Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Coppin St. def. N.C. Central 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Coppin St. 94.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coppin St. won at N.C. Central 3-1 (28-26, 12-25, 25-15, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Cherisse Atilano led Coppin St. with 16 kills, and Coco Figueroa added 26 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set1234Sets
COPPIN281225253
NC CEN262515201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Coppin St. won every phase.

Win probability never moved more than 4.6 points on one rally; N.C. Central topped out at 18% in Set 3. RallyIQ gave Coppin St. 95% before first serve.

Coppin St.N.C. Central
  • Longest run+1
    65

    Coppin St. scored 6 straight in the third set to stretch an 11–10 lead to 17–10. That set ended 25–15.

N.C. Central above 50Coppin St. belowMax swing 4.6%

Coppin St.N.C. Central

Hitting
Coppin St. .281·N.C. Central .233
Aces
Coppin St. 8·N.C. Central 10
Serve err
Coppin St. 13·N.C. Central 14
Blocks
Coppin St. 7·N.C. Central 65 BS · 4 BA vs 4 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Coppin St. 60·N.C. Central 55

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. Central above 50 · Coppin St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.6% COPPINrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Coppin St. — set 1, COPPIN 24-24 NC CEN. Kill by Kayden Cupid. NC CEN win probability 13% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COPPIN 87.6%12.4% NC CEN

Coppin St. wins

3-0
40.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.4%

N.C. Central wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%
COPPIN break %
49.0% vs this opp
NC CEN break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kayden CupidKill+4.6%

    Kill by Kayden Cupid

    Set 1 · COPPIN 24-24 NC CEN · COPPIN 87% → 91%

  2. 02
    N.C. CentralAce+3.9%

    N.C. Central ace

    Set 1 · COPPIN 22-24 NC CEN · NC CEN 11% → 15%

  3. 03
    Coppin St.Service error+3.6%

    Coppin St. service error

    Set 1 · COPPIN 24-25 NC CEN · NC CEN 9% → 12%

  4. 04
    Kayden CupidKill+3.6%

    Kill by Kayden Cupid (set by Eva Rovello)

    Set 1 · COPPIN 25-25 NC CEN · COPPIN 88% → 91%

  5. 05
    Ivanna LunaKill+3.5%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Eva Rovello)

    Set 1 · COPPIN 26-25 NC CEN · COPPIN 91% → 95%

  6. 06
    Aniah BassKill+3.3%

    Kill by Aniah Bass

    Set 1 · COPPIN 22-23 NC CEN · NC CEN 8% → 11%

  7. 07
    Aniah BassKill+2.7%

    Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 1 · COPPIN 26-26 NC CEN · NC CEN 5% → 8%

  8. 08
    Ivanna LunaKill+2.7%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Coco Figueroa)

    Set 1 · COPPIN 27-26 NC CEN · COPPIN 92% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416640.2500131200017
410117.5290015042515
49326.2310125200010
48117.41200020111.59.5
4108.125433390010.54.5
44110.300000000004
4214.250000300002
4000–021000002
4002.0002012610000
3000–010300001
3001.000202600000
1013-.333000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5014128.28147813601054790
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417641.26814613200021
417950.16012211400019
48013.6150003032412
44111.273000000215
4105.200004401012
4018-.1253800300000
4001.000000410000
4001.0000011000000
3000–041500004
2000–100200000
1102.500000000001
1001.000000000000
Team totals4817133.23341101455844686

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coppin St. vs N.C. Central

Season series · Coppin St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 COPPIN · NC CEN 5

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 4 COPPINNC CEN 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 COPPINNC CEN 4

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 COPPINNC CEN 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 COPPINNC CEN 3

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = Coppin St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coppin St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
36%4/11
2
50%8/16
43%6/14
3
67%8/12
20%2/10
4
54%7/13
46%6/13
5
100%5/5
40%4/10
6
56%5/9
29%2/7
All
58%41/71
37%24/65

