FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Queens (NC) def. Buffalo 3–0

Queens (NC) beat visiting Buffalo 3-0 (25-23, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Queens (NC)'s Elizabeth Layson led with 13 kills, and Callie DeSchryver added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
BUFF2323180
QUENNC2525253

Win probability

Queens (NC) above 50 · Buffalo below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.8% QUENNCrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.8% to Queens (NC) — set 2, BUFF 23-25 QUENNC. Kill by Elizabeth Layson (set by Marlee Cook). QUENNC win probability 79% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUFF 50.8%49.2% QUENNC

Buffalo wins

3-0
12.8%
3-1
19.1%
3-2
18.9%

Queens (NC) wins

3-0
12.2%
3-1
18.4%
3-2
18.6%
BUFF break %
43.6% vs this opp
QUENNC break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Elizabeth Layson (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 2 · BUFF 23-25 QUENNC · QUENNC 79% → 87%

  2. 02

    Kill by Elizabeth Layson (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 1 · BUFF 23-25 QUENNC · QUENNC 60% → 68%

  3. 03
    Kyla CoffeyKill+7.5%

    Kill by Kyla Coffey (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 1 · BUFF 22-24 QUENNC · QUENNC 56% → 63%

  4. 04
    Sydney BellAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Sydney Bell

    Set 2 · BUFF 21-22 QUENNC · QUENNC 67% → 74%

  5. 05
    Sydney BellAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Sydney Bell

    Set 2 · BUFF 21-23 QUENNC · QUENNC 74% → 81%

  6. 06
    Naomi ColeKill+6.0%

    Kill by Naomi Cole (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 1 · BUFF 22-23 QUENNC · QUENNC 50% → 56%

  7. 07
    Sydney BellAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Sydney Bell

    Set 2 · BUFF 22-24 QUENNC · QUENNC 77% → 83%

  8. 08

    Kill by Elizabeth Layson (set by Destiny Wiggins)

    Set 2 · BUFF 21-21 QUENNC · QUENNC 62% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36022.273120810219
39519.211102610009
37519.105000100218
35414.07100000052.57.5
3203.6672912110010.53.5
2012-.500000000000
3000–111000001
3000–2011010000
3000–001310000
2213.333001020002
1214.250000000002
1203.667000100002
Team totals351789.2023448408010564
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313328.3573234200015
310225.3200000002111
37220.250012102010.58.5
35311.18200010010.55.5
3304.7501112200004
3213.33300210010.52.5
32021.0001711200003
3000–131100003
30310-.30000020010.50.5
3000–400500000
2000–200300000
Team totals4214103.2723881134406375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 BUFF · QUENNC 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 BUFFQUENNC 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 9 BUFFQUENNC 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 BUFFQUENNC 3

Bars above the line = Queens (NC) leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Buffalo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
13%1/8
2
73%8/11
27%3/11
3
44%7/16
43%6/14
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
50%5/10
22%2/9
6
45%5/11
62%8/13
All
55%40/73
36%24/66

