FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Duke def. FIU 3–0

Duke beat FIU 3-0 (25-22, 28-26, 25-13) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Duke's Nataly Moravec led with 16 kills, and Mailinh Godschall added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
FIU2226130
DUKE2528253

Win probability

Duke above 50 · FIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.4% DUKErally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.4% to Duke — set 2, FIU 23-24 DUKE. Bad set by Mariana Silva. DUKE win probability 79% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FIU 30.9%69.1% DUKE

FIU wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%

Duke wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%
FIU break %
40.0% vs this opp
DUKE break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mariana SilvaBad set+7.4%

    Bad set by Mariana Silva

    Set 2 · FIU 23-24 DUKE · DUKE 79% → 87%

  2. 02
    Lana SesarAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Lana Sesar

    Set 2 · FIU 26-28 DUKE · DUKE 87% → 94%

  3. 03

    Kill by Jillian Huckabey (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 2 · FIU 24-24 DUKE · FIU 13% → 18%

  4. 04

    Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Nikki Quinn)

    Set 2 · FIU 24-25 DUKE · DUKE 82% → 87%

  5. 05
    DukeService error+5.3%

    Duke service error

    Set 2 · FIU 25-25 DUKE · FIU 13% → 18%

  6. 06
    FIUService error+5.3%

    FIU service error

    Set 2 · FIU 25-26 DUKE · DUKE 82% → 87%

  7. 07
    Lana SesarKill+5.3%

    Kill by Lana Sesar (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 2 · FIU 26-26 DUKE · FIU 13% → 18%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Nikki Quinn)

    Set 2 · FIU 26-27 DUKE · DUKE 82% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39227.2590204100011
39118.4440120002111
37318.22212275010.59.5
3219.111103100213
3147-.429100010423
3204.5001010700003
3001.000500710000
3000–900200000
2306.50000020031.54.5
2002.000000100000
1002.000000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals331194.23427673212012661
Dukehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312322.4093634000018
316231.45211262010.517.5
37116.3750426002112
38315.33300000010.58.5
3407.571000201226
3000–3812600001
3000–000500000
3000–4021330000
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals47991.41846121142616478

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FIU · DUKE 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 6 FIUDUKE 5

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 5 FIUDUKE 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 FIUDUKE 7

Bars above the line = Duke leads, below = FIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
50%8/16
2
43%6/14
42%5/12
3
35%6/17
0%0/6
4
50%6/12
40%4/10
5
100%6/6
50%6/12
6
67%6/9
14%1/7
All
49%37/76
38%24/63

