Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on B1G+

Minnesota def. UCLA 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Minnesota 67.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 8:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Minnesota won at UCLA 3-2 (24-26, 19-25, 26-24, 25-19, 15-8) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer led with 26 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
MINN24192625153
UCLA2625241982

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Stella Swenson set 61 assists as Minnesota outlasted UCLA.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Minnesota's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Minnesota at 67%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Minnesota 24–22 UCLA

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to UCLA, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0. The match swung to UCLA.

    Minnesota 79% → 46%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Minnesota 16–18 UCLA

    Minnesota's low point. Minnesota then won 10 of the next 16 rallies and the set 26–24.

    Minnesota 11% → 34%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Minnesota 7–7 UCLA

    From 7–7, Minnesota scored 3 straight to lead 10–7.

    Minnesota 58% → 87%

UCLA above 50Minnesota belowMax swing 11.2%

MinnesotaUCLA

Sideout %
Minnesota 57.8·UCLA 54.1
Break %
Minnesota 45.9·UCLA 42.2
Hitting
Minnesota .174·UCLA .163
Longest run
Minnesota 7·UCLA 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UCLA above 50 · Minnesota below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.2% MINNrally 211 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.2% to Minnesota — set 5, MINN 9-7 UCLA. Bad set by Kate Duffey. UCLA win probability 34% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 69.7%30.3% UCLA

Minnesota wins

3-0
23.1%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%

UCLA wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.9%
MINN break %
43.4% vs this opp
UCLA break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kate DuffeyBad set+11.2%

    Bad set by Kate Duffey

    Set 5 · MINN 9-7 UCLA · MINN 66% → 77%

  2. 02
    Marianna SingletaryAttack error+11.2%

    Attack error by Marianna Singletary

    Set 5 · MINN 7-6 UCLA · MINN 54% → 66%

  3. 03

    Makenna Crosson stuffed by Marianna Singletary & Eliana Urzua

    Set 1 · MINN 24-26 UCLA · UCLA 44% → 54%

  4. 04
    MinnesotaAce+10.4%

    Minnesota ace on Ava Utterback

    Set 5 · MINN 5-5 UCLA · MINN 44% → 55%

  5. 05

    Kelly Kinney stuffed by Maggie Li & Marianna Singletary

    Set 1 · MINN 24-25 UCLA · UCLA 34% → 44%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jordyn Johnson

    Set 5 · MINN 1-3 UCLA · UCLA 50% → 60%

  7. 07
    Hazel AlevokBlock+9.4%

    Mckenna Wucherer stuffed by Hazel Alevok

    Set 5 · MINN 1-4 UCLA · UCLA 60% → 70%

  8. 08

    Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 5 · MINN 10-7 UCLA · MINN 77% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5261067.23901290031.528.5
518940.2250204002121
5219.11101140094.57.5
5126-.167610070010.51.5
27622.045000200218
2128-.125020001014
58420.200100200219
5000–1121600001
5000–111400001
5001.0001001400000
5000–1001800000
35211.27300000010.55.5
3000–000310000
1000–001000000
Team totals6836184.174668783112011109
UCLAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513332.31300000010518
512651.1180008008416
510839.05100050132.512.5
5007.0004201150010.50.5
5012-.500100720000
46316.18800010111.57.5
512534.20601232031.514.5
22Kat LutzL/DS
5000–5021920000
4000–000610000
4000–000700000
22021.00000010111.53.5
21011.00000000010.51.5
2000–300000000
Team totals5626184.163511572832817102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MINN · UCLA 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 MINNUCLA 7

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 MINNUCLA 6

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 MINNUCLA 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 7 MINNUCLA 2

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 5 MINNUCLA 3

Bars above the line = UCLA leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
50%8/16
2
60%9/15
57%12/21
3
57%8/14
43%6/14
4
67%8/12
33%4/12
5
47%7/15
33%4/12
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
62%47/76
45%38/85

UCLA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
30%3/10
2
50%9/18
25%3/12
3
62%8/13
36%5/14
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
70%7/10
43%6/14
6
60%6/10
50%6/12
All
55%47/85
38%29/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

