Presbyterian def. Buffalo 3–1
(25-20, 25-14, 20-25, 25-22)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | 20 | 14 | 25 | 22 | 1 |
| PRESBY | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.0% to Presbyterian — set 4, BUFF 21-23 PRESBY. Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Anisa Dorlouis). PRESBY win probability 80% → 90%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Buffalo wins
Presbyterian wins
- BUFF break %
- 43.4% vs this opp
- PRESBY break %
- 41.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Courtney WilliamsKill+10.0%
Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 4 · BUFF 21-23 PRESBY · PRESBY 80% → 90%
- 02Courtney WilliamsKill+8.7%
Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Celimar Hoyos)
Set 4 · BUFF 22-24 PRESBY · PRESBY 84% → 93%
- 03PRESBY serverAce+8.0%
Presbyterian ace on Sadie Gladhill
Set 4 · BUFF 19-20 PRESBY · PRESBY 70% → 78%
- 04Emma McHattenKill+7.4%
Kill by Emma McHatten (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 4 · BUFF 21-22 PRESBY · PRESBY 72% → 80%
- 05Julia YurkovichKill+6.9%
Kill by Julia Yurkovich (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 4 · BUFF 22-25 PRESBY · PRESBY 93% → 100%
- 06Meredith ReismanKill+6.5%
Kill by Meredith Reisman (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 4 · BUFF 20-21 PRESBY · PRESBY 72% → 78%
- 07Manoela ForlinKill+6.2%
Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · BUFF 21-21 PRESBY · BUFF 22% → 28%
- 08Abisola AdebayoKill+6.1%
Kill by Abisola Adebayo (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · BUFF 17-16 PRESBY · BUFF 29% → 35%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 41 | .293 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 31 | .097 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .412 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -.056 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -.308 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 23 | .261 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 30 | 160 | .150 | 50 | 2 | 5 | 69 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 81 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 1 | 30 | .433 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 37 | .216 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 16 | .188 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 34 | .206 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .400 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | -.143 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 19 | 152 | .230 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 62 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 95 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
14-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
22-25
Bars above the line = Presbyterian leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Buffalo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%11/21 | 41%7/17 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 17%2/12 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 50%9/18 |
| 4 | 44%8/18 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 80%8/10 | 20%2/10 |
| 6 | 50%8/16 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 56%53/94 | 34%28/82 |
Presbyterian
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%11/19 | 41%7/17 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 50%10/20 |
| 3 | 53%9/17 | 40%6/15 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 20%2/10 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 89%8/9 | 47%7/15 |
| All | 66%54/82 | 44%41/94 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
176 rallies
Rally log
| # | BUFF-PRESBY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Emma McHatten | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +3.0 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | PRESBY | BUFF | Serve err | PRESBY server | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +3.0 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | PRESBY | BUFF×4 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Ace | BUFF server | aced Emma McHatten | +3.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Attack err | Julia Yurkovich | blk Abisola Adebayo, Sydney Bell | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Courtney Williams | +3.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Courtney Williams | blk Manoela Forlin, Abisola Adebayo | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | BUFF | PRESBY | Serve err | BUFF server | +2.7 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.6 |
| 29 | 14-15 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Brittney Daphnis | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Brittney Daphnis | +2.7 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Brittney Daphnis | +3.8 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +4.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +4.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Emma McHatten | +2.8 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | blk Meredith Reisman, Anisa Dorlouis | +3.4 |
| 37 | 17-20 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +4.2 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Hailey Campagna | +3.3 |
| 39 | 18-21 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Manoela Forlin | +1.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | BUFF | PRESBY | Serve err | BUFF server | +2.4 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Celimar Hoyos | +1.9 |
| 42 | 19-23 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.3 |
| 45 | 20-25 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Anaya Cole | +2.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Abisola Adebayo | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | blk Manoela Forlin, Abisola Adebayo | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Celimar Hoyos | +1.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Emma McHatten | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | PRESBY×6 | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Celimar Hoyos | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | PRESBY | PRESBY×6 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +3.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | PRESBY | PRESBY×6 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Celimar Hoyos | +3.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PRESBY | PRESBY×6 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +3.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | PRESBY | PRESBY×6 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +3.1 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | PRESBY | PRESBY×6 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Amaris Alvarez | +3.0 |
| 15 | 6-9 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 16 | 6-10 | BUFF | PRESBY | Serve err | BUFF server | +2.2 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Amaris Alvarez | +2.3 |
| 19 | 7-12 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Nienke Trossel | blk Meredith Reisman | +2.7 |
| 20 | 7-13 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Courtney Williams, Meredith Reisman | +2.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 22 | 8-14 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Julia Yurkovich | +1.7 |
| 23 | 9-14 | PRESBY | BUFF | Serve err | PRESBY server | +1.2 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.7 |
| 25 | 10-15 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Celimar Hoyos | +1.7 |
| 27 | 10-17 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +1.6 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Anaya Cole | +0.8 |
