Kent State vs Buffalo Volleyball: Buffalo Wins 3-0 (Sep 25)

FinalFri, Sep 25, 2026ESPN+

0:3

Buffalo beat visiting Kent St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-16, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Buffalo's Manoela Forlin and Hailey Campagna led with 12 kills each, and Anaya Cole added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
KENT	21	16	24	0
BUFF	25	25	26	3

Win probability

Buffalo above 50 · Kent St. below

Biggest swing: 4.3% to Kent St. — set 3, KENT 24-23 BUFF. Manoela Forlin stuffed by Nadia Miller. BUFF win probability 93% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KENT 30.4%69.6% BUFF

Kent St. wins

3-0

5.8%

3-1

10.7%

3-2

13.9%

Buffalo wins

3-0

23.0%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

19.9%

KENT break %: 41.5% vs this opp
BUFF break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Nadia MillerBlock+4.3%
Manoela Forlin stuffed by Nadia Miller
Set 3 · KENT 24-23 BUFF · KENT 7% → 11%
02
Hailey CampagnaKill+4.0%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 3 · KENT 24-25 BUFF · BUFF 92% → 96%
03
Abisola AdebayoBlock+3.6%
Nadia Miller stuffed by Abisola Adebayo
Set 3 · KENT 24-26 BUFF · BUFF 96% → 100%
04
Manoela ForlinKill+3.3%
Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 3 · KENT 24-24 BUFF · BUFF 89% → 92%
05
Nadia MillerKill+2.6%
Kill by Nadia Miller
Set 3 · KENT 22-22 BUFF · KENT 4% → 7%
06
Manoela ForlinKill+2.4%
Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 3 · KENT 22-23 BUFF · BUFF 93% → 96%
07
Christina VigilKill+2.3%
Kill by Christina Vigil (set by Mercedez Brown)
Set 3 · KENT 23-23 BUFF · KENT 4% → 7%
08
Macie MorelandKill+2.3%
Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 1 · KENT 15-17 BUFF · KENT 22% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kent St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mercedez BrownOH	3	10	5	33	.152	1	0	1	11	0	1	0	1	11
10Macie MorelandOH	3	7	3	23	.174	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
20Ashley VerheyOH	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
16Adalynn GinleyMB	3	3	2	16	.063	1	0	0	3	0	2	2	3	6
14Christina VigilS	3	3	3	12	.000	27	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	3
6Liliana MechuraMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Nadia MillerMB	3	7	6	17	.059	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	9
4Hailey BrennerDS	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
5Lesley FurutaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	10	0	0	0	0	1
1Maggie KachmarikDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
11Vanessa ImohOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Avrey RigneyOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	23	124	.129	34	1	4	46	2	5	4	7	61

Buffalohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manoela ForlinOH	3	12	5	30	.233	0	1	1	13	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
3Sydney BellOPP	3	10	5	24	.208	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	11
20Abisola AdebayoMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	7
6Nienke TrosselMB	3	1	0	8	.125	0	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	5
2Maddie MitchellS	3	4	2	8	.250	37	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	4
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	3	2	1	6	.167	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
4Hailey CampagnaOH	3	12	3	29	.310	1	0	0	3	0	3	1	3.5	15.5
10Anaya ColeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	17	0	0	0	0	0
15Eve AdamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	18	119	.235	44	2	3	56	1	8	4	10	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 KENT · BUFF 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 KENTBUFF 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 KENTBUFF 7

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 KENTBUFF 5

Bars above the line = Buffalo leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kent St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	40%4/10
2	44%7/16	22%2/9
3	64%7/11	36%4/11
4	35%6/17	36%4/11
5	46%6/13	25%2/8
6	50%5/10	54%7/13
All	51%38/75	37%23/62

