Buffalo vs FDU Volleyball: Buffalo Wins 3-0 (Sep 19, 2026)

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

Buffalo beat FDU 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Buffalo's Manoela Forlin led with 15 kills, and Anaya Cole added 19 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUFF	25	25	25	3
FDU	18	22	22	0

Win probability

FDU above 50 · Buffalo below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Buffalo — set 2, BUFF 21-20 FDU. Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Maddie Mitchell). FDU win probability 8% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUFF 88.4%11.6% FDU

Buffalo wins

3-0

41.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.9%

FDU wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.6%

3-2

6.4%

BUFF break %: 48.0% vs this opp
FDU break %: 38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Manoela ForlinKill+2.1%
Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 2 · BUFF 21-20 FDU · BUFF 92% → 94%
02
Nina Jasiecka&Nora MargineanBlock+1.9%
Hailey Campagna stuffed by Nina Jasiecka & Nora Marginean
Set 2 · BUFF 17-18 FDU · FDU 7% → 9%
03
Abisola Adebayo&Sydney BellBlock+1.9%
Katarina Trutina stuffed by Abisola Adebayo & Sydney Bell
Set 2 · BUFF 22-20 FDU · BUFF 94% → 96%
04
Katarina TrutinaKill+1.8%
Kill by Katarina Trutina (set by Nora Marginean)
Set 2 · BUFF 19-20 FDU · FDU 8% → 10%
05
Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchezKill+1.6%
Kill by Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez (set by Isabella Scarfone)
Set 1 · BUFF 4-6 FDU · FDU 13% → 15%
06
Katarina TrutinaKill+1.6%
Kill by Katarina Trutina (set by Nora Marginean)
Set 2 · BUFF 18-19 FDU · FDU 8% → 9%
07
Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchezAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez
Set 2 · BUFF 20-20 FDU · BUFF 90% → 92%
08
Mila SamardzijaAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Mila Samardzija
Set 2 · BUFF 16-16 FDU · BUFF 91% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Buffaloaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manoela ForlinOH	3	15	5	38	.263	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	16
3Sydney BellOPP	3	5	5	22	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	2	7
20Abisola AdebayoMB	3	6	2	18	.222	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	7
2Maddie MitchellS	3	3	0	7	.429	32	3	1	15	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Tehya ShawMB	3	3	2	9	.111	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	3	2	1	3	.333	0	2	2	6	1	0	0	0	4
4Hailey CampagnaOH	3	8	6	25	.080	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
15Eve AdamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Anaya ColeL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	19	0	0	0	0	0
11Abbie WillisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Ava KanjMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Chloe BrownDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Michal BenaimS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Nienke TrosselMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
12Soleil RancourtOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	21	123	.171	38	7	7	63	3	1	10	6	75

FDUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchezOH	3	10	4	34	.176	0	0	1	4	1	2	1	11
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	3	5	24	-.083	0	2	1	8	1	2	1	6
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	2	1	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	4
7Ava DeguzmanOH	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	1
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	0	0	2	.000	16	0	2	9	0	0	0	0
8Katarina TrutinaOH	3	9	4	25	.200	1	1	1	4	2	1	0.5	10.5
4Nina JasieckaOH	3	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	3
10Nora MargineanS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Agnes ShakirovaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Ashlyn GualtieriOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Brooke Kamelchuk—	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Jelena JevticL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kayla GreenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
15Kaylie JensenMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	11	1	0	0	0
13Szonja CsabaiMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	16	118	.119	26	3	9	46	7	17	8.5	62

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BUFF · FDU 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 BUFFFDU 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 BUFFFDU 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 BUFFFDU 4

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	17%1/6
2	75%6/8	40%4/10
3	100%5/5	29%2/7
4	100%4/4	60%6/10
5	50%4/8	43%3/7
6	57%4/7	56%5/9
All	71%29/41	43%21/49

