FinalWed, Sep 2, 2026

Buffalo def. Canisius 3–0

Buffalo beat visiting Canisius 3-0 (25-13, 25-21, 25-20) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. Buffalo's Hailey Campagna led with 12 kills, and Maddie Mitchell added 7 digs.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set123Sets
CANISI1321200
BUFF2525253

Win probability

Buffalo above 50 · Canisius below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 129 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Buffalo stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 1.9%98.1% BUFF

Canisius wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%

Buffalo wins

3-0
67.5%
3-1
24.9%
3-2
5.7%
CANISI break %
35.0% vs this opp
BUFF break %
50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311627.18500120010.511.5
39423.21700120111.510.5
37313.30800230111.58.5
3004.00000000111.51.5
3045-.800004400000
3011-1.0001600300000
37513.154000000007
3002.0001710200001
3000–1111010001
22411-.182000100002
Team totals362799.091342927234554
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312218.55610240233.515.5
3307.4292502700214
3004.00000000111.51.5
2315.40000000052.55.5
14111.27300020010.54.5
1203.66700000010.52.5
3000–310600001
3000–011000001
26210.400001600006
2429.222000101015
2103.33300000010.51.5
2000–000300000
1004.000000002022
1000–100200000
1000–200000000
Team totals35874.36532263126141375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CANISI · BUFF 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 CANISIBUFF 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 CANISIBUFF 7

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 CANISIBUFF 5

Bars above the line = Buffalo leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
46%6/13
2
70%7/10
27%3/11
3
41%7/17
46%6/13
4
40%6/15
0%0/7
5
45%5/11
14%1/7
6
63%5/8
0%0/5
All
52%38/73
29%16/56

