Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Ky. def. FIU 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 80.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. won at FIU 3-2 (29-27, 22-25, 22-25, 25-21, 15-8) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Western Ky.'s Faith Young led with 16 kills, and Tayler Baron added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
W KY29222225153
FIU2725252182

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.519 on 27 swings: Faith Young and Western Ky. edged FIU.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Western Ky.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Western Ky. at 81%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Western Ky. 15–12 FIU

    7 straight FIU points turned a 12–15 deficit into a 19–15 lead.

    Western Ky. 82% → 52%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Western Ky. 8–9 FIU

    7 straight Western Ky. points turned an 8–9 deficit into a 15–9 lead. The match swung to Western Ky.

    Western Ky. 38% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Western Ky. 0–2 FIU

    Western Ky. scored 8 straight to turn a 0–2 deficit into an 8–2 lead. The match swung to Western Ky.

    Western Ky. 48% → 97%

FIU above 50Western Ky. belowMax swing 9.3%

Western Ky.FIU

Sideout %
Western Ky. 57.0·FIU 53.6
Break %
Western Ky. 46.4·FIU 43.0
Hitting
Western Ky. .243·FIU .088
Longest run
Western Ky. 8·FIU 7

Alivia Skidmore
6 kills on .032, 9.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FIU above 50 · Western Ky. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.3% FIUrally 219 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.3% to FIU — set 5, W KY 0-2 FIU. Attack error by Kaira Knox. FIU win probability 43% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W KY 79.6%20.4% FIU

Western Ky. wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

FIU wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.3%
W KY break %
45.8% vs this opp
FIU break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaira KnoxAttack error+9.3%

    Attack error by Kaira Knox

    Set 5 · W KY 0-2 FIU · FIU 43% → 52%

  2. 02

    Gina Fedrigo stuffed by Kaira Knox & Izzy Van De Wiele

    Set 5 · W KY 2-2 FIU · W KY 54% → 63%

  3. 03
    Izzy Van De WieleAttack error+8.6%

    Attack error by Izzy Van De Wiele

    Set 5 · W KY 0-1 FIU · FIU 34% → 43%

  4. 04
    Faith YoungBlock+8.5%

    Rayne Williams stuffed by Faith Young

    Set 1 · W KY 24-24 FIU · W KY 68% → 76%

  5. 05
    Mariana SilvaBad set+8.3%

    Bad set by Mariana Silva

    Set 5 · W KY 3-2 FIU · W KY 63% → 71%

  6. 06
    Kennedy CherryService error+7.9%

    Service error by Kennedy Cherry

    Set 3 · W KY 22-24 FIU · FIU 42% → 50%

  7. 07
    Lana SesarAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Lana Sesar

    Set 5 · W KY 4-2 FIU · W KY 71% → 79%

  8. 08
    Jillian HuckabeyAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Jillian Huckabey

    Set 1 · W KY 27-26 FIU · W KY 76% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516227.5190043034521
515632.281304101052.517.5
56531.03202150031.59.5
53215.06710010254.57.5
53010.3004721130212.57.5
51011.0001031120001
57423.13000030111.58.5
5409.44400000010.54.5
5000–1142010001
5000–000530000
Team totals5519148.24353517711382018113
FIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5121339-.026041130010.516.5
510120.4501235006315
510943.02312371031.513.5
59726.0770000004211
5115.0002902130010.51.5
43419-.05320200010.53.5
5012-.5001341400004
5000–5102300001
45211.273000100005
36217.235000200428
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5640182.08851131269502010106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ky. vs FIU

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 W KY · FIU 7

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 5 W KYFIU 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 W KYFIU 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 W KYFIU 7

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 7 W KYFIU 3

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 8 W KYFIU 3

Bars above the line = FIU leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
36%5/14
2
90%9/10
63%15/24
3
53%8/15
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
27%3/11
5
64%7/11
50%7/14
6
70%7/10
50%7/14
All
61%50/82
46%41/90

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
47%8/17
2
50%9/18
38%6/16
3
100%9/9
18%2/11
4
47%7/15
53%9/17
5
78%7/9
22%2/9
6
44%7/16
42%5/12
All
54%49/90
39%32/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

