMINN 3

Bars above the line = Minnesota leads, below = Washington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Washington

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	38%3/8
2	40%4/10	17%1/6
3	80%4/5	0%0/4
4	67%4/6	50%4/8
5	50%4/8	0%0/4
6	33%4/12	20%1/5
All	51%25/49	26%9/35

Minnesota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	67%8/12
2	100%5/5	38%3/8
3	67%4/6	56%5/9
4	67%4/6	33%2/6
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	57%4/7	33%2/6
All	74%26/35	49%24/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	WASH-MINN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WASH	MINN	Attack err	Simona Mateska		+1.6
2	1-1	MINN	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.6
3	1-2	WASH	MINN	Blocked	Kylie Kleckner	blk Makenna Crosson, Elena Hoecke	+1.6
4	1-3	MINN	MINN	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+2.1
5	2-3	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.5
6	2-4	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.6
7	3-4	MINN	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.6
8	4-4	WASH	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+2.4
9	4-5	WASH	MINN	Kill	Zeynep Palabiyik	set Stella Swenson	+1.7
10	5-5	MINN	WASH	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Kate Thibault	+1.8
11	5-6	WASH	MINN	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Stella Swenson	+1.8
12	6-6	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.8
13	6-7	WASH	MINN×5	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Kelly Kinney	+1.8
14	6-8	MINN	MINN×5	Blocked	Simona Mateska	blk Makenna Crosson, Lucie Blazkova	+2.4
15	6-9	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+2.2
16	6-10	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.9
17	6-11	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Stella Swenson	+1.6
18	7-11	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.0
19	7-12	WASH	MINN	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Stella Swenson	+1.2
20	8-12	MINN	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
21	8-13	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Simona Mateska		+1.2
22	9-13	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.0
23	9-14	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Kaitlyn Nguyen		+1.2
24	10-14	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.0
25	11-14	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Kelly Kinney		+1.8
26	11-15	WASH	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.5
27	12-15	MINN	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
28	12-16	WASH	MINN	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Stella Swenson	+1.6
29	13-16	MINN	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
30	14-16	WASH	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kylie Kleckner	+2.4
31	14-17	WASH	MINN×3	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.0
32	14-18	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.3
33	14-19	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.6
34	15-19	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
35	16-19	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Mckenna Wucherer		+1.7
36	16-20	WASH	MINN	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+1.7
37	16-21	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+1.5
38	17-21	MINN	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
39	17-22	WASH	MINN×4	Blocked	Kylie Kleckner	blk Makenna Crosson, Elena Hoecke	+1.0
40	17-23	MINN	MINN×4	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.7
41	17-24	MINN	MINN×4	Ace	Makenna Crosson	aced Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.2
42	17-25	MINN	MINN×4	Ace	Makenna Crosson	aced Kylie Kleckner	·
Set 2
1	1-0	MINN	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Kylie Kleckner	+1.4
2	1-1	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.4
3	1-2	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+1.9
4	2-2	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.4
5	2-3	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.4
6	3-3	MINN	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
7	3-4	WASH	MINN	Kill	Stella Swenson	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
8	3-5	MINN	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.9
9	4-5	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
10	4-6	WASH	MINN×5	Kill	Stella Swenson	set Kelly Kinney	+1.4
11	4-7	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+1.7
12	4-8	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.5
13	4-9	MINN	MINN×5	Attack err	Simona Mateska		+1.3
14	4-10	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Lily Mae Buerkle	+1.1
15	5-10	MINN	WASH	Kill	Addie Kanouff	set Lily Mae Buerkle	+0.6
16	5-11	WASH	MINN×3	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+0.8
17	5-12	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+0.8
18	5-13	MINN	MINN×3	Blocked	Simona Mateska	blk Makenna Crosson, Lucie Blazkova	+0.6
19	6-13	MINN	WASH×3	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
20	7-13	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