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
57%8/14
2
67%8/12
20%2/10
3
58%7/12
53%9/17
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
67%6/9
30%3/10
6
100%5/5
29%2/7
All
63%41/65
42%30/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#COPPIN-NC CENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NC CENNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
20-2NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.9
31-2NC CENCOPPINAttack errBreylan Fairley+0.6
42-2COPPINCOPPINBad setTalia Emmen+0.7
52-3COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.7
63-3NC CENCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.6
73-4COPPINNC CENAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.7
83-5NC CENNC CENBad setEva Rovello+1.0
94-5NC CENCOPPIN×4KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.7
105-5COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedTalia Emmenblk Kendall Minta+0.8
116-5COPPINCOPPIN×4KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.7
127-5COPPINCOPPIN×4KillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.6
137-6COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.5
148-6NC CENCOPPIN×4KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.5
159-6COPPINCOPPIN×4KillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.5
1610-6COPPINCOPPIN×4Attack errShalyn Bell+0.4
1711-6COPPINCOPPIN×4AceCoppin St.aced Talia Emmen+0.3
1811-7COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.3
1912-7NC CENCOPPINKillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.3
2013-7COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
2113-8COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.2
2214-8NC CENCOPPINAttack errShalyn Bell+0.2
2314-9COPPINNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.2
2414-10NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errCherisse Atilano+0.3
2514-11NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Centralaced Cherisse Atilano+0.5
2615-11NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.4
2716-11COPPINCOPPINAceCoppin St.aced Talia Emmen+0.4
2816-12COPPINNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.3
2917-12NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
3017-13COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
3118-13NC CENCOPPINAttack errTalia Emmen+0.3
3218-14COPPINNC CEN×4Serve errCoppin St.+0.3
3318-15NC CENNC CEN×4KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.5
3418-16NC CENNC CEN×4KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.8
3518-17NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Coco Figueroa+1.1
3619-17NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.9
3719-18COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.0
3820-18NC CENCOPPINKillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+1.0
3921-18COPPINCOPPINAceCoppin St.aced Talia Emmen+1.0
4021-19COPPINNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
4121-20NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Talia Emmen+1.3
4221-21NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedKayden Cupidblk Allyson Rouse+2.0
4322-21NC CENCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+1.7
4422-22COPPINNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.9
4522-23NC CENNC CEN×3KillAniah Bass+3.3
4622-24NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Central+3.9
4723-24NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+1.8
4824-24COPPINCOPPINKillKayden Cupid+4.6
4924-25COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+3.6
5025-25NC CENCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+3.6
5126-25COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+3.5
5226-26COPPINNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+2.7
5327-26NC CENCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa+2.7
5428-26COPPINCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Andrea Cintron+2.6
Set 2
10-1COPPINNC CENAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.4
21-1NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
31-2COPPINNC CEN×4Serve errCoppin St.+0.4
41-3NC CENNC CEN×4KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.6
51-4NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Central+0.6
61-5NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Central+0.7
72-5NC CENCOPPINBlockedTalia Emmenblk Ivanna Luna+0.5
82-6COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.6
92-7NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.8
103-7NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.5
113-8COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
124-8NC CENCOPPINBlockedShalyn Bellblk Kendall Minta+0.5
135-8COPPINCOPPINKillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.7
145-9COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.7
156-9NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.5
166-10COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.7
177-10NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.5
187-11COPPINNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
197-12NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Aniah Bass+0.9
207-13NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Aniah Bass+0.9
218-13NC CENCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Andrea Cintron+0.5
228-14COPPINNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Shalyn Bell+0.7
238-15NC CENNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmen+0.8
248-16NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.7
258-17NC CENNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmen+0.5
269-17NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.2
279-18COPPINNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.4
289-19NC CENNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmen+0.3
299-20NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedDeviana Walkerblk Aniah Bass, Morgan Wingo+0.2
3010-20NC CENCOPPINAttack errTalia Emmen+0.1
3111-20COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.1
3211-21COPPINNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.2
