Buffalo def. UIC 3–2
Buffalo beat UIC 3-2 (25-22, 25-18, 17-25, 23-25, 15-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Buffalo's Angelina Siepierski led with 15 kills, and Maddie Mitchell added 13 digs.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | 25 | 25 | 17 | 23 | 15 | 3 |
| UIC | 22 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 19.1% to Buffalo — set 5, BUFF 15-13 UIC. Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell). UIC win probability 19% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Buffalo wins
UIC wins
- BUFF break %
- 40.8% vs this opp
- UIC break %
- 41.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Sydney BellKill+19.1%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 5 · BUFF 15-13 UIC · BUFF 81% → 100%
- 02Mihaela Harizanova&Ana PetridesBlock+15.0%
Hailey Campagna stuffed by Mihaela Harizanova & Ana Petrides
Set 4 · BUFF 23-25 UIC · UIC 37% → 52%
- 03Hailey CampagnaKill+14.4%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 5 · BUFF 14-12 UIC · BUFF 74% → 89%
- 04Hailey CampagnaAttack error+12.4%
Attack error by Hailey Campagna
Set 5 · BUFF 13-12 UIC · UIC 13% → 26%
- 05Angelina SiepierskiKill+12.4%
Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Sadie Gladhill)
Set 5 · BUFF 9-7 UIC · BUFF 60% → 72%
- 06BuffaloAce+11.9%
Buffalo ace on Ava Young
Set 5 · BUFF 12-9 UIC · BUFF 76% → 88%
- 07Gabi PeterKill+11.5%
Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Mihaela Harizanova)
Set 5 · BUFF 7-7 UIC · UIC 37% → 49%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 29 | .345 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | .417 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | .070 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 24 | .250 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 65 | 28 | 159 | .233 | 54 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 105 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 37 | .243 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 30 | .200 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 1 | 29 | .448 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | .154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | .500 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -.150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -.429 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -.750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 30 | 157 | .178 | 49 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
25-18
Set 3
17-25
Set 4
23-25
Set 5
15-13
Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Buffalo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%9/18 | 27%3/11 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 44%8/18 | 11%1/9 |
| 4 | 53%8/15 | 56%10/18 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 38%5/13 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 54%7/13 |
| All | 56%45/80 | 43%35/81 |
UIC
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%9/12 | 61%11/18 |
| 2 | 47%8/17 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 43%6/14 |
| 4 | 44%8/18 | 56%10/18 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 14%1/7 |
| All | 57%46/81 | 44%35/80 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
208 rallies
| # | BUFF-UIC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Emma Colombari | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +2.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Ava Young | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ava Young | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +1.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Paulina Ströh | +2.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +2.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | BUFF | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Ana Petrides | +3.2 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +3.0 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UIC | UIC×7 | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri | +2.6 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Ava Young | +2.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UIC | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.7 | |||
| 25 | 9-16 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +1.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | UIC | BUFF×6 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.6 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Sadie Gladhill | +1.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 29 | 13-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.2 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Blocked | Emma Colombari | blk Sydney Bell | +2.9 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Blocked | Emma Colombari | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +3.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +2.8 |
| 33 | 15-18 | UIC | UIC×3 | Blocked | Ava Kanj | blk Ana Petrides | +3.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC | aced Manoela Forlin | +2.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.5 |
| 36 | 17-19 | BUFF | BUFF | Blocked | Tamara Kisic | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +3.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +2.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BUFF | BUFF | Ace | Buffalo | aced Ava Young | +4.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +3.7 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Abisola Adebayo | +3.0 |
| 42 | 21-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +5.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +6.9 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | +6.7 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | +4.7 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.2 |
| 47 | 25-22 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | +2.7 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sadie Gladhill | +2.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Abisola Adebayo | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Paulina Ströh | +2.8 |
| 12 | 8-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Martina Cerrato | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC | aced Angelina Siepierski | +2.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +2.0 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Ava Kanj | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.1 |
| 18 | 11-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Blocked | Martina Cerrato | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +2.7 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Bad set | Mihaela Harizanova | +2.3 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 21 | 14-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.4 |
| 22 | 14-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.7 |
| 23 | 14-9 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | +0.9 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 29 | 18-11 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 30 | 18-12 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Serve err | Buffalo | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC | aced Chloe Brown | +1.6 |
