FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on B1G+

Minnesota def. Iowa 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Minnesota 91.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Minnesota won at Iowa 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 25-16) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Minnesota's Carly Gilk led with 11 kills, and Zeynep Palabiyik added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
MINN2525253
IOWA1916160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 19 Minnesota over Iowa.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.5 points. Iowa peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Minnesota 92% before first serve.

MinnesotaIowa
  • Break %+20.8 pts
    54.834.0

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 18 of 53. Iowa sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.255
    .394.139

    44 kills, 7 errors vs 31 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    74

    7 straight Minnesota points in the third set stretched a 12–10 lead to 19–10. The set finished 25–16.

Iowa above 50Minnesota belowMax swing 1.5%

MinnesotaIowa

Aces
Minnesota 7·Iowa 3
Serve err
Minnesota 8·Iowa 6
Blocks
Minnesota 9.5·Iowa 4.50 BS · 19 BA vs 0 BS · 9 BA
Digs
Minnesota 42·Iowa 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iowa above 50 · Minnesota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% IOWArally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Iowa — set 1, MINN 6-8 IOWA. Kill by Hannah Whittingstall (set by Jenna Meitzler). IOWA win probability 10% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 92.8%7.2% IOWA

Minnesota wins

3-0
49.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.0%

Iowa wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%
MINN break %
47.9% vs this opp
IOWA break %
36.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Hannah Whittingstall (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · MINN 6-8 IOWA · IOWA 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Stella SwensonBad set+1.3%

    Bad set by Stella Swenson

    Set 1 · MINN 6-7 IOWA · IOWA 9% → 10%

  3. 03

    Kill by Mckenna Wucherer (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · MINN 8-8 IOWA · MINN 89% → 91%

  4. 04
    Hannah WhittingstallAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Hannah Whittingstall

    Set 1 · MINN 9-8 IOWA · MINN 91% → 92%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hallie Steponaitis (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · MINN 0-1 IOWA · IOWA 8% → 9%

  6. 06
    Carly GilkKill+1.0%

    Kill by Carly Gilk (set by Zeynep Palabiyik)

    Set 1 · MINN 10-8 IOWA · MINN 92% → 93%

  7. 07
    Kelly KinneyKill+1.0%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Kate Thibault)

    Set 1 · MINN 4-3 IOWA · MINN 91% → 92%

  8. 08
    Kelly KinneyKill+0.9%

    Kill by Kelly Kinney (set by Stella Swenson)

    Set 1 · MINN 7-8 IOWA · MINN 88% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311226.3461001004213
39017.52910350031.510.5
3408.50003110052.59.5
33031.0002701800214
3000–111300001
2506.83300000010.55.5
37424.125000300218
3203.667011010003
3000–011300001
3000–100200000
3000–6001520000
2203.667000000002
1114.000000000212
1000–310000001
1000–000100000
Team totals44794.39440784230199.575
Iowahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38219.316100000219
36630.00000020031.57.5
36316.188103100217
36220.200001420006
3115.0002711600213
3000–011530001
3000–010510001
3000–0001500000
2339.000000000003
1102.500000100001
1000–000000000
Team totals3117101.1392936397094.551

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MINN · IOWA 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 MINNIOWA 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 MINNIOWA 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 7 MINNIOWA 3

Bars above the line = Iowa leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
69%11/16
2
64%7/11
46%6/13
3
86%6/7
54%7/13
4
55%6/11
14%1/7
5
71%5/7
67%10/15
6
50%4/8
56%5/9
All
66%35/53
55%40/73