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	44%4/9
2	100%6/6	14%1/7
3	44%4/9	14%1/7
4	44%4/9	0%0/4
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	50%4/8	50%4/8
All	57%28/49	29%12/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	BUFF-FDU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.0
2	1-1	FDU	BUFF	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	set Madeline Joyce	+0.9
3	1-2	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.0
4	2-2	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
5	2-3	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez		+1.1
6	3-3	FDU	BUFF	Attack err	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Madeline Joyce	+1.0
7	3-4	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Hailey Campagna	set Sadie Gladhill	+1.1
8	4-4	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
9	4-5	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.1
10	4-6	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.6
11	5-6	FDU	BUFF×5	Serve err	FDU		+1.1
12	6-6	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
13	7-6	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced Ava Deguzman	+1.3
14	8-6	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.2
15	9-6	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	+1.0
16	9-7	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ava Deguzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.8
17	10-7	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.8
18	11-7	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Mila Samardzija	blk Sydney Bell, Tehya Shaw	+0.9
19	11-8	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.6
20	12-8	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.7
21	12-9	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.6
22	13-9	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin		+0.7
23	14-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
24	15-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Ava Deguzman		+0.5
25	15-10	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
26	16-10	FDU	BUFF×4	Serve err	FDU		+0.4
27	17-10	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Abisola Adebayo		+0.3
28	18-10	BUFF	BUFF×4	Blocked	Ava Deguzman	blk Abisola Adebayo, Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
29	19-10	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo		+0.1
30	19-11	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez		·
31	20-11	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Sadie Gladhill	+0.1
32	21-11	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo	aced Mila Samardzija	·
33	21-12	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Tehya Shaw	set Mila Samardzija	·
34	21-13	FDU	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Isabella Scarfone	·
35	22-13	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Tehya Shaw	set Maddie Mitchell	·
36	22-14	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		·
37	22-15	FDU	FDU	Blocked	Tehya Shaw	blk Angela Marchetto, Mila Samardzija	·
38	23-15	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
39	23-16	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	·
40	24-16	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		·
41	24-17	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	·
42	24-18	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU		·
43	25-18	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	·
Set 2
1	0-1	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+0.9
2	1-1	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Tehya Shaw	+0.6
3	2-1	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez		+0.8
4	2-2	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
5	2-3	FDU	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.0
6	3-3	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.7
7	3-4	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.8
8	4-4	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
9	5-4	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Sadie Gladhill	+0.9
10	5-5	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri		+0.7
11	6-5	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
12	6-6	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
13	6-7	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU	aced Sadie Gladhill	+1.1
14	7-7	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
15	8-7	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo	aced Madeline Joyce	+1.0
16	8-8	BUFF	FDU×3	Attack err	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
17	8-9	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Kayla Green	+1.2
18	8-10	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Angela Marchetto		+1.3
19	9-10	FDU	BUFF	Attack err	Katarina Trutina	set Nora Marginean	+0.9
20	9-11	BUFF	FDU×3	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka	+1.1
21	9-12	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+1.4
22	9-13	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Katarina Trutina		+1.5
23	10-13	FDU	BUFF	Attack err	Katarina Trutina	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
24	10-14	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Katarina Trutina	+1.2
25	11-14	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
26	11-15	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
27	12-15	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
28	13-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
29	14-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
30	14-16	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.4
31	15-16	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
32	16-16	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.6
33	17-16	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
34	17-17	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+1.2
35	17-18	FDU	FDU	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Nina Jasiecka, Nora Marginean	+1.9
36	18-18	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Sadie Gladhill	+1.3
37	18-19	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Nora Marginean	+1.6
38	19-19	FDU	BUFF	Bad set	Nora Marginean		+1.4
39	19-20	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Nora Marginean	+1.8
40	20-20	FDU	BUFF×4	Attack err	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Madeline Joyce	+1.6
41	21-20	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
42	22-20	BUFF	BUFF×4	Blocked	Katarina Trutina	blk Abisola Adebayo, Sydney Bell	+1.9
43	23-20	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
44	23-21	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Sydney Bell	set Anaya Cole	+0.6
45	24-21	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
46	24-22	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.4
47	25-22	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
Set 3
1	0-1	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Madeline Joyce	+0.3
2	1-1	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Tehya Shaw	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
3	1-2	BUFF	FDU	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
4	2-2	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
5	3-2	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
6	4-2	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
7	4-3	BUFF	FDU	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	+0.3
8	4-4	FDU	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Katarina Trutina	+0.4
9	5-4	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.3
10	5-5	BUFF	FDU	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka	+0.3
11	5-6	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.5
12	6-6	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
13	6-7	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.4
14	6-8	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.6
15	7-8	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Anaya Cole	+0.4
16	8-8	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+0.5
17	8-9	BUFF	FDU	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Katarina Trutina, Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka	+0.4
18	9-9	FDU	BUFF×5	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
19	10-9	BUFF	BUFF×5	Blocked	Angela Marchetto	blk Tehya Shaw	+0.5
20	11-9	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced Katarina Trutina	+0.4
21	12-9	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced Katarina Trutina	+0.4
22	13-9	BUFF	BUFF×5	Blocked	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	blk Tehya Shaw, Sydney Bell	+0.3
23	13-10	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.2
24	14-10	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
25	14-11	BUFF	FDU×3	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
26	14-12	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija	+0.4
27	14-13	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+0.5
28	15-13	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.4
29	15-14	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.4
30	16-14	FDU	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
31	16-15	BUFF	FDU×4	Attack err	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
32	16-16	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.7
33	16-17		FDU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.8
34	16-18	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Nora Marginean	+0.9
35	17-18	FDU	BUFF	Serve err	FDU		+0.6
36	17-19	BUFF	FDU	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.8
37	18-19	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Tehya Shaw	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
38	19-19	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.9
39	20-19	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
40	20-20	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Katarina Trutina	set Nora Marginean	+0.7
41	21-20	FDU	BUFF	Blocked	Katarina Trutina	blk Tehya Shaw, Sydney Bell	+0.7
42	22-20	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Anaya Cole	+0.9
43	22-21	BUFF	FDU	Kill	Ixchel kiahuitl Lopez sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
44	22-22	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU	aced Angelina Siepierski	+1.2
45	23-22	FDU	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
46	24-22	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Anaya Cole		+1.1
47	25-22	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Buffalo def. FDU 3–0