FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:0

HomeACC

FIU def. Florida St. 3–0

(24-22, 25-23, 25-16)

Set	1*	2	3*	Sets
FIU	24	25	25	3
FSU	22	23	16	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

FSU above 50 · FIU below

Biggest swing: 10.7% to FIU — set 2, FIU 25-23 FSU. Kill by Lana Sesar (set by Mariana Silva). FSU win probability 46% → 35%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FIU 15.6%84.4% FSU

FIU wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

8.2%

Florida St. wins

3-0

36.4%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

16.8%

FIU break %: 39.0% vs this opp
FSU break %: 46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lana SesarKill+10.7%
Kill by Lana Sesar (set by Mariana Silva)
Set 2 · FIU 25-23 FSU · FIU 54% → 65%
02
Lana SesarAttack error+8.1%
Attack error by Lana Sesar
Set 2 · FIU 24-22 FSU · FIU 51% → 59%
03
Lana SesarAttack error+6.3%
Lana Sesar stuffed by Johanna Sova & Nenu Kpea
Set 2 · FIU 23-22 FSU · FSU 43% → 49%
04
Lana SesarKill+5.9%
Kill by Lana Sesar (set by Kamryn Itzen)
Set 2 · FIU 19-17 FSU · FIU 43% → 49%
05
Kyleene FilimauaAttack error+5.8%
Kyleene Filimaua stuffed by Gina Fedrigo & Kamryn Itzen
Set 2 · FIU 20-17 FSU · FIU 49% → 54%
06
Kyleene FilimauaAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Kyleene Filimaua
Set 2 · FIU 18-17 FSU · FIU 37% → 43%
07
Nenu KpeaAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Nenu Kpea
Set 2 · FIU 21-17 FSU · FIU 54% → 59%
08
Kyleene FilimauaKill+4.4%
Kill by Kyleene Filimaua (set by Victoria David)
Set 2 · FIU 24-23 FSU · FSU 41% → 46%

Official NCAA box

Box score

FIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Lana SesarOH	3	10	6	29	.138	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	12
15Rayne WilliamsMB	3	8	0	10	.800	0	0	0	5	0	2	1	9
2Jillian HuckabeyOH	3	8	2	20	.300	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	8
16Gina FedrigoOPP	3	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	3	1	1	1.5	5.5
17Kamryn ItzenMB	3	2	1	9	.111	1	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Ivona LazovicS	3	0	0	3	.000	16	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
7Marta LazzarinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	9	0	0	0	1
5Mariana SilvaS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
14Marla ValentinOH	2	2	1	4	.250	1	0	0	2	0	2	1	3
8Chiara FabbriniOPP	2	2	4	10	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
Team totals		36	18	100	.180	32	3	4	48	1	6	4	75

Florida St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Kyleene FilimauaOH	3	11	7	38	.105	0	2	8	0	2	1	12
16Nenu KpeaMB	3	9	4	20	.250	0	1	1	0	4	2	11
24Delaney EwingMB	3	8	1	18	.389	0	0	1	0	4	2	10
17Sofia MossOH	3	4	3	11	.091	0	1	3	2	2	1	5
21Bailey HigginsOPP	3	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
9Emma LiloS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	3	2	0	0	0	0
15Johanna SovaOPP	3	4	1	9	.333	1	0	2	0	2	1	5
10Callie KiefferS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	4	0	0	0	0
11Caylan RussL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
13Bennett RatermanMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Victoria DavidOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	9	0	0	0	0
18Maile ChanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	4	8	0	0	0	0
2Nicole MauserOPP	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Ryan MurphyS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	18	110	.173	34	14	41	3	18	9	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 FIU · FSU 5

Set 1*

24-22

Longest run 5 FIUFSU 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 7 FIUFSU 5

Set 3*

25-16

Longest run 4 FIUFSU 3

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = FIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

FIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	25%1/4
2	38%3/8	67%6/9
3	100%3/3	25%1/4
4	100%2/2	0%0/2
5	50%2/4	50%2/4
6	100%2/2	0%0/2
All	65%15/23	40%10/25

Florida St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	0%0/2
2	33%3/9	25%1/4
3	75%3/4	63%5/8
4	100%2/2	0%0/3
5	50%2/4	0%0/2
6	100%2/2	50%2/4
All	60%15/25	35%8/23

