Buffalo def. UIC 3–2
(25-22, 25-18, 17-25, 23-25, 15-13)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | 25 | 25 | 17 | 23 | 15 | 3 |
| UIC | 22 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 2 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 20.5% to Buffalo — set 5, BUFF 15-13 UIC. Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell). UIC win probability 21% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Buffalo wins
UIC wins
- BUFF break %
- 39.2% vs this opp
- UIC break %
- 42.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sydney BellKill+20.5%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 5 · BUFF 15-13 UIC · BUFF 79% → 100%
- 02Hailey CampagnaAttack error+15.4%
Hailey Campagna stuffed by Mihaela Harizanova & Ana Petrides
Set 4 · BUFF 23-25 UIC · UIC 43% → 58%
- 03Hailey CampagnaKill+15.3%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 5 · BUFF 14-12 UIC · BUFF 72% → 88%
- 04Hailey CampagnaAttack error+13.1%
Attack error by Hailey Campagna
Set 5 · BUFF 13-12 UIC · UIC 15% → 28%
- 05Angelina SiepierskiKill+13.1%
Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Sadie Gladhill)
Set 5 · BUFF 9-7 UIC · BUFF 56% → 69%
- 06BUFF serverAce+13.0%
Buffalo ace on Ava Young
Set 5 · BUFF 12-9 UIC · BUFF 73% → 86%
- 07Gabi PeterKill+11.7%
Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Mihaela Harizanova)
Set 5 · BUFF 7-7 UIC · UIC 41% → 53%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 29 | .345 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | .417 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | .070 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 24 | .250 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 65 | 28 | 159 | .233 | 54 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 105 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 37 | .243 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 30 | .200 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 1 | 29 | .448 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | .154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | .500 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -.150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -.429 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -.750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 30 | 157 | .178 | 49 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-22
Set 2
25-18
Set 3
17-25
Set 4
23-25
Set 5
15-13
Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Buffalo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%9/18 | 27%3/11 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 44%8/18 | 11%1/9 |
| 4 | 53%8/15 | 56%10/18 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 38%5/13 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 54%7/13 |
| All | 56%45/80 | 43%35/81 |
UIC
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%9/12 | 61%11/18 |
| 2 | 47%8/17 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 43%6/14 |
| 4 | 44%8/18 | 56%10/18 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 14%1/7 |
| All | 57%46/81 | 44%35/80 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
208 rallies
Rally log
| # | BUFF-UIC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Emma Colombari | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +2.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Ava Young | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ava Young | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +1.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Paulina Ströh | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC server | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +2.7 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | BUFF | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Ana Petrides | +2.9 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +2.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri | +2.2 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Ava Young | +1.8 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UIC | UIC×7 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +0.9 |
| 26 | 10-16 | UIC | BUFF×6 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Sadie Gladhill | +0.9 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 29 | 13-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Attack err | Emma Colombari | blk Sydney Bell | +2.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BUFF | BUFF×6 | Attack err | Emma Colombari | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +3.2 |
| 32 | 15-17 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +2.5 |
| 33 | 15-18 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Ava Kanj | blk Ana Petrides | +3.2 |
| 34 | 15-19 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC server | aced Manoela Forlin | +2.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 36 | 17-19 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +2.6 |
| 37 | 17-20 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Paulina Ströh | +2.3 |
| 38 | 18-20 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BUFF | BUFF | Ace | BUFF server | aced Ava Young | +3.8 |
| 40 | 19-21 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Sasha Pellettieri | set Paulina Ströh | +3.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Abisola Adebayo | +2.7 |
| 42 | 21-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +5.5 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +6.7 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | +6.7 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | +4.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.2 |
| 47 | 25-22 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sadie Gladhill | +3.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +2.0 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Abisola Adebayo | +2.1 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Paulina Ströh | +3.3 |
| 12 | 8-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Martina Cerrato | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC server | aced Angelina Siepierski | +3.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Ava Kanj | +2.1 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.4 |
| 18 | 11-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Martina Cerrato | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +3.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Bad set | Mihaela Harizanova | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.5 |
| 21 | 14-7 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 22 | 14-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.9 |
| 23 | 14-9 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.8 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC server | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 29 | 18-11 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.6 |
| 30 | 18-12 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Serve err | BUFF server | +0.6 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +1.4 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC server | aced Chloe Brown | +2.0 |
| 33 | 19-14 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 34 | 20-14 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Martina Cerrato | blk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj | +2.0 |
| 35 | 21-14 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Sasha Pellettieri | +1.1 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Sasha Pellettieri | +0.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC server | aced Chloe Brown | +0.9 |
| 38 | 22-16 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Sasha Pellettieri, Jillian Gibbons | +0.4 |
| 40 | 23-17 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +0.9 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.3 |