211 rallies

#MINN-UCLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UCLAMINN×5KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.6
22-0MINNMINN×5BlockedMaggie Liblk Jordan Taylor, Mckenna Wucherer+2.2
33-0MINNMINN×5Attack errMarianna Singletary+2.0
44-0MINNMINN×5Attack errEliana Urzua+1.8
55-0MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.6
65-1MINNUCLA×3KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.0
75-2UCLAUCLA×3Attack errMakenna Crosson+1.7
85-3UCLAUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Kat Lutz+2.0
96-3UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.5
106-4MINNUCLABlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+1.4
116-5UCLAUCLABlockedElena Hoeckeblk Brooke Harwood+2.3
127-5UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.7
138-5MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Mija Bendziute+2.2
148-6MINNUCLABlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Eliana Urzua, Kate Duffey+1.5
158-7UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kat Lutz+2.4
169-7UCLAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+1.8
179-8MINNUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.8
1810-8UCLAMINN×3Serve errMija Bendziute+1.8
1911-8MINNMINN×3Attack errMaggie Li+2.4
2012-8MINN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
2112-9MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.3
2212-10UCLAUCLAAttack errKelly Kinney+2.2
2313-10UCLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.8
2414-10MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+2.2
2514-11MINNUCLAAttack errMakenna Crosson+1.3
2614-12UCLAUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kat Lutz+2.3
2715-12UCLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+1.9
2815-13MINNUCLABlockedJordan Taylorblk Maggie Li+1.7
2916-13UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.9
3016-14MINNUCLAAttack errMckenna Wucherer+1.7
3117-14UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.0
3217-15MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+1.8
3318-15UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.1
3418-16MINNUCLAAttack errKelly Kinney+1.8
3518-17UCLAUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+3.4
3619-17UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.7
3720-17MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Ava Utterback+3.3
3820-18MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.8
3920-19UCLAUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+3.7
4021-19UCLAMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+3.2
4122-19MINNMINN×4BlockedMarianna Singletaryblk Jordan Taylor, Kelly Kinney+3.6
4223-19MINNMINN×4BlockedMaggie Liblk Jordan Taylor, Makenna Crosson+2.2
4324-19MINNMINN×4BlockedEliana Urzuablk Jordan Taylor, Kelly Kinney+0.9
4424-20MINNUCLA×7Attack errMakenna Crosson+0.2
4524-21UCLAUCLA×7BlockedMakenna Crossonblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+0.6
4624-22UCLAUCLA×7Attack errMckenna Wucherer+1.4
4724-23UCLAUCLA×7KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.5
4824-24UCLAUCLA×7KillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+9.0
4924-25UCLAUCLA×7BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Maggie Li, Marianna Singletary+9.7
5024-26UCLAUCLA×7BlockedMakenna Crossonblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+10.6
Set 2
11-0MINNMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+2.8
22-0MINNMINNAttack errBrooke Harwood+2.6
32-1MINNUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.8
43-1UCLAMINN×3KillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.9
54-1MINNMINN×3BlockedMaggie Liblk Elena Hoecke+2.5
65-1MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.2
75-2MINNUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.4
86-2UCLAMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.6
97-2MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.9
108-2MINNMINN×3Attack errBrooke Harwood+1.6
118-3MINNUCLA×4KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+0.9
128-4UCLAUCLA×4Attack errElena Hoecke+1.7
138-5UCLAUCLA×4KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.1
148-6UCLAUCLA×4KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.5
159-6UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.9
1610-6MINNMINNAceMinnesota+2.4
1710-7MINNUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.5
1810-8UCLAUCLA×3KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.6
1910-9UCLAUCLA×3BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+3.1
2011-9UCLAMINNKillStella Swensonset Maggie Li+2.3
2111-10MINNUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kat Lutz+2.3
2212-10UCLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.4
2312-11MINNUCLA×4KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.3
2412-12UCLAUCLA×4KillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+3.8
2512-13UCLAUCLA×4Attack errStella Swenson+4.2
2612-14UCLAUCLA×4KillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+4.3
2713-14UCLAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+2.7
2814-14MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Sakura Codling+4.2
2914-15MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+3.2
3015-15UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.1
3115-16MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+3.4
3216-16UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.2
3317-16MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Kat Lutz+4.8
3417-17MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+3.4
3517-18UCLAUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+5.4
3618-18UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.6
3718-19MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+4.1
3819-19UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.9
3919-20MINNUCLA×6KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+4.5
4019-21UCLAUCLA×6BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Eliana Urzua, Marianna Singletary+6.5
4119-22UCLAUCLA×6Attack errMckenna Wucherer+5.6
4219-23UCLAUCLA×6BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Marianna Singletary, Mija Bendziute+3.8
4319-24UCLAUCLA×6BlockedCarly Gilkblk Mija Bendziute, Marianna Singletary+1.8
4419-25UCLAUCLA×6Attack errCarly Gilk+0.4
Set 3
11-0UCLAMINNServe errKat Lutz+1.5
22-0MINNMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+2.1
32-1MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.4
42-2UCLAUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+2.3
53-2UCLAMINNServe errKate Duffey+1.6
63-3MINNUCLABlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Maggie Li, Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+1.6
74-3UCLAMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+1.6
84-4MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+1.7