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
25%2/8
2
38%6/16
30%3/10
3
75%6/8
25%2/8
4
38%5/13
25%2/8
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
22%4/18
50%5/10
All
45%33/73
34%18/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#MINN-IOWASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IOWAIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
21-1IOWAMINNAttack errHallie Steponaitis+0.7
31-2MINNIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
42-2IOWAMINNServe errJenna Meitzler+0.7
52-3MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
63-3IOWAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset McKenna Garr+0.7
74-3MINNMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Kate Thibault+1.0
84-4MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.8
95-4IOWAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.7
105-5MINNIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
116-5IOWAMINNServe errHenlee Moszkowicz+0.7
126-6MINNIOWA×3Serve errMinnesota+0.8
136-7IOWAIOWA×3Bad setStella Swenson+1.3
146-8IOWAIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
157-8IOWAMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.9
168-8MINNMINN×4KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+1.3
179-8MINNMINN×4Attack errHannah Whittingstall+1.2
1810-8MINNMINN×4KillCarly Gilkset Zeynep Palabiyik+1.0
1910-9MINNIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
2011-9IOWAMINN×3KillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+0.7
2112-9MINNMINN×3Attack errHallie Steponaitis+0.9
2213-9MINNMINN×3BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Carly Gilk, Mckenna Wucherer+0.7
2313-10MINNIOWABlockedCarly Gilkblk Liv Mogridge, Jenna Meitzler, Hallie Steponaitis+0.5
2414-10IOWAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.5
2514-11MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
2614-12IOWAIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
2715-12IOWAMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.7
2815-13MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.7
2916-13IOWAMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.7
3017-13MINNMINN×4KillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+0.8
3118-13MINNMINN×4AceMinnesota+0.5
3219-13MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Jaimie Marquardt+0.3
3319-14MINNIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
3420-14IOWAMINNKillLucie Blazkovaset Stella Swenson+0.2
3520-15MINNIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
3621-15IOWAMINNServe errMarichka Hoshylyk+0.2
3721-16MINNIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
3822-16IOWAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.2
3922-17MINNIOWA×3KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
4022-18IOWAIOWA×3KillLiv Mogridgeset Carly Gilk+0.2
4122-19IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Liv Mogridge+0.5
4223-19IOWAMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.6
4324-19MINNMINN×3KillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson+0.3
4425-19MINNMINN×3BlockedCarmel Varesblk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke+0.1
Set 2
11-0MINNMINNKillCarly Gilkset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.6
21-1MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.5
32-1IOWAMINN×4Serve errHannah Whittingstall+0.4
43-1MINNMINN×4BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Elena Hoecke, Mckenna Wucherer+0.5
54-1MINNMINN×4Attack errMarichka Hoshylyk+0.4
65-1MINNMINN×4AceMinnesotaaced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.4
75-2MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.3
86-2IOWAMINNBlockedCarmel Varesblk Elena Hoecke, Mckenna Wucherer+0.3
96-3MINNIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
107-3IOWAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Georgia Lee+0.3
117-4MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.3
128-4IOWAMINN×3KillElena Hoeckeset Georgia Lee+0.3
139-4MINNMINN×3Bad setJenna Meitzler+0.3
1410-4MINNMINN×3KillLucie Blazkovaset Georgia Lee+0.2
1510-5MINNIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
1610-6IOWAIOWAAceHenlee Moszkowiczaced Makenna Crosson+0.3
1711-6IOWAMINN×4KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.2
1812-6MINNMINN×4KillLucie Blazkovaset Carly Gilk+0.2
1913-6MINNMINN×4KillCarly Gilk+0.2
2014-6MINNMINN×4BlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Carly Gilk, Lucie Blazkova, Kelly Kinney+0.1
2114-7MINNIOWAAttack errKelly Kinney+0.1
2215-7IOWAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.1
2316-7MINNMINNKillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson+0.1
2416-8MINNIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Stella Swenson·
2517-8IOWAMINNServe errHannah Whittingstall·
2618-8MINNMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
2718-9MINNIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler·
2818-10IOWAIOWABlockedCarly Gilkblk Hallie Steponaitis, Liv Mogridge·
2919-10IOWAMINNKillElena Hoeckeset Stella Swenson·
3020-10MINNMINNAceMinnesotaaced Marichka Hoshylyk·
3120-11MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler·
3221-11IOWAMINNKillMakenna Crossonset Zeynep Palabiyik·
3321-12MINNIOWA×4KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler·
3421-13IOWAIOWA×4Attack errKelly Kinney·
3521-14IOWAIOWA×4KillMarichka Hoshylykset Hannah Whittingstall·
3621-15IOWAIOWA×4KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
3722-15IOWAMINNBlockedCarmel Varesblk Kelly Kinney, Elena Hoecke+0.1
3822-16MINNIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler·
3923-16IOWAMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson·
4024-16MINNMINN×3Attack errHannah Whittingstall·
4125-16MINNMINN×3KillKelly Kinneyset Zeynep Palabiyik·
Set 3
10-1IOWAIOWAAceJenna Meitzleraced Zeynep Palabiyik+0.3
21-1IOWAMINNKillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.2
31-2MINNIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
41-3IOWAIOWAAceJaimie Marquardtaced Zeynep Palabiyik+0.4
52-3IOWAMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson+0.3
63-3MINNMINN×3KillElena Hoecke+0.3
74-3MINNMINN×3KillStella Swenson+0.3
84-4MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
95-4IOWAMINNKillStella Swensonset Mckenna Wucherer+0.2
105-5MINNIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
116-5IOWAMINN×6KillStella Swensonset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
127-5MINNMINN×6Attack errJenna Meitzler+0.3
138-5MINNMINN×6AceMinnesotaaced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.2
149-5MINNMINN×6Attack errMarichka Hoshylyk+0.2
1510-5MINNMINN×6BlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Jordan Taylor, Stella Swenson+0.2
1611-5MINNMINN×6Attack errHannah Whittingstall+0.1
1711-6MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota+0.1
1811-7IOWAIOWABlockedJordan Taylorblk Hallie Steponaitis, Hannah Whittingstall+0.1
1912-7IOWAMINNKillKelly Kinneyset Stella Swenson+0.1
2012-8MINNIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
2112-9IOWAIOWA×3KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
2212-10IOWAIOWA×3Bad setStella Swenson+0.3
2313-10IOWAMINN×7Serve errHannah Whittingstall+0.2
2414-10MINNMINN×7AceMinnesotaaced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.2
2515-10MINNMINN×7KillJordan Taylorset Stella Swenson+0.2
2616-10MINNMINN×7KillMckenna Wuchererset Zeynep Palabiyik+0.1
2717-10MINNMINN×7Attack errHallie Steponaitis+0.1
2818-10MINNMINN×7KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson·
2919-10MINNMINN×7KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
3019-11MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler·
3120-11IOWAMINNBlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Jordan Taylor, Carly Gilk·
3220-12MINNIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler·
3321-12IOWAMINN×3KillCarly Gilkset Stella Swenson·
3422-12MINNMINN×3AceMinnesotaaced Marichka Hoshylyk·
3523-12MINNMINN×3KillMckenna Wuchererset Stella Swenson·
3623-13MINNIOWAServe errMinnesota·
3724-13IOWAMINNKillCalissa Minateeset Stella Swenson·
3824-14MINNIOWA×3Attack errKelly Kinney·
3924-15IOWAIOWA×3BlockedKelly Kinneyblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall·
4024-16IOWAIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler·
4125-16IOWAMINNKillCalissa Minateeset Stella Swenson·

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).