CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026
3:2
UIC logo

HomeMVC

Buffalo def. UIC 32

(25-22, 25-18, 17-25, 23-25, 15-13)
Set1*2345Sets
BUFF25251723153
UIC22182525132
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UIC above 50 · BUFF below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100UICBUFFBiggest swing +20.5% BUFF · S5 15-13rally 208 · set 5

Biggest swing: 20.5% to Buffalo — set 5, BUFF 15-13 UIC. Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell). UIC win probability 21%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BUFF 35.5%64.5% UIC

Buffalo wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.7%
3-2
15.5%

UIC wins

3-0
19.7%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.1%
BUFF break %
39.2% vs this opp
UIC break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Sydney BellKill+20.5%

    Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)

    Set 5 · BUFF 15-13 UIC · BUFF 79%100%

  2. 02
    Hailey CampagnaAttack error+15.4%

    Hailey Campagna stuffed by Mihaela Harizanova & Ana Petrides

    Set 4 · BUFF 23-25 UIC · UIC 43%58%

  3. 03
    Hailey CampagnaKill+15.3%

    Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)

    Set 5 · BUFF 14-12 UIC · BUFF 72%88%

  4. 04
    Hailey CampagnaAttack error+13.1%

    Attack error by Hailey Campagna

    Set 5 · BUFF 13-12 UIC · UIC 15%28%

  5. 05

    Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Sadie Gladhill)

    Set 5 · BUFF 9-7 UIC · BUFF 56%69%

  6. 06
    BUFF serverAce+13.0%

    Buffalo ace on Ava Young

    Set 5 · BUFF 12-9 UIC · BUFF 73%86%

  7. 07
    Gabi PeterKill+11.7%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Mihaela Harizanova)

    Set 5 · BUFF 7-7 UIC · UIC 41%53%

  8. 08
    Ana PetridesAttack error+10.5%

    Attack error by Ana Petrides

    Set 5 · BUFF 11-9 UIC · BUFF 63%73%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515529.3450037300015
54216.12500030153.57.5
56112.417100100217
5407.57142101300427
5000111820001
4141143.0701005100014
511524.25020030132.513.5
5000012200001
5000000200000
5000401900000
310325.2800126000011
2112.000000010001
1001.000000000000
1000300000000
Team totals6528159.23354495982149105
UIChome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515637.24303080010.518.5
510430.20002040195.517.5
514129.4480003004216
56413.15400020031.57.5
5416.500380280052.56.5
54720-.1501011200004
27Ava YoungL/DS
52021.0003011120002
4037-.429010300001
4000011620001
2319.222000001225
2000710300001
1034-.750000000000
Team totals5830157.178498560422414103

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 BUFF · UIC 7

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 6 BUFFUIC 7

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 BUFFUIC 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 BUFFUIC 7

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 BUFFUIC 4

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 5 BUFFUIC 3

Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Buffalo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
27%3/11
2
73%8/11
53%9/17
3
44%8/18
11%1/9
4
53%8/15
56%10/18
5
86%6/7
38%5/13
6
55%6/11
54%7/13
All
56%45/80
43%35/81

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
61%11/18
2
47%8/17
31%4/13
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
44%8/18
56%10/18
5
70%7/10
30%3/10
6
50%6/12
14%1/7
All
57%46/81
44%35/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

