FinalWed, Oct 28, 2026Watch on AmericaEast.TV

UMBC def. Coppin St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UMBC 66.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 28, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UMBC beat visiting Coppin St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-13) on Wed, Oct 28, 2026. UMBC's Claudia Llamas led with 17 kills, and Hannah Howard added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 28

Set123Sets
COPPIN1720130
UMBC2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.600 and 17 kills for Claudia Llamas as UMBC rolled past Coppin St.

Win probability never moved more than 2.7 points on one rally; Coppin St. topped out at 35% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave UMBC 67% before first serve.

Coppin St.UMBC
  • Break %+20.3 pts
    39.259.5

    44 of 74 on serve vs 20 of 51, so Coppin St.'s sideout was 40.5%.

  • Hitting+.187
    .104.291

    Kills and errors: 47–17 vs 24–14.

  • Longest run+3
    58

    UMBC scored 8 straight in the third set to open the set 8–0. Final score of the set: 25–13.

UMBC above 50Coppin St. belowMax swing 2.7%

Coppin St.UMBC

Aces
Coppin St. 3·UMBC 8
Serve err
Coppin St. 5·UMBC 4
Blocks
Coppin St. 9·UMBC 61 BS · 16 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Coppin St. 37·UMBC 52

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UMBC above 50 · Coppin St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.7% COPPINrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Coppin St. — set 2, COPPIN 12-11 UMBC. Attack error by Grace Larrivee. UMBC win probability 81% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COPPIN 26.6%73.4% UMBC

Coppin St. wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.2%
3-2
12.6%

UMBC wins

3-0
25.7%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
19.5%
COPPIN break %
41.4% vs this opp
UMBC break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Grace LarriveeAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Grace Larrivee

    Set 2 · COPPIN 12-11 UMBC · COPPIN 19% → 22%

  2. 02

    Kill by Natalie Harris (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 12-13 UMBC · UMBC 80% → 82%

  3. 03

    Kill by Claudia Llamas (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 13-15 UMBC · UMBC 83% → 85%

  4. 04

    Claudia Llamas stuffed by Eva Rovello & Rori Gray

    Set 2 · COPPIN 11-11 UMBC · COPPIN 17% → 19%

  5. 05
    Coppin St.Ace+2.4%

    Coppin St. ace

    Set 1 · COPPIN 3-2 UMBC · COPPIN 33% → 35%

  6. 06

    Kill by Claudia Llamas (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 13-16 UMBC · UMBC 85% → 87%

  7. 07
    UMBCAce+2.3%

    UMBC ace on Deviana Walker

    Set 1 · COPPIN 3-4 UMBC · UMBC 66% → 69%

  8. 08
    UMBCAce+2.2%

    UMBC ace on Deviana Walker

    Set 1 · COPPIN 3-5 UMBC · UMBC 69% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37428.107001840007
3406.667171140031.56.5
3408.500000100215
3107.143000001434
3026-.333201100010.50.5
22213.00000022010.52.5
3328.125201320003
31313-.15400000031.52.5
3000–121600002
3000–000000000
2000–100100000
1216.167000100002
1001.000000100211
Team totals241496.1042335378116950
UMBChome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317225.60000030010.517.5
314532.28102070010.516.5
312731.161001110010.512.5
3318.25000030010.53.5
3114.000000000423
3013-.3333710900423
3000–142000004
3000–7101410001
3000–100200000
3000–001300000
Team totals4717103.2914684523012675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 COPPIN · UMBC 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 COPPINUMBC 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 COPPINUMBC 3

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 4 COPPINUMBC 8

Bars above the line = UMBC leads, below = Coppin St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coppin St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
25%4/16
33%1/3
2
50%3/6
56%5/9
3
23%3/13
25%1/4
4
100%3/3
63%5/8
5
25%2/8
0%0/3
6
50%2/4
33%1/3
All
34%17/50
43%13/30

