Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

FIU def. Jacksonville St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: FIU 96.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FIU won at Jacksonville St. 3-1 (28-30, 25-18, 25-14, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. FIU's Jillian Huckabey led with 16 kills, and Marta Lazzarin added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
FIU282525253
JAX ST301814231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No turning point: FIU built it on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 4.8 points on one rally; Jacksonville St. topped out at 20% in Set 2. FIU went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

FIUJacksonville St.
  • Break %+11.4 pts
    45.133.7

    46 of 102 on serve vs 29 of 86, so Jacksonville St.'s sideout was 54.9%.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    FIU scored 6 straight in the third set to stretch a 19–14 lead to 25–14. The set finished 25–14.

Jacksonville St. above 50FIU belowMax swing 4.8%

FIUJacksonville St.

Hitting
FIU .295·Jacksonville St. .235
Aces
FIU 9·Jacksonville St. 1
Serve err
FIU 10·Jacksonville St. 7
Blocks
FIU 8·Jacksonville St. 112 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 22 BA
Digs
FIU 39·Jacksonville St. 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Jacksonville St. above 50 · FIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.8% JAX STrally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Jacksonville St. — set 1, FIU 28-30 JAX ST. Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela). JAX ST win probability 10% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FIU 95.9%4.1% JAX ST

FIU wins

3-0
58.4%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
8.8%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%
FIU break %
51.7% vs this opp
JAX ST break %
38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 1 · FIU 28-30 JAX ST · JAX ST 10% → 15%

  2. 02

    Kill by Rayne Williams (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 4 · FIU 24-23 JAX ST · FIU 93% → 96%

  3. 03
    Sophia SchweikertAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Sophia Schweikert

    Set 1 · FIU 24-24 JAX ST · FIU 90% → 93%

  4. 04

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 1 · FIU 27-28 JAX ST · JAX ST 6% → 10%

  5. 05
    Sofia VarelaBad set+3.5%

    Bad set by Sofia Varela

    Set 4 · FIU 25-23 JAX ST · FIU 96% → 100%

  6. 06
    Sofia VarelaKill+3.3%

    Kill by Sofia Varela (set by Reese Tiesing)

    Set 1 · FIU 22-24 JAX ST · JAX ST 9% → 12%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 4 · FIU 23-23 JAX ST · JAX ST 4% → 7%

  8. 08
    Ivona LazovicService error+3.0%

    Service error by Ivona Lazovic

    Set 1 · FIU 24-25 JAX ST · JAX ST 7% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416736.2501227000018
411222.40922160031.514.5
410113.69221100031.512.5
47519.10510020132.59.5
4000–2612400001
1123-.333000000001
411622.2270000012213
44011.36400020010.54.5
4000–4331510003
4213.3332401300002
1000–000000000
Team totals6224129.295609103912128103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414936.1390037302115
413117.7060001104215
46212.33310130073.59.5
4405.800000200426
4205.400350050010.52.5
33410-.10000000010.53.5
45222.13611021031.57.5
4023-.6672031220000
4000–800000000
4000–000410000
3329.111000000003
3000–000000000
Team totals5022119.23547173690221185

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FIU vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · FIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FIU · JAX ST 5

Set 1

28-30

Longest run 3 FIUJAX ST 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 FIUJAX ST 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 FIUJAX ST 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 FIUJAX ST 5

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = FIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
31%4/13
2
57%8/14
43%6/14
3
44%7/16
30%3/10
4
100%7/7
42%5/12
5
78%7/9
53%8/15
6
58%7/12
50%7/14
All
63%45/71
42%33/78