208 rallies

Rally log

#BUFF-UICSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UICBUFFAttack errEmma Colombari+1.7
21-1BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+1.6
32-1UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.7
42-2BUFFUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+1.7
52-3UICUIC×3KillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+2.5
62-4UICUIC×3KillAva Youngset Maddie Mitchell+2.4
73-4UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
83-5BUFFUICKillAva Young+1.6
94-5UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
104-6BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+1.7
115-6UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+1.7
125-7BUFFUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Paulina Ströh+1.7
136-7UICBUFFServe errUIC server+1.7
147-7BUFFBUFFAttack errTamara Kisic+2.7
157-8BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
168-8UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+1.9
178-9BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
189-9UICBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
199-10BUFFUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
209-11UICUIC×7KillAna Petrides+2.9
219-12UICUIC×7Attack errManoela Forlin+2.6
229-13UICUIC×7Attack errManoela Forlinblk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri+2.2
239-14UICUIC×7KillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+1.8
249-15UICUIC×7Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.3
259-16UICUIC×7KillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+0.9
2610-16UICBUFF×6KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+0.4
2711-16BUFFBUFF×6KillSydney Bellset Sadie Gladhill+0.9
2812-16BUFFBUFF×6KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+1.3
2913-16BUFFBUFF×6KillAva Kanjset Maddie Mitchell+1.9
3014-16BUFFBUFF×6Attack errEmma Colombariblk Sydney Bell+2.5
3115-16BUFFBUFF×6Attack errEmma Colombariblk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj+3.2
3215-17BUFFUIC×3KillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+2.5
3315-18UICUIC×3Attack errAva Kanjblk Ana Petrides+3.2
3415-19UICUIC×3AceUIC serveraced Manoela Forlin+2.5
3516-19UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.2
3617-19BUFFBUFFAttack errTamara Kisicblk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj+2.6
3717-20BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+2.3
3818-20UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+1.8
3919-20BUFFBUFFAceBUFF serveraced Ava Young+3.8
4019-21BUFFUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+3.2
4120-21UICBUFF×5KillAngelina Siepierskiset Abisola Adebayo+2.7
4221-21BUFFBUFF×5Attack errTamara Kisic+5.5
4322-21BUFFBUFF×5Attack errJillian Gibbons+6.7
4423-21BUFFBUFF×5KillAngelina Siepierski+6.7
4524-21BUFFBUFF×5KillAbisola Adebayo+4.9
4624-22BUFFUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.2
4725-22UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+3.1
Set 2
11-0BUFFBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+2.9
21-1BUFFUICAttack errSydney Bell+1.9
31-2UICUICKillEmma Colombari+2.9
42-2UICBUFF×3KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
53-2BUFFBUFF×3KillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+3.1
64-2BUFFBUFF×3KillAngelina Siepierskiset Sadie Gladhill+3.2
74-3BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+2.0
85-3UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+2.2
95-4BUFFUICAttack errAbisola Adebayo+2.1
106-4UICBUFF×3KillMaddie Mitchell+2.3
117-4BUFFBUFF×3KillAva Kanjset Paulina Ströh+3.3
128-4BUFFBUFF×3Attack errMartina Cerrato+3.1
138-5BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+1.8
148-6UICUICAceUIC serveraced Angelina Siepierski+3.0
159-6UICBUFFAttack errJillian Gibbons+2.4
169-7BUFFUICAttack errAva Kanj+2.1
1710-7UICBUFF×5KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+2.4
1811-7BUFFBUFF×5Attack errMartina Cerratoblk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj+3.3
1912-7BUFFBUFF×5Bad setMihaela Harizanova+2.9
2013-7BUFFBUFF×5KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+2.5
2114-7BUFFBUFF×5KillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+1.9
2214-8BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+0.9
2314-9UICUICAttack errSydney Bell+1.8
2415-9UICBUFFServe errUIC server+1.7
2515-10BUFFUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Mihaela Harizanova+1.1
2616-10UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
2716-11BUFFUICAttack errAngelina Siepierski+1.1
2817-11UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
2918-11BUFFBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
3018-12BUFFUIC×3Serve errBUFF server+0.6
3118-13UICUIC×3Attack errManoela Forlin+1.4
3218-14UICUIC×3AceUIC serveraced Chloe Brown+2.0
3319-14UICBUFF×3KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
3420-14BUFFBUFF×3Attack errMartina Cerratoblk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj+2.0
3521-14BUFFBUFF×3Attack errSasha Pellettieri+1.1
3621-15BUFFUICAttack errManoela Forlinblk Sasha Pellettieri+0.3
3721-16UICUICAceUIC serveraced Chloe Brown+0.9
3822-16UICBUFFKillMaddie Mitchell+1.1
3922-17BUFFUICAttack errManoela Forlinblk Sasha Pellettieri, Jillian Gibbons+0.4
4023-17UICBUFFAttack errTamara Kisic+0.9
4123-18BUFFUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+0.3
4224-18UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Sydney Bell+0.6
4325-18BUFFBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Manoela Forlin+0.2
Set 3
11-0UICBUFFAttack errJillian Gibbonsblk Ava Kanj+1.6
21-1BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.5
32-1UICBUFFAttack errAna Petrides+1.6
42-2BUFFUIC×5KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+1.6
52-3UICUIC×5Attack errSydney Bellblk Emma Colombari, Ana Petrides+2.3
62-4UICUIC×5AceUIC serveraced Angelina Siepierski+2.2
72-5UICUIC×5KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+2.1
82-6UICUIC×5KillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+1.8
93-6UICBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+1.1
104-6BUFFBUFFAttack errAna Petrides+2.0
114-7BUFFUIC×4Attack errAngelina Siepierskiblk Ana Petrides, Mihaela Harizanova+1.5
124-8UICUIC×4Attack errAngelina Siepierski+1.9
134-9UICUIC×4Attack errAngelina Siepierskiblk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides+1.6
144-10UICUIC×4KillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+1.3
155-10UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+0.7