219 rallies

#W KY-FIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+1.8
20-2FIUFIU×3KillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.0
30-3FIUFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+2.1
41-3FIUW KYServe errJillian Huckabey+1.4
52-3W KYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+1.9
62-4W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.6
73-4FIUW KY×5KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.4
84-4W KYW KY×5Attack errLana Sesar+1.9
95-4W KYW KY×5Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.8
106-4W KYW KY×5AceTayler Baron+1.7
117-4W KYW KY×5KillFaith Young+1.5
127-5W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Chiara Fabbrini+1.1
138-5FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
148-6W KYFIU×3KillMarla Valentinset Marta Lazzarin+1.1
158-7FIUFIU×3AceFIU+1.8
168-8FIUFIU×3KillRayne Williams+2.1
179-8FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.5
189-9W KYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
1910-9FIUW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.5
2010-10W KYFIUKillMarla Valentinset Ivona Lazovic+1.7
2110-11FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.5
2211-11FIUW KYBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight+1.7
2311-12W KYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.0
2412-12FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.8
2512-13W KYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.0
2613-13FIUW KYServe errTeodora Skocajic+1.9
2713-14W KYFIUAttack errFaith Young+2.1
2814-14FIUW KYServe errChiara Fabbrini+2.0
2914-15W KYFIUServe errKaira Knox+2.2
3014-16FIUFIUBlockedFaith Youngblk Rayne Williams, Jillian Huckabey+3.2
3115-16FIUW KYBlockedRayne Williamsblk Faith Young+2.1
3215-17W KYFIUKillMarla Valentinset Ivona Lazovic+2.6
3316-17FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.2
3416-18W KYFIUServe errFaith Young+2.7
3517-18FIUW KYKillKate Rushset Marta Lazzarin+2.3
3618-18W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Izzy Van De Wiele+3.4
3718-19W KYFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+2.9
3818-20FIUFIUAceJillian Huckabeyaced Kennedy Cherry+4.2
3919-20FIUW KYServe errJillian Huckabey+2.5
4020-20W KYW KYAceAlivia Skidmore+4.1
4120-21W KYFIUServe errAlivia Skidmore+3.5
4221-21FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.3
4321-22W KYFIUAttack errKendall Meller+4.1
4422-22FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.7
4522-23W KYFIUServe errKaira Knox+4.8
4622-24FIUFIUAceFIUaced Cali Foster+6.9
4723-24FIUW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kaira Knox+2.8
4824-24W KYW KYBlockedRayne Williamsblk Faith Young+8.5
4924-25W KYFIUServe errKennedy Cherry+6.1
5025-25FIUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+6.1
5125-26W KYFIUServe errFaith Young+6.1
5226-26FIUW KYServe errMariana Silva+6.1
5327-26W KYW KYAttack errJillian Huckabey+7.3
5427-27W KYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+5.2
5528-27FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+5.2
5629-27W KYW KYAttack errLana Sesar+6.2
Set 2
11-0W KYW KYAttack errJillian Huckabey+1.2
22-0W KYW KYBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Kaira Knox, Izzy Van De Wiele+1.1
32-1W KYFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+0.8
43-1FIUW KY×5KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.8
54-1W KYW KY×5Attack errTeodora Skocajic+1.0
65-1W KYW KY×5AceAlivia Skidmoreaced Jillian Huckabey+0.9
76-1W KYW KY×5Attack errLana Sesar+0.7
87-1W KYW KY×5BlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kendall Meller+0.6
97-2W KYFIUKillMariana Silva+0.4
108-2FIUW KYServe errTeodora Skocajic+0.4
118-3W KYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+0.4
129-3FIUW KYAttack errLana Sesar+0.4
139-4W KYFIUKillMarla Valentinset Marta Lazzarin+0.4
1410-4FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.4
1510-5W KYFIU×4KillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+0.4
1610-6FIUFIU×4AceFIU+0.7
1710-7FIUFIU×4KillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+0.9
1810-8FIUFIU×4KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.1
1911-8FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.9
2011-9W KYFIUServe errFaith Young+0.9
