FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

FIU def. Liberty 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 52.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FIU beat visiting Liberty 3-0 (25-23, 29-27, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. FIU's Jillian Huckabey led with 25 kills, and Marta Lazzarin added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
LIBRTY2327250
FIU2529273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.449 on 49 swings: Jillian Huckabey and FIU edged Liberty.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows FIU's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Liberty at 52% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Liberty 15–13 FIU

    Down 13–15, FIU had 6 straight kills to lead 19–15.

    FIU 60% → 82%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Liberty 21–21 FIU

    From 21–21, FIU had 3 straight kills to lead 24–21.

    FIU 68% → 85%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Liberty 26–26 FIU

    FIU closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 29–27 and lead 2–0.

    FIU 66% → 87%

FIU above 50Liberty belowMax swing 10.4%

LibertyFIU

Sideout %
Liberty 57.5·FIU 61.8
Break %
Liberty 38.2·FIU 42.5
Hitting
Liberty .274·FIU .245
Longest run
Liberty 4·FIU 7

Jillian Huckabey
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 25 K, .449, 27 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FIU above 50 · Liberty below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.4% FIUrally 156 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.4% to FIU — set 2, LIBRTY 27-29 FIU. FIU ace on Jenna Otts. FIU win probability 76% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 45.4%54.6% FIU

Liberty wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%

FIU wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%
LIBRTY break %
42.0% vs this opp
FIU break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    FIUAce+10.4%

    FIU ace on Jenna Otts

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 27-29 FIU · FIU 76% → 87%

  2. 02

    Kill by Alison Bierwagen (set by Laney Daniell)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-24 FIU · LIBRTY 21% → 32%

  3. 03

    Jenna Otts stuffed by Teodora Skocajic & Chiara Fabbrini

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-27 FIU · FIU 66% → 76%

  4. 04
    Jenna OttsKill+10.2%

    Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-25 FIU · LIBRTY 32% → 42%

  5. 05

    Kill by Rayne Williams (set by Ivona Lazovic)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-25 FIU · FIU 68% → 76%

  6. 06
    Jenna OttsKill+7.7%

    Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 25-25 FIU · LIBRTY 24% → 32%

  7. 07

    Kill by Alison Bierwagen (set by Melis Ural)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 27-27 FIU · LIBRTY 24% → 32%

  8. 08

    Kill by Jillian Huckabey (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 2 · LIBRTY 27-28 FIU · FIU 68% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313536.22200031111.514.5
37217.2941112016412
38220.300002100031.59.5
36015.400000000217
3305.6003703100010.53.5
3001.000100600000
35317.11800000010.55.5
3001.000102510000
3000–2001700000
3000–001200000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals4312113.2744219566214975
FIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
325349.4490217000027
310533.1520114000011
35111.364023100429
36616.00000020111.57.5
3102.5002112300002
23312.00000010010.53.5
34215.13300010031.55.5
3000–2102800000
3000–7022100000
1001.00000010010.50.5
Team totals5420139.24549611491110681

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs FIU

Season series · FIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LIBRTY · FIU 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 LIBRTYFIU 7

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 3 LIBRTYFIU 6

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 3 LIBRTYFIU 4

Bars above the line = FIU leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
55%6/11
2
67%6/9
33%3/9
3
29%5/17
0%0/6
4
63%5/8
29%2/7
5
100%4/4
62%8/13
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
57%30/53
39%20/51

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
38%3/8
2
75%6/8
40%4/10
3
100%6/6
54%7/13
4
45%5/11
58%7/12
5
44%4/9
33%2/6
6
80%4/5
0%0/4
All
61%31/51
43%23/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

