Buffalo vs Syracuse Volleyball: Buffalo Wins 3-0 (Sep 20)

FinalSun, Sep 20, 2026

3:0

Buffalo won at Syracuse 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Manoela Forlin led Buffalo with 14 kills; Syracuse's Kiernan Stamey had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 20

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUFF	25	25	25	3
SYR	20	20	15	0

Win probability

Syracuse above 50 · Buffalo below

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Buffalo — set 1, BUFF 21-19 SYR. Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell). SYR win probability 44% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUFF 50.7%49.3% SYR

Buffalo wins

3-0

12.8%

3-1

19.0%

3-2

18.9%

Syracuse wins

3-0

12.2%

3-1

18.5%

3-2

18.6%

BUFF break %: 42.5% vs this opp
SYR break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sydney BellKill+5.2%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 1 · BUFF 21-19 SYR · BUFF 56% → 61%
02
Hailey CampagnaAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Hailey Campagna
Set 1 · BUFF 19-19 SYR · SYR 44% → 48%
03
BuffaloAce+4.5%
Buffalo ace on Yuka Urano
Set 1 · BUFF 18-17 SYR · BUFF 50% → 55%
04
Charis BurgeBad set+4.5%
Bad set by Charis Burge
Set 1 · BUFF 19-17 SYR · BUFF 55% → 59%
05
Charis BurgeBad set+4.3%
Bad set by Charis Burge
Set 1 · BUFF 22-19 SYR · BUFF 61% → 65%
06
Manoela ForlinAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Manoela Forlin
Set 1 · BUFF 16-17 SYR · SYR 49% → 53%
07
Hailey CampagnaKill+4.0%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 1 · BUFF 16-15 SYR · BUFF 50% → 54%
08
Hailey CampagnaKill+3.9%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 1 · BUFF 20-19 SYR · BUFF 52% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Buffaloaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manoela ForlinOH	3	14	1	30	.433	1	0	1	7	1	0	2	1	15
20Abisola AdebayoMB	3	5	0	6	.833	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
3Sydney BellOPP	3	5	3	14	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
2Maddie MitchellS	3	3	0	4	.750	32	1	3	5	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Nienke TrosselMB	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	3	2	0	3	.667	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	2
4Hailey CampagnaOH	3	11	3	20	.400	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	12
10Anaya ColeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
15Eve AdamsOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	7	82	.439	36	3	6	30	4	1	10	6	75

Syracusehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Kiernan StameyOH	3	17	5	33	.364	2	2	2	3	1	1	0.5	19.5
23Abby NicholsonMB	3	5	6	14	-.071	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
12Keila GabrielOPP	3	5	5	15	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
10Bo NijenhuisMB	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
1Charis BurgeS	3	0	2	3	-.667	31	1	2	4	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Marie LaurioOH	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
19Emma WilliamsOH	3	9	2	22	.318	0	1	0	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
21Bella RodriguezOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
18Yuka UranoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
14Anna SmithL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
15Emma FaerberMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	21	94	.181	37	4	5	29	3	6	3	55

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BUFF · SYR 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 BUFFSYR 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 BUFFSYR 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 BUFFSYR 4

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	25%2/8
2	70%7/10	46%6/13
3	58%7/12	56%9/16
4	75%6/8	65%11/17
5	56%5/9	44%4/9
6	63%5/8	55%6/11
All	66%37/56	51%38/74