| 33 | 19-14 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 34 | 20-14 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Blocked | Martina Cerrato | blk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj | +1.5 |
| 35 | 21-14 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Sasha Pellettieri | +0.9 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | BUFF | UIC | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Sasha Pellettieri | +0.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC | aced Chloe Brown | +0.7 |
| 38 | 22-16 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +0.8 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | BUFF | UIC | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Sasha Pellettieri, Jillian Gibbons | +0.4 |
| 40 | 23-17 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +0.7 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sydney Bell | +0.5 |
| 43 | 25-18 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Manoela Forlin | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UIC | BUFF | Blocked | Jillian Gibbons | blk Ava Kanj | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | UIC×5 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UIC | UIC×5 | Blocked | Sydney Bell | blk Emma Colombari, Ana Petrides | +1.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UIC | UIC×5 | Ace | UIC | aced Angelina Siepierski | +1.9 |
| 7 | 2-5 | UIC | UIC×5 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.8 |
| 8 | 2-6 | UIC | UIC×5 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | BUFF | UIC×4 | Blocked | Angelina Siepierski | blk Ana Petrides, Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 12 | 4-8 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | UIC | UIC×4 | Blocked | Angelina Siepierski | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +1.5 |
| 14 | 4-10 | UIC | UIC×4 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Elizabeth King | +1.3 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | BUFF | UIC | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BUFF | BUFF | Blocked | Elizabeth King | blk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj | +1.6 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BUFF | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Ava Young | +1.6 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.9 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +0.6 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.3 |
| 28 | 9-19 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Tamara Kisic | +0.1 |
| 31 | 10-21 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.1 |
| 32 | 11-21 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC | · | |
| 33 | 11-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Michal Benaim | · |
| 35 | 13-22 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Michal Benaim | · |
| 36 | 14-22 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Lianna Ortiz | · |
| 37 | 14-23 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | set Michal Benaim | +0.1 |
| 38 | 14-24 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC | aced Abbie Willis | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Michal Benaim | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Lianna Ortiz | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Elizabeth King | · | |
| 42 | 17-25 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Gabi Peter | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +2.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Blocked | Emma Colombari | blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo | +3.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Blocked | Emma Colombari | blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo | +3.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Ava Young | +2.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +3.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Sadie Gladhill | +4.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Chloe Brown | +2.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +4.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +4.6 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | BUFF | UIC×4 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UIC | UIC×4 | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +4.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UIC | UIC×4 | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +5.1 |
| 28 | 13-15 | UIC | UIC×4 | Blocked | Abbie Willis | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +5.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.2 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Ava Kanj | +5.6 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +4.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | +4.4 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | UIC | UIC | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Jillian Gibbons, Mihaela Harizanova | +6.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +4.6 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC | +3.9 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +7.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +5.7 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.6 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +6.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +6.2 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.6 |
| 46 | 23-23 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Emma Colombari | +7.3 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | set Maddie Mitchell | +9.5 |
| 48 | 23-25 | UIC | UIC | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +15.0 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +9.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | Buffalo | +6.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +9.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sydney Bell | +9.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +9.6 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +9.0 |
| 8 | 6-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Mihaela Harizanova | +7.8 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Serve err | Buffalo | +4.3 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UIC | UIC×3 | Blocked | Angelina Siepierski | blk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter | +7.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +9.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC | +7.7 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +6.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +11.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +8.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sadie Gladhill | +12.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +9.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +10.0 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Ava Young | +11.9 |
| 22 | 13-9 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +7.7 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | +2.4 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC | aced Angelina Siepierski | +6.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +12.4 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +14.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.8 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +19.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).