2111-10FIUFIUBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Teodora Skocajic, Chiara Fabbrini+1.4
2212-10FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.1
2312-11W KYFIUAttack errAlivia Skidmore+1.1
2413-11FIUW KYKillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+1.1
2513-12W KYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.2
2614-12FIUW KYKillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+1.2
2714-13W KYFIU×4KillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.2
2814-14FIUFIU×4KillRayne Williamsset Marta Lazzarin+1.9
2914-15FIUFIU×4KillMarla Valentinset Faith Young+2.2
3014-16FIUFIU×4AceIvona Lazovic+2.4
3115-16FIUW KYServe errIvona Lazovic+1.6
3215-17W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.9
3316-17FIUW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+1.6
3416-18W KYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+2.0
3517-18FIUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.7
3618-18W KYW KYAttack errJillian Huckabey+2.6
3718-19W KYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.2
3819-19FIUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.0
3920-19W KYW KYBlockedLana Sesarblk Izzy Van De Wiele+2.8
4020-20W KYFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.1
4120-21FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Chiara Fabbrini+3.5
4221-21FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.4
4321-22W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+3.0
4422-22FIUW KYAttack errKendall Meller+2.8
4522-23W KYFIU×3Serve errTayler Baron+3.6
4622-24FIUFIU×3BlockedKaira Knoxblk Lana Sesar, Rayne Williams+5.1
4722-25FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Cali Foster+3.2
Set 3
11-0FIUW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.8
22-0W KYW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.3
33-0W KYW KY×6AceKate Rush+2.1
44-0W KYW KY×6Attack errLana Sesar+1.8
55-0W KYW KY×6AceKate Rush+1.5
66-0W KYW KY×6KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+1.2
76-1W KYFIUServe errKate Rush+0.8
86-2FIUFIUAceFIUaced Kennedy Cherry+1.4
97-2FIUW KYAttack errJillian Huckabey+1.1
107-3W KYFIU×4KillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+1.0
117-4FIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
127-5FIUFIU×4AceFIU+2.2
137-6FIUFIU×4Attack errKendall Meller+2.6
148-6FIUW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.0
159-6W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.4
1610-6W KYW KY×3BlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Faith Young, Kaira Knox+2.1
1710-7W KYFIUKillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+1.4
1811-7FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.5
1911-8W KYFIUServe errKaira Knox+1.4
2012-8FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.6
2112-9W KYFIUServe errKennedy Cherry+1.4
2212-10FIUFIUAttack errAlivia Skidmore+2.5
2313-10FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.0
2413-11W KYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Marta Lazzarin+1.9
2513-12FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+3.2
2614-12FIUW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.5
2715-12W KYW KYAttack errLana Sesar+2.9
2815-13W KYFIU×7BlockedKaira Knoxblk Teodora Skocajic, Gina Fedrigo+2.0
2915-14FIUFIU×7AceLana Sesar+3.4
3015-15FIUFIU×7Bad setKate Rush+4.2
3115-16FIUFIU×7KillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+4.9
3215-17FIUFIU×7BlockedKaira Knoxblk Teodora Skocajic, Jillian Huckabey+5.2
3315-18FIUFIU×7BlockedKaira Knoxblk Teodora Skocajic, Jillian Huckabey+5.2
3415-19FIUFIU×7KillJillian Huckabey+4.7
3516-19FIUW KYServe errLana Sesar+2.4
3616-20W KYFIUKillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+3.6
3717-20FIUW KYServe errTeodora Skocajic+2.3
3818-20W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Tayler Baron+4.3
3918-21W KYFIUServe errTayler Baron+4.6
4018-22FIUFIUAceFIU+4.8
4119-22FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.9
4219-23W KYFIUServe errKaira Knox+3.5
4320-23FIUW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.5
4421-23W KYW KY×3Attack errIvona Lazovic+3.8
4522-23W KYW KY×3BlockedMarla Valentinblk Faith Young, Alivia Skidmore+6.3
4622-24W KYFIUServe errKennedy Cherry+7.9
4722-25FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+6.7
Set 4