166-10BUFFBUFFAttack errElizabeth King+1.4
176-11BUFFUICAttack errManoela Forlinblk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides+1.1
187-11UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+0.9
198-11BUFFBUFFAttack errElizabeth Kingblk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj+1.7
208-12BUFFUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
219-12UICBUFFKillAva Kanjset Maddie Mitchell+1.2
229-13BUFFUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
239-14UICUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+1.7
249-15UICUIC×7Attack errSydney Bell+1.3
259-16UICUIC×7KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+0.9
269-17UICUIC×7Attack errManoela Forlin+0.5
279-18UICUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+0.3
289-19UICUIC×7Attack errSydney Bell+0.2
2910-19UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+0.0
3010-20BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Tamara Kisic+0.1
3110-21UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+0.0
3211-21UICBUFFServe errUIC server+0.0
3311-22BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+0.0
3412-22UICBUFF×3KillSydney Bellset Michal Benaim+0.0
3513-22BUFFBUFF×3KillHailey Campagnaset Michal Benaim+0.0
3614-22BUFFBUFF×3AceBUFF serveraced Lianna Ortiz+0.0
3714-23BUFFUICKillMihaela Harizanovaset Michal Benaim+0.1
3814-24UICUICAceUIC serveraced Abbie Willis+0.0
3915-24UICBUFF×3KillHailey Campagnaset Michal Benaim+0.0
4016-24BUFFBUFF×3AceBUFF serveraced Lianna Ortiz+0.0
4117-24BUFFBUFF×3Attack errElizabeth King+0.0
4217-25BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+0.0
Set 4
10-1BUFFUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
20-2UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+3.6
31-2UICBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+2.4
42-2BUFFBUFFKillManoela Forlin+3.8
52-3BUFFUICAttack errManoela Forlin+2.6
63-3UICBUFFAttack errGabi Peter+2.7
73-4BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.7
84-4UICBUFF×3Attack errAna Petrides+2.8
95-4BUFFBUFF×3Attack errEmma Colombariblk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo+4.3
106-4BUFFBUFF×3Attack errEmma Colombariblk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo+4.4
116-5BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Ava Young+2.8
126-6UICUICAttack errManoela Forlin+4.3
137-6UICBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+3.1
148-6BUFFBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Sadie Gladhill+4.7
158-7BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+3.0
169-7UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Chloe Brown+3.3
179-8BUFFUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+3.0
189-9UICUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Mihaela Harizanova+4.7
1910-9UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+3.4
2010-10BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+3.3
2111-10UICBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+3.5
2212-10BUFFBUFFAttack errJillian Gibbons+5.3
2312-11BUFFUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+3.3
2413-11UICBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+3.8
2513-12BUFFUIC×4KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+3.4
2613-13UICUIC×4Attack errManoela Forlinblk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides+5.4
2713-14UICUIC×4Attack errManoela Forlinblk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides+5.5
2813-15UICUIC×4Attack errAbbie Willisblk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides+5.3
2914-15UICBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell+3.4
3014-16BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+3.7
3115-16UICBUFFKillMaddie Mitchellset Maddie Mitchell+3.5
3216-16BUFFBUFFKillAva Kanj+6.1
3316-17BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+4.4
3417-17UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+4.4
3517-18BUFFUICKillMihaela Harizanova+4.6
3617-19UICUICAttack errHailey Campagnablk Jillian Gibbons, Mihaela Harizanova+6.5
3718-19UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+4.0
3818-20BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+4.7
3919-20UICBUFFServe errUIC server+4.1
4020-20BUFFBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+7.9
4120-21BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+6.0
4221-21UICBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+6.0
4321-22BUFFUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Mihaela Harizanova+6.9
4422-22UICBUFFKillMaddie Mitchell+6.7
4522-23BUFFUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+8.1
4623-23UICBUFFAttack errEmma Colombari+7.8
4723-24BUFFUICKillMihaela Harizanovaset Maddie Mitchell+10.1
4823-25UICUICAttack errHailey Campagnablk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides+15.4
Set 5
11-0BUFFBUFFAttack errTamara Kisic+9.1
21-1BUFFUICServe errBUFF server+6.0
31-2UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+9.0
42-2UICBUFF×5KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+6.2
53-2BUFFBUFF×5KillAngelina Siepierskiset Sydney Bell+9.8
64-2BUFFBUFF×5Attack errTamara Kisic+10.1
75-2BUFFBUFF×5KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+9.7
86-2BUFFBUFF×5Attack errMihaela Harizanova+8.7
96-3BUFFUIC×3Serve errBUFF server+4.6
106-4UICUIC×3Attack errAngelina Siepierskiblk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter+8.4
116-5UICUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+10.0
127-5UICBUFFServe errUIC server+8.0
137-6BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+7.0
147-7UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+11.7
158-7UICBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+8.8
169-7BUFFBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Sadie Gladhill+13.1
179-8BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+7.6
1810-8UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+9.7
1910-9BUFFUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+8.0
2011-9UICBUFF×3Attack errAna Petrides+10.5
2112-9BUFFBUFF×3AceBUFF serveraced Ava Young+13.0
2213-9BUFFBUFF×3Attack errTamara Kisic+8.6
2313-10BUFFUIC×3KillMihaela Harizanova+2.6
2413-11UICUIC×3AceUIC serveraced Angelina Siepierski+7.2
2513-12UICUIC×3Attack errHailey Campagna+13.1
2614-12UICBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+15.3
2714-13BUFFUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+8.0
2815-13UICBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+20.5

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.