| 42 | 24-18 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sydney Bell | +0.6 |
| 43 | 25-18 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Manoela Forlin | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | blk Ava Kanj | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | UIC×5 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UIC | UIC×5 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | blk Emma Colombari, Ana Petrides | +2.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UIC | UIC×5 | Ace | UIC server | aced Angelina Siepierski | +2.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | UIC | UIC×5 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.1 |
| 8 | 2-6 | UIC | UIC×5 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | BUFF | UIC×4 | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | blk Ana Petrides, Mihaela Harizanova | +1.5 |
| 12 | 4-8 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +1.6 |
| 14 | 4-10 | UIC | UIC×4 | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.3 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Elizabeth King | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Elizabeth King | blk Maddie Mitchell, Ava Kanj | +1.7 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BUFF | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +1.4 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Ava Young | +1.7 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.9 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | UIC | UIC×7 | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.3 |
| 28 | 9-19 | UIC | UIC×7 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.0 |
| 30 | 10-20 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Tamara Kisic | +0.1 |
| 31 | 10-21 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.0 |
| 32 | 11-21 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC server | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 11-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.0 |
| 34 | 12-22 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Michal Benaim | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Michal Benaim | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | BUFF server | aced Lianna Ortiz | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | set Michal Benaim | +0.1 |
| 38 | 14-24 | UIC | UIC | Ace | UIC server | aced Abbie Willis | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Michal Benaim | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | BUFF server | aced Lianna Ortiz | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Elizabeth King | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 17-25 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +0.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | +3.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUFF | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Gabi Peter | +2.7 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +2.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +2.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Emma Colombari | blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo | +4.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Emma Colombari | blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo | +4.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Ava Young | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +4.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Sadie Gladhill | +4.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Chloe Brown | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Ana Petrides | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +4.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +3.3 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.5 |
| 22 | 12-10 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Jillian Gibbons | +5.3 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.3 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | BUFF | UIC×4 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +5.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +5.5 |
| 28 | 13-15 | UIC | UIC×4 | Attack err | Abbie Willis | blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides | +5.3 |
| 29 | 14-15 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +3.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Ava Kanj | +6.1 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +4.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | +4.6 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | blk Jillian Gibbons, Mihaela Harizanova | +6.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.0 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +4.7 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC server | +4.1 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +7.9 |
| 41 | 20-21 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +6.0 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Jillian Gibbons | set Mihaela Harizanova | +6.9 |
| 44 | 22-22 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | +6.7 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +8.1 |
| 46 | 23-23 | UIC | BUFF | Attack err | Emma Colombari | +7.8 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | set Maddie Mitchell | +10.1 |
| 48 | 23-25 | UIC | UIC | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides | +15.4 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +9.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | UIC | Serve err | BUFF server | +6.0 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +9.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UIC | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sydney Bell | +9.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +10.1 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +9.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Attack err | Mihaela Harizanova | +8.7 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Serve err | BUFF server | +4.6 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Angelina Siepierski | blk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter | +8.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UIC | UIC×3 | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +10.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UIC | BUFF | Serve err | UIC server | +8.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UIC | UIC | Kill | Gabi Peter | set Mihaela Harizanova | +11.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +8.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Sadie Gladhill | +13.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +7.6 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +9.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Emma Colombari | set Mihaela Harizanova | +8.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UIC | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Ana Petrides | +10.5 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | BUFF server | aced Ava Young | +13.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Tamara Kisic | +8.6 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | BUFF | UIC×3 | Kill | Mihaela Harizanova | +2.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UIC | UIC×3 | Ace | UIC server | aced Angelina Siepierski | +7.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UIC | UIC×3 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +13.1 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +15.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | BUFF | UIC | Kill | Tamara Kisic | set Mihaela Harizanova | +8.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UIC | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +20.5 |
Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.