| 29 | 11-18 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +1.1 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Nienke Trossel | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Brittney Daphnis | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Brittney Daphnis | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.6 |
| 33 | 12-21 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Amaris Alvarez | +0.4 |
| 34 | 13-21 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.1 |
| 35 | 13-22 | BUFF | PRESBY | Serve err | BUFF server | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.1 |
| 37 | 14-23 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Reagan Hare | +0.1 |
| 38 | 14-24 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 14-25 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Reagan Hare | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PRESBY | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Bad set | Anisa Dorlouis | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | BUFF server | aced Celimar Hoyos | +1.8 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 6 | 5-1 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Anaya Cole | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.1 |
| 8 | 6-2 | PRESBY | BUFF×3 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 9 | 7-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.5 |
| 10 | 8-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 11 | 8-3 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.8 |
| 12 | 9-3 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.9 |
| 13 | 9-4 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Abbie Willis | blk Anisa Dorlouis, Brittney Daphnis | +0.8 |
| 14 | 10-4 | PRESBY | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Brittney Daphnis | blk Abisola Adebayo, Abbie Willis | +0.9 |
| 15 | 11-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Celimar Hoyos | +1.0 |
| 16 | 12-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Celimar Hoyos | +0.7 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 20 | 14-6 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | blk Ava Kanj, Manoela Forlin | +0.7 |
| 21 | 14-7 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | blk Meredith Reisman | +0.3 |
| 22 | 14-8 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Ava Kanj | blk Emma McHatten, Meredith Reisman | +0.7 |
| 23 | 15-8 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Angelina Siepierski | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 24 | 15-9 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Celimar Hoyos | +0.9 |
| 26 | 15-11 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Angelina Siepierski | +1.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | BUFF | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.7 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Celimar Hoyos | +2.2 |
| 31 | 17-14 | PRESBY | BUFF | Serve err | PRESBY server | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Hailey Campagna | +2.2 |
| 33 | 18-15 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Emma McHatten | +1.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Bad set | Maddie Mitchell | +2.3 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | PRESBY | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.1 |
| 36 | 20-16 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | set Anaya Cole | +2.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abbie Willis | +1.5 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Abbie Willis | blk Anisa Dorlouis, Brittney Daphnis | +0.6 |
| 39 | 22-17 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.0 |
| 40 | 23-17 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Emma McHatten | blk Abisola Adebayo, Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 41 | 23-18 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Amaris Alvarez | +0.5 |
| 43 | 24-19 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.7 |
| 44 | 24-20 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Ashley Miller | set Celimar Hoyos | +0.2 |
| 45 | 25-20 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | blk Ava Kanj | +0.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.5 |
| 3 | 3-0 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Attack err | Emma McHatten | blk Sydney Bell, Ava Kanj | +3.3 |
| 4 | 4-0 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.0 |
| 5 | 4-1 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +2.0 |
| 6 | 5-1 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Meredith Reisman | +2.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Celimar Hoyos | +2.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Team | +3.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | PRESBY | BUFF×3 | Kill | Ava Kanj | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.5 |
| 10 | 7-3 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Eve Adams | +3.1 |
| 11 | 8-3 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Julia Yurkovich | +2.7 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Abbie Willis | blk Kaylie Bourn, Courtney Williams | +1.7 |
| 13 | 9-4 | PRESBY | BUFF | Serve err | PRESBY server | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | BUFF | PRESBY×4 | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +1.7 |
| 15 | 9-6 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +2.9 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anaya Cole | +3.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +3.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +3.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | +3.2 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | BUFF | PRESBY | Serve err | BUFF server | +3.1 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | blk Courtney Williams | +4.7 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PRESBY | BUFF | Serve err | PRESBY server | +3.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | BUFF | PRESBY×4 | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +3.6 |
| 25 | 12-13 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Angelina Siepierski | +5.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | blk Courtney Williams, Meredith Reisman | +5.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | PRESBY | PRESBY×4 | Attack err | Ava Kanj | +5.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Julia Yurkovich | +3.2 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | BUFF | PRESBY | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +3.9 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | PRESBY | BUFF×4 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.3 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Abisola Adebayo | +5.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +4.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | PRESBY | BUFF | Attack err | Emma McHatten | +4.8 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +4.8 |
| 37 | 19-18 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Abbie Willis | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.1 |
| 38 | 19-19 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +5.2 |
| 39 | 19-20 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Sadie Gladhill | +8.0 |
| 40 | 20-20 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.6 |
| 41 | 20-21 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +6.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.2 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +7.4 |
| 44 | 21-23 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Anisa Dorlouis | +10.0 |
| 45 | 22-23 | PRESBY | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.2 |
| 46 | 22-24 | BUFF | PRESBY | Kill | Courtney Williams | set Celimar Hoyos | +8.7 |
| 47 | 22-25 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +6.9 |
Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.