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	FIU-FSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.2
2	1-1	FIU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+1.1
3	2-1	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.2
4	3-1	FIU	FIU	Attack err	Nenu Kpea	blk Gina Fedrigo	+1.8
5	3-2	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Sofia Moss	+1.2
6	3-3	FSU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Johanna Sova	+1.6
7	4-3	FSU	FIU×3	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.3
8	5-3	FIU	FIU×3	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+1.9
9	6-3	FIU	FIU×3	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+2.0
10	6-4	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Callie Kieffer	+1.3
11	7-4	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.6
12	7-5	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+1.3
13	8-5	FSU	FIU	Kill	Chiara Fabbrini	set Mariana Silva	+1.6
14	9-5	FIU	FIU	Ace	FIU server	aced Sofia Moss	+2.1
15	9-6	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Chiara Fabbrini		+1.3
16	9-7	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Chiara Fabbrini	blk Delaney Ewing, Sofia Moss	+1.9
17	10-7	FSU	FIU×5	Attack err	Bailey Higgins		+1.7
18	11-7	FIU	FIU×5	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Mariana Silva	+2.2
19	12-7	FIU	FIU×5	Kill	Chiara Fabbrini	set Mariana Silva	+2.2
20	13-7	FIU	FIU×5	Attack err	Delaney Ewing		+1.9
21	14-7	FIU	FIU×5	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+1.7
22	14-8	FIU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+0.8
23	15-8	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.2
24	16-8	FIU	FIU	Kill	Jillian Huckabey		+1.3
25	16-9	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.6
26	17-9	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+0.9
27	17-10	FIU	FSU×3	Serve err	FIU server		+0.5
28	17-11	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.0
29	17-12	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Lana Sesar	blk Nenu Kpea, Johanna Sova	+1.3
30	18-12	FSU	FIU	Kill	Gina Fedrigo	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.4
31	18-13	FIU	FSU	Kill	Johanna Sova	set Callie Kieffer	+0.9
32	19-13	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.4
33	19-14	FIU	FSU×4	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+0.8
34	19-15	FSU	FSU×4	Attack err	Lana Sesar		+1.5
35	19-16	FSU	FSU×4	Kill	Sofia Moss	set Callie Kieffer	+2.0
36	19-17	FSU	FSU×4	Kill	Johanna Sova	set Callie Kieffer	+2.5
37	20-17	FSU	FIU×3	Serve err	FSU server		+2.6
38	21-17	FIU	FIU×3	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Mariana Silva	+2.9
39	22-17	FIU	FIU×3	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Mariana Silva	+2.1
40	22-18	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Chiara Fabbrini	blk Sofia Moss, Delaney Ewing	+0.7
41	22-19	FSU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+1.6
42	23-19	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+2.2
43	23-20	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Jillian Huckabey		+1.0
44	23-21	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Chiara Fabbrini		+2.3
45	24-21	FSU	FIU	Bad set	Emma Lilo		+3.2
46	24-22	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.9
Set 2
1	1-0	FIU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Ivona Lazovic	+2.7
2	1-1	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.9
3	1-2	FSU	FSU	Serve err	FSU server		+2.4
4	2-2	FSU	FIU	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.9
5	2-3	FIU	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.8
6	2-4	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Gina Fedrigo		+2.2
7	3-4	FSU	FIU	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.7
8	4-4	FIU	FIU	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Mariana Silva	+2.6
9	4-5	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+1.9
10	5-5	FSU	FIU	Bad set	Kyleene Filimaua		+2.1
11	5-6	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+2.0
12	6-6	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+2.1
13	6-7	FIU	FSU×3	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Callie Kieffer	+2.0
14	6-8	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Jillian Huckabey	blk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins	+2.5
15	6-9	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Sofia Moss	set Maile Chan	+2.2
16	7-9	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.6
17	7-10	FIU	FSU	Kill	Sofia Moss	set Emma Lilo	+1.7
18	8-10	FSU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.7
19	8-11	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Lana Sesar		+1.7
20	9-11	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.7
21	9-12	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.8
22	10-12	FSU	FIU	Kill	Gina Fedrigo	set Ivona Lazovic	+1.8