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
36%4/11
2
62%8/13
31%4/13
3
70%7/10
38%5/13
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
44%7/16
0%0/7
6
58%7/12
46%6/13
All
58%45/78
37%26/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#FIU-JAX STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1JAX STJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.6
20-2JAX STJAX STBlockedMarla Valentinblk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann+0.7
31-2JAX STFIUKillRayne Williamsset Marta Lazzarin+0.5
42-2FIUFIUKillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+0.5
52-3FIUJAX ST×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+0.5
62-4JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedRayne Williamsblk D'Yanna Spicer, Sophia Schweikert+0.7
72-5JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errRayne Williams+0.8
83-5JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.6
94-5FIUFIUAceMarta Lazzarinaced Azavia Thomas+0.7
104-6FIUJAX STServe errMarta Lazzarin+0.7
114-7JAX STJAX STBlockedMarla Valentinblk D'Yanna Spicer, Sophia Schweikert+0.9
125-7JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.6
135-8FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.8
146-8JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+0.6
156-9FIUJAX STKillSelin Sakirogluset Addison Stone+0.8
167-9JAX STFIU×3KillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+0.7
178-9FIUFIU×3BlockedLauren Buchananblk Rayne Williams, Chiara Fabbrini+0.8
189-9FIUFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+0.7
199-10FIUJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.7
209-11JAX STJAX STKillAzavia Thomas+1.0
2110-11JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+0.7
2210-12FIUJAX STAttack errChiara Fabbrini+0.9
2311-12JAX STFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+0.7
2411-13FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.9
2511-14JAX STJAX STKillD'Yanna Spicer+1.2
2612-14JAX STFIUServe errTaya Nordmann+0.8
2712-15FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.1
2813-15JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.8
2913-16FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.1
3014-16JAX STFIUServe errSophia Schweikert+0.9
3115-16FIUFIUAceJillian Huckabeyaced Sophia Schweikert+1.1
3215-17FIUJAX STKillSelin Sakirogluset Addison Stone+1.2
3316-17JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
3417-17FIUFIUAttack errLauren Buchanan+1.2
3517-18FIUJAX ST×3KillSelin Sakirogluset Addison Stone+1.2
3617-19JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Taya Nordmann, Lauren Buchanan+1.7
3717-20JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedLana Sesarblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+1.8
3818-20JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
3919-20FIUFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.5
4019-21FIUJAX STBlockedLana Sesarblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+1.7
4120-21JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.3
4221-21FIUFIUAceLana Sesar+1.8
4321-22FIUJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.9
4422-22JAX STFIUKillKindyl Kilarset Mariana Silva+1.7
4522-23FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.3
4622-24JAX STJAX STKillSofia Varelaset Reese Tiesing+3.3
4723-24JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.5
4824-24FIUFIUAttack errSophia Schweikert+3.8
4924-25FIUJAX STServe errIvona Lazovic+3.0
5025-25JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+3.0
5126-25FIUFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+2.8
5226-26FIUJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.2
5327-26JAX STFIUBlockedTaya Nordmannblk Lana Sesar, Teodora Skocajic+2.2
5427-27FIUJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.2
5527-28JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+3.6
5628-28JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+3.0
5728-29FIUJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+3.0
5828-30JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+4.8
Set 2
11-0FIUFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+1.3
21-1FIUJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.2
32-1JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.0
42-2FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.2
53-2JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+1.1
64-2FIUFIUAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.2
74-3FIUJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.1
84-4JAX STJAX ST×4KillD'Yanna Spicer+1.6
94-5JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.9
104-6JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Reese Tiesing+2.2
115-6JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
126-6FIUFIUAttack errReese Tiesing+1.8
136-7FIUJAX STServe errFIU+1.7
147-7JAX STFIUServe errSophia Schweikert+1.5
157-8FIUJAX STKillD'Yanna Spicerset Addison Stone+1.8
168-8JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
178-9FIUJAX STServe errFIU+1.9
189-9JAX STFIUAttack errLauren Buchanan+1.7
199-10FIUJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+2.0
2010-10JAX STFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+1.8
2111-10FIUFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+2.0
2212-10FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabey+1.7
2312-11FIUJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.5
2412-12JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errRayne Williams+2.3
2512-13JAX STJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Taya Nordmann+2.8
2613-13JAX STFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+2.1
2713-14FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.5
2814-14JAX STFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.2
2915-14FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Marta Lazzarin+2.5
3016-14FIUFIU×3Attack errSophia Schweikert+2.1
3116-15FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.8
3217-15JAX STFIU×5Serve errSophia Schweikert+1.8
3318-15FIUFIU×5AceMarta Lazzarinaced Reese Tiesing+1.8
3419-15FIUFIU×5KillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