Buffalo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
25%2/8
2
64%7/11
42%5/12
3
64%7/11
30%3/10
4
100%7/7
68%15/22
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
50%5/10
44%4/9
All
71%40/56
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#CANISI-BUFFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CANISIBUFF×3KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell
20-2BUFFBUFF×3Attack errJulia Lenik
30-3BUFFBUFF×3KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell
41-3BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
52-3CANISICANISIAttack errManoela Forlin
62-4CANISIBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell
73-4BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
84-4CANISICANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
94-5CANISIBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell
104-6BUFFBUFFKillHailey Campagna
115-6BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
125-7CANISIBUFFAttack errMadison Cowan
136-7BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
146-8CANISIBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell
157-8BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
167-9CANISIBUFF×3BlockedEmma Isroffblk Hailey Campagna
177-10BUFFBUFF×3KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell
187-11BUFFBUFF×3BlockedMadison Cowanblk Sydney Bell, Nienke Trossel
198-11BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
208-12CANISIBUFFServe errCanisius
219-12BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
229-13CANISIBUFF×3BlockedEmma Isroffblk Abisola Adebayo, Manoela Forlin
239-14BUFFBUFF×3Attack errEmma Isroff
249-15BUFFBUFF×3KillMaddie Mitchellset Anaya Cole
2510-15BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Kenslie Warmbrodt
2611-15CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga
2711-16CANISIBUFF×3KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell
2811-17BUFFBUFF×3KillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell
2911-18BUFFBUFF×3Attack errEmily Helmers
3012-18BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich
3112-19CANISIBUFF×4KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
3212-20BUFFBUFF×4Attack errMadison Cowan
3312-21BUFFBUFF×4Attack errMadison Cowan
3412-22BUFFBUFF×4BlockedEmily Helmersblk Nienke Trossel
3513-22BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
3613-23CANISIBUFF×3Serve errCanisius
3713-24BUFFBUFF×3Attack errHannah Kos
3813-25BUFFBUFF×3KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
Set 2
11-0BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
22-0CANISICANISIAceCanisius
32-1CANISIBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Anaya Cole
43-1BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
54-1CANISICANISIBlockedAbisola Adebayoblk Emily Helmers
64-2CANISIBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Anaya Cole
74-3BUFFBUFFAttack errHannah Kos
85-3BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich
95-4CANISIBUFFKillMaddie Mitchellset Hailey Campagna
106-4BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
116-5CANISIBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell
126-6BUFFBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell
137-6BUFFCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich
147-7CANISIBUFFAttack errAlli Farmer
157-8BUFFBUFFBlockedEmma Isroffblk Hailey Campagna
168-8BUFFCANISIAttack errNienke Trossel
179-8CANISICANISIBlockedHailey Campagnablk McKenna Corcoran
189-9CANISIBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
1910-9BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
2010-10CANISIBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell
2111-10BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
2212-10CANISICANISIAceCanisius
2312-11CANISIBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell
2413-11BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich
2513-12CANISIBUFF×7Serve errCanisius
2613-13BUFFBUFF×7KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
2713-14BUFFBUFF×7BlockedHannah Kosblk Abisola Adebayo, Hailey Campagna
2813-15BUFFBUFF×7BlockedAlli Farmerblk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo
2913-16BUFFBUFF×7KillHailey Campagna
3013-17BUFFBUFF×7BlockedEmily Helmersblk Hailey Campagna, Abisola Adebayo
3113-18BUFFBUFF×7BlockedAlli Farmerblk Abisola Adebayo, Maddie Mitchell
3214-18BUFFCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich
3314-19CANISIBUFF×3Serve errCanisius
3414-20BUFFBUFF×3AceBuffaloaced Brenda Reynaga
3514-21BUFFBUFF×3KillHailey Campagnaset Michal Benaim
3615-21BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
3715-22CANISIBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Michal Benaim
3816-22BUFFCANISI×5KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3917-22CANISICANISI×5KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
4018-22CANISICANISI×5Attack errAbbie Willis
4119-22CANISICANISI×5Bad setMichal Benaim
4220-22CANISICANISI×5KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
4320-23CANISIBUFFServe errCanisius
4421-23BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
4521-24CANISIBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell
4621-25BUFFBUFFAttack errJulia Lenik
Set 3
11-0CANISICANISIBlockedAbbie Willisblk Julia Lenik, McKenna Corcoran
21-1CANISIBUFFServe errCanisius
32-1BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
42-2CANISIBUFFBlockedJulia Lenikblk Abbie Willis
53-2BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
63-3CANISIBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell
73-4BUFFBUFFBad setAnna Rich
84-4BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich
94-5CANISIBUFFBlockedAlli Farmerblk Tehya Shaw
105-5BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich
115-6CANISIBUFFKillMaddie Mitchellset Chloe Brown
125-7BUFFBUFFAttack errHannah Kos
136-7BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
146-8CANISIBUFFKillAva Kanjset Maddie Mitchell
157-8BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Anaya Cole
167-9CANISIBUFF×3Serve errCanisius
177-10BUFFBUFF×3AceBuffalo
187-11BUFFBUFF×3Attack errJulia Lenik
198-11BUFFCANISIBlockedAngelina Siepierskiblk Emma Isroff
208-12CANISIBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell
219-12BUFFCANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
2210-12CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich
2311-12CANISICANISI×3KillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich
2411-13CANISIBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell
2511-14BUFFBUFFAttack errJulia Lenik
2612-14BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich
2712-15CANISIBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
2813-15BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
2914-15CANISICANISIAttack errHailey Campagna
3014-16CANISIBUFFBlockedHannah Kosblk Hailey Campagna, Ava Kanj
3115-16BUFFCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
3215-17CANISIBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
3316-17BUFFCANISIServe errBuffalo
3416-18CANISIBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell
3517-18BUFFCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3618-18CANISICANISIBlockedAngelina Siepierskiblk Emma Isroff, Emily Helmers
3718-19CANISIBUFFServe errCanisius
3819-19BUFFCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3919-20CANISIBUFF×5Serve errCanisius
4019-21BUFFBUFF×5Attack errJulia Lenik
4119-22BUFFBUFF×5KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell
4219-23BUFFBUFF×5Bad setKenslie Warmbrodt
4319-24BUFFBUFF×5BlockedKenslie Warmbrodtblk Tehya Shaw
4420-24BUFFCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
4520-25CANISIBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).