3311-22NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Cherisse Atilano+0.1
3411-23NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Central·
3511-24NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errIsabella Ortiz·
3612-24NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central·
3712-25COPPINNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley·
Set 3
10-1NC CEN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
21-1NC CENCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+1.2
31-2COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+1.4
42-2NC CENCOPPIN×3Serve errN.C. Central+1.2
53-2COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.4
64-2COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedTalia Emmenblk Kendall Minta, Ivanna Luna+1.2
74-3COPPINNC CEN×5KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.1
84-4NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Centralaced Deviana Walker+1.6
94-5NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Central+1.9
104-6NC CENNC CEN×5KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+2.2
114-7NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errKendall Minta+2.5
125-7NC CENCOPPIN×4KillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+1.7
136-7COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedTalia Emmenblk Kendall Minta+2.1
147-7COPPINCOPPIN×4KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.9
158-7COPPINCOPPIN×4KillKendall Minta+1.7
168-8COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.5
178-9NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Deviana Walker+2.3
189-9NC CENCOPPIN×3KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.6
1910-9COPPINCOPPIN×3KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.9
2011-9COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.aced Hailey Gibbons+1.6
2111-10COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.4
2212-10NC CENCOPPIN×6KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.3
2313-10COPPINCOPPIN×6AceCoppin St.aced Talia Emmen+1.4
2414-10COPPINCOPPIN×6KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.1
2515-10COPPINCOPPIN×6KillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.8
2616-10COPPINCOPPIN×6KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.6
2717-10COPPINCOPPIN×6Attack errTalia Emmen+0.4
2817-11COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.2
2918-11NC CENCOPPIN×3KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
3019-11COPPINCOPPIN×3KillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.2
3120-11COPPINCOPPIN×3Attack errTalia Emmen+0.1
3220-12COPPINNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley·
3321-12NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.1
3421-13COPPINNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Breylan Fairley·
3521-14NC CENNC CENBlockedDeviana Walkerblk Aniah Bass+0.1
3622-14NC CENCOPPIN×3KillKendall Minta+0.1
3723-14COPPINCOPPIN×3KillKendall Mintaset Shalyn Bell·
3824-14COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa·
3924-15COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.·
4025-15NC CENCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello·
Set 4
11-0COPPINCOPPIN×4KillDeviana Walker+0.9
22-0COPPINCOPPIN×4KillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.8
33-0COPPINCOPPIN×4Attack errShalyn Bell+0.7
44-0COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedShalyn Bellblk Eva Rovello, Kendall Minta+0.6
54-1COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.5
65-1NC CENCOPPIN×3Serve errN.C. Central+0.5
76-1COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.aced Shalyn Bell+0.5
87-1COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.+0.4
97-2COPPINNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.3
107-3NC CENNC CENAttack errDeviana Walker+0.5
118-3NC CENCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.4
129-3COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.4
139-4COPPINNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.3
1410-4NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
1510-5COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
1611-5NC CENCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.3
1711-6COPPINNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.3
1812-6NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.3
1912-7COPPINNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.3
2012-8NC CENNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.5
2112-9NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2213-9NC CENCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.6
2313-10COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.6
2414-10NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.6
2514-11COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.6
2614-12NC CENNC CENAttack errIvanna Luna+1.0
2715-12NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.9
2815-13COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.9
2916-13NC CENCOPPINBlockedTalia Emmenblk Kendall Minta+0.9
3016-14COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.9
3117-14NC CENCOPPINAttack errShalyn Bell+1.0
3217-15COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Isabella Rodriguez+0.9
3318-15NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.0
3418-16COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.0
3519-16NC CENCOPPINKillEva Rovello+1.1
3619-17COPPINNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.0
3720-17NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+1.1
3821-17COPPINCOPPINAceCoppin St.aced Shalyn Bell+1.0
3921-18COPPINNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.6
4022-18NC CENCOPPINServe errN.C. Central+0.8
4122-19COPPINNC CENBlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Aniah Bass, Morgan Wingo+0.5
4223-19NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.7
4324-19COPPINCOPPINAttack errMorgan Wingo+0.4
4424-20COPPINNC CENServe errCoppin St.+0.1
4525-20NC CENCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Coppin St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).