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	25%2/8
2	64%7/11	42%5/12
3	43%6/14	0%0/7
4	38%6/16	50%6/12
5	45%5/11	25%2/8
6	50%5/10	44%4/9
All	49%36/74	34%19/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	BUFF-SYR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.8
2	1-1	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.8
3	1-2	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.9
4	2-2	SYR	BUFF	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+1.9
5	2-3	BUFF	SYR×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.9
6	2-4	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+2.6
7	2-5	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse	aced Angelina Siepierski	+2.5
8	3-5	SYR	BUFF×3	Serve err	Syracuse		+1.7
9	4-5	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.6
10	5-5	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Sadie Gladhill	+2.7
11	5-6	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+2.1
12	6-6	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
13	7-6	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Charis Burge	blk Hailey Campagna	+2.9
14	7-7	BUFF	SYR×3	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Charis Burge	+2.1
15	7-8	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+3.0
16	7-9	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse		+3.0
17	8-9	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
18	8-10	BUFF	SYR×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+2.2
19	8-11	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Keila Gabriel	+2.9
20	8-12	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse	aced Manoela Forlin	+2.6
21	9-12	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+1.7
22	9-13	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+2.0
23	10-13	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.7
24	11-13	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Angelina Siepierski	+2.7
25	11-14	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+2.3
26	12-14	SYR	BUFF	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.0
27	13-14	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.3
28	13-15	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.7
29	14-15	SYR	BUFF×3	Serve err	Syracuse		+2.5
30	15-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.8
31	16-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.0
32	16-16	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+2.9
33	16-17	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+4.3
34	17-17	SYR	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.1
35	18-17	BUFF	BUFF×3	Ace	Buffalo	aced Yuka Urano	+4.5
36	19-17	BUFF	BUFF×3	Bad set	Charis Burge		+4.5
37	19-18	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.9
38	19-19	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+4.8
39	20-19	SYR	BUFF×5	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.9
40	21-19	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+5.2
41	22-19	BUFF	BUFF×5	Bad set	Charis Burge		+4.3
42	23-19	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced Kiernan Stamey	+2.9
43	24-19	BUFF	BUFF×5	Blocked	Emma Williams	blk Sydney Bell, Nienke Trossel	+1.3
44	24-20	BUFF	SYR	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Emma Williams	+0.2
45	25-20	SYR	BUFF	Attack err	Keila Gabriel		+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	SYR	BUFF×3	Attack err	Keila Gabriel		+1.8
2	2-0	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.5
3	3-0	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+2.4
4	3-1	BUFF	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.6
5	3-2	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+2.4
6	3-3	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.6
7	4-3	SYR	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.9
8	5-3	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+2.6
9	6-3	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+2.5
10	6-4	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.7
11	7-4	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.9
12	8-4	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.4
13	8-5	BUFF	SYR	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.6
14	9-5	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+1.8
15	9-6	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+1.6
16	9-7	SYR	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+2.5
17	10-7	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Sadie Gladhill	+2.0
18	11-7	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel		+2.5
19	11-8	BUFF	SYR	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.6
20	11-9	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+2.6
21	12-9	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.2
22	12-10	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge	+1.9
23	13-10	SYR	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.2
24	14-10	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Keila Gabriel		+2.7
25	15-10	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Keila Gabriel		+2.2
26	15-11	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.3
27	15-12	SYR	SYR	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey	+2.2
28	16-12	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
29	16-13	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.7
30	17-13	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
31	17-14	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+1.6
32	17-15	SYR	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis		+2.9
33	18-15	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Manoela Forlin	+2.6
34	18-16	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.2
35	19-16	SYR	BUFF	Serve err	Syracuse		+2.8
36	20-16	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.0
37	20-17	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+1.5
38	21-17	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.2
39	22-17	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin		+1.9
40	22-18	BUFF	SYR	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
41	23-18	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
42	23-19	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Yuka Urano	+0.5
43	24-19	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
44	24-20	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.2
45	25-20	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
Set 3
1	0-1	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.2
2	0-2	SYR	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.6
3	1-2	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
4	2-2	BUFF	BUFF	Bad set	Bo Nijenhuis		+1.6
5	2-3	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.2
6	3-3	SYR	BUFF×5	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
7	4-3	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+1.7
8	5-3	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.7
9	6-3	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo		+1.6
10	7-3	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
11	7-4	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.0
12	8-4	SYR	BUFF×6	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+1.1
13	9-4	BUFF	BUFF×6	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
14	10-4	BUFF	BUFF×6	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Charis Burge	+1.2
15	11-4	BUFF	BUFF×6	Blocked	Emma Williams	blk Abisola Adebayo, Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
16	12-4	BUFF	BUFF×6	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.7
17	13-4	BUFF	BUFF×6	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.5
18	13-5	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.3
19	14-5	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
20	15-5	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
21	15-6	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.1
22	16-6	SYR	BUFF	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.2
23	16-7	BUFF	SYR	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.1
24	17-7	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
25	18-7	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Keila Gabriel	blk Manoela Forlin, Nienke Trossel	+0.1
26	18-8	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	·
27	18-9	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Marie Laurio	+0.1
28	19-9	SYR	BUFF	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.1
29	19-10	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.1
30	20-10	SYR	BUFF×3	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Sydney Bell, Abisola Adebayo	+0.1
31	21-10	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
32	22-10	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Abby Nicholson	blk Manoela Forlin, Abisola Adebayo	·
33	22-11	BUFF	SYR×4	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	·
34	22-12	SYR	SYR×4	Ace	Syracuse		·
35	22-13	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Emma Williams	set Kiernan Stamey	·
36	22-14	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Emma Williams	set Kiernan Stamey	·
37	23-14	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
38	24-14	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Charis Burge		·
39	24-15	BUFF	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	·
40	25-15	SYR	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	·

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Buffalo def. Syracuse 3–0