10-1W KYFIU×3BlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Teodora Skocajic, Gina Fedrigo+3.1
20-2FIUFIU×3KillGina Fedrigoset Marta Lazzarin+4.4
30-3FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+4.6
41-3FIUW KYServe errMariana Silva+3.0
52-3W KYW KYBlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Izzy Van De Wiele+4.2
62-4W KYFIUKillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+3.5
73-4FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.1
83-5W KYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+3.6
94-5FIUW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kaira Knox+3.2
105-5W KYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+4.4
115-6W KYFIU×3Serve errTayler Baron+3.5
125-7FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+5.0
135-8FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Kaira Knox+5.3
146-8FIUW KY×3KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+3.4
157-8W KYW KY×3BlockedRayne Williamsblk Faith Young+4.8
168-8W KYW KY×3Attack errRayne Williams+4.8
178-9W KYFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+3.9
189-9FIUW KY×7KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+3.6
1910-9W KYW KY×7Attack errLana Sesar+4.8
2011-9W KYW KY×7Attack errRayne Williams+4.4
2112-9W KYW KY×7BlockedMarla Valentinblk Faith Young, Alivia Skidmore+3.8
2213-9W KYW KY×7KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+3.2
2314-9W KYW KY×7BlockedLana Sesarblk Kate Rush+2.5
2415-9W KYW KY×7KillKate Rushset Kaira Knox+1.8
2515-10W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
2615-11FIUFIUKillTeodora Skocajic+2.0
2716-11FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.8
2816-12W KYFIUServe errFaith Young+1.5
2916-13FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Teodora Skocajic+2.8
3017-13FIUW KYBlockedLana Sesarblk Kate Rush+2.5
3117-14W KYFIUBlockedKaira Knoxblk Teodora Skocajic, Gina Fedrigo+2.1
3218-14FIUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.6
3318-15W KYFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.1
3419-15FIUW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.6
3520-15W KYW KY×3KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+2.4
3621-15W KYW KY×3Attack errRayne Williams+1.4
3721-16W KYFIUServe errTayler Baron+0.6
3822-16FIUW KYServe errChiara Fabbrini+0.9
3922-17W KYFIUAttack errKendall Meller+0.4
4022-18FIUFIUAceJillian Huckabeyaced Tayler Baron+1.1
4123-18FIUW KYServe errJillian Huckabey+1.4
4223-19W KYFIUBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Rayne Williams, Mariana Silva+0.6
4324-19FIUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.1
4424-20W KYFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+0.3
4524-21FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Jillian Huckabey+0.9
4625-21FIUW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.6
Set 5
10-1FIUFIUAttack errIzzy Van De Wiele+8.6
20-2FIUFIUAttack errKaira Knox+9.3
31-2FIUW KY×8KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+6.1
42-2W KYW KY×8BlockedGina Fedrigoblk Kaira Knox, Izzy Van De Wiele+8.6
53-2W KYW KY×8Bad setMariana Silva+8.3
64-2W KYW KY×8Attack errLana Sesar+7.6
75-2W KYW KY×8Attack errGina Fedrigo+6.6
86-2W KYW KY×8BlockedLana Sesarblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox+5.3
97-2W KYW KY×8KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.9
108-2W KYW KY×8Attack errMariana Silva+2.6
118-3W KYFIUAttack errIzzy Van De Wiele+1.3
128-4FIUFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.8
139-4FIUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.8
149-5W KYFIU×3KillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.0
159-6FIUFIU×3KillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+4.2
169-7FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+6.4
1710-7FIUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+5.9
1810-8W KYFIUBlockedKendall Mellerblk Gina Fedrigo, Rayne Williams+4.8
1911-8FIUW KY×5BlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Kendall Meller+6.2
2012-8W KYW KY×5Attack errRayne Williams+5.7
2113-8W KYW KY×5BlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Faith Young, Kate Rush+2.9
2214-8W KYW KY×5KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
2315-8W KYW KY×5Attack errJillian Huckabey+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).