156 rallies

#LIBRTY-FIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
21-1LIBRTYFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.8
31-2FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+2.5
41-3FIUFIU×3AceFIU+2.6
52-3FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
62-4LIBRTYFIU×7KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.9
72-5FIUFIU×7Attack errJenna Otts+2.5
82-6FIUFIU×7Attack errPaige Overcash+2.4
92-7FIUFIU×7Attack errJenna Otts+2.1
102-8FIUFIU×7KillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+1.9
112-9FIUFIU×7KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+1.6
122-10FIUFIU×7Attack errPaige Overcash+1.2
133-10FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+0.7
143-11LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+0.9
154-11FIULIBRTY×4Attack errRayne Williams+0.7
165-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Molly Littlefield+1.2
176-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errRayne Williams+1.5
187-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedLana Sesarblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+1.9
197-12LIBRTYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.7
208-12FIULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.4
218-13LIBRTYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.7
229-13FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+1.4
2310-13LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errLana Sesar+2.3
2410-14LIBRTYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+2.1
2511-14FIULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
2612-14LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChiara Fabbrini+2.8
2712-15LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.4
2813-15FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.1
2913-16LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+2.5
3014-16FIULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
3114-17LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+2.6
3214-18FIUFIUAceFIU+3.0
3315-18FIULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
3416-18LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedLana Sesarblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+3.0
3516-19LIBRTYFIUBlockedAddison Hartblk Rayne Williams, Marla Valentin+2.9
3617-19FIULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
3718-19LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMarla Valentin+4.0
3818-20LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+3.6
3919-20FIULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+3.1
4019-21LIBRTYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+3.9
4120-21FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.2
4220-22LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+4.3
4321-22FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.4
4421-23LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+4.9
4522-23FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.5
4622-24LIBRTYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+5.7
4723-24FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+3.2
4823-25LIBRTYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+7.6
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedRayne Williamsblk Jenna Otts+2.5
22-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
32-1LIBRTYFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.8
42-2FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+2.6
52-3FIUFIU×3KillIvona Lazovicset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
63-3FIULIBRTYKillAlison Bierwagen+2.0
73-4LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Teodora Skocajic+2.0
84-4FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+2.0
94-5LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.1
105-5FIULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Kayla O'Brien+2.1
116-5LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChiara Fabbrini+2.8
126-6LIBRTYFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+2.1
136-7FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+2.9
146-8FIUFIU×3AceFIU+3.0
157-8FIULIBRTY×3Serve errFIU+2.1
168-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+3.0
179-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedLana Sesarblk Laney Daniell, Addison Hart+3.1
189-9LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.3
1910-9FIULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
2010-10LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+2.4
2110-11FIUFIUAceFIUaced Molly Littlefield+3.3
2211-11FIULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
2312-11LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+3.4
2412-12LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.5
2513-12FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+2.6
2614-12LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+3.5
2714-13LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+2.5
2815-13FIULIBRTYBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Layla Collins, Laney Daniell+2.7
2915-14LIBRTYFIU×6KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.5
3015-15FIUFIU×6KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+3.9
3115-16FIUFIU×6KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+4.1
3215-17FIUFIU×6KillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+4.1
3315-18FIUFIU×6KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+3.8
3415-19FIUFIU×6KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+3.1
3516-19FIULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.7
3617-19LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errTeodora Skocajic+3.1
3717-20LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+3.1
3818-20FIULIBRTY×3KillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
3919-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+4.3
4020-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedLana Sesarblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+5.3
4120-21LIBRTYFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+4.5
4221-21FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+4.4
4321-22LIBRTYFIU×3KillMarla Valentinset Ivona Lazovic+5.1
4421-23FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+6.7
4521-24FIUFIU×3KillRayne Williams+4.8
4622-24FIULIBRTY×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.4
4723-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+4.4
4824-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillAlison Bierwagenset Laney Daniell+10.3
4924-25LIBRTYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+7.7
5025-25FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+7.7
5126-25LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+10.2
5226-26LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+7.6
5326-27FIUFIUBlockedJenna Ottsblk Teodora Skocajic, Chiara Fabbrini+10.3
5427-27FIULIBRTYKillAlison Bierwagenset Melis Ural+7.7
5527-28LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+7.7
5627-29FIUFIUAceFIUaced Jenna Otts+10.4
Set 3
11-0FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+1.3
22-0LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedRayne Williamsblk Jenna Otts, Layla Collins+1.7
32-1LIBRTYFIU×4KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.2
42-2FIUFIU×4KillJillian Huckabey+1.7
52-3FIUFIU×4Serve errFIU+1.8
62-4FIUFIU×4BlockedJenna Ottsblk Marla Valentin, Teodora Skocajic+1.8
73-4FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+1.3
83-5LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+1.4
94-5FIULIBRTYKillLayla Collins+1.3
104-6LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabey+1.4
115-6LIBRTY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
126-6LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Laney Daniell+1.9
136-7LIBRTYFIUKillLana Sesarset Marta Lazzarin+1.5
147-7FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+1.5
158-7LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errRayne Williams+2.0
168-8LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+1.5
178-9FIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
189-9FIULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
1910-9LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Otts+2.1
20–2111-10LIBRTY · FIU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2211-11LIBRTYFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+1.6
2311-12FIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
2411-13FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesar+2.3
2512-13FIULIBRTYKillJenna Otts+1.6
2612-14FIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
2713-14FIULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
2814-14LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
2914-15LIBRTYFIU×4KillTeodora Skocajic+2.0
3014-16FIUFIU×4KillLana Sesarset Marta Lazzarin+2.6
3114-17FIUFIU×4KillLana Sesarset Marta Lazzarin+2.4
3214-18FIUFIU×4BlockedAddison Hartblk Kamryn Itzen, Teodora Skocajic+2.1
3315-18FIULIBRTYKillJana Thymesset Alison Bierwagen+1.2
3415-19LIBRTYFIUAttack errJana Thymes+1.6
3516-19FIULIBRTYServe errFIU+1.1
3616-20LIBRTYFIUServe errLiberty+1.6
3716-21FIUFIUBlockedLaney Daniellblk Rayne Williams+1.5
3817-21FIULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
3918-21LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMarla Valentin+1.4
4018-22LIBRTYFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
4119-22LIBRTY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
4220-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLaney Daniell+2.0
4321-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errRayne Williams+3.2
4421-23LIBRTYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+3.3
4522-23FIULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
4623-23LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+5.2
4723-24LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+5.1
4824-24FIULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+5.1
4924-25LIBRTYFIUKillJillian Huckabey+5.1
5025-25LIBRTY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.1
5125-26LIBRTYFIUKillLana Sesar+5.1
5225-27FIUFIUAttack errAddison Hart+7.0

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).