94-5UCLAUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+2.5
105-5UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.7
116-5MINNMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+2.5
126-6MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Stella Swenson+1.8
137-6UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.8
147-7MINNUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.8
158-7UCLAMINNServe errMija Bendziute+1.8
169-7MINNMINNAttack errMaggie Li+2.5
179-8MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.7
1810-8UCLAMINNBlockedMaggie Liblk Jordan Taylor, Carly Gilk+1.8
1911-8MINNMINNAttack errEliana Urzua+2.3
2011-9MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.5
2112-9UCLAMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+1.7
2212-10MINNUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.5
2312-11UCLAUCLAAttack errLucie Blazkova+2.6
2413-11UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.0
2513-12MINNUCLABlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Eliana Urzua, Marianna Singletary+1.9
2614-12UCLAMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+2.0
2714-13MINNUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+2.0
2814-14UCLAUCLA×3Attack errMakenna Crosson+3.3
2914-15UCLAUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Kat Lutz+3.6
3015-15UCLAMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+2.4
3115-16MINNUCLABad setStella Swenson+2.7
3215-17UCLAUCLABlockedMakenna Crossonblk Maggie Li, Brooke Harwood+3.9
3316-17UCLAMINNKillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+2.4
3416-18MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+2.9
3517-18UCLAMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+2.5
3618-18MINNMINN×3BlockedMaggie Liblk Carly Gilk, Lucie Blazkova+4.2
3719-18MINNMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Olivia Swenson+4.4
3819-19MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+3.1
3919-20UCLAUCLAAttack errStella Swenson+5.0
4020-20UCLAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+3.4
4121-20MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+5.3
4221-21MINNUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Utterback+3.7
4322-21UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Carly Gilk+4.1
4422-22MINNUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+4.1
4523-22UCLAMINNAttack errAva Utterback+4.9
4624-22MINNMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+6.3
4724-23MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+2.4
4824-24UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+8.7
4925-24UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+6.1
5026-24MINNMINNBlockedBrooke Harwoodblk Makenna Crosson, Jordan Taylor+8.2
Set 4
10-1MINNUCLAAttack errMckenna Wucherer+2.8
20-2UCLAUCLAAttack errLucie Blazkova+4.1
31-2UCLAMINNAttack errMija Bendziute+2.7
41-3MINNUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+3.0
51-4UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+4.2
62-4UCLAMINNAttack errMija Bendziute+2.7
73-4MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+4.1
83-5MINNUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+3.1
94-5UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+2.9
105-5MINNMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Kate Thibault+4.2
115-6MINNUCLAAttack errMakenna Crosson+3.1
126-6UCLAMINNServe errKat Lutz+3.0
137-6MINNMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+4.3
147-7MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.1
158-7UCLAMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Marianna Singletary+3.1
168-8MINNUCLABad setMckenna Wucherer+3.2
179-8UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+3.2
189-9MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.3
1910-9UCLAMINN×7KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+3.3
2011-9MINNMINN×7BlockedEliana Urzuablk Mckenna Wucherer, Jordan Taylor+4.5
2112-9MINNMINN×7KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+4.1
2213-9MINNMINN×7AceOlivia Swensonaced Mija Bendziute+3.5
2314-9MINNMINN×7Attack errMija Bendziute+2.8
2415-9MINNMINN×7Bad setKate Duffey+2.1
2516-9MINNMINN×7BlockedEliana Urzuablk Mckenna Wucherer, Jordan Taylor+1.4
2616-10MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+0.7
2716-11UCLAUCLABlockedCarly Gilkblk Hazel Alevok, Mija Bendziute, Jordyn Johnson+1.5
2817-11UCLAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+1.4
2917-12MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+1.0
3017-13UCLAUCLAAceMija Bendziuteaced Georgia Lee+2.1
3118-13UCLAMINNAttack errMija Bendziute+1.9
3219-13MINNMINNBlockedMaggie Liblk Stella Swenson, Jordan Taylor+1.8
3319-14MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+0.8
3419-15UCLAUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Ava Sarafa+1.8
3520-15UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.8
3620-16MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+1.2
3721-16UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.8
3822-16MINNMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+1.3
3922-17MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+0.4
4023-17UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+0.7
4123-18MINNUCLAAttack errCarly Gilk+0.3
4224-18UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.5
4324-19MINNUCLAAttack errMckenna Wucherer+0.1
4425-19UCLAMINNAttack errMija Bendziute+1.1
Set 5
10-1MINNUCLAServe errMinnesota+6.4
21-1UCLAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+6.1
31-2MINNUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+6.6
41-3UCLAUCLA×3KillJordyn Johnson+9.7
51-4UCLAUCLA×3BlockedMckenna Wuchererblk Hazel Alevok+9.4
62-4UCLAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+5.6
73-4MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+9.2
83-5MINNUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Ava Sarafa+7.4
94-5UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+6.6
105-5MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Ava Utterback+10.4
115-6MINNUCLAAttack errMakenna Crosson+7.9
126-6UCLAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+7.5
137-6MINNMINNAttack errMarianna Singletary+11.2
147-7MINNUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+7.9
158-7UCLAMINN×3KillMakenna Crossonset Stella Swenson+8.3
169-7MINNMINN×3Bad setKate Duffey+11.2
1710-7MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+9.4
1810-8MINNUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+5.1
1911-8UCLAMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+6.8
2012-8MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset McKenna Garr+6.7
2113-8MINNMINN×5Attack errEliana Urzua+3.5
2214-8MINNMINN×5KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.3
2315-8MINNMINN×5KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).