21	8-13	WASH	WASH×3	Blocked	Mckenna Wucherer	blk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse	+0.8
22	8-14	WASH	MINN×3	Blocked	Maija Howse	blk Mckenna Wucherer, Lucie Blazkova	+0.8
23	8-15	MINN	MINN×3	Blocked	Maija Howse	blk Makenna Crosson, Elena Hoecke	+0.7
24	8-16	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+0.5
25	9-16	MINN	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
26	10-16	WASH	WASH	Ace	Washington	aced Makenna Crosson	+0.5
27	10-17	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+0.5
28	10-18	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.4
29	11-18	MINN	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
30	11-19	WASH	MINN	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+0.3
31	11-20	MINN	MINN	Ace	Mckenna Wucherer	aced Samantha Destler	+0.2
32	12-20	MINN	WASH×3	Serve err	Minnesota		+0.1
33	13-20	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	Washington	aced Kelly Kinney	+0.2
34	14-20	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
35	14-21	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+0.3
36	14-22	MINN	MINN	Blocked	Julia Hunt	blk Lucie Blazkova, Kelly Kinney	+0.2
37	15-22	MINN	WASH	Blocked	Kelly Kinney	blk Julia Hunt, Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
38	15-23	WASH	MINN	Attack err	Simona Mateska		+0.1
39	16-23	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		·
40	16-24	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Julia Hunt		+0.1
41	17-24	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	·
42	17-25	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	·
Set 3
1	0-1	WASH	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+0.8
2	1-1	MINN	WASH	Blocked	Makenna Crosson	blk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse	+0.8
3	1-2	WASH	MINN	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+0.8
4	2-2	MINN	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
5	2-3	WASH	MINN	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+0.8
6	2-4	MINN	MINN	Blocked	Kylie Kleckner	blk Makenna Crosson, Elena Hoecke	+1.0
7	3-4	MINN	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
8	4-4	WASH	WASH	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.1
9	4-5	WASH	MINN	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.8
10	4-6	MINN	MINN	Blocked	Julia Hunt	blk Mckenna Wucherer, Elena Hoecke	+1.1
11	5-6	MINN	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
12	5-7	WASH	MINN	Kill	Stella Swenson	set Kate Thibault	+0.8
13	5-8	MINN	MINN	Ace	Mckenna Wucherer	aced Kylie Kleckner	+1.0
14	6-8	MINN	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
15	7-8		WASH	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
16	8-8	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	Washington	aced Kate Thibault	+1.3
17	8-9	WASH	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+0.9
18	9-9	MINN	WASH	Blocked	Lucie Blazkova	blk Simona Mateska	+1.0
19	9-10	WASH	MINN×3	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.0
20	9-11	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.3
21	9-12	MINN	MINN×3	Blocked	Simona Mateska	blk Lucie Blazkova, Kelly Kinney	+1.2
22	10-12	MINN	WASH×3	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
23	11-12	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
24	12-12	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	Washington	aced Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.5
25	12-13	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Simona Mateska		+1.1
26	12-14	MINN	MINN	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+1.4
27	13-14	MINN	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
28	13-15	WASH	MINN	Blocked	Maija Howse	blk Mckenna Wucherer	+1.1
29	14-15	MINN	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
30	14-16	WASH	MINN	Kill	Stella Swenson	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.1
31	15-16	MINN	WASH	Attack err	Elena Hoecke		+1.1
32	15-17	WASH	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.2
33	15-18	MINN	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.4
34	16-18	MINN	WASH	Serve err	Minnesota		+0.9
35	16-19	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Julia Hunt		+1.1
36	17-19	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.9
37	17-20	WASH	MINN×3	Kill	Lucie Blazkova	set Stella Swenson	+1.1
38	17-21	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.1
39	17-22	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Maija Howse		+0.7
40	18-22	MINN	WASH	Blocked	Kelly Kinney	blk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse	+0.3
41	18-23	WASH	MINN	Kill	Makenna Crosson	set Stella Swenson	+0.4
42	19-23	MINN	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
43	19-24	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Kaitlyn Nguyen		+0.3
44	20-24	MINN	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
45	20-25	WASH	MINN	Serve err	Maija Howse		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Washington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Minnesota def. Washington 3–0

No doubt about it: No. 20 Minnesota over Washington.