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%4/9
75%12/16
2
75%3/4
50%3/6
3
38%3/8
77%10/13
4
100%3/3
0%0/3
5
67%2/3
75%6/8
6
67%2/3
50%2/4
All
57%17/30
66%33/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#COPPIN-UMBCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
21-1UMBCCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+1.7
31-2COPPINUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
42-2UMBCCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+1.7
53-2COPPINCOPPINAceCoppin St.+2.4
63-3COPPINUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
73-4UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Deviana Walker+2.3
83-5UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Deviana Walker+2.2
93-6UMBCUMBC×5BlockedDeviana Walkerblk Jalynn Brown, Isabel Ostvig+2.1
103-7UMBCUMBC×5Attack errIvanna Luna+1.8
114-7UMBCCOPPINBad setJalynn Brown+1.3
124-8COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
135-8UMBCCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.3
145-9COPPINUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
155-10UMBCUMBCBlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Isabel Ostvig, Grace Larrivee+1.6
166-10UMBCCOPPINServe errUMBC+1.1
176-11COPPINUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
186-12UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
196-13UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+1.0
207-13UMBCCOPPINKillKendall Mintaset Eva Rovello+0.6
217-14COPPINUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
227-15UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
238-15UMBCCOPPIN×5KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.4
249-15COPPINCOPPIN×5AceCoppin St.aced Hannah Howard+0.7
2510-15COPPINCOPPIN×5KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+1.0
2611-15COPPINCOPPIN×5KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.4
2712-15COPPINCOPPIN×5AceCoppin St.+1.8
2812-16COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
2912-17UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
3013-17UMBCCOPPINAttack errClaudia Llamas+1.0
3113-18COPPINUMBC×3Serve errCoppin St.+1.3
3213-19UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.2
3313-20UMBCUMBC×3Attack errDeviana Walker+0.7
3414-20UMBCCOPPIN×3Serve errUMBC+0.3
3515-20COPPINCOPPIN×3Attack errNatalie Harris+0.7
3616-20COPPINCOPPIN×3Attack errNatalie Harris+1.1
3716-21COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Hannah Howard+1.2
3817-21UMBCCOPPINAttack errIsabel Ostvig+0.7
3917-22COPPINUMBC×4KillHannah Dobbsset Ella McAllister+1.1
4017-23UMBCUMBC×4Attack errCherisse Atilano+0.7
4117-24UMBCUMBC×4BlockedAndrea Cintronblk Hannah Dobbs, Grace Larrivee+0.2
4217-25UMBCUMBC×4KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
Set 2
11-0COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+2.0
22-0COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+2.0
32-1COPPINUMBCServe errCoppin St.+1.5
43-1UMBCCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+1.6
53-2COPPINUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
63-3UMBCUMBCAceUMBCaced Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+2.0
74-3UMBCCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+1.6
84-4COPPINUMBC×3Serve errCoppin St.+1.6
94-5UMBCUMBC×3KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
104-6UMBCUMBC×3BlockedAndrea Cintronblk Isabel Ostvig, Natalie Harris+1.9
115-6UMBCCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+1.5
125-7COPPINUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
135-8UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
146-8UMBCCOPPINBlockedHannah Dobbsblk Kendall Minta, Andrea Cintron+1.3
157-8COPPINCOPPINBlockedHannah Dobbsblk Kendall Minta, Eva Rovello+2.0
167-9COPPINUMBCAttack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+1.6
177-10UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
188-10UMBCCOPPINKillEva Rovelloset Andrea Cintron+1.4
198-11COPPINUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+1.5
209-11UMBCCOPPIN×4KillEva Rovelloset Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+1.4
2110-11COPPINCOPPIN×4KillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Coco Figueroa+2.2
2211-11COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedClaudia Llamasblk Eva Rovello, Rori Gray+2.5
2312-11COPPINCOPPIN×4Attack errGrace Larrivee+2.7
2412-12COPPINUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
2512-13UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.6
2613-13UMBCCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+2.1
2713-14COPPINUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
2813-15UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.6
2913-16UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.3
3014-16UMBCCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.6
3114-17COPPINUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
3215-17UMBCCOPPINServe errUMBC+1.6
3315-18UMBC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
3416-18UMBCCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.7
3516-19COPPINUMBCServe errCoppin St.+2.0
3616-20UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
3717-20UMBCCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+1.1
3817-21COPPINUMBCServe errCoppin St.+1.6
3917-22UMBCUMBCAceUMBCaced Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+1.3
4018-22UMBCCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.5
4119-22COPPINCOPPINAttack errHannah Dobbs+1.2
4219-23COPPINUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+1.5
4319-24UMBCUMBCBlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas+0.9
4420-24UMBCCOPPINKillEva Rovello+0.2
4520-25COPPINUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
Set 3
10-1UMBCUMBC×8KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
20-2UMBCUMBC×8KillClaudia Llamas+1.0
30-3UMBCUMBC×8AceHannah Dobbsaced Cherisse Atilano+0.9
40-4UMBCUMBC×8KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+0.8
50-5UMBCUMBC×8KillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
60-6UMBCUMBC×8Attack errIvanna Luna+0.6
70-7UMBCUMBC×8Attack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.5
80-8UMBCUMBC×8AceHannah Dobbsaced Cherisse Atilano+0.4
91-8UMBCCOPPINBlockedNatalie Harrisblk Rori Gray, Ivanna Luna+0.2
101-9COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
111-10UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
122-10UMBCCOPPINBlockedNatalie Harrisblk Ivanna Luna, Kendall Minta+0.2
132-11COPPINUMBC×5KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
142-12UMBCUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
152-13UMBCUMBC×5AceEma Djordjevicaced Cherisse Atilano+0.1
162-14UMBCUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Ema Djordjevic+0.1
172-15UMBCUMBC×5AceEma Djordjevicaced Cherisse Atilano·
183-15UMBCCOPPIN×4Attack errNatalie Harris·
194-15COPPINCOPPIN×4KillEva Rovelloset Andrea Cintron·
205-15COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedJalynn Brownblk Kendall Minta+0.1
216-15COPPINCOPPIN×4BlockedNatalie Harrisblk Eva Rovello, Kendall Minta+0.1
226-16COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
237-16UMBCCOPPINServe errNatalie Harris+0.1
247-17COPPINUMBC×3Attack errCherisse Atilano+0.1
257-18UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
267-19UMBCUMBC×3BlockedIsabella Ortizblk Isabel Ostvig, Grace Larrivee·
278-19UMBCCOPPINKillIsabella Ortizset Eva Rovello·
289-19COPPINCOPPINBlockedHannah Dobbsblk McKenzie Parks, Ivanna Luna·
299-20COPPINUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3010-20UMBCCOPPINKillIsabella Ortizset Eva Rovello·
3111-20COPPINCOPPINBlockedHannah Dobbsblk Deviana Walker, McKenzie Parks·
3211-21COPPINUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3311-22UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard·
3411-23UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard·
3512-23UMBCCOPPINAttack errNatalie Harris·
3613-23COPPINCOPPINBad setIsabel Ostvig·
3713-24COPPINUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig·
3813-25UMBCUMBCAttack errIvanna Luna·

Score shown after each rally, Coppin St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).