23	10-13	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+1.8
24	11-13	FSU	FIU	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Mariana Silva	+1.8
25	11-14	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Callie Kieffer	+1.9
26	12-14	FSU	FIU×3	Serve err	FSU server		+1.8
27	13-14	FIU	FIU×3	Attack err	Johanna Sova		+3.1
28	14-14	FIU	FIU×3	Attack err	Sofia Moss	blk Rayne Williams, Marla Valentin	+3.8
29	14-15	FIU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Callie Kieffer	+2.8
30	15-15	FSU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Mariana Silva	+3.1
31	15-16	FIU	FSU	Serve err	FIU server		+3.0
32	16-16	FSU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Ivona Lazovic	+3.3
33	16-17	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Gina Fedrigo		+3.2
34	17-17	FSU	FIU×7	Serve err	FSU server		+3.5
35	18-17	FIU	FIU×7	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+5.4
36	19-17	FIU	FIU×7	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Kamryn Itzen	+5.9
37	20-17	FIU	FIU×7	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Gina Fedrigo, Kamryn Itzen	+5.8
38	21-17	FIU	FIU×7	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+5.0
39	22-17	FIU	FIU×7	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+3.6
40	23-17	FIU	FIU×7	Kill	Gina Fedrigo	set Ivona Lazovic	+2.0
41	23-18	FIU	FSU×5	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Ryan Murphy	+0.5
42	23-19	FSU	FSU×5	Kill	Johanna Sova	set Callie Kieffer	+1.2
43	23-20	FSU	FSU×5	Attack err	Gina Fedrigo	blk Kyleene Filimaua, Nenu Kpea	+2.2
44	23-21	FSU	FSU×5	Attack err	Gina Fedrigo		+3.9
45	23-22	FSU	FSU×5	Attack err	Lana Sesar	blk Johanna Sova, Nenu Kpea	+6.3
46	24-22	FSU	FIU	Attack err	Lana Sesar		+8.1
47	24-23	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Victoria David	+4.4
48	25-23	FSU	FIU	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Mariana Silva	+10.7
Set 3
1	0-1	FIU	FSU	Serve err	FIU server		+1.9
2	1-1	FSU	FIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
3	1-2	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+1.9
4	2-2	FSU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Ivona Lazovic	+2.1
5	2-3	FIU	FSU×3	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Ivona Lazovic	+2.0
6	2-4	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Lana Sesar	blk Bailey Higgins, Delaney Ewing	+2.5
7	2-5	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Bailey Higgins		+2.2
8	3-5	FSU	FIU	Serve err	FSU server		+1.6
9	4-5	FIU	FIU	Attack err	Sofia Moss		+2.5
10	4-6	FIU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+1.9
11	5-6	FSU	FIU	Kill	Kamryn Itzen	set Mariana Silva	+2.0
12	6-6	FIU	FIU	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Marta Lazzarin	+3.1
13	6-7	FIU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+2.2
14	7-7	FSU	FIU	Attack err	Bailey Higgins		+2.4
15	8-7	FIU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams		+3.6
16	8-8	FIU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+2.5
17	9-8	FSU	FIU×4	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+2.9
18	10-8	FIU	FIU×4	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+4.1
19	11-8	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Ivona Lazovic	+4.3
20	12-8	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Gina Fedrigo	set Ivona Lazovic	+4.3
21	12-9	FIU	FSU	Kill	Johanna Sova	set Callie Kieffer	+2.6
22	13-9	FSU	FIU	Kill	Rayne Williams	set Ivona Lazovic	+3.4
23	13-10	FIU	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+2.6
24	14-10	FSU	FIU×4	Serve err	FSU server		+3.5
25	15-10	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Kamryn Itzen		+4.2
26	16-10	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Jillian Huckabey	+3.6
27	17-10	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Gina Fedrigo	+2.9
28	17-11	FIU	FSU	Kill	Sofia Moss	set Callie Kieffer	+1.3
29	18-11	FSU	FIU	Kill	Lana Sesar	set Ivona Lazovic	+2.1
30	19-11	FIU	FIU	Attack err	Sofia Moss		+1.9
31	19-12	FIU	FSU	Attack err	Lana Sesar	blk Nicole Mauser, Bailey Higgins	+0.7
32	19-13	FSU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.4
33	20-13	FSU	FIU×4	Kill	Marla Valentin	set Mariana Silva	+1.8
34	21-13	FIU	FIU×4	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+1.4
35	22-13	FIU	FIU×4	Kill	Marla Valentin	set Marta Lazzarin	+0.7
36	23-13	FIU	FIU×4	Ace	FIU server	aced Team	+0.2
37	23-14	FIU	FSU×3	Serve err	FIU server		+0.0
38	23-15	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Marla Valentin	blk Nenu Kpea, Kyleene Filimaua	+0.1
39	23-16	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Kamryn Itzen		+0.2
40	24-16	FSU	FIU	Kill	Jillian Huckabey	set Marla Valentin	+0.3
41	25-16	FIU	FIU	Ace	FIU server	aced Sofia Moss	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, FIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.