3520-15FIUFIU×5KillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+0.8
3621-15FIUFIU×5Attack errLauren Buchanan+0.5
3721-16FIUJAX STServe errMarta Lazzarin+0.2
3822-16JAX STFIUServe errReese Tiesing+0.3
3922-17FIUJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.2
4023-17JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.3
4124-17FIUFIUAceLana Sesaraced Sophia Schweikert+0.1
4224-18FIUJAX STBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans·
4325-18JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva·
Set 3
11-0JAX STFIUAttack errTaya Nordmann+0.9
22-0FIUFIUAttack errClaire Evans+0.9
32-1FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.8
43-1JAX STFIUAttack errReese Tiesing+0.8
53-2FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.9
64-2JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+0.8
74-3FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.9
84-4JAX STJAX STAttack errJillian Huckabey+1.3
95-4JAX STFIUBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Chiara Fabbrini, Rayne Williams+1.0
105-5FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.2
116-5JAX STFIUAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.0
127-5FIUFIUKillKindyl Kilarset Lana Sesar+1.1
137-6FIUJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+1.0
148-6JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+0.9
158-7FIUJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+1.1
169-7JAX STFIUKillIvona Lazovicset Jillian Huckabey+1.0
179-8FIUJAX STBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann+1.1
1810-8JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Marta Lazzarin+1.0
1910-9FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.2
2011-9JAX STFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+1.1
2111-10FIUJAX STServe errTeodora Skocajic+1.2
2212-10JAX STFIU×3KillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.1
2313-10FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.2
2414-10FIUFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+0.9
2514-11FIUJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.7
2614-12JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errIvona Lazovic+1.2
2714-13JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.7
2815-13JAX STFIU×5KillJillian Huckabeyset Rayne Williams+1.4
2916-13FIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
3017-13FIUFIU×5AceJillian Huckabeyaced Delaney Moon+1.0
3118-13FIUFIU×5KillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+0.7
3219-13FIUFIU×5BlockedSelin Sakiroglublk Rayne Williams, Lana Sesar+0.4
3319-14FIUJAX STServe errJillian Huckabey+0.3
3420-14JAX STFIU×6Serve errReese Tiesing+0.3
3521-14FIUFIU×6BlockedClaire Evansblk Kindyl Kilar, Teodora Skocajic+0.2
3622-14FIUFIU×6AceMarta Lazzarinaced Reese Tiesing+0.1
3723-14FIUFIU×6KillIvona Lazovicset Teodora Skocajic·
3824-14FIUFIU×6BlockedSelin Sakiroglublk Teodora Skocajic, Lana Sesar·
3925-14FIUFIU×6KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic·
Set 4
11-0FIUFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+0.8
21-1FIUJAX STBlockedJillian Huckabeyblk D'Yanna Spicer, Claire Evans+0.7
31-2JAX STJAX STAceClaire Evansaced Marta Lazzarin+1.0
42-2JAX STFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Lana Sesar+0.7
53-2FIUFIU×3AceTeodora Skocajicaced Claire Evans+0.8
64-2FIUFIU×3Attack errSophia Schweikert+0.7
74-3FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.6
85-3JAX STFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.6
95-4FIUJAX ST×5Attack errJillian Huckabey+0.7
105-5JAX STJAX ST×5BlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Sofia Varela, Taya Nordmann+1.0
115-6JAX STJAX ST×5Attack errRayne Williams+1.2
125-7JAX STJAX ST×5Attack errRayne Williams+1.4
135-8JAX STJAX ST×5KillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.6
146-8JAX STFIUBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Rayne Williams+1.1
157-8FIUFIUKillRayne Williamsset Sofia Varela+1.3
167-9FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.3
178-9JAX STFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.1
188-10FIUJAX ST×3Serve errMarta Lazzarin+1.4
198-11JAX STJAX ST×3KillSofia Varelaset Claire Evans+1.8
208-12JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errTeodora Skocajic+2.0
219-12JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
229-13FIUJAX STKillD'Yanna Spicerset Sofia Varela+1.7
2310-13JAX STFIUAttack errAzavia Thomas+1.3
2410-14FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.8
2511-14JAX STFIUBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Chiara Fabbrini+1.3
2611-15FIUJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.9
2711-16JAX STJAX STAttack errChiara Fabbrini+2.2
2812-16JAX STFIUServe errReese Tiesing+1.3
2912-17FIUJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.9
3013-17JAX STFIUKillKindyl Kilarset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
3113-18FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+2.0
3214-18JAX STFIU×3KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
3315-18FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.9
3416-18FIUFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+2.1
3516-19FIUJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.4
3617-19JAX STFIU×5KillKindyl Kilarset Teodora Skocajic+1.7
3718-19FIUFIU×5KillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+2.4
3819-19FIUFIU×5AceMariana Silvaaced Sophia Schweikert+2.5
3920-19FIUFIU×5Attack errSophia Schweikert+2.3
4021-19FIUFIU×5Bad setReese Tiesing+1.9
4121-20FIUJAX STServe errMariana Silva+1.5
4221-21JAX STJAX STBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk D'Yanna Spicer, Claire Evans+2.8
4322-21JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.4
4422-22FIUJAX STServe errLana Sesar+2.7
4523-22JAX STFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+2.9
4623-23FIUJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+3.1
4724-23JAX STFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+3.8
4825-23FIUFIUBad setSofia Varela+3.5

Score shown after each rally, FIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).