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	13%1/8
2	64%7/11	50%7/14
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	50%6/12
5	46%6/13	68%13/19
6	71%5/7	55%6/11
All	63%39/62	49%37/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	KENT-BUFF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.7
2	1-1	KENT	BUFF×4	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+1.6
3	1-2	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
4	1-3	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo		+2.0
5	1-4	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Angelina Siepierski	+1.9
6	2-4	BUFF	KENT	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.4
7	3-4	KENT	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+2.0
8	3-5	KENT	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.6
9	3-6	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Sadie Gladhill	+1.9
10	3-7	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Adalynn Ginley	blk Manoela Forlin	+1.7
11	4-7	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+1.2
12	4-8	KENT	BUFF	Attack err	Avrey Rigney		+1.3
13	5-8	BUFF	KENT	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Adalynn Ginley	+1.2
14	5-9	KENT	BUFF×4	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
15	5-10	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.5
16	5-11	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
17	5-12	BUFF	BUFF×4	Blocked	Liliana Mechura	blk Hailey Campagna	+0.9
18	6-12	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Avrey Rigney	+0.6
19	7-12	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
20	7-13	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
21	7-14	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell		+0.9
22	8-14	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.5
23	9-14	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+1.0
24	9-15	KENT	BUFF	Attack err	Ashley Verhey		+0.9
25	10-15	BUFF	KENT×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
26	11-15	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.3
27	12-15	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.7
28	12-16	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.6
29	12-17	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Eve Adams	+1.6
30	13-17	BUFF	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
31	14-17	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+1.7
32	15-17	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+2.3
33	15-18	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Sydney Bell	+2.1
34	16-18	BUFF	KENT	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Adalynn Ginley	+1.9
35	16-19	KENT	BUFF	Serve err	Kent St.		+2.2
36	16-20	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo	aced Maggie Kachmarik	+2.3
37	17-20	BUFF	KENT	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo		+1.3
38	17-21	KENT	BUFF×4	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Anaya Cole	+1.7
39	17-22	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
40	17-23	BUFF	BUFF×4	Blocked	Christina Vigil	blk Nienke Trossel	+0.7
41	17-24	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
42	18-24	BUFF	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	·
43	19-24	KENT	KENT×4	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.1
44	20-24	KENT	KENT×4	Blocked	Maddie Mitchell	blk Mercedez Brown	+0.3
45	21-24	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
46	21-25	KENT	BUFF	Serve err	Kent St.		+1.0
Set 2
1	1-0	KENT	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Adalynn Ginley	+1.8
2	2-0	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.9
3	2-1	KENT	BUFF	Blocked	Macie Moreland	blk Sydney Bell	+1.4
4	3-1	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+1.5
5	3-2	KENT	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
6	3-3	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+1.9
7	3-4	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.8
8	4-4	BUFF	KENT	Blocked	Abisola Adebayo	blk Nadia Miller	+1.5
9	4-5	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
10	5-5	BUFF	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown		+1.5
11	6-5	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Hailey Brenner	set Christina Vigil	+2.1
12	7-5	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+2.2
13	7-6	KENT	BUFF×7	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.6
14	7-7	BUFF	BUFF×7	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
15	7-8	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+2.1
16	7-9	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+2.0
17	7-10	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+1.8
18	7-11	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Nienke Trossel		+1.6
19	7-12	BUFF	BUFF×7	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Hailey Campagna	+1.3
20	8-12	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
21	8-13	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
22	9-13	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
23	9-14	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
24	10-14	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
25	10-15	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
26	11-15	BUFF	KENT	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Macie Moreland, Adalynn Ginley	+0.8
27	11-16	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
28	12-16	BUFF	KENT	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Adalynn Ginley, Ashley Verhey	+0.8
29	12-17	KENT	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
30	12-18	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Hailey Campagna, Abisola Adebayo	+1.0
31	12-19	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+0.6
32	13-19	BUFF	KENT	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.3
33	13-20	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell		+0.4
34	13-21	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Mercedez Brown	blk Nienke Trossel	+0.3
35	14-21	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
36	14-22	KENT	BUFF	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.2
37	14-23	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
38	15-23	BUFF	KENT	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		·
39	15-24	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	·
40	16-24	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	·
41	16-25	KENT	BUFF	Attack err	Christina Vigil		·
Set 3
1	0-1	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
2	1-1	BUFF	KENT	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
3	1-2	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
4	2-2	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
5	2-3	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
6	3-3	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
7	4-3	KENT	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
8	4-4	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
9	5-4	BUFF	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.9
10	6-4	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Maggie Kachmarik	+1.2
11	7-4	KENT	KENT×3	Ace	Lesley Furuta		+1.2
12	7-5	KENT	BUFF	Serve err	Lesley Furuta		+0.8
13	8-5	BUFF	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.9
14	9-5	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Lesley Furuta	+1.2
15	10-5	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Maddie Mitchell		+1.1
16	10-6	KENT	BUFF×5	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
17	10-7	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.0
18	10-8	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Hailey Campagna	+1.1
19	10-9	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
20	10-10	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Ashley Verhey		+1.3
21	11-10	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
22	12-10	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.4
23	12-11	KENT	BUFF	Serve err	Kent St.		+1.0
24	13-11	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Mercedez Brown	+1.1
25	13-12	KENT	BUFF	Blocked	Macie Moreland	blk Nienke Trossel	+1.0
26	14-12	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.2
27	14-13	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
28	15-13	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Macie Moreland	+1.2
29	15-14	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
30	15-15	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Hailey Campagna	+1.5
31	16-15	BUFF	KENT	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+1.3
32	16-16	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
33	17-16	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.4
34	18-16	KENT	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.8
35	18-17	KENT	BUFF	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+1.2
36	19-17	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.5
37	19-18	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
38	20-18	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
39	20-19	KENT	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
40	20-20	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.2
41	20-21	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.3
42	20-22	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
43	21-22	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
44	22-22	KENT	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller		+2.6
45	22-23	KENT	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.4
46	23-23	BUFF	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Mercedez Brown	+2.3
47	24-23	KENT	KENT	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Nadia Miller	+4.3
48	24-24	KENT	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.3
49	24-25	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.0
50	24-26	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Abisola Adebayo	+3.6

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Buffalo def. Kent St. 3–0