Queens (NC)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
60%9/15
2
67%8/12
27%3/11
3
50%8/16
53%9/17
4
78%7/9
30%3/10
5
40%6/15
40%4/10
6
100%5/5
50%5/10
All
64%42/66
45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#BUFF-QUENNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BUFFQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Tyler Peluso+1.9
21-1QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+1.9
32-1BUFFBUFFKillSydney Bellset Eve Adams+2.5
42-2BUFFQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.9
52-3QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)+2.6
63-3QUENNCBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
73-4BUFFQUENNCAttack errHailey Campagna+2.0
84-4QUENNCBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
95-4BUFFBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+2.7
105-5BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+2.1
116-5QUENNCBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+2.1
127-5BUFFBUFFAttack errElizabeth Layson+2.7
137-6BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+2.0
147-7QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Destiny Wiggins+2.8
158-7QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+2.2
168-8BUFFQUENNC×3Serve errBuffalo+2.2
178-9QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errHailey Campagna+3.0
188-10QUENNCQUENNC×3AceQueens (NC)aced Manoela Forlin+3.0
199-10QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+2.2
209-11BUFFQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Tyler Peluso+2.4
2110-11QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+2.2
2211-11BUFFBUFFKillSydney Bellset Manoela Forlin+3.2
2311-12BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+2.5
2412-12QUENNCBUFF×3KillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+2.5
2513-12BUFFBUFF×3Attack errCallie DeSchryver+3.4
2614-12BUFFBUFF×3BlockedEmma Norrisblk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo+3.4
2714-13BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+2.5
2814-14QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.6
2915-14QUENNCBUFFKillMaddie Mitchell+2.9
3015-15BUFFQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+2.9
3116-15QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+3.0
3216-16BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+3.0
3317-16QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Anaya Cole+3.2
3417-17BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+3.2
3518-17QUENNCBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+3.4
3618-18BUFFQUENNC×3Serve errBuffalo+3.4
3718-19QUENNCQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+4.8
3818-20QUENNCQUENNC×3KillEmma Norris+4.7
3919-20QUENNCBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Anaya Cole+3.2
4020-20BUFFBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell+5.1
4120-21BUFFQUENNCBlockedSydney Bellblk Callie DeSchryver, Emma Norris+4.5
4221-21QUENNCBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+4.4
4321-22BUFFQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+5.1
4422-22QUENNCBUFFBlockedNaomi Coleblk Abisola Adebayo, Manoela Forlin+4.9
4522-23BUFFQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+6.0
4622-24QUENNCQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Marlee Cook+7.5
4723-24QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+3.4
4823-25BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+7.7
Set 2
10-1QUENNCQUENNC×4KillCallie DeSchryverset Anaya Cole+2.5
20-2QUENNCQUENNC×4KillCallie DeSchryverset Megan Kelly+2.5
30-3QUENNCQUENNC×4AceQueens (NC)aced Anaya Cole+2.4
40-4QUENNCQUENNC×4AceQueens (NC)+2.3
51-4QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+1.6
61-5BUFFQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.8
72-5QUENNCBUFFAttack errNaomi Cole+1.6
82-6BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+1.8
92-7QUENNCQUENNCAttack errAva Kanj+2.1
103-7QUENNCBUFF×4Serve errQueens (NC)+1.4
114-7BUFFBUFF×4BlockedNaomi Coleblk Abisola Adebayo, Manoela Forlin+2.1
125-7BUFFBUFF×4BlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Abisola Adebayo, Sydney Bell+2.4
136-7BUFFBUFF×4Attack errLayni Tobias+2.7
146-8BUFFQUENNCKillMarlee Cookset Tilley Collins+2.2
157-8QUENNCBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+2.1
168-8BUFFBUFFAttack errKyla Coffey+2.9
178-9BUFFQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+2.3
188-10QUENNCQUENNC×3AceQueens (NC)aced Hailey Campagna+3.0
198-11QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errAbisola Adebayo+2.9
209-11QUENNCBUFF×9KillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+2.0
2110-11BUFFBUFF×9KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+2.9
2211-11BUFFBUFF×9KillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+3.2
2312-11BUFFBUFF×9Attack errEmma Norris+3.3
2413-11BUFFBUFF×9AceBuffaloaced Callie DeSchryver+3.3
2514-11BUFFBUFF×9KillMaddie Mitchellset Hailey Campagna+3.1
2615-11BUFFBUFF×9KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+2.7
2716-11BUFFBUFF×9KillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+2.3
2817-11BUFFBUFF×9AceBuffaloaced Callie DeSchryver+1.7
2917-12BUFFQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+0.9
3017-13QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errAbisola Adebayo+1.7
3117-14QUENNCQUENNC×3AceQueens (NC)aced Sadie Gladhill+2.3
3218-14QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+2.3
3318-15BUFFQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.7
3418-16QUENNCQUENNCAttack errHailey Campagna+3.0
3519-16QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+2.9
3619-17BUFFQUENNCKillTyler Pelusoset Elizabeth Layson+2.3
3720-17QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+3.0
3821-17BUFFBUFFAttack errLayni Tobias+3.1
3921-18BUFFQUENNC×6KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.5
4021-19QUENNCQUENNC×6KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.0
4121-20QUENNCQUENNC×6KillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+4.3
4221-21QUENNCQUENNC×6KillElizabeth Laysonset Destiny Wiggins+5.7
4321-22QUENNCQUENNC×6Attack errSydney Bell+6.6
4421-23QUENNCQUENNC×6Attack errSydney Bell+6.5
4522-23QUENNCBUFFAttack errElizabeth Layson+3.6
4622-24BUFFQUENNCAttack errSydney Bell+5.9
4723-24QUENNCBUFFAttack errCallie DeSchryver+3.4
4823-25BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+7.8
Set 3
10-1BUFFQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Elizabeth Layson+1.3
21-1QUENNCBUFFKillHailey Campagnaset Maddie Mitchell+1.3
31-2BUFFQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.3
41-3QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errTehya Shaw+1.7
51-4QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errSydney Bell+1.7
62-4QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+1.2
72-5BUFFQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+1.3
82-6QUENNCQUENNCAttack errAbisola Adebayo+1.6
93-6QUENNCBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.1
103-7BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.2
113-8QUENNCQUENNCAttack errAbisola Adebayo+1.5
124-8QUENNCBUFFKillManoela Forlinset Maddie Mitchell+1.0
134-9BUFFQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.1
144-10QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errHailey Campagna+1.3
154-11QUENNCQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.0
165-11QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+0.6
175-12BUFFQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Tyler Peluso+0.8
185-13QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedHailey Campagnablk Kyla Coffey, Emma Norris+0.8
195-14QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Tyler Peluso+0.6
206-14QUENNCBUFFKillTehya Shawset Maddie Mitchell+0.3
216-15BUFFQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+0.4
226-16QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Angelina Siepierski+0.3
237-16QUENNCBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell+0.2
247-17BUFFQUENNCKillTyler Pelusoset Tilley Collins+0.2
258-17QUENNCBUFF×3KillTehya Shawset Maddie Mitchell+0.1
269-17BUFFBUFF×3AceBuffaloaced Elizabeth Layson+0.3
2710-17BUFFBUFF×3KillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell+0.4
2810-18BUFFQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+0.5
2910-19QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Angelina Siepierski+0.3
3011-19QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)+0.1
3111-20BUFFQUENNCBlockedAngelina Siepierskiblk Layni Tobias, Naomi Cole+0.2
3212-20QUENNCBUFFKillAbisola Adebayoset Maddie Mitchell+0.1
3312-21BUFFQUENNCServe errBuffalo+0.2
3413-21QUENNCBUFFKillAbbie Willisset Maddie Mitchell+0.1
3513-22BUFFQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Tilley Collins+0.1
3614-22QUENNCBUFFServe errQueens (NC)·
3715-22BUFFBUFFAceBuffaloaced Elizabeth Layson+0.1
3815-23BUFFQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+0.2
3916-23QUENNCBUFFKillAngelina Siepierskiset Maddie Mitchell·
4016-24BUFFQUENNCKillTyler Pelusoset Elizabeth Layson+0.1
4117-24QUENNCBUFFKillSydney Bellset Maddie Mitchell·
4218-24BUFFBUFFBlockedLayni Tobiasblk Abisola Adebayo, Sydney Bell·
4318-25BUFFQUENNCKillMarlee Cookset Tilley Collins+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).