Duke

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
33%3/9
2
64%7/11
65%13/20
3
100%6/6
57%8/14
4
43%6/14
63%10/16
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
75%6/8
14%1/7
All
62%39/63
51%39/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#FIU-DUKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FIUDUKEKillAvery Hamlinset Nikki Quinn+1.5
20-2DUKEDUKEKillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+2.1
31-2DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.5
41-3FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Ashby Zubchevich+1.5
51-4DUKEDUKEAttack errKamryn Itzen+1.9
62-4DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
72-5FIUDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.4
82-6DUKEDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.8
93-6DUKEFIUAttack errChiara Fabbrini+1.2
103-7FIUDUKEServe errFIU+1.3
113-8DUKEDUKEAttack errRayne Williams+1.5
124-8DUKEFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+1.0
135-8FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Mailinh Godschall+1.6
146-8FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Kamryn Itzen+2.0
156-9FIUDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.6
167-9DUKEFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.5
177-10FIUDUKEServe errFIU+1.6
187-11DUKEDUKEAceDukeaced Jillian Huckabey+1.9
198-11DUKEFIUKillKamryn Itzenset Mariana Silva+1.2
208-12FIUDUKEKillAvery Hamlinset Nataly Moravec+1.4
218-13DUKEDUKEBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Avery Hamlin, Breonna Goss+1.6
229-13DUKEFIUServe errDuke+1.0
2310-13FIUFIUAceFIUaced Nataly Moravec+1.7
2410-14FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Mailinh Godschall+1.5
2511-14DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
2611-15FIUDUKE×5KillAvery Hamlinset Nikki Quinn+1.5
2711-16DUKEDUKE×5KillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.6
2811-17DUKEDUKE×5KillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.2
2911-18DUKEDUKE×5AceDuke+0.8
3011-19DUKEDUKE×5AceDukeaced Lana Sesar+0.4
3112-19DUKEFIU×3Serve errDuke+0.2
3213-19FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+0.4
3314-19FIUFIU×3KillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+0.7
3414-20FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.7
3514-21DUKEDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+0.5
3615-21DUKEFIUAttack errZoe Gillen-Malveaux+0.2
3715-22FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+0.3
3816-22DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.1
3916-23FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Mailinh Godschall+0.2
4017-23DUKEFIU×6KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+0.1
4118-23FIUFIU×6BlockedAvery Hamlinblk Kamryn Itzen, Chiara Fabbrini+0.2
4219-23FIUFIU×6KillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+0.5
4320-23FIUFIU×6AceFIUaced Mailinh Godschall+1.0
4421-23FIUFIU×6Attack errNataly Moravec+2.0
4522-23FIUFIU×6KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+3.9
4622-24FIUDUKEKillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+4.5
4722-25DUKEDUKEAceDukeaced Lana Sesar+3.3
Set 2
11-0DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+1.4
21-1FIUDUKEServe errFIU+1.3
32-1DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.4
42-2FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.4
53-2DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+1.5
63-3FIUDUKEServe errFIU+1.4
73-4DUKEDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.9
84-4DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+1.4
94-5FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.4
105-5DUKEFIUServe errDuke+1.5
115-6FIUDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.4
125-7DUKEDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.9
136-7DUKEFIUBlockedAshby Zubchevichblk Kamryn Itzen, Gina Fedrigo+1.4
146-8FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.4
157-8DUKEFIUServe errDuke+1.4
167-9FIUDUKEKillAvery Hamlinset Ashby Zubchevich+1.5
178-9DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.4
188-10FIUDUKE×3KillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+1.5
198-11DUKEDUKE×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.9
208-12DUKEDUKE×3KillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.6
219-12DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
229-13FIUDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.2
2310-13DUKEFIU×5KillGina Fedrigoset Mariana Silva+1.1
2411-13FIUFIU×5KillGina Fedrigoset Nataly Moravec+1.8
2512-13FIUFIU×5BlockedZoe Gillen-Malveauxblk Lana Sesar, Rayne Williams+2.2
2613-13FIUFIU×5AceFIUaced Nataly Moravec+2.6
2714-13FIUFIU×5BlockedNataly Moravecblk Rayne Williams, Gina Fedrigo+2.9
2814-14FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+2.0
2915-14DUKEFIUAttack errZoe Gillen-Malveaux+2.2
3016-14FIUFIUBlockedAshby Zubchevichblk Kamryn Itzen, Gina Fedrigo+3.1
3116-15FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+2.0
3217-15DUKEFIU×3Serve errDuke+2.4
3318-15FIUFIU×3BlockedAshby Zubchevichblk Kamryn Itzen, Chiara Fabbrini+3.1
3419-15FIUFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+2.7
3519-16FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.4
3620-16DUKEFIUServe errDuke+2.0
3721-16FIUFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mailinh Godschall+2.0
3821-17FIUDUKE×4Serve errFIU+0.8
3921-18DUKEDUKE×4AceDukeaced Lana Sesar+1.7
4021-19DUKEDUKE×4AceDukeaced Lana Sesar+2.6
4121-20DUKEDUKE×4KillNataly Moravecset Mailinh Godschall+3.6
4222-20DUKEFIUServe errDuke+3.5
4322-21FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+2.7
4422-22DUKEDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+5.1
4523-22DUKEFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+4.6
4623-23FIUDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+4.3
4723-24DUKEDUKEBad setMariana Silva+7.4
4824-24DUKEFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+5.3
4924-25FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+5.3
5025-25DUKEFIUServe errDuke+5.3
5125-26FIUDUKEServe errFIU+5.3
5226-26DUKEFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+5.3
5326-27FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+5.3
5426-28DUKEDUKEAttack errLana Sesar+6.8
Set 3
10-1FIUDUKE×7KillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+0.7
20-2DUKEDUKE×7AceDuke+1.0
30-3DUKEDUKE×7BlockedKamryn Itzenblk Breonna Goss+0.9
40-4DUKEDUKE×7KillNataly Moravecset Ashby Zubchevich+0.8
50-5DUKEDUKE×7KillAvery Hamlinset Jillian Huckabey+0.7
60-6DUKEDUKE×7AceDukeaced Marta Lazzarin+0.6
70-7DUKEDUKE×7AceDukeaced Kamryn Itzen+0.5
81-7DUKEFIUServe errDuke+0.3
92-7FIUFIUBad setNikki Quinn+0.5
102-8FIUDUKE×4KillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.4
112-9DUKEDUKE×4BlockedKamryn Itzenblk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nataly Moravec+0.5
122-10DUKEDUKE×4KillAvery Hamlinset Nikki Quinn+0.3
132-11DUKEDUKE×4Attack errKamryn Itzen+0.2
143-11DUKEFIUKillIvona Lazovicset Lana Sesar+0.1
153-12FIUDUKE×4KillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+0.2
163-13DUKEDUKE×4AceDuke+0.2
173-14DUKEDUKE×4AceDuke+0.1
183-15DUKEDUKE×4Attack errJillian Huckabey+0.1
194-15DUKEFIU×3Serve errDuke·
205-15FIUFIU×3KillRayne Williams·
216-15FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+0.1
226-16FIUDUKE×3KillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.1
236-17DUKEDUKE×3AceDukeaced Lana Sesar+0.1
246-18DUKEDUKE×3KillAshby Zubchevichset Mailinh Godschall·
257-18DUKEFIUKillLana Sesarset Rayne Williams·
267-19FIUDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn·
278-19DUKEFIUServe errDuke·
288-20FIUDUKEServe errFIU·
298-21DUKEDUKEBlockedLana Sesarblk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin·
309-21DUKEFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva·
3110-21FIUFIUAceFIUaced Mailinh Godschall·
3210-22FIUDUKEKillAvery Hamlinset Nikki Quinn·
3310-23DUKEDUKEAttack errLana Sesar·
3411-23DUKEFIU×3KillIvona Lazovic·
3512-23FIUFIU×3KillGina Fedrigoset Ivona Lazovic·
3613-23FIUFIU×3AceFIU·
3713-24FIUDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn·
3813-25DUKEDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